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BTC - awaiting the zone touchHello Traders and Analysts, A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. Please do not take this as face value. Based on what merit? Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off begins with a new equal high peak or a higher high. We will expect price to pullback engineering liquidity to shakeout buyers and free up the market players. Crypto in our eyes works like rocket fuel , in the sense of bursting out - tailing off and crashing - while most FX pairs do this - crypto is still establishing multiple fresh zones both in fractal senses and adoption will have a momentum here if you look from a fundamental view. off the back of the last move - we saw a great imbalance fill on a daily zone - in the bottom purple zone . This created a first fresh touch for buyers. We have been experiencing a sell off today which is exactly what is needed in order to retrace to form a fresh touch for liquidity purpose. BTC to keep showing its strength (positional holding) Where next? Imbalance Two - is still untouched at $25k, so we will still anticipate this zone valid. Target Upside targets 50k or more!- long term buys. Zones to watch for long additions. $29,000 - 30k $24,000 - 25,550 imbalance zone major zone Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise and clears your mind. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team LVPA MMXXI
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by LupaCapital
1
GBP USD - continuing to climb buysHello traders and analysts, See our chart for a Brexit 'Yes' whereby, the fishing stumbling block seems to be the major mover for a 'Yes' before the new year or a 'No'. The USD will continue to see a deepening soft dollar, which is what the US want right now to keep pushing the stocks into 2021 with cheaper import/exports as a major player. Furthermore a cheaper dollar will boost 2021 visitors to the US and see Gold rushed to as a hedge of inflation . GBP we have a weekly zone the pound has now surpassed creating a good new daily demand to move further. The monthly zone towards 1.50 as our target for a position buy. From a fibonacci point of view - taking the low from March 2020 as a 0 target. the extensions are now on a 1.48 extension. £1.42 to $1 is a great opportunity to look to on the daily and 4 hour chart. We have a big imbalance in which the buying potential can extend to in the bull rally. See the 4 hour update here; See our long term view here: When it comes to the USD, we have now been seeing continued devaluing of the USD into 2021 with the Biden administration. The FED injecting 22% of all USD in circulation within one year. A Staggering amount of est $9T USD was injected to save the US from collapse, despite its ever mounting debt of as it stands 11. 01 .2021 $27.775T USD www.usdebtclock.org The question remains as the USD loses value - in order to promote cheaper investment and more prospects for cheaper imports - the country will have a real issue with the constant cycle of financing debt upon debit. With the Global fiscal policy to remain between 1.5-2% - this should keep the FED side lined for a few years monitoring the US and world economy. What we would expect to see will be the growth of EM and commodity based countries in terms of FX to continue the growth against the USD. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise and clears your mind. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team LVPA MMXXI
Long
by LupaCapital
1
GBP JPY update - Longs in playHello traders, We are seeing on the GBP JPY 4 hour chart an opportunity to go long with a good 4hour trendline which is being respected. Imbalance 4hr = grey 4hr = orange trendlines daily = purple trendline See the previous idea here and click play - it played out perfectly. See the bigger picture and further analysis below; Fundamentals at play. With the successful Brexit transition and recovery from the Risk-off scenario from Brexit, the commodity hedge from Gold will not push higher. While the vaccination and cases remain a concern for the UKs long term success in the economy opening up, the GBP has been seen rising and looks set to continue with a target of 143 poised to be filled by the bulls. XAU USD & GBP JPY are safe havens so expect the volatility within the pairs to remain strong as short term sentiment turns sour. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise and clears your mind. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team LVPA MMXXI
by LupaCapital
3
GBP JPY - long opportunityHello traders, We are seeing on the GBP JPY 4 hour chart an opportunity to go long with a good 4hour trendline which is being respected. Imbalance 4hr = grey 4hr = orange trendlines daily = purple trendline See the bigger picture and further analysis below; Fundamentals at play. With the successful Brexit transition and recovery from the Risk-off scenario from Brexit, the commodity hedge from Gold will not push higher. While the vaccination and cases remain a concern for the UKs long term success in the economy opening up, the GBP has been seen rising and looks set to continue with a target of 143 poised to be filled by the bulls. XAU USD & GBP JPY are safe havens so expect the volatility within the pairs to remain strong as short term sentiment turns sour. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise and clears your mind. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team LVPA MMXXI
Long
by LupaCapital
1
SPX liquidity engineering in progressHello analysts and traders. Price touched the trendline on the 4hour chart. SPX500 needed to created a descending channel after the high to engineer some liquidity for continuation of long positions from the all time high . Where did price fall to? Key trendline creating a lower high. Why is this important? Look left - the white candle shows an imbalance on the previous bullish engulfing. We are currently long but await the next buy from a daily low. Key: 4 hour = orange trendline Green zone - daily, weekly targets See the wider picture See our last trade: Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise and clears your mind. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team LVPA MMXXI
TVC:SPXLong
by LupaCapital
2
S&P 500 - Fibonacci rejection - upside activeSPX500 needed to created a descending channel after the high to engineer some liquidity for continuation of long positions. Where did price fall to? Key Fibonacci 0.618 - 0.705 levels Why is this important? Look left - the white candle shows an imbalance on the previous bullish engulfing . We are currently long but await the next buy from a daily low. See the Vix vs S&P500 Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. Pure imbalance trades - with further explanations on the graphs to understand. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Regardless we will continue producing analysis as and when. Many thanks, Team LVPA.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by LupaCapital
XAU USD to 2100 in 2021?Purple = weekly Blue = Monthly Orange = Daily Hello Traders and Analysts, The following analysis will be in depth to explain the out look of the Index and Based on what merit? Being a commodity based inflation hedge - the orange zone at $1800 - 1805, this zone has been a great opportunity for the Yellow metal to keep its continuation moving against the bears attacking the 1800 zone. The established previous all time high from a perspective of the profit taking upon gold, SPX and global efficiency of accumulating further debt in the world economy buy governments buying back bonds producing limited yields, and the USD index showing further melting pots into the Swissie to combat inflation - it is clear governments are looking for the continued spending to occur. See Note - with the successful inauguration yesterday of the 46th President, the world turns on a fundamental level for key drivers to break the daily zone in orange, between $1856 - 1862.00 ASX With the ASX correlated with the S&P500 - we expect the ASX to over extend the Fibonacci targets to the upside into 2021 upon the global recovery. See below for the correlation of ASX & SPX recovery XAG USD While majority of investors over look Silver as a commodity to Gold, do not under estimate the return it can produce for investments. While the correlation We have seen a nice impulse into the channel and a rejection upon reaching the zone of $29.00. Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure to the crisis of the reluctance for the demand of the Commodities . However, this produced a demand zone to hold from so we have a buying opportunity. Fundamental note: With the production continuing from South America and Central America - the largest producer who are also a commodity based currency, expect further growth against the USD on this pair with continued other prosperity from the country, not purely based on Silver. This imbalance was created in which created the impulse. Price re-established itself now between $22-27 zone for a further imbalance where price will now look to as a strong demand for price engineering if needed. XAU XAG - correlation chart The correlation shows Gold / USD with the USD's likely impact on gold, and Silver / S&P correlation means general stock market's likely impact on silver value. Of course, the price of gold impacts the profits, and share prices a like of all gold producers. Updated view for 2021 on XAG SPX See the outlook below for 2021 full analysis breakdown: Based on what merit? Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure. Where price had a low of 2182, this significant point to me, showed the imbalance between the previous Fibonacci extension points 1.786, 1.618. This was essentially fulfilling the swing high and creating a swing low. Refer back to 2007-08 on the chart to see the imbalances - where; the blue Ellipse - shows the 2008 rally distribution beginning to take effect. The Red Ellipse - shows the pivotal 1.7186, 1.618 full retracement zones - where the "china trade war" and "coronavirus" fundamentals took place for the index to fall back in line What can we see? we can see here that the price reversed directly between the previous extension zone to create a new inflow first touch to close out the imbalance between the buyers and sellers. Shorts were closed and further longs were taken to bolster investments or if investing in a long term portfolio, a further contribution added upon the compounding value. Four sectors returned a higher value than the S&P500 close in 2020 adding optimism within adding inflows into the market to 2021 - beyond. With all other major indexes and rapid new industries taking off - what we will be able to see? The current bullish momentum will be created from the stimulus coming further into 2021, presidential change and USD index or DXY being suppressed. This projection offers the rate of debt the debt market cycle has not been reacting negatively yet with yields still intact and further debt creation to refinance debt obligations. The final pair to assess is GBP JPY With the successful Brexit transition and recovery from the Risk-off scenario from Brexit, the commodity hedge from Gold will not push higher. While the vaccination and cases remain a concern for the UKs long term success in the economy opening up, the GBP has been seen rising and looks set to continue with a target of 143 poised to be filled by the bulls. XAU USD & GBP JPY are safe havens so expect the volatility within the pairs to remain strong as short term sentiment turns sour. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise and clears your mind. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team LVPA MMXXI
FX:XAUUSDLong
by LupaCapital
1
Australia [ASX 200] - 2021 weekly chartPurple = weekly Blue = Monthly Orange = Daily Hello Traders and Analysts, The following analysis will be in depth to explain the out look of the Index and Based on what merit? Being a commodity based currency we need to analyse the US and commodities as Australia a produce of raw materials. The Australian economy is commodity based but also well suited to self-sufficiency in some aspects from raw material production, construction but relies on Tourism and exports to keep the Aussie afloat. With the ASX correlated with the S&P500 - we expect the ASX to over extend the Fibonacci targets to the upside into 2021 upon the global recovery. XAG We have seen a nice impulse into the channel and a rejection upon reaching the zone of $29.00. Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure to the crisis of the reluctance for the demand of the Commodities . However, this produced a demand zone to hold from so we have a buying opportunity. This imbalance was created in which created the impulse. Price re-established itself now between $22-27 zone for a further imbalance where price will now look to as a strong demand for price engineering if needed. The long term wider chart is available below; XAU Daily longs are still in play after Weekly longs Monthly long Retrace is occurring on the weekly time frame - but can this be building up Fibonacci level aligns of 50% around 1939 and 61.8% at 1907.00 USD. This retracement zone will show a great long identification Retrace needed to to confirm liquidity from the strong demand. Current market at play for XAU USD S&P500 from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure. Where price had a low of 2182, this significant point to me, showed the imbalance between the previous Fibonacci extension points 1.786, 1.618. This was essentially fulfilling the swing high and creating a swing low. Refer back to 2007-08 on the chart to see the imbalances - where; the blue Ellipse - shows the 2008 rally distribution beginning to take effect. The Red Ellipse - shows the pivotal 1.7186, 1.618 full retracement zones - where the "china trade war" and "coronavirus" fundamentals took place for the index to fall back in line. The current bullish momentum will be created from the stimulus coming further into 2021, presidential change and USD index or DXY being suppressed. This projection offers the rate of debt the debt market cycle has not been reacting negatively yet with yields still intact and further debt creation to refinance debt obligations . Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. Pure imbalance trades - with further explanations on the graphs to understand. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Many thanks, Team LVPA.
ASX:XJOLong
by LupaCapital
1
Australia [ASX 200] - 2021 outlookPurple = weekly Blue = Monthly Orange = Daily Hello Traders and Analysts, The following analysis will be in depth to explain the out look of the Index and Based on what merit? Being a commodity based currency we need to analyse the US and commodities as Australia a produce of raw materials. The Australian economy is commodity based but also well suited to self-sufficiency in some aspects from raw material production, construction but relies on Tourism and exports to keep the Aussie afloat. With the ASX correlated with the S&P500 - we expect the ASX to over extend the Fibonacci targets to the upside into 2021 upon the global recovery. XAG We have seen a nice impulse into the channel and a rejection upon reaching the zone of $29.00. Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure to the crisis of the reluctance for the demand of the Commodities . However, this produced a demand zone to hold from so we have a buying opportunity. This imbalance was created in which created the impulse. Price re-established itself now between $22-27 zone for a further imbalance where price will now look to as a strong demand for price engineering if needed. The long term wider chart is available below; XAU Daily longs are still in play after Weekly longs Monthly long Retrace is occurring on the weekly time frame - but can this be building up Fibonacci level aligns of 50% around 1939 and 61.8% at 1907.00 USD. This retracement zone will show a great long identification Retrace needed to to confirm liquidity from the strong demand. Current market at play for XAU USD S&P500 from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure. Where price had a low of 2182, this significant point to me, showed the imbalance between the previous Fibonacci extension points 1.786, 1.618. This was essentially fulfilling the swing high and creating a swing low. Refer back to 2007-08 on the chart to see the imbalances - where; the blue Ellipse - shows the 2008 rally distribution beginning to take effect. The Red Ellipse - shows the pivotal 1.7186, 1.618 full retracement zones - where the "china trade war" and "coronavirus" fundamentals took place for the index to fall back in line. The current bullish momentum will be created from the stimulus coming further into 2021, presidential change and USD index or DXY being suppressed. This projection offers the rate of debt the debt market cycle has not been reacting negatively yet with yields still intact and further debt creation to refinance debt obligations . Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. Pure imbalance trades - with further explanations on the graphs to understand. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Many thanks, Team LVPA.
ASX:XJOLong
by LupaCapital
GBP AUD - Break or rejection 61.8%?GBP AUD - 4hour chart Be ready for either direction on the lower timeframe. Technicals to assess. We have a bearish hammer forming on the 4 hour chart. The Fibonacci down trend is in play, however the 61.8% has not been attacked yet with no signal of a lower high formed. With GBP AUD - price moves quick with a strong engulfing once the orders are ready and filled to either the downside or upside. If the trend line is intact, then the lower high rejection wicks are in play. A break will see downsides to look for positional holds to 1.74 with the weekly imbalance looking likely again. This can be a good hedge trade to longs. However, buys can be engineered by a perceived short position in which we will look long again with 1.767XX to remained untested. See the main idea here for longs, shorts. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team Lupa
by LupaCapital
1
LINKUSD - Longs $26, $32Link/USD This cryptocurrency is now available in our public viewing. We have a great area of where price can reverse from. Based on what merit? From a lower time frame we would be looking at around 21.2 which aligns to the Fibonacci 61.8% level. Daily level buys - 19.77 or 20.8 where a daily imbalance is occurring. Master key: Purple = weekly Blue = Monthly Orange = Daily Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. Pure imbalance trades - with further explanations on the graphs to understand. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. Regardless we will continue producing analysis as and when actions are needed Many thanks, Team LVPA.
COINBASE:LINKUSDLong
by LupaCapital
2
Silver to consolidate - before a breakout to the upside.Purple = weekly Blue = Monthly Orange = Daily Hello Traders and Analysts, Based on what merit? We have seen a nice impulse into the channel and a rejection upon reaching the zone of $29.00. Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure to the crisis of the reluctance for the demand of the Commodities. However, this produced a demand zone to hold from so we have a buying opportunity. This imbalance was created in which created the impulse. Price re-established itself now between $22-27 zone for a further imbalance where price will now look to as a strong demand for price engineering if needed. Looking for an entry? Based on the orange trading consolidation. Now we are in 2021, we can now look at buying opportunities. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. Pure imbalance trades - with further explanations on the graphs to understand. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Many thanks, Team LVPA.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by LupaCapital
US OIL still risingHello Traders and Analysts, Based on what merit? We have seen a nice impulse into the channel and a rejection upon reaching the trendline at $53.00 Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure to the crisis of Oil supply being heavy weighted in comparison to the demand . The spike to zero was the abundance of supply which effectively the storage supply became over saturated and "worthless", the May contracts were not accepted for physical delivery and the paying for the delivery took place to prevent further storage. This imbalance was created in which created the impulse. Price re-established itself with $30-36 zone for a further imbalance where price will now look to as a strong demand for price engineering if needed. Looking for an entry? Based on the orange trendline - we would be looking to buy further at $48.00 where price may look to establish a lower high. If* this zone is broken, the correction will deepen with $46-48 looking to be a buying area. Here is our original take Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. Pure imbalance trades - with further explanations on the graphs to understand. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Many thanks, Team LVPA. Risk disclaimer: All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information offered by Lupa Capital is provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. LCP LTD will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
TVC:USOILLong
by LupaCapital
BTC short to 25k zone, load up buysHello Traders and Analysts, A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. Please do not take this as face value. Based on what merit? Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off begins with a new equal high peak or a higher high. We will expect price to pullback engineering liquidity to shakeout buyers and free up the market players. Crypto in our eyes works like rocket fuel, in the sense of bursting out - tailing off and crashing - while most FX pairs do this - crypto is still establishing multiple fresh zones both in fractal senses and adoption will have a momentum here if you look from a fundamental view. off the back of the last move - we saw a great imbalance fill on a daily zone - in the bottom purple zone . This created a first fresh touch for buyers. Where next? Imbalance Two - is still untouched at $25k, so we will still anticipate this zone valid. Target Upside targets 50k or more!- long term buys. Zones to watch for long additions. $24,000 - 25,550 imbalance zone Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by LupaCapital
S&P 500 - 2021 full analysisHello Traders and Analysts, A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. Please do not take this as face value. Based on what merit? Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure. Where price had a low of 2182, this significant point to me, showed the imbalance between the previous Fibonacci extension points 1.786, 1.618. This was essentially fulfilling the swing high and creating a swing low. Refer back to 2007-08 on the chart to see the imbalances - where; the blue Ellipse - shows the 2008 rally distribution beginning to take effect. The Red Ellipse - shows the pivotal 1.7186, 1.618 full retracement zones - where the "china trade war" and "coronavirus" fundamentals took place for the index to fall back in line. . Here is our representation of the SPX500 - using a daily chart - . Rolling returns - historical data . Using the base model of 3 year rolling returns, the simplified explanation of the model shows a 41/50 years have returned a positive growth. As opposed to 6 years of negative returns. With 2020 closing out 16.26% return . *Note - the 6 years where the rolling return is negative - the dot com bubble only stood to lose 6.2%* Est Why the previous Extension zones fell in line with inefficiency 1 . - we can see here that the price reversed directly between the previous extension zone to create a new inflow first touch to close out the imbalance between the buyers and sellers. Shorts were closed and further longs were taken to bolster investments or if investing in a long term portfolio, a further contribution added upon the compounding value. Four sectors returned a higher value than the S&P500 close in 2020 adding optimism within adding inflows into the market to 2021 - beyond. With all other major indexes and rapid new industries taking off - what we will be able to see? outperforming in 2020: Tech, consumer discretionary, telecommunications material sectors SPX500 & VIX The below chart shows the important of 28-18 being the volatility range we will be expecting throughout the fiscal year. maintaining below 35 max positional moves will show correctional patterns of distribution flows in the smaller timeframes where price engineering will take place to allow discounted prices to occur. This will tend to steady the recovery but also give the rally base rally move a chance to breathe. The FED injecting 22% of all USD in circulation within one year. A Staggering amount of est $9T USD was injected to save the US from collapse, despite its ever mounting debt of as it stands 11.01.2021 $27.775T USD www.usdebtclock.org The question remains as the USD loses value - in order to promote cheaper investment and more prospects for cheaper imports - the country will have a real issue with the constant cycle of financing debt upon debit. With the Global fiscal policy to remain between 1.5-2% - this should keep the FED side lined for a few years monitoring the US and world economy. What we would expect to see will be the growth of EM and commodity based countries in terms of FX to continue the growth against the USD. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. Pure imbalance trades - with further explanations on the graphs to understand. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Regardless we will continue producing analysis as and when. Many thanks, Team LVPA. Risk disclaimer: All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information offered by Lupa Capital is provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. LCP LTD will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by LupaCapital
3
BTC to keep showing its strength (positional holding)Update to BTC: A fresh all time high, created a great drop to fill the balance. A new fresh top formed. Price has fallen but stopped at a great level of imbalance. What now? We will expect price to form a pin bar - for the bulls to close out the 7500-8000$ drop, however price will close within a nice range between the fresh top and new demand break. - this has now been completed! If you are holding longs and still comfortable. continue to hold with hedges accordingly at levels where price has reacted . The chart shows us: Maxed out weekly, monthly tops, creating a new all time high for the coin. with a strong bullish movement, a potential correctional movement can take place in the run up to the holiday season. Keep track of the US impact for the stimulus bill and further pumping of data on unemployment. - the stimulus package has now been agreed for $900bn and the vaccines are now rolling out. The US market is looking to continue growth upon the federal spending and position itself with forecasted growth into 2021. Zones to watch for long additions. $24,000 - 25,550 or now 29k. imbalances $30k target - nearly there, however 29k is the -0.786 extension target. - this was completed over the weekend 2nd, 3rd January. Upside targets 50k or more! Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by LupaCapital
2
GBP JPY - 2021 150+With the Brexit transition starting - let's see what happens. Outcome for a Brexit 'Yes' vote. As we come into the holiday season - there is important volume to note here, however the major players are positioned for either way. We have the purple buy zone, which price has seen a nice consolidation with some rejection wicks. January update: The amount of deals now in place with respective governments and individual deals for exports, flow of people and long term deals with infrastructure projects - we will now see the Yen to weaken. Provided there are now upsets from Internal UK parties to cause a stir nor Brussels or Euronations rejecting. With now the second vaccine beginning to take place on the target of 2million vaccines conducted per week - this will see the nice flows taken from the JPY shorts with institutions moving away to keep the upside moving as the UK races to lower the cases. Provided the probability seeing further buying power. We will see a huge engulfing candle to start the new imbalance. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team Lupa
Long
by LupaCapital
BTC - still long, the retrace has arrived. Update to BTC: A fresh all time high, created a great drop to fill the balance. A new fresh top formed. Price has fallen but stopped at a great level of imbalance. What now? We will expect price to form a pin bar - for the bulls to close out the 7500-8000$ drop, however price will close within a nice range between the fresh top and new demand break. If you are holding longs and still comfortable. continue to hold with hedges accordingly at levels where price has reacted . The chart shows us: Maxed out weekly, monthly tops, creating a new all time high for the coin. with a strong bullish movement, a potential correctional movement can take place in the run up to the holiday season. Keep track of the US impact for the stimulus bill and further pumping of data on unemployment. - the stimulus package has now been agreed for $900bn and the vaccines are now rolling out. The US market is looking to continue growth upon the federal spending and position itself with forecasted growth into 2021. Zones to watch for long additions. $24,000 - 25,550 $30k target - nearly there, however 29k is the -0.786 extension target. - this was completed over the weekend 2nd, 3rd January. We now have an imbalance to fill back to $22.5 to 24k - this will be the pivot level for longterm outlooks. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team Lupa
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by LupaCapital
S&P500 2021 outlookSPX500 to 4300 target for 2021. based on the projection of a correctional move within certain months, however the rate of debt the debt market cycle has not been reacting negatively yet with yields still intact and further debt creation to refinance debt obligations . There will be weeks and months which have negative returns, however the overall Fibonacci and rolling returns model suggests that the pricing model shows 4,000+ to be created and surpassed due to SPDR health sector and tech sectors beating the benchmark. This is a quick example - a further explanation will be provided. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team Lupa Team Lupa
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by LupaCapital
S&P 500 - needs a little correctional moveWe have seen with the run up to the vacation season a needed correction. With the US now rolling out vaccines and stimulus bill awaiting the pass - traders and analysts a like are awaiting the next move. We have two in play for which we can see. 1: the daily zone will be hit before the holiday close or 2: we will bounce off the Monday open and close the end of week to a all time high again . Let's await. We still have our projection targets for 2021, so refer back to get updated. Tagged long - due to overall direction, daily, weekly. All the best where ever you are. Team Lupa
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by LupaCapital
GBP AUD - inefficiencies 1,2The Aussie is gaining further traction - GBP has further downside positional power looking down to the below zones; 1. Zone 1: - we will be looking at a test of the order block, movement away to keep shorts flowing to keep the imbalance moving towards the zone of a 1.72 redistribution, liquidity to show bears further short options before the lows. From here we will expect a spring and a test of said springs. A rejection will occur and then see accumulation phase of price hitting the target on the AUD USD with bullish Aussie. 2. Exactly the same but making further gains moving down to 1.67-1.60 which will be the development. We volume will be a key indicator here to see the set up of the buy/sell swaps. A large break of structure will occur - taking out the equal highs. These are our Points of interests. Now the trend is moving, looking to see a weak dollar maintained in 2021 so this will be great for the Aussie, affecting the GBP also which has also been seeing a volatile state - however Growing against JPY, USD, but against the CAD, AUD, NZD is now seeing large flows creating ranges to accumulate account growth depending on signs of movement. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated. Regardless we will continue producing analysis. Thanks, Team Lupa
Long
by LupaCapital