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XAU to 1900 topHello traders & analysts: the ceiling target is 1900 - 1920* - 1920 is the full retracement back in 2011 the all time high for XAU We have already surpassed our 0.705 level. If looking at entries, await a pullback by using the Fibonacci level on the daily, 4 hour to align your levels. This will give key areas to buy from. during the channel or accumulation range - . Refer to this as the trading range - notice how the range shows indecisiveness on the daily timeframe very easily giving no clear direction. However within the range it is possible to get a great opportunity to find a 'low' buying price or get a strong 'sell position'. Now we have an impulsive swing - fear is causing this due to COVID 19 - first or second wave stimulus package - free money printing creating an infinite supply of debt Pairs to watch for correlation DXY GBP JPY USD JPY Do your own research before entering - Gold moves different to many other pairs. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Thanks, Team Lupa
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LupaCapital
GBP JPY - Potential short continuation if zone is rejected.Hello traders and analysts, we have a great opportunity here for a short swing if the criteria is met remember price is reactive to levels so only trade this scenario if it fits with your criteria. COT data, GBP Long Short Total %Long %Short 1,477 43,607 75,084 43% 57% JPY Long Short Total %Long %Short 26,924 52,964 79,888 34% 66% Price can break the daily level with the following; GBP news of re-opening the economy for public spending internally Progress with EU trade deal Breaking through the 1.25 level and closing higher on a daily close. Gold movements sell off Price can be short if: risk off sentiment is present with coronavirus - as safehaven currencies become stronger fail to break 1.25 to the upside Stalled EU trade talks correlation with gold buys Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Thanks, Team Lupa
Short
by LupaCapital
USD CAD short only if NFP provides a direction of shortHello traders and analysts, we have an opportunity here for a short with Dollar strength amid risk off - only if NFP shows the right direction. As figures could be manipulated and also once the market has made it's move, we will also make ours. Technical direction: - Holding an indecision structure. - weekly is an uptrend however there is a nice reversal from 1.40 - break of the trendline and now retracing. - we can see the trend beginning to add long positions to correct. - we have made higher lows on the 2 hour - now in a consolidation zone with some great wicks forming to show anticipation for the next move. COT data CAD Long Short Total %Long %Short Avg_13 47,439 19,696 67,135 71% 29% USD index Long Short Total %Long %Short Avg_13 21,244 10,212 31,456 67% 33% Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. We will most likely enter where we have positioned on the chart - but only if our criteria is met. Good luck and enjoy Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Thanks, Team Lupa
Short
by LupaCapital
XAG USD update [longterm long, short term] retraceHello traders & analysts, Here is out latest unprivate idea for Silver . We are bullish and would like to share our out look for the next opportunities which can take place. COT data: 71,859 long (67.92% ) 33,936 - short (32.08) Technically what has happened? Price was severely undervalued and silver is an important commodity to use for manufacturing sectors. Commodity currencies rely on this as an export factor e.g. CAD, AUD, MXN, ZAR, RUB, NZD. We had a great wedge pattern where we entered on a nice engulfing daily candle which broke to the upside. Price has hit a nice supply zone at 18.3-18.9 zone. The price in this area can reject and retrace which is an option we are looking for; however keep in mind the bullish structure, price has alot of upside potential. If price rejects, we will look for a nice clean break from the zone and hedge. Fundamentals: Coronavirus re-opening of industries and subsequent purchase power of retailers. Fear commodity but less attractive than Gold and platinum. Cheap metal but gains are very high and attractive China vs USA trade war Australia vs China mini trade war. Mexico has large coronavirus numbers but largest producer of silver. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Thanks, Team Lupa
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by LupaCapital
Spx500 wave analysis shortHello traders and analysts, Here is our take on the Elliot wave 5 wave, now a larger 3 wave correction needed to take place? . Technicals? We have completed the the downward impulse of the wave pattern 1-5, with all waves forming without breaking the structure. we are now in the minor wave 2 structure. and next up is the 5 wave corrective structure and looking to complete wave on the trendline. From an imbalance method, we have a good double top retest which is showing profit and greed taking. Price has seen a bounce back to 'normal priced of demand' however this is not really how halted economies can return so fast. it is artificial. Divergence - we did not use this but looking at the pattern, we have a huge distinguishing gap. Fundamentals: US election rallies before taking place at the end of the year with campaigning. We have NFP numbers showing millions return to work.. but also high unemployment Trade war with China, Hong Kong unfolding with US responding High figures in multiple states which are concerns for large communities. Fiscal intervention in July, August for stimulus.. constant printing money is not good for the economy. US tech stocks have seen the highest returns and zero confirmation by Dow30 and S&P following suit. Dow 30 is in a fragile state and desperate to keep pushing higher but limited upside will cause a steep decline - refer to Dow chart.. around 27,000 is a good point for a previous monthly high. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Thanks, Team Lupa
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by LupaCapital
GBP USD update We are waiting for the break of our trend line - as the USD is gaining strength and the GBP has got a lot of short orders against the Dollar. What can we see technically? - Daily bearish , - weekly bearish - bounce from the demand zone zone. - we can see the trend beginning to add long positions to correct. - we have made lower lows and lower highs- showing the correction - now in a consolidation zone with some great wicks formed. Where to enter? Follow your plan But for us, we are waiting for price action to develop off 1.24 before looking for a rejection to further our trade or hedge in reverse back into the range. Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Thanks, Team Lupa.
Short
by LupaCapital
AUD USD update with new shortHello everyone, we wanted to try something a little different today but doing a quick video showing our AUD USD intra day chart. Swings The technical side; Supply imbalance - weekly Daily - manipulation move in the supply zone 1 hour chart shows a wedge pattern which allowed the bullish momentum to correct and look for upside potential, however this failed and we caught the trade during the London open. If you did not catch this move, this is no problem. Look for a pullback and re-enter when price has shown good wicks to reject upside moves. or Fibonacci 1 hour levels for intra-day trades. Watch out for on the way down for false dips, but the confluence of the trade will take us down to a level of 67.5 before hitting a strong zone with a trend breather, we will look to close 80% of the trade around 67.5 level from here we can expect consolidation build up below this level as the busy days of the week are Wednesday and Thursday. COT: Long Short Total %Long %Short Avg_13 26,250 58,009 84,259 31% 69% USD is showing it's strength now as a time of uncertainty. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. We trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Many thanks for your support to our existing and new followers. Take care out there. Thanks, Team Lupa.
Short
by LupaCapital
AUD USD short 1 hour intraday trade Swings The technical side; Supply imbalance - weekly Daily - manipulation move in the supply zone 1 hour chart shows a wedge pattern which allowed the bullish momentum to correct and look for upside potential, however this failed and we caught the trade during the London open. If you did not catch this move, this is no problem. Look for a pullback and re-enter when price has shown good wicks to reject upside moves. or Fibonacci 1 hour levels for intra-day trades. Watch out for on the way down for false dips, but the confluence of the trade will take us down to a level of 67.5 before hitting a strong zone with a trend breather, we will look to close 80% of the trade around 67.5 level from here we can expect consolidation build up below this level as the busy days of the week are Wednesday and Thursday. COT: Long Short Total %Long %Short Avg_13 26,250 58,009 84,259 31% 69% USD is showing it's strength now as a time of uncertainty. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. We trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Many thanks for your support to our existing and new followers. Take care out there. Thanks, Team Lupa.
Short
by LupaCapital
GBP AUD short term sell then buyWe are currently creating a lower low structure which is creating a nice wave pattern to the downside to reach the level of 1.77 a great structure level. We are currently short but be aware longs are being added. However the Aussie has had orders shorted for the past 13weeks. GBP with 54% short - 42,071 AUD with 69% short - AVG (13) - is 61,487 What can we see technically? - Daily bearish but breaking momentum short in the channel. - weekly bearish zone touched - bounce from the demand zone zone. - we can see the trend beginning to add long positions to correct. - we have made lower lows and lower highs- showing the correction - now in a consolidation zone with some great wicks formed and a reversal to the upside. Where to enter? Follow your plan we have further buy limits at 1.77 and will wait and watch at 1.78 if price reaches the lower weekly deep retest. we also entered sells at 1.8115 & 1.8070 respectively. Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Thanks, Team Lupa.
Short
by LupaCapital
GBP NZD currently shortLong term we will update with our long bias, however the sells are still looking to test the weekly and monthly zone this week. Technicals: Downtrend - rejection of monthly supply Daily in a weekly and monthly zone - demand could be a potential swap zone as the zone underneath is a setup for a strong fresh touch of demand. However, the GBP is weak, so is the NZD over 13AVG weeks GBP NZD AVG weekly COT Report, Non commercials: Short: 43,607 Long 31,477 Previous week report: Short 29,654 62% Long 48,170 38% NZD USD Short: 11,705 67 % Long: 24,107 33% Short: 16,174 50% Long:16,189 50% Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Many thanks for your support to our existing and new followers. Take care out there. Thanks, Team Lupa.
Short
by LupaCapital
Nasdaq sell Nasdaq has created an all time high, but with the US not taking Coronavirus lightly and with the BLM protests and Trade war in place all fundamental news - with this, technology stocks have seen incredible growth but has the growth paused or now come to an end and needs retracing? What can we see technically? - Daily bearish but breaking momentum short has now broken 10,000 level. - Monthly supply has now formed with all time record high. - bounce from the demand zone to create a new high. - We have a strong weekly rejection candle - we had some good indecision candles on the daily Where to enter? Follow your plan we entered at 10053 as we could see these zones lining up with our analysis we have further sell limits at 10,350 All trades risk free Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Many thanks for your support to our existing and new followers. Take care out there. Thanks, Team Lupa.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by LupaCapital
Nasdaq sell What can we see technically? -Technicals: -Overall bullish -however all time rejected record high -Monthly supply created -price to transition between monthly and weekly zone. -Daily - creating indecision candles. - Zone of consolidation forming in a nice range above 10,000, however break of 10,000 which price has attempted to do will see a good sell off. Where to enter? Follow your plan we entered at 10,056 as we could see these zones lining up with our analysis we have further sells at 10,400 if price reaches the lower weekly deep retest. Trade is risk free, we also sold QQQs investment trust if CFD is too risky for you. Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Many thanks to the people who are new and previously following us. We appreciate your support. Take care Thanks, Team Lupa.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by LupaCapital
GBP AUD rangeWe have an update to our trade - we took sells at the rejection and are stuck in a nice 250 odd pip trading range. Neutral range - but we anticipate long term buys. We are waiting for the break of our trend line - as the USD is gaining strength and the GBP has got alot of short orders against the Dollar. However the Aussie has had orders shorted for the past 13weeks. GBP with 54% short - 42,071 AUD with 69% short - AVG (13) - is 61,487 What can we see technically? - Daily bearish but breaking momentum short in the channel. - weekly bearish zone touched - bounce from the demand zone zone. - we can see the trend beginning to add long positions to correct. - we have made lower lows and lower highs- showing the correction - now in a consolidation zone with some great wicks formed and a reversal to the upside. Where to enter? Follow your plan we entered at 1.793 and 1.794 as we could see these zones lining up with our analysis we have further buy limits at 1.78 if price reaches the lower weekly deep retest. we also entered sells at 1.8115 & 1.8070 respectively. All trades risk free Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Thanks, Team Lupa.
by LupaCapital
DAX - shortDax correction or long term? Regardless - we are short What can we see technically? A strong supply level. which price has tested and was respected. The imbalance of the supply is evident due a strong engulfing on the daily . Targets are the zones market on the chart and beyond . If the daily target bounces - we will allow price action to either reject the zone or use the zone as a swap zone. Fundamentals behind the move are caused by the virus second wave, Brexit and recession in Germany. Further to this stimulus bills in place to keep Germans from losing respective jobs. If you like our work, please leave a comment and like. Thanks, Team Lupa.
XETR:DAXShort
by LupaCapital
AUD JPY - ShortWe saw in our private analysis the pair hit the monthly zone and reject strongly. We took a good sell from 75.4 and closed at 73.00 but kept one position open. Onto the cot data: However the Aussie has had orders shorted for the past 13weeks. Long Short Total %Long %Short JPY Avg_13 53,429 27,665 81,094 66% 34% AUD Avg_13 25,870 59,197 85,067 31% 69% What can we see technically? - Daily bullish but breaking momentum with the touch of 74.4 zone + - weekly correctional bullish - bounce from the monthly supply . - we can see the trend beginning to add long positions to correct with the Aussie but also added from the Yen too. - we have made a good impulse and now correction and next impulse is beginning. - now in a consolidation zone with some great wicks formed and a reversal to the downside Where to enter? Follow your plan we entered at 75.4 and 74.04 level as we could see these zones lining up with our analysis Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced. KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Thanks, Team Lupa.
by LupaCapital
GBP AUD - long term buy updateWe are waiting for the break of our trend line - as the USD is gaining strength and the GBP has got alot of short orders against the Dollar. However the Aussie has had orders shorted for the past 13weeks. GBP with 54% short - 42,071 AUD with 69% short - AVG (13) - is 61,487 What can we see technically? - Daily bearish but breaking momentum short in the channel. - weekly bearish zone touched - bounce from the demand zone zone. - we can see the trend beginning to add long positions to correct. - we have made lower lows and lower highs- showing the correction - now in a consolidation zone with some great wicks formed and a reversal to the upside. Where to enter? Follow your plan we entered at 1.793 and 1.794 as we could see these zones lining up with our analysis Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Thanks, Team Lupa.
Long
by LupaCapital
GA long update - officially longLong activated as per previous - Waited for the double bottom to occur. technical fresh touch of the demand after a long rally down drop base drop scenario on previous touch - strong engulfing candles to the upside, similar pattern here bearish technical - was oversized head and shoulders Long term - Aussie will lose momentum with a risk off scenario If you like our work and updates - Leave a comment and like. Good luck and enjoy the trade. If you like our swing trade work, please leave a like and or comment. Thanks, Lupa
Long
by LupaCapital
AUD USDDaily time frame we have a good sell off pattern as price hit our weekly supply imbalance. Price made a good manipulation move yesterday during NY hours. The technical side; Supply imbalance - weekly Daily - manipulation move in the supply zone Watch out for on the way down for false dips, but the confluence of the trade will take us down to a level of 66 before hitting a strong zone with a trend breather and consolidation build up below this level. If you like our work, please leave a comment and like. Thanks Team Lupa.
Short
by LupaCapital
1
EUR AUD - long game incomingWe are waiting for the break of our trend line - as the Euro is gaining strength and the Aussie has some strong shorts against it. What can we see technically? - Daily bearish, - weekly bearish - bounce from the demand zone purple zone. - we can see the trend beginning to add long positions. - we have made higher lows - showing the correction - now in a consolidation zone with some great wicks formed. Where to enter? Follow your plan But for us, we are waiting for a double bottom or a break or wicks to be tested on a lower time frame. Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced. KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Thanks, Team Lupa.
Long
by LupaCapital
1
GBP USD Daily ShortWe are waiting for the break of our trend line - as the USD is gaining strength and the GBP has got alot of short orders against the Dollar. What can we see technically? - Daily bearish , - weekly bearish - bounce from the demand zone zone. - we can see the trend beginning to add long positions to correct. - we have made lower lows and lower highs- showing the correction - now in a consolidation zone with some great wicks formed. Where to enter? Follow your plan But for us, we are waiting for a pull back to 1.25 before looking for a rejection. Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted. Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Thanks, Team Lupa.
Short
by LupaCapital
3USS long Daily close 3x - investment stockWhat do we see? Fundamental wise buying greed in the US and world markets looking to make a recovery without realising how much stimulus has gone into each country. Technicals - we have a great monthly swing all time low - which has created a great base and imbalance we have targets from the "corona" drop - however we also can see a long opportunity to test this level and beyond. Our imbalance zone is a monthly target and is our weekly. This fund works like 3:1 daily close - so if the market falls -1% - this rises 3% and inverse method of - US market rising 1% , this falls -3% very strong risk reward here - just wait the zone to be broken to generate longs note: check to see if this fund is available in your country If you like our work, leave a comment and like. Thanks. Team Lupa.
LSE:3USSLong
by LupaCapital
S&P Going for double top - [long term short]on the Indice trading side we are not selling nor buying right now We can see the great imbalance from the demand zone - which is weak but we have a strong supply here so we can definitely see great potential for the supply to sell off. Note: only if price shows a rejection and imbalance then we will execute on the daily timeframe. Using the supply and demand strategy. we can see a great opportunity ahead using double top formation. The imbalance is key for our trading here and the higher timeframes do not show sells as yet. ofcourse conduct your own top down analysis to buy and sell - different time frames show different scenarios, but we focus on the long term journey here. If you like our work, please leave a like and comment. Thanks, Team Lupa
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by LupaCapital
2
Micrsoft - long term buys. Fresh demand allowing to go long, due to a weak level Looking to break all time highs. once it does, we will look for a sell entry once we have confirmation of a strong supply. If a risk off scenario occurs, go short, with another opportunity to long again. we have a very strong level to buy from. Coronavirus effect - meaning the previous high needed a fresh touch in order for long positions. Fundamentals - these are great but we do not look at these much. create its first data centre region in Italy under a $1.5 billion investment plan as the U.S. company expands its cloud computing services, with partnership of TIM telecom italia mobile.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by LupaCapital