BTC needs to retrace in early Jan - then keep the move goingHere is a view of BTC where a new zone has been created short term potential swap zone at 21,000 where price can fall back just as fast as it can rise.
The chart shows us:
Maxed out weekly, monthly tops, creating a new all time high for the coin.
with a strong bullish movement, a potential correctional movement can take place in the run up to the holiday season.
Keep track of the US impact for the stimulus bill and further pumping of data on unemployment. - the stimulus package has now been agreed for $900bn and the vaccines are now rolling out.
The US market is looking to continue growth upon the federal spending and position itself with forecasted growth into 2021.
Zones to watch for long additions.
$22,000 - 23,750
$30k target - nearly there, however 29k is the -0.786 extension target.
We now have an imbalance to fill back to $22.5 to 24k
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
Lupacapitalpartners
BTC new demand zone createdHere is a view of BTC where a new zone has been created short term potential swap zone at 21,000 where price can fall back just as fast as it can rise.
The chart shows us:
Maxed out weekly, monthly tops, creating a new all time high for the coin.
with a strong bullish movement, a potential correctional movement can take place in the run up to the holiday season.
Keep track of the US impact for the stimulus bill and further pumping of data on unemployment. - the stimulus package has now been agreed for $900bn and the vaccines are now rolling out.
The US market is looking to continue growth upon the federal spending and position itself with forecasted growth into 2021.
Zones to watch
$22,000 - 23,750
$20k is the complete move extension as part of a large sell off.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
XRP long [2021-2022]Here is a view of XRP
The chart shows us:
Maxed out upon a weekly level to year highs of 0.792* rejection upon a fractal.
with a strong bullish movement, a potential correctional movement can take place in the run up to the holiday season in which we have seen a whipsaw effect taking price back to the demand zone.
Keep track of the US impact for the stimulus bill and further pumping of data on unemployment. - the stimulus package has now been agreed for $900bn and the vaccines are now rolling out XRP does not directly link to the USD but the chart is now providing probabilities of longs as the consolidation period of XRP is around one year long.
The US market is looking to continue growth upon the federal spending and position itself with forecasted growth into 2021.
As with the Cryptocurrencies - expect this take gain further traction.
Zones to watch
$0.61 - 0.65
Expect targets to be $0.80 and for longer term investment methods upto $2.00
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
GBP USD to 2021 - Brexit YesHello traders and analysts.
See our chart for a Brexit 'Yes' whereby, the fishing stumbling block seems to be the major mover for a 'Yes' before the new year or a 'No'.
The USD will continue to see a deepening soft dollar, which is what the US want right now to keep pushing the stocks into 2021 with cheaper import/exports as a major player. Furthermore a cheaper dollar will boost 2021 visitors to the US and see Gold rushed to as a hedge of inflation.
GBP we have a weekly, monthly zone towards 1.50 as our target for a position buy.
First target is the zone below.
If, a deal is not reached - the initial downside sell off will be 1.30 and beyond 1.26 sees a good area for further sells for a 2021 target in January, Feb provided a least resistance path.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
GBP JPY - Brexit yes to 145+Outcome for a Brexit 'Yes' vote.
As we come into the holiday season - there is important volume to note here, however the major players are positioned for either way.
We have the purple buy zone, which price has seen a nice consolidation with some rejection wicks.
Using the fibonacci - we have our level targets at -0.618 to hit the monthly zone at 145.5 and our first target at -0.272 at 143.4 zone.
Provided the probability seeing further buying power.
We will see a huge engulfing candle.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
BTC USD - new zone for additional tradesHello traders and analysts,
Here is a view of BTC where a new zone has been created short term potential swap zone at 21,000 where price can fall back just as fast as it can rise.
The chart shows us:
Maxed out weekly, monthly tops, creating a new all time high for the coin.
with a strong bullish movement, a potential correctional movement can take place in the run up to the holiday season.
Keep track of the US impact for the stimulus bill and further pumping of data on unemployment.
Zones to watch
$21,000
$19,600-20,000
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
BTC long into 2021 We have a good base formed now - granted BTC will need a correctional back into the weekly, monthly zone so expect price to bounce between 18500 to 19000 as lows.
So long as USD is showing weak depreciation - BTC will show a general bullish bias, as well as created an extension target of 21,200.
We will continue to monitor.
If you like our work, please feel free to comment and leave a like:
We are currently doing quick analysis at this moment due to concentrating on our main line of work.
Trade what you see.
If you would like to message us, please leave a private message.
Many thanks,
Team Lupa.
GBP AUD - brexit boost or slump?Hello traders and analysts,
Here is our Daily timeframe scenario -
With the strong Aussie position against the USD - we can see into 2021 - the aussie maintaining the strength.
However - the fundamentals can show a good brexit outcome will advance the GBP back to 1.84 zone
In the meantime the monthly shows the monthly zone between 1.67 - 1.62 for the GBP AUD so keep in mind this can be a long term point of overall bearish bias. But if price shows us on the weekly within the green zone - break or bounce (so far bonce) - await the weekly close to determine an entry point on the higher time fame.
all the best,
Team Lupa.
nasdaq extension target or retreat from highoverall, if the continuation holds, keep buys or look on lower time frames to add buys upon wicks where price has sold off. Creating a minor zone for buys.
If price retreats from the high. the least path of resistance is 12,400 upon a trendline pattern of creating higher low.
Trade what you see
KISS - Keep it simple stupid.
Many thanks,
Team Lupa
GBP JPY - Brexit 'Deal' scenarioHello,
With current events and fresh levels looking likely on Monthly timeframes - we can see GBP & XXX major, minor pairs to see heavy movement for appreciation for Sterling.
As the UK is seeing the vaccination being used from Monday, most likely and last minute negotiations for Brexit.
If the parties can agree a deal at all, the surgence of relief will allow buyers or GBP USD and EUR USD to surge in order to high monthly highs and create a fresh zone.
Alternatively,
Where a sell scenario - expect the previous depreciated low to be the bottom out scenario.
The EU & UK, ideally want a deal - as this steadies recovery and while creates barriers, it also loosens barriers at the same time from a lobbyist perspective and in terms of acting rapidly in response to change.
Keep a look out for Key levels - where price can consolidate.
The higher timeframes show us the direction where price has a distinct probability of where price will move.
Let's await.
Many thanks,
Team Lupa
GBP AUD - 300 pip rangeOverall the monthly we can see a buy, which we are currently in.
On the daily - we have our blue supply zone and our purple zone is our fresh support.
The price is currently in a buy - despite a sell off this morning.
We have an opportunity to continue longs here.
Just be patient as price is forming a zone at 1.1812 which is 0.382% - again confirmation of rejection is needed.
GBP AUD has a strong tendency to retrace to the desired zone to wick orders.
Many thanks,
Team Lupa.
If you enjoy our content please leave a like and comment.
BTC USD longs if the USD bleedsHello traders and analysts,
We have seen a successful Bitcoin rush for the fresh supply/Alt High.
The USD remains under pressure to become cheaper for long exposure for the new year.
So long as the recovery of the US remains oncourse, then we will see further DXY weakness.
This does not track the USD, however the fresh rush into the coin has seen a new extension or consolidation into December - this will be an interesting month for flows.
Two scenarios
Exetnded target to break 20K
or
Downside to retest the previous wicked demand flow.
Many thanks,
Team Lupa
AUD USD - long term to 0.80Must bypass 0.76 hurdle first.
Now the trend is moving, looking to see a weak dollar maintained in 2021 so this will be great for the Aussie.
Remember any bearish news on the world will see a rush to the USD, however with the US attempting to remove the safehaven asset for investors, expect a good move for the Aussie to see bullish movements.
BTC USD - showing longsHello,
We have currently had a second all time high for BTC reaching the weekly high again.
We now have two great imbalance ones at 16,000 and one below on a weekly $15,000.
Looking at our rejection yesterday on a slim volume day, BTC does not derive of the dollar as much as contrary to belief.
This non Fiat currency is now showing support and fresh buys at 16,000.
Again, we will trade upon confirmation where price taps again to retest or rejection has occurred and $20,000 is the next long target to hold.
If price chooses to break 16k, this in invalid and our lower zone comes into force.
Many thanks,
good luck in your trading.
Lupa
GBP JPY long opportunity to continueHello traders and analysts,
Here is our quick take for GBP JPY - we have had some very good moves on this pair as of late with great opportunities to buy.
Overall the wave is bullish.
With a move on the Monday - to possible sell back to the zone in purple, for longs to regain.
This move could be possible due to the recent structure - price will be needed to hold above the support for long, but keep in mind the wick fills needed on the four hour.
Overall bullish - let's await the Monday move.
The trade we will be taking is the least path of resistance.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
DAX30 - Short into 2021 updateWhy are we selling?
Updates in bold
Price is expensive and volatile - during the election process in the US, the worlds relationships are affected
The election is coming closer <8 days.
The S&P500 and NAS100 are not shown here but use reference for our previous ideas to show where price has reached our over exposed markers.
The stocks have recovered well from a V - shaped recovery, but the Gap fill has not occurred.
Covid 19 - second wave has concerned EU governements - with further pumping of money to "control" the costs of job losses and curb closures.
We have established a great supply or essentially a strongly overvalued market again in quick succession, however price will be giving some good areas to sell.
Germany light lockdown - retail investors were shook and banks covered positions, curfew in Paris, Italian local regions. UK tear 3, northern regions, London tier 2.
Particularly a break of 13,000 down to 10,000 and beyond for an extension.- good confirmation now to possibly break the range 13,000 - 12,000
Pay close attention to the markets like CAC, IBEX FTSE MIB and FTSE UK - all are showing signs of weakness and poor price action. - pay attention
The monthly shows us a perfect area which we are currently in to go short.
Keep your average price consistent when closing out profits or losses - this is important in trade management.
We are not selling at random times, there is a reason for this at specific levels. Because the market shows these levels.
The trade we will be taking is the least path of resistance.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
GBP JPY - Shorts still in playHey traders, how are you going?
Here is our take on GBP JPY - a long term view.
The eyes - are sell targets
The eyes - are potential buy zones.
it depends on your outlook.
Why are we selling?
The reason is - over exposed buyers, the GBP is very week right now
Seeking trade deals and the weakening of the GBP is clever for the trade balance and promoting attraction for investment in the long run.
Price is expensive and volatile - during the election and huge interest in the previous months up to September.
The election is coming closer <45 days.
The S&P500 and NAS100, FTSE are not shown here but use reference for our previous ideas to show where price has reached our over exposed markers.
Entering a bear market - the Yen will see sudden surging in strength which is why our outlook is to March lows.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
AUD USD - short trade still in play. Same description as previous - as it still stands.
We have our sells activated - the reason behind this is looking on the weekly timeframe - the wicks have been removed by the recent candle closes on the daily.
Trade 1 has been taken,
Trade 2 - un-activated - as price may attempt to settle around 72. XX
Upcoming
We will share our new analysis for DAX30 soon.
We cannot see a specific level holding for the future.
Why are we selling?
Aussie budget looked to really help alot of average Australians, but failing for Queensland to open to NSW and Tassie, WA for freedom of complete movement will be damaging as Summer season comes.
Stimulus is provided but Scomo's government is worried about the deficit.
USD side:
Price is volatile - during the election process in the US, the worlds relationships are affected
The election is coming closer <30 days.
The S&P500 and NAS100 are not shown here but use reference for our previous ideas to show where price has reached our over exposed markers.
The stocks have recovered well from a V - shaped recovery, too fast with big price action gaps.
Dollar is strengthening.
Shift in presidential change of power?
Covid 19 - second wave has concerned EU governments - with further pumping of money to "control" the costs of job losses and curb closures.
We have established a great supply or essentially a strongly overvalued market again in quick succession, however price will be giving some good areas to sell this aligns with Commodity currencies like the Aussie.
This is a long term sell. price can and will invalidate.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
QQQ short, then long againHello traders and analysts,
Basing the QQQ upon the Nas100 - this is the fund version.
We will be seeing two areas where price will fall to over the election period.
No write is needed as our previous analysis's on SPX, DAX, FTSE cover all information.
It is earning quarter, but the political and social landscape of the US is something to consider and not over look.
Our short targets are in line with 0.382% Fibonacci & 0.5% Fibonacci highlighted by the two red lines clearly marked.
Where to look?
Monitor price when this zone is reached before long positions.
Target 1 - $250-255
Target 2 - $230-237
keep in mind, price may take longer to reach this zone so no quick profit for us is here.
Use your risk management and pay attention to your monetary value be it account size or investment fund size.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
Netflix correctional moveHello traders and analysts,
Here is a view of Netflix, while alot of people are currently restricted to access in the outside world, content is being pushed to online platforms but without an abundance of new content to be completed and provided - re-runs and previous fan favourites will suffice? or will it?
Will people scale back on entertainment where people may have lost their jobs or look for an alternate source? e.g. streaming, youtube etc.
The chart shows us:
Maxed out weekly, monthly tops
We are now in a weekly trading range - but price has shown a gap formation which has been added to outflows with the Nas100 outflows also.
With the election looming - it is a good opportunity here to take profits and cover profits with short positions
Trade:
We will look for the least path of resistance when trading, meaning the highest probability the price shows a sign of falling.
Keep in mind both scenarios
1. - buy from $440 correction
2. sell to $360 zone
3. Sell to $440 and buy in - with confirmation this structure will not break..
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
SPX500 - long to 3500+ then short to create a new lowHello traders and analysts,
Here is update to our weekly outlook provided April 24th.
judging by the closeness of our results so far - we are pretty much on track to our prediction.
We are already short on this and will hold our sells in conjunctions with longs and close out longs as price hits highs.
Do not over leverage and apply risk management if you use our analysis for your own benefit.
Technicals:
1. Looking back to 2000, 2008 - the dotcom, financial banking crisis and now 'Covid' - we can see a nice megaphone pattern which has emerged looking back since February 2018.
We have completed the the downward impulse of the wave pattern 1-5, with all waves forming without breaking the structure.
we are now in the minor wave 2 structure. and next up is the 5 wave corrective structure and looking to complete wave on the trendline .
2. From an imbalance method, we have a good double top retest which is showing profit and greed taking helped on from the Fed and using Fibonacci extension - price can over shoot to create an upper supply zone.
Price has seen a bounce back to 'normal priced of demand' however this is not really how halted economies can return so fast. it is artificial.
Divergence - we did not use this but looking at the pattern, we have a huge distinguishing gap. However this keeps widening - whilst we do not look at the divergence indicator, it does show a good area for sells - and according to RSI - we are not there yet technically speaking 80 zone is a major sell.
3. Looking at the VIX - the dollar is weakening to a 95.2 lows - however the buying of this at the lows will produce huge rewards.
4. Looking at Russell and SPY has the gap to fill to $340.00 per share , is this sustainable growth which is being propped up - with earnings quarter now in play, we will see those numbers finally provide profit targets either severely missed or the few will beat earnings.
Fundamentals:
US election rallies before taking place at the end of the year with campaigning -
We have NFP numbers showing millions return to work.. but also high unemployment still looming.
Trade war with China, Hong Kong unfolding with US responding
High figures in multiple states which are concerns for large communities- record numbers still being released
Fiscal intervention in July, August for stimulus.. constant printing money is not good for the economy.
US tech stocks have seen the highest returns and zero confirmation by Dow30 and S&P following suit. - will this last? no.. billionaires just adding wealth, SME businesses not receiving the correct funding at all..
Dow 30 is in a fragile state and desperate to keep pushing higher but limited upside will cause a steep decline - refer to Dow chart.. around 27,000 is a good point for a previous monthly high but it may fall over at 28000 tops.
Crippling 1trillion money printing exercise to be released to prop up false growth. enter sovereign debt crsis
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
AUD USD ShortHello traders and analysts,
We have our sells activated - the reason behind this is looking on the weekly timeframe - the wicks have been removed by the recent candle closes on the daily.
Trade 1 has been taken,
Trade 2 - un-activated - as price may attempt to settle around 72.XX
Upcoming
We will share our new analysis for DAX30 soon.
We cannot see a specific level holding for the future.
Why are we selling?
Aussie budget looked to really help alot of average Australians, but failing for Queensland to open to NSW and Tassie, WA for freedom of complete movement will be damaging as Summer season comes.
Stimulus is provided but Scomo's government is worried about the deficit.
USD side:
Price is volatile - during the election process in the US, the worlds relationships are affected
The election is coming closer <30 days.
The S&P500 and NAS100 are not shown here but use reference for our previous ideas to show where price has reached our over exposed markers.
The stocks have recovered well from a V - shaped recovery, too fast with big price action gaps.
Dollar is strengthening.
Shift in presidential change of power?
Covid 19 - second wave has concerned EU governments - with further pumping of money to "control" the costs of job losses and curb closures.
We have established a great supply or essentially a strongly overvalued market again in quick succession, however price will be giving some good areas to sell this aligns with Commodity currencies like the Aussie.
This is a long term sell. price can and will invalidate.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
DXY Strength for 2020/ 2021Hello traders, analysts.
Here is our take on the DXY - referring to the Dollar strength index - which relates to consumer confidence within the United states.
While our charts show less about how the fundamental side affects the setups - the purpose of our view is to show while yes;
The election
coronvirus - now affecting Trump directly.
Trade stalemate with China
US stimulus
Internal race division
as well as globalisation,
US intermediating new Middle east issues.
All of which hang in the balance - but can be used to solidify the position held.
We have our target for Long positions with long positions only - with take profit around 99 price level
for those trading short-term and intraday forex trading strategies, ofcourse sells are possible.
There is a lot of room for the Dollar Index to keep on rallying and will be into 2021 before we see a profit target hit.
There is nothing to prevent the Dollar Index from the bullish movements. So long as the higher highs are maintained .
The eyes - are sell targets
The eyes - are potential buy zones.
it depends on your outlook.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes and now donations .
Thanks,
Team Lupa