EURUSD: Price action in favor of the Short structureAs per the title, I find a nice Short trigger on the main currency pair.
Observing the weekly chart, according to my way of seeing the market, the bearish structure begins in the week of August 21st (highlighted by the purple candles through my personal LuBot indicator).
The current week, it has formed a pinbar with a higher high than the previous one, thus generating a very captivating price action for a short continuation on breaking the low. In this way we would have a second swing in favor of the trend.
Going down to the Daily chart, as shown in the main chart, we can see the confirmation of the bearish structure with the purple candles and the formation of a short trigger with the false break of the previous highs and return to trend.
I have already entered a market order on breaking the low, and other entries will follow if the market makes a further retracement with a consequent short trigger.
The caution level at which the trade could be exited is at 1.0525 which it has bounced off of in the past.
We will see what the behavior will be based on the next movements and we will manage the position accordingly.
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TAGS: OANDA:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD , OANDA:AUDUSD , OANDA:USDJPY , FX:EURUSD , FOREXCOM:EURUSD , FX_IDC:EURUSD , PEPPERSTONE:EURUSD , EASYMARKETS:EURUSD
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GOOGLE : Signal of the dayToday I share this signal on Google in which, as summarized in the image, it satisfies several criteria for a Long entry.
With the use of LuBot, we see:
1. A last Swing Long signal dating back to March 16 which indicates the direction of the subsequent entries to be made.
2. SBS (start bullish structure) signal indicating the start of the short-term bullish structure
3. The TrendCloud is positive and the moving averages are also in a bullish configuration, the price has made a retracement in the last few days, moving right onto the TrendCloud which supports the new start.
4. Breaking of the trendline of the decreasing highs of the last few days
5. The predictum is in the Long phase
6. LuTrender returns positive on the Daily timeframe, it was already positive on the Weekly
7. The EVE (volatility indicator) indicates a likely increase in volatility, but it hasn't passed the excess level, so we are still in a good buy zone.
On the other hand we have a resistance area between 127-128 as can be seen from the two red levels on the graph + the Predictum which, despite being in the long phase of the bottom, shows a signal of attention, so it wants to tell us that its vision is positive but could still go down before starting up.
The analysis is based on the Daily timeframe, but to have better timing, I will go down to the 4H timeframe in order to wait for a decline and enter on a confirmation trigger.
Considering that the PROS are greater than the CONS, I will take a short term trade with moderate risk. The stop loss could be inserted under the last lows and a take profit on 138 to be managed during the next movements.
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TAGS: VANTAGE:SP500 , SKILLING:NASDAQ , TVC:DJI
BITCOIN : My view for the next few daysFor those who have followed the previous posts I published on Bitcoin, you will already know what my view is, if you haven't seen my posts go and see them in my profile.
Today I go into detail by analyzing the latest daily candles.
Since the last post we have seen a rapid exit from the bullish channel highlighted in which I had signaled the Long entry which took place successfully.
After the upward movement we see a slowdown in prices in the 30500 area, where the candles following that of June 23rd are almost all inside bars, therefore according to my method, NOT tradable candles.
I have highlighted the highs and lows of the candle of 23 and we see an exit on the candle of June 30 which causes the start of the second swing in favor of the bullish structure highlighted by the yellow color of the candles.
The price continues its lateralization approaching the LuBot TrendCloud and today showing another Long trigger on swing number 3.
This could be the trigger that could lead prices to the 34500 area considering the more positive view (green path).
The other 2 views are both positive but see a major correction / lateralization before arriving at the 34500 area.
In any case, the view remains positive.
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COPPER: Trigger on 4H with Daily and Weekly analysisWEEKLY:
Starting from a broader view and thus observing the Weekly timeframe in order to have a clearer general idea of the price structure, as also indicated by my custom-made LuBot indicator, we can see on the chart below a change in structure from Bullish to Bearish from the color of the candles in purple.
I've also highlighted 2 numbers with a gray border that indicate for me the number of swings in favor of the current structure. So after the first swing in favor of the bearish structure we see a retracement that leads prices to lean on the Weekly ema21 forming a Reversal candle that closes in the negative. Breaking the low of this last candle would already give us an entry trigger as well as the formation of the second swing in favor of the structure (provided the candle continues in a short direction without making an outside).
DAILY:
Having clear the situation on the Weekly and therefore deciding to favor the triggers in the Short direction, I move to the Daily where I find a Bullish structure in the last few days which leads to the formation of 5 consecutive swings, of which the last 2 swings the maximums stop in the area 3.92 where they find a static resistance as well as the ema200.
From the last maximum, the price begins to fall by reversing its bearish structure as seen by the purple color of the candles (in favor of the Weekly timeframe). We therefore have further confirmations also considering the LuBot Short signal, the LuTrender which becomes negative, the reversal signals and the negative TrendCloud, at this point we are looking for a trigger on the 4H timeframe.
4H:
On the 4H, as can be seen from the main image, right on the current candle, a Short trigger would form when the minimum of the previous candle broke. Here too we have a Short structure in favor of the other timeframes and a Short LuBot signal. Everything coincides.
The stop loss could be placed above the latest 4H highs which would lead prices to a short reversal of the structure and therefore would lead us to re-evaluate the entry later. Or for those who want to avoid risky stops in favor of maintaining the position on a fairly clear trend, they could place the stop loss above the Daily highs and therefore in the 3.97 area.
As regards the Take Profit, it is a bit to be evaluated based on the next movements, but I would say that a target in the 3.71 area is already quite satisfactory.
EURUSD : Signal of the day with LuBotHello Tradingview people, from today I would like to start a new column about "the signal of the day" thanks to the use of the indicators that I have built based on my experience.
I have tried to make everything as simple as possible to allow even those starting from scratch to be able to replicate my operations, albeit mainly discretionary.
Since I started trading I have built and perfected my strategy which today is shown very simply in a single indicator that I have called LuBot. This is the basic indicator on which much of my experience is based and on which I base my analyses.
To support I use other indicators created by me that help me to realize when a Trigger/Signal can be more or less reliable.
In this case I propose this Trigger on EurUsd which satisfies most of the main conditions of my strategy.
On the graph I have summarized the satisfied conditions described below:
1) The Long Signal/Trigger given by a series of price action studies and candlestick analysis that I have had over time;
2) According to my way of seeing the structure of the market, the indicator highlights in yellow the candles whose structure is Bullish and in purple candles whose structure is Bearish. In addition to candle colors (which are deselectable for those who want to keep the original color)
bullish structure start and bearish structure start labels are shown (signals
SBS). Finally, always regarding the change of structure, I have inserted levels on the graph that one once violated they will start the structure change, so they are levels that could be
used as stop loss placement.
3) The Predictum indicator shows each month what the direction of the price will be. It's a indicator that I have been using for at least 1 year and I consider very reliable and easy to use.
In this case it indicates a clear Long direction without further points of attention.
4) The excess indicator is located in the "starting area", which coupled with the Trigger could
indicate a good time before the volatility explosion.
5) The LuTrender indicator shows a positive trend change on the current timeframe.
Together with the other indications it is certainly a plus point to follow the LuBot Trigger.
6) Since 30 May the price has never dropped below the ema200 on which it has created a sort of
floor/support which brought the prices to a price action of maximums and minimums increasing as shown by the labels HL and HH.
This reasoning, when you have these indicators, is very spontaneous, fast and intuitive to do. Even if this trade does not go as hoped, by following the strategy precisely and always following a certain logic, errors will be greatly reduced.
For this trade I insert a Stop Loss a few pips below the last swing low in the 1.0625 area and the Take Profit 1.1020
I've already been involved in this operation since yesterday and we'll see how it goes. In case the price action shows a reversal before the stop loss is reached, I will close the operation minimizing the losses. We potentially have a risk-reward trade of 1:2
If you liked this analysis and you want to see further analyzes of this type, I kindly ask you to let me know through a Like or a comment. Follow me so you don't miss the next posts.
These analyzes are a sharing of my way of operating and of seeing and analyzing the market. I am not an investment advice as every trade has risk and loss is always around the corner.
BITCOIN : Long on Break of Today's HighWith reference to the last post I published on Bitcoin (see the post in my profile feed) I use the same image of the graph but close to this last period in which I see Bitcoin still showing upward strength to return to the channel of which I was talking about in the previous post.
This new month of June starts with bullish signals including:
1) Change of short-term structure from bearish to bullish;
2) My Predictum indicator tells me that the climb will continue this month too;
3) The LuTrender indicator still shows a bullish background structure
4) The price stays within the green channel
5) The moving averages act as support and are positioned for a Long structure
At this moment I also find an entry trigger that will occur at the break of yesterday's high and will remain so if the close is higher than yesterday's high. For those who want to make a quick short-term trade, a TP could be placed in the 29,000 area and the stop loss below the last swing lows.
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Thanks for your attention and happy trading :)
TAGS: BYBIT:BTCUSDT , COINBASE:BTCUSD , BINANCE:BTCUSD , OKX:BTCUSDT09M2023 , BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
GOOGLE : Long on breakout
As shown in the graph, I have summarized the various reasons why a Long trade could be opened on Google.
With the use of my indicators (LuBot , Predictum , LuExcess , LuTrender) and through graphical analysis, I identify a good entry pattern for a short-term trade.
The conditions for a Long entry are already valid, but one could enter at the actual break of the trendline for further confirmation.
The profit exit could be placed on the next resistance level that we find in the 117.50 area and the loss exit below the last lows to avoid holding a losing trade for too long.
The conditions for a Long are all there, but as we know, nothing is certain in trading. The important thing is that what we do always has a sense and a motivation and that the conditions are favourable. If the trade goes into loss patience, there will be other opportunities.
The market doesn't run away and the most important thing is always to keep calm and patience.
USDJPY : Possible short-term tradeWith the use of my LuBot indicator in which I enclose my trading techniques I can quickly have a clear idea of the market.
Starting from the weekly chart, we can immediately notice a positive underlying trend, but which in the last period, after the price returned downwards from the upper inversion band, showed weakness by going below the TrendCloud and creating a negative structure highlighted by the color change to purple of the candles.
In the last few weeks we see that the price has shown some strength creating a swing low higher than the previous low and a move back above the TrendCloud, but as long as, with the current configuration, the price does not break above the 138 level we would still be on a negative short structure.
Going more closely on the Daily timeframe we see that in the last few days the structure is positive with increasing highs and lows. In the last 6 candles we see that the price has remained above the 100 ema which has supported together with the 200 ema and the 21 ema. A Long pattern appears on April 17 and another today which could be a good entry trigger for a short-term trade. We could see a continuation up to the 136.65 area where we find a first level of resistance. If he has strength the next level of attention is 137.50. Beyond this level the underlying structure would revert back to Bullish, but until then I wouldn't dare to risk too much.
AMAZON : Let's go Bullish againAfter 2 years of negativity the Predictum is finally positive again.
There's not much to say about Amazon, it's a solid and valid company.
This is a very positive signal that joins the rest of my buy signals.
I have increased my positions and will continue to do so as long as the conditions are positive considering a medium/long term vision.
GOLD : Long trade with LuBotHi Traders,
today I am sharing a trade setup that I entered into my portfolio using the LuBot indicator. Below I explain the reasons.
1. The indicator shows one last Long signal so I decide to follow bullish trades only.
2. The main trend of the last few months is up so I prefer to follow the operations in Trend
3. In the last few days we have seen a short-term negative trend that brings the price action to the ema100 which acts as support, generating a bullish reversal candle
4. From February 7 to today LuBot shows continuous signs of reversal. We are therefore in an area of strong oversold.
Although the trade could have a strong probability of success, I prefer to remain cautious and place a stop loss immediately below the low of the daily candle with a lower risk than that usually used.
Although we are in an uptrend, the swing highs and lows are decreasing and we could still see a negative trend development. We must always be ready for any situation.
In this regard, I have entered a very tight Take Profit, on the closest resistance area that matches the ema21.
I then insert Buy stop entry on the break of the high of the Daily candle.
The signal setup that I used for this analysis is:
Swing Signals, signal style = 1, limit signals type 3.
In this way I have a broader view of the signals that appear only when there is a change of direction to follow and never entering directly on the signal.
DOW JONES: Long setup with LuBot indicatorAs can be seen on the graph, a good entry setup has been formed on the Dow Jones index through the use of the LuBot indicator.
We have several points in favor of a Long trade including:
1. The last signal shown is Long, in this case we will only follow the entry setups for purchases;
2. TrendCloud is positive and supportive
3. Price returns to TrendCloud and closes above ema21
4. A new Swing HL (HigherLow) is formed so we have a higher low than the previous one
5. ema100 higher than ema200, this indicates a bullish configuration
6. The color of the TrendCandles candles are green thus favoring the Long setup
By Cons we have only the trend channel that intersects with a resistance level . This could slow down or limit your ascent. So I recommend caution.
The Trigger would occur at the break of the previous high where a Buy stop order can be placed.
I enter the Stop Loss below the last 2 swing lows and the Take Profit on the next resistance level .
The risk-return of this short-term operation is 1:1.3
The position will be managed according to the next movements. If the market shows no strength to reach the take profit you could close the trade manually.