M-oscillator
Royal Caribbean Hovers Near GapRoyal Caribbean hit an all-time high four weeks ago, but it’s been sliding since.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since January 31. Notice how each followed a tepid uptrend that failed to hold. The last may be viewed as a bearish flag within the context of a new short-term downtrend.
Speaking of short-term downtrends, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Those patterns may reflect a bearish direction.
Third, prices tried and failed to hold the rising 50-day simple moving average. That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is negative.
Next, earnings lifted RCL on January 28 but the rally didn't hold. Are investors abandoning ship on the fundamental story?
Finally, the cruise ship operator jumped above $220 on November 6 after the election. That could make traders look for prices to test that gap.
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USD/CNH Near Pivotal Support – AUD, NZD Implications LoomUSD/CNH isn’t everyone’s favourite pair to trade, but it should be on your radar if you dabble in AUD/USD or NZD/USD. Its correlation coefficient with AUD/USD ranges from -0.72 to -0.96 across timeframes from five days to six months, while for NZD/USD, it sits between -0.78 and -0.95. That suggests a strong relationship when comparing performance against the U.S. dollar, especially in the very near and longer term.
That’s noteworthy given where USD/CNH sits on the charts, teetering just above 7.2345—a level where bearish moves have repeatedly fizzled in recent months. However, with momentum indicators biased lower, another attempt may have more success.
A sustained push below 7.2345 could encourage additional bears to join the break, particularly if minor support at 7.2130 gives way. While the 200DMA sits in between, price action has largely ignored it recently, showing far more interaction with the 50-day equivalent. That makes it worth noting but not a major barrier.
Below 7.2130, there’s little visible support until 7.1400—a level that capped gains for extended periods last October before the U.S. presidential election. If 7.2345 holds firm, traders may look for a potential retest of recent range highs around 7.3000 and the 50-DMA.
Good luck!
DS
TON/USDTToncoin (TON) is the native cryptocurrency of The Open Network (TON), a decentralized layer-1 blockchain initially developed by Telegram's team. Designed to support scalable and secure decentralized applications, TON utilizes a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism. Toncoin serves various purposes within the network, including transaction fee payments, network security through staking, and governance participation.
Technical Analysis: Toncoin is exhibiting a bearish trend, with prices moving downward. Currently, the price is consolidating within a small wedge pattern. A breakdown from this wedge could signal further declines. Additionally, there's an untested Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) in the highlighted green area, which may serve as a potential support level.
DXY + 10Y TANKING = BULL MARKETAs expected, the DXY is TANKING alongside the 10Y, and the WMA9 is finally breaking below the 20.
This combo is turbo juice for markets, as it allows Central Banks around the world to stimulate and opens the door for more growth in the US economy.
Ignore asset prices.
Focus on the macro.
This is a leading indicator.
HODL.
GBP/AUD: Topping Signals Flash After Relentless RallyThe bearish pin candle on the GBP/AUD daily chart on Tuesday is a warning sign for bulls after a more than seven big-figure rally in less than a fortnight. RSI (14) is flashing extreme overbought conditions, sitting at levels that have marked major market tops in the past.
Fundamentally, the move stacks up—improved Eurozone optimism from increased military spending and weaker energy prices is a tailwind for the U.K., while ongoing U.S.-China tariff skirmishes weigh on the AUD, overshadowing early signs of an Australian economic recovery.
But that’s all baked in now, leaving GBP/AUD vulnerable to downside without fresh catalysts to push the narrative further.
If the pair nears Tuesday’s high, it could offer an entry point for those looking to fade the move. Stops could be placed above that level, targeting an initial pullback to 2.0300—the December 2024 high. From there, traders can reassess whether to aim for 2.0150 or square the trade.
Good luck!
DS
GPS recalculating, HSI is finding its way back to the bull routePEPPERSTONE:HK50
D chart : it tries to returning into uptrend channel.
HSI:HSI
D Chart
We look forward to see it at 24192, 24385! Let's continue to monitor.
W Chart PEPPERSTONE:HK50
in 1H 4H chart mentioned the Index is intact and in the Bullish runway!
Look at longer term and trade zen-ly!
Cultivating and nurturing your trading mindset:
Pay attention to your trading strategy becoming a great trader but not profits from one trade.
Happy Trading Everyone.
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TAO/USDTBittensor ( BYBIT:TAOUSDT.P ) is a decentralized network that merges blockchain technology with AI, enabling a peer-to-peer marketplace for machine learning models. Launched in 2021, TAO has quickly gained traction for its innovative approach. The project operates with a capped supply, ensuring transparency and fair distribution of rewards. As of now, TAO trades at approximately $319, with a market capitalization of $4.09 billion and a circulating supply of 7.38 million tokens.
Bittensor (TAO) is currently trading within a downward channel. Before any potential upward movement, a retest of the $300 level is likely. Once the price reclaims the range, the next target stands at $420, where an unchecked VWAP awaits. The following key technical level is positioned at $520. In green higlited areas are untested VWAP.
On the bottom of chart you see super Q indicator.
Description
ZenAlgo - Q is an oscillator based on the QQE (Quantitative Qualitative Estimation) method. This version incorporates refinements for additional visualization and interpretation options. It is designed to help traders observe momentum changes and divergence patterns in price movements.
Why I Think GBPJPY Will Continue to Sell...Technical Analysis Hey Rich Friends,
Happy Monday. I think GBPJPY will continue to sell this week. Here is what I am looking at:
- The market is approaching a previous area of support. If it breaks below 188.830, there is a strong chance that it will continue to drop. This is a potential sell-stop entry.
- The stochastic is facing down, the slow line (orange) is on top of the fast line (blue), and both lines have crossed below 20. These are strong bearish confirmations for me.
- There is bearish confluence on higher time frames (4H, D1, W1)
- I will be using a previous high for my stop loss, and previous lows as my TPs.
Make sure you check the news and cross-reference your chart before copying trade ideas from anyone.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Lam Research to the Upside. LRCXWe are (probably) bouncing off the resistance. That bullish engulfing, VZO cross, Stoch cross, BB%PCT divergent, candlestick cross on vWAP and US are evidence of the bullish stance on this one. Whatever your system is, be prepared to look at the market from multiple directions. I normally use a constellation of five, but usually more, factors to develop an opinion on trend, market structure, points of entry and exits.
Correction on Starbux. SBUXFive impulse is done. Divergent RSX hump present, now out of OBOS territory. MIDAS line is crossed, as is zero line on BB%PCT. VZO has been divergent for a while now, throwing off false signals. Now, there is a VZO signal as well, but in constellation with a multitude of other factors. Ehler's indicator doesn't make a lot of sense in this picture, however.
Reversal on Caterpillar. CATA very flat AB=CD, ABCDE retrace on impulse contained within. Now, in OBOS territory, but fairly convincing candle crossing vWAP/US duo. My guess is that was a triple drive contained within AB=CD structure. Another note, the ABBCDE forms an expanding triangle structure, and any triangle is more likely to break out on the flat side. The top side is more flat in this case. Given the deep retrace, I don't expect a spectacular breakout if it even happens.
Higher Highs, Higher Lows on Adobe. ADBEAnd on top of that a few more technical signals acting in unison to suggest a bullish picture. Simultaneous or near simultaneous crosses on VZO, Stoch/RSI. There is a cross of zero line BB%PT. Last candle crossed vWAP and sits on both vWAP and VZO. Fibonacci clusters offer some static profit goals. In practice these are never used and I just throw them in there to keep track of how my ideas go in terms of reaching goals.
Bullish for Amazon. AMZNSupposing end off Wave A of correction, quite a deep one retracing half the previous bullish impulse. RSX momentum is divergent, heading toward OBOS line, divergent Bollinger Band derivative indicator. A strong change in texture of candlesticks is noted.
Signals on both VZO with offset and Ehlers Stochastic RSI have already thrown off signals a few candles ago.
Fibonacci points picked to coalesce with data already available for possible constellations/clusters, i.e. 0.5 Fibonacci coincides with MIDAS curve.
Microsoft Bounce off Support. MSFTElliott picture is unclear, yet there are signs of undergoing pivot. There is a fairly massive engulfing bullish candle that crosses both vWAP and US lines. There is a cross on the VZO, Ehler's Stochastic that occurred simultaneously. BB %PCT looks to cross soon as well. The stop loss is pretty tight, good luck in your trading.
GOLD BUY - 2915.50Current Price: 2913.16 Time: 2025-03-05 13:29:32
1H Technical Analysis:
Oscillators: Most oscillators are neutral, but Momentum and MACD Level indicate a SELL signal.
Moving Averages: Mixed signals. Short-term MAs (10, 20) indicate SELL, while long-term MAs (50, 100, 200) indicate BUY.
Pivot Points: The price is near the R1 pivot point, which may act as resistance.
4H Technical Analysis:
Oscillators: Mixed signals. Awesome Oscillator and MACD Level indicate BUY, while Momentum and Stochastic RSI Fast indicate SELL.
Moving Averages: Most MAs indicate a BUY signal, suggesting a strong bullish trend.
Pivot Points: The price is near the R1 pivot point, which may act as resistance.
XAUUSD Daily Forecast:
XAUUSD could retest the broken trend line on the RSI. A rebound from the lower boundary of the bullish channel reinforces the uptrend.
Support: 2900, Resistance: 2935, 2985.
XAUUSD Forecast: BUY.
Latest News:
Geopolitical tensions are driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, increasing demand and pushing prices higher.
Impact: BUY.
Upcoming Events:
The release of US inflation data will significantly impact the gold market. Higher inflation could drive gold prices up as investors seek protection against inflation.
Impact: BUY.
GOLD Signal:
Signal: BUY
Entry Price: 2915.00
Percentage Possibility: 60% BUY, 40% SELL.
Scenarios:
BUY Scenario: If the price breaks above 2935, expect further growth towards 2985. Support at 2900.
SELL Scenario: If the price falls below 2875, expect further decline towards 2835. Resistance at 2935.
Analysis:
Despite mixed signals on the 1H timeframe, the 4H timeframe and fundamental data indicate a strong bullish trend. Upcoming events, such as inflation data, could further support gold price growth.
Summary:
The gold market is currently in a bullish trend supported by long-term MAs and fundamental factors. However, caution is advised due to short-term fluctuations and potential reversals.
NZDJPY Wave Analysis – 4 March 2025
- NZDJPY reversed from long-term support level 83.15
- Likely to rise to resistance level 85.00
NZDJPY currency pair today reversed up exactly from the long-term support level 83.15 (which stopped the sharp downtrend at the start of August of 2024 as can be seen below), standing near the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer – if the pair closes today near the current levels.
Given the proximity of the strong support level 83.15 and the oversold daily Stochastic, NZDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 85.00, former support from the start of February.
Gold - XAUUSD Expected Next Movement 4th March 2025Hello traders, I am sharing technical analysis of Gold - XAUUSD.
Prices are going to retrace to the upside and reach the Fib level of the golden ratio, which is 50% to 61%.
According to my CCT—Candle Closing Technique method, price has broken the CCT line to the above side in the 4-hour timeframe and is going to the Fib level. So, it is expected to return to the sell side in the near future. So, let's see.
This is my own personal technical analysis and is not any financial advice, so it is requested that you do not trade on your real account before doing your own analysis.