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NZD/USD blasts to 2024 highs as golden cross triggered Given its status as cyclical currency closely tied to the fortunes of the global economy, it comes as no surprise that NZD/USD blasted to a 2024 YTD high following China’s latest stimulus announcement. Having broken long-running downtrend resistance, and with momentum indicators providing bullish signals without being overbought, there could further upside to come for the Kiwi as speculation swirls that China may announce fiscal stimulus measures in the coming days to boost flagging domestic demand. Put simply, ahead of Golden Week holidays in China, risks appear skewed to the upside near-term even after the run we’ve seen. We’ve even seen the 50-day moving average cross the 200-day moving average from below, delivering a golden cross. Even though I’m not putting any weight on the event trigger, it’s like the cherry on top for bulls. One option is to buy the break now with a tight stop below for protection, although that screens as a lower probability play with the pair sitting in between two levels. My preference would be to wait for a potential pullback towards .6300, allowing for a stop to be placed below the level or former downtrend for protection. Alternatively, if we see a push above .6370, you could buy the break with a tight stop below for protection. For the latter setup to work from a risk-reward perspective, you’d need to target .6540. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
China A50 stages major bullish breakout to key technical level Chinese stocks are going vertical in response to the swathe of stimulus measures announced before the market open. China’s A50 Index is no exception, staging a bullish breakout to an import level we can use to build setups around. The break of the downtrend and 50DMA looks significant on the back of big volumes, seeing futures retest the 200DMA. With MACD and RSI (14) generating bullish signals on momentum, there could be more gains to come. But let the price action tell you what to do. If we get a clean break above the 200DMA, consider going long targeting a move back towards horizontal resistance at 12352. Ideally, it would be nice to see a retest and bounce off the 200DMA following the break to bolster the case for upside. A stop could then be placed below the 200DMA for protection. Alternatively, if the price is unable to break the 200DMA convincingly, consider selling with a stop above the level for protection. Downside targets include the former downtrend and support at 11375. Given the measures announced today and proximity to Golden Week holidays, the bias is to buy dips or breaks near-term given the possibility of further state support. Good luck! DS
SGX:CN1!
by FOREXcom
SOYBEANS - Are We Close to a Major Bottom? Cycles Say YES.Here is what I am currently watching for SOYBEANS. -We need to be aware that there is a major bullish divergence setup (not trigger) developing on the quarterly & monthly charts. We need to pay close attention to this setup, because if triggered/confirmed, it implies a massive move up for Soybeans would be on the horizon. -Interestingly, the Weekly chart has confirmed bullish divergence. The first target (1090) has not yet been hit, but in my opinion, it looks probable that Soybeans will hit that target (and possibly go as high as the second target (1179). This implies that I believe Soybeans is likely to rally at least 5% in the near future, and possibly rally as much as 10% from current price levels. -I will be aggressive with taking profits on any short setups that present, due to the bullish weekly divergence that has triggered. -Utilizing the Weekly MAC & Valuation methods, I note that this market is in an area where we can look for H6/Daily short trades. As mentioned in previous paragraph, I will utilize more aggressive targets. -The cycles for Soybeans...wow, they are quite something. Decennial cycle suggests significant low being put in, APZ's suggest major low around October 4th, major 5 year cyclical low RIGHT NOW. Other temporary and permanent blended cycles suggest a major low right now. Composite of the 3 most similar years of price action also suggest a major low could happen soon, with a major rally to March 2025. -A combination of the cycles and the major timeframe bullish divergences have me leaning somewhat towards calling a possible major bottom in the Soybeans market. I would prefer to see commercials COT positioning support this idea, which makes me think maybe we get another nice selloff into the August lows before the real bottom is in. But time will tell.
CBOT:ZS1!
by Tradius_Trades
I Cannot Long This !!! situation+next targets.Given that the price has reached the top of the megaphone pattern and a negative signal (regular bearish divergence) has emerged, we can expect the price to decline from here to the points indicated on the chart. ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Short
by CobraVanguard
3
Hanging Man and Doji Patterns in Focus!XAUUSD 2H Chart Price: 2622.23 Hanging Man: The highlighted candle in the chart represents a Hanging Man pattern, which is a bearish reversal pattern typically found at the top of an uptrend. The long lower wick signifies that sellers pushed the price down during the session, but buyers managed to bring it back up close to the open price, though not with strong bullish conviction. The fact that this pattern appears after a sharp upward move signals a potential bearish reversal, especially if followed by a bearish confirmation candle. Doji: The Doji signals indecision, with buyers and sellers unable to gain control as the open and close prices are nearly the same. Following the Hanging Man and with an overbought RSI of 73.32, it suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential for a bearish reversal. Place a stop loss above the Hanging Man’s high and set take profit near the next key support at 2,613.732. These levels are derived from the Hanging Man, providing some bearish confirmation. However, traders should feel free to skip the trade if they aren’t confident with the setup, as prioritising risk management is crucial. Confirmation: A bearish candle closing below the low of the Doji would provide strong confirmation of a trend reversal. Good luck in the markets! 🔔 To stay updated, don’t hesitate to follow! 💡 Learn 💹 Trade 🤑 Grow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SpicyPips
1
META - Still Bullish, But Major Sell Signal LoomingHere is what I am watching on META. -Like many of the other high flying stocks in the US, the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly charts are flashing divergence sell setups. Bulls need not be too worried yet, as these divergence sell setups have not yet confirmed. However, the astute trader must be aware that these setups are looming, because if they confirm, they imply a minimum 15% move to the downside for Meta. -We are bullish on any pullbacks into the 446 to 495 range (Monthly & Weekly MAC lows). These are considered Buying opportunities and valid areas to look for entry triggers on entry timeframes. -Cycles suggest a cyclical high right around now, heading into a significant cyclical low in early to mid October (possibly into November). I'd like to see this cycle play out to have price trade down into the Monthly/Weekly MAC lows, where we will be ready to hunt entry triggers to the long side.
NASDAQ:METALong
by Tradius_Trades
Amazon - Buying Pullbacks & Cyclical High Expected SoonHere is what I am watching on Amazon. -We need to be aware that there is bearish divergence setting up on the quarterly, monthly & weekly charts. HOWEVER, this divergence is not yet confirmed, and is therefore not actionable trade intel at the present moment. We need to monitor these divergences, because if they confirm, they imply significant price moves in Amazon share price. -MAC strategy for the Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly charts remain bullish. Any pullbacks into the bottom of the MAC are BUY opportunities. I do not blindly buy the bottom of the channels, but utilize lower timeframe entry techniques at these levels to trigger into a position. We are still BULLISH Amazon. -Cycles suggest that Amazon could put in a cyclical high any time between now and October 10th, before putting in a major cyclical low at the end of October. I would like to see this play out to provide us with nice buy opportunities at the bottom of the MAC's.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Tradius_Trades
Google - Looking For Sell Triggers Around 171This video provides an overview of the things that I am watching for Google right now. -We need to monitor the quarterly, monthly & weekly divergences that are currently setup, but not yet confirmed. These are not actionable right now, but they definitely need our attention. If confirmed, they imply some very significant moves in this market. -We can see that the Monthly is still bullish, and we had a monthly MAC entry confirm on the Daily on September 13th. This trade still has not hit its targets, with the first being 169.69 (what a great number). The second target being 180. I would not be surprised to see Google trade up to 169.69 sometime soon. -The Weekly chart is confirmed bearish for the MAC strategy. What this means is that any rallies into the weekly MAC high are opportunities to sell on the H6 chart. I'll be looking for sell triggers if price trades into the 171 level (Weekly MAC high). -Threw in some cycles, for fun. Have a great week.
NASDAQ:GOOGShort
by Tradius_Trades
1
NVDA - Still Bullish, But Major Potential Sell Signal LoomingThis week in NVDA I am paying attention to the following: -On the monthly timeframe, we see that there is a significant bearish divergence setup forming. This has not yet triggered, though, so the bulls can relax (for now). However, in 7 days when the Monthly candle closes, we need to pay close attention to the CCI divergence. If it confirms, it implies a MAJOR bearish correction for NVDA is on the horizon. -But in the meantime, everything is all systems go for the bulls. If you trade based on the Monthly, any pullbacks into the $88 region (Monthly MAC low) would be satisfactory spots to look for Buy triggers on the Daily timeframe. The Williams Acc/Dis is positioned well above its 57 period MA, which means we should look to buy any pullbacks into the low of the MAC. -Weekly analysis also implies all is good for the bulls. I will look for Buy triggers on the 6H chart if price pulls back into the $107 region (Weekly MAC low). -For fun, I throw some cyclical analysis into the mix. We see that NVDA has a strong seasonal cycle for an upmove from early October into November. Thank you for reading. Enjoy your week.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Tradius_Trades
10
Apple - High & Intermediate Term AnalysisToday, we look at Apple utilizing a variety of techniques: Divergence, MAC & Cycles. We need to keep an eye on the quarterly, monthly & weekly bearish divergences that are occurring. They have not yet triggered, so bulls don't have to worry (yet). But we must keep our eyes on these divergences, because if they trigger, they imply significant downside ahead for Apples share value. We take a look at the MAC and see that there is a case to be made for some further upside this week, and based on todays state of the indicators, longs are favored on any pullbacks to the MAC on the Daily chart. Cycles show a bit of a mixed bag of possibilities. I'm most interested in the Decennial pattern and the APZ's. Let me know if you have any questions.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Tradius_Trades
Altdominance Reversal SoonMany alts are making new ATLs or are at lows against BTC presently. Others dominance has been in a parallel uptrend since breaking and holding above ~4.5% and reaching levels above 10% market dominance for the first time back in 2017. We haven't quite made a 3rd touch to confirm the channel during more recent lows in June of 2023 and again in August this year. Still, the channel and indicators are pointing towards a move back up towards channel top. The question is: Do we move up without touching channel bottom first? Or, will we see a final move back around 8%, making a higher low and touching channel bottom prior to moving up?
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DLong
by dudebruhwhoa
DBS Bank Short: Technically SpeakingBased on technical analysis, I have a few reasons to believe that DBS has reached a peak, or is peaking. Briefly, here's a list of what's shown on the chart: 1. Elliott Wave counts shows that the vertical move from 5th Aug 2024 to 20th Sep 2024 can be deemed as a 5th wave of a 5th wave. 2. RSI(7) on the daily timeframe is in overbought and at a level that will usually turn down. (Take note that if you study previous price where the RSI(7) reached this level, it usually shows a 3rd wave then a 4th before another high was reached). 3. 2 Fibonacci extension levels converges around $39: 3.1. The first is where I extend cycle wave 1 (green fibo extension) and shows that entire cycle wave could potentially be 1.618x of cycle wave 1. Actual target: $38.88 3.2. The second is where I extend primary wave 1 of cycle wave 5 (purple fibo) and shows that wave 5 could be 1.618x of wave 1. Actual target $38.95 The idea can easily and quickly be invalidated if DBS easily make another new high of say $39.50 (which is why the stop loss is placed around that price). But no matter what, it is important to stay cautious and look for signs that price action is no longer sustainable. Good luck!
SGX:D05Short
by yuchaosng
20% to 40% Dip Coming for Microsoft?DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational & entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to be involved with this market. Trading involves significant risk, do your own due diligence. A concerning sign for Microsoft bulls triggered a few weeks ago. We saw the DPO divergence confirmed. Price targets to the downside of this confirmation imply a 20% to 40% dip is coming for Microsoft. Do you think Microsoft is heading for a dump? I do. See you down there.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Tradius_Trades
COT Strategy - SHORT JAPANESE YENDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Japanese Yen (6J) My COT strategy has me on alert for new short trades in 6J if we get additional bearish entry triggers (this week a divergence entry triggered short). COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Valuation: Overvalued vs Gold & Treasuries Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Small Specs most long they have been in 3 years = bearish. OI Analysis: OI has been increasing on up move. When OI increases, we need to ask "who caused the OI increase"? When it is caused by Large Specs & Small Specs, it is bearish. True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency to go down to October. COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: %R Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
CME:6JZ2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
1
COT Strategy - Gold ShortDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Gold (GC) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Valuation: Overvalued vs Treasuries Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Only thing that would be better is SS's making an extreme in long positioning, but no luck with that yet (but something I'm watching). OI Analysis: OI has been increasing on up move since June. When OI increases, we need to ask "who caused the OI increase"? When it is caused by Large Specs & Small Specs, it is bearish. In the case of Gold, it is being caused by LS & SS's, which is bearish. Spread: Bearishly diverging. ADX: Diverging, implying the trend lacks integrity. Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dis , %R, Stochastic & Momentum (not yet triggered) Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
COMEX:GCZ2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
COT Strategy - Crude Oil LongsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy Crude Oil (CL) My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CL again this week. To clarify, this was setup last week also, and triggered me long this week via a CCI divergence long trigger. Based on this weeks COT strategy analysis, I think this is a nice market for further upside and will look to enter again via 18MA & 10H8C MAC entry methods. COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal. Net Positioning: Max long of last 3 years - bullish. Small Spec Index: Buy Signal. Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries. Front Month Premium Market. True Seasonal up to Mid October. Supplementary Indicators: Stochastic. Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a Daily long trigger. Good luck & good trading.
NYMEX:CLZ2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
$SPY September 21, 2024AMEX:SPY September 21, 2024 Daily. I still have target 580 levels. Then a big move after consolidation. 60 Minutes Uptrend Confirmed. For the rise 539.95 to 572.88 holding 560-565 is crucial for further targte 580 initially. 556-558 should provide good support as it is 100 and 200 averages in 60 minutes time frame. Now we have oscillator divergence. SO AMEX:SPY should consolidate between 560 570 levels for 2 or 3 days. 15 Minutes. For the rise 560.84 to 572.88 AMEX:SPY has retraced 61.8%. Hence a temporary double top around 570 levels can be expected. We have 2 HL supported by oscillator. At the moment 565-566 should give a good entry point. In 15 minutes weak below 563 levels as 200 averages could be broken.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
3