Lamb Weston Holdings | LW | Long at $51.32Lamb Weston Holdings NYSE:LW , the potato / French fry king, has gone through a tremendous downturn since 2023. Yet, earnings are forecast to grow 22% per year into 2027. Debt is quite high at 2.5x and this company, like many others, will significantly benefit from lower interest rates in the future. If the US experiences another way of inflation, Lamb Weston Holdings could be on the beneficiary side of things.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. Typically, this area signals a bottom, but it's not guaranteed. I foresee the daily price gap near $50 being closed in the short-term before a true move up. A dip to $47-$48 is not out of the question. Regardless of trying to predict bottoms, at $51.32, NYSE:LW is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$62.00
$68.00
$77.00
LW
Short | LW NYSE:LW
Technical Analysis of Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW)
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
Price: $82.24
Recent Drop: -0.44 (-0.53%)
Bearish Line: $81.94
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: $79.78 (Target Price 1)
Further Support: $76.45 (Target Price 2)
Resistance: The price recently stalled around $83.18, signaling a short-term ceiling.
Trendlines:
The price sharply broke above a previous resistance level around $79.78, but now shows signs of consolidation below $83.
A minor pullback to test lower supports ($79.78 and $76.45) is possible.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Current RSI: ~70 (Overbought Zone).
The RSI shows the stock is overbought, which could lead to a short-term correction.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: $79.78
A key immediate support level that aligns with previous resistance.
Target Price 2: $76.45
A further downside target where multiple moving averages converge, acting as strong support.
Summary:
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) has shown strong upward momentum but is now consolidating near resistance at $83.18. With the RSI in the overbought zone, a pullback is likely toward $79.78 (Target 1) and potentially $76.45 (Target 2). A close below the bearish line ($81.94) could confirm further downside movement.
LW Lamb Weston Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LW before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LW Lamb Weston Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $5.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
LW Lamb Weston Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LW before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LW Lamb Weston Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 75usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $0.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
LW Lamb Weston Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LW here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LW Lamb Weston Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 90usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.02.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LW long ideaLW performed well in the first inflation cycle 2021/2022.
As the dollar is testing a breakout on inflation fears, we may see some capital rotate into different sectors.
Last dollar bull cycle LW held up well in price. We are reaching very oversold levels and coming into big technical support.
Accumulation at these levels or lower provides good R/R
LW Lamb Weston Holdings Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the LW Lamb Weston Holdings options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $100 strike price Puts with
2023-5-19 expiration date for about
$2.30 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Rising Wedge in an uptrend for Lamb WestonThis is very subjective, and I am not good with these analyses...
It seems like a Rising Wedge in an uptrend has established (though some might see a Cup and Handle).
Also there is a strong bearish pinbar candle, that has shown the sellers are winning.
The momentum is looking weak and we could very well expect a reversal from here.
I would only short though if the price breaks below the pattern.