GBP/AUD: Downside Bias Intensifies Amid Completion of Head and STechnical Analysis
The GBP/AUD pair currently exhibits a downside bias, underpinned by the confirmed head and shoulders pattern. If buyers fail to overcome resistance at 1.95451, further declines towards the outlined support levels are likely.
Key Events to Watch
While Tuesday does not feature any major scheduled events specifically impacting GBP/AUD, market participants are closely monitoring Wednesday's release of Australia's economic growth data and the United Kingdom's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures. These data points could significantly affect volatility in the pair, particularly if the results diverge substantially from consensus expectations.
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CFX is readyAfter an 80% correction from $0.55 this year, CFX seems to have found its lowest price of the year at $0.125. With Bitcoin's positive price movement, CFX looks to provide positive price movement. The signs are that the price action crossed the 21 SMA (weekly chart), and the RSI reversed and crossed the 50 boundaries.
CFX's target is to make a higher high after $0.55. But before that, CFX must be able to cross the $0.23 price because there is a potential supply in that area.
NZDJPY Wave Analysis 2 December 2024
- NZDJPY broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 86.75
NZDJPY currency pair recently broke the support zone located between the support level 89.00 and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward price move from the start of August.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active c-wave of the ABC correction 2 from the start of November.
Given the strongly bullish yen sentiment seen today, NZDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 86.75 (former support from September and the target price for the completion of the active ABC correction 2).
EURGBP Wave Analysis 2 December 2024
- EURGBP reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8325
EURGBP currency pair today reversed up from the support zone located between the strong support level 0.8265 (which has been revering the pair from the start of November) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the earlier impulse waves iii and (iii) –which belong to the downward impulse sequence 1 from August.
Given the strength of the support level 0.8265 and the triple bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic indicator, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8325.
EURUSD H1 02/12/2024 - SELL below 1.04850 OR BUY above 1.05750Overview of EUR/USD Price Action
The EUR/USD pair is trading in a consolidation zone between 1.04950 (support) and 1.05250 (resistance), as seen on the H1 chart.
Momentum indicators like the RSI (currently around 30-40 on H1) and Stochastic Oscillator suggest that the pair is oversold but lacks a clear directional trend.
The MACD shows bearish momentum weakening, indicating potential for a reversal if resistance is broken, while the Average True Range (ATR) indicates low volatility.
This creates the perfect scenario for breakout trades in both directions, depending on whether the market breaches the consolidation zone.
Buy Stop Setup: Bullish Breakout Case
Resistance Level at 1.05250: This zone has acted as a ceiling for the pair during the consolidation phase. A break above this level signals renewed buying pressure.
Entry Level: Placing the Buy Stop at 1.05300, slightly above the resistance, ensures confirmation of a bullish breakout.
Take-Profit Target: The next key level is around 1.05750, derived from:
The previous monthly high at 1.05790.
Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the previous bearish leg.
Stop-Loss: Setting it at 1.05100, just below the breakout point, protects against false breakouts.
Rationale for a Buy Trade:
A breach above 1.05250 will invalidate the current bearish trend on H1 and confirm short-term bullish momentum.
This move aligns with possible USD weakness in the upcoming sessions due to softening fundamentals (e.g., dovish Fed sentiment or weaker US data, if relevant).
Sell Stop Setup: Bearish Breakout Case
Support Level at 1.04950: This level has provided solid support for the pair recently. A breakdown below this level signals bearish continuation.
Entry Level: Placing the Sell Stop at 1.04850, slightly below support, ensures entry only after confirmation of bearish pressure.
Take-Profit Target: The next target is around 1.04450, derived from:
Fibonacci 161.8% extension of the recent correction.
Psychological round number support at 1.04500.
Stop-Loss: Setting it at 1.05050, just above the breakout level, limits risk exposure from potential pullbacks.
Rationale for a Sell Trade:
A breakdown below 1.04950 signals bearish continuation, possibly targeting the lows seen earlier in November.
This move aligns with recent USD strength and market sentiment favoring safe-haven currencies.
Technical Indicators Supporting the Setup
RSI: On both M30 and H1 timeframes, the RSI hovers near oversold levels, showing a lack of momentum but creating potential for a breakout in either direction.
Stochastic Oscillator: Shows the market is at extremes, either overbought or oversold, adding further credence to the possibility of a directional move.
MACD Divergence: The MACD histogram on H1 is attempting to flatten, suggesting the bearish momentum is waning and that price could either consolidate further or reverse to the upside.
Ichimoku Cloud: The H1 chart shows price is trading below the cloud, indicating a bearish bias. However, price action is close to breaking out, supporting both trade scenarios.
Market Sentiment & Fundamental Factors
Dollar Index (DXY): A closely watched driver of EUR/USD, the DXY has been showing signs of indecision in recent sessions. Any weakening of the dollar could trigger the bullish breakout, while dollar strength supports the bearish case.
ATOMUSDT Long Setup Setting / Quick 15Min LongBINANCE:ATOMUSDT
COINBASE:ATOMUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
8.723
8.811
8.913
9.029
🔴SL:
8.358
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
DOGSUSDT Long Setup Setting / Quick 15Min Long BINANCE:DOGSUSDT
CRYPTOCOM:DOGSUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.000772
0.000784
0.000793
0.000804
🔴SL:
0.000714
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
USOIL (WTI)Today's trade setup is informed by a top-down approach, with a focus on the interplay between USD strength and commodity markets, particularly crude oil. During the Asian session, the U.S. Dollar displayed significant strength, which often exerts downward pressure on oil prices due to their inverse correlation. This relationship is rooted in the causality loop between the Dollar Index (DXY), global demand for commodities, and their pricing mechanisms.
A stronger dollar typically makes crude oil more expensive for international buyers, reducing demand and weighing on prices. The magnitude of dollar strength in today's Asian session reinforces the likelihood of subdued demand, aligning with our thesis for shorting oil.
On the technical side, crude oil futures have approached a key resistance level, which coincides with declining momentum on shorter timeframes confirming our bearish outlook. Furthermore, the overall risk sentiment in the market remains fragile, supporting safe-haven flows into the dollar and away from risk assets like crude oil.
Given these factors, a short position in oil aligns with both the fundamental and technical backdrop. Trade risk is carefully managed, with stop-loss placement above the resistance level and targets positioned to capitalize on potential declines toward the next key support area. This trade will be actively monitored for any signs of reversal, particularly in the European and U.S. sessions, as shifts in USD dynamics or geopolitical news could alter the setup.
Perhaps something that has been long awaited.Two consecutive divergences seem to have done the trick.
However, the candle has not yet broken the Ichimoku cloud
(and also the rising trend line) and we need to keep watching.
But it is not a complete reaction for two consecutive divergences, that's for sure.
Inverse Head and Shoulders BTC - Neutral but big move aheadThe bear divergence is entering an inverse H and S pattern. The pattern is about to finalize shape. Big move ahead. Could go either way. Good luck and stay tight stop loss which ever way you choose. Volume will be on the rise at that test point
Why Is Ethereum Going Up? Technical and Fundamental Price AnalysEthereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen a significant surge in recent weeks, outperforming Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies. This article delves into the technical and fundamental factors driving Ethereum's upward momentum.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals
Ethereum's price chart is currently painting a bullish picture, with several technical indicators pointing to continued upward movement:
1. Rising Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, indicating bullish momentum. A sustained increase in RSI suggests that buying pressure is outweighs selling pressure.
2. Breaking Resistance Levels: Ethereum has successfully broken through several key resistance levels, demonstrating strong buying interest from investors.
3. Bullish Candlestick Patterns: The formation of bullish candlestick patterns like the bullish engulfing pattern and the hammer pattern signals potential upward price movement.
4. Increasing Trading Volume: Higher trading volume often accompanies price increases, indicating increased market interest and participation.
Fundamental Analysis: Positive Catalysts
In addition to technical factors, several fundamental factors are contributing to Ethereum's price surge:
1. Network Upgrades and Scalability: Ethereum's ongoing network upgrades, such as the Shanghai upgrade, are aimed at improving scalability, reducing transaction fees, and enhancing the overall user experience. These upgrades can attract more developers and users to the Ethereum ecosystem, driving demand for ETH.
2. Growing DeFi Ecosystem: Ethereum remains the dominant platform for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. The rapid growth of DeFi protocols and the increasing adoption of decentralized applications (dApps) on the Ethereum network can boost demand for ETH.
3. Institutional Adoption: Institutional investors and corporations are increasingly recognizing the potential of blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies. As more institutions allocate capital to Ethereum, it can further fuel price appreciation.
4. Positive Regulatory Sentiment: While regulatory uncertainty remains a concern for the cryptocurrency industry, positive regulatory developments can have a significant impact on market sentiment and price. For instance, the departure of SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who has been critical of the cryptocurrency industry, could lead to a more favorable regulatory environment for Ethereum.
5. Bitcoin's Relative Weakness: Bitcoin's recent price decline and lower volatility have shifted investor attention to Ethereum. As Ethereum's dominance in the derivatives market increases, it can attract more capital and drive price appreciation.
Conclusion
Ethereum's recent price surge can be attributed to a combination of technical and fundamental factors. The strong bullish signals on the technical charts, coupled with positive developments in the Ethereum ecosystem, indicate that the upward momentum may continue in the short to medium term. However, it's important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial1 advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies2 involves significant risk, and it's essential to do your own research before making any investment decisions.
IOTAUSDT Long Setup Setting / Am I going to let you lose?BINANCE:IOTAUSDT
CRYPTO:IOTAUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.2189 (Close it if you don't want to lose any)
0.2282
🔴SL:
0.2030
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Easyjet ready to fly?Easyjet records better financial statements, looking at the report is possible to read that LSE:EZJ flew about 5% increase in seats when compared with last year.
The revenue increased by 14% this mainly because of the increase of 8% in capacity. Looking over the financial indicator it's noticeable an increase in revenue and the difference compared to 13 week moving average.
The price breakout for the second time above the top of ascending triangle following for a cross over the 200ema. The yellow resistance is the strongest one that still needs to be broken.
ADX is already above DMI- and being at 19,49 can show some strength confirming the DMI+.
EFI barely dropped below zero when the price failed to cross the EMA changing direction above zero rapidly.
EURUSD H1 28/11/2024 - SELL below 1.0510 OR BUY above 1.0560Key Levels from M30 and H1
Support Levels:
1.0520–1.0510 Zone: Currently holding as local support (aligned with Fibonacci 100% and Ichimoku baseline on H1).
1.0500: Psychological support level, aligns with the Fibonacci 161.8% extension.
Resistance Levels:
1.0553–1.0560 Zone: A consolidation resistance zone marked by Fibonacci 38.2% and near-term highs.
1.0580: Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, strong resistance on the D1 chart.
Trendlines:
H1 chart shows a downward-sloping trendline from recent highs, indicating potential bearish pressure unless broken.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (H1): Around 52, neutral but tilting bearish.
Stochastic (H1): Bullish crossover from oversold on M30, but H1 is still near neutral (around 34).
MACD (H1): Showing mild bearish divergence but flattening.
Volatility (ATR):
ATR (H1): 11 pips, suggesting moderate price movement potential.
Scenario A: Bearish Breakdown Trade
Rationale: If the price breaks below the 1.0520–1.0510 support zone, it could test lower levels like 1.0500 or 1.0450.
Setup Details:
Entry Price: 1.0510 (below Ichimoku support and 100% Fibonacci level).
Stop-Loss: 1.0535 (above the downward-sloping trendline and consolidation resistance).
Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.0500 (psychological level).
TP2: 1.0475 (previous lows, close to Fibonacci 261.8%).
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Scenario B: Bullish Reversal Trade
Rationale: If the price breaks above the 1.0553–1.0560 resistance zone, it could retest higher levels like 1.0580 or higher.
Setup Details:
Entry Price: 1.0560 (above consolidation and Fibonacci 38.2%).
Stop-Loss: 1.0530 (below the breakout zone).
Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.0580 (Fibonacci 61.8%).
TP2: 1.0596 (next significant high).
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Class A/B RSI Bearish Divergence on SPY Futures?Really posting here to see if anyone would validate this for me but I was looking on the chart and this idea came about. On the weekly chart for ES1!, there seems to be class A or B Bearish Divergence developing on the Weekly timeframe.
Listen, of course we all know SPY trends upwards over time but is this an indicator of a larger sell the market needs to go higher every once in a blue moon? This is guarenteed a macro trend and I probably will have to wait a year for this analysis to play out but hey, at least we're here. (***ponders on how I charted Gamestop at $10 but never traded because of lack of knowledge***) Anyways, this is something I will of course monitor but let me highlight instances in history this has happened. Please feel free to give your input on this analysis!
Jan 1998 thru Apr 2001 (News Driver: Dot-Com Bubble)
Price makes higher highs from Jan 98' thru Mar 00'
From Mar 98' thru Mar 00', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) on Sep 00'. Fails to make new all-time high
From Sep 00' to Apr 01' price moves down as much as 30% over the next 224d
Jan 2013 thru Feb 2016
Price makes higher highs from Jan 13' thru May 15'
From May 13' thru Jun 14', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) Jul 15' and a following lower high on Nov 15'
From Jul 15' to Aug 15' (42d) (News Driver: Lagging China Market) price moves down as much as 14% and as much as 14% on the Nov '15 lower high to Jan 16' (78d) (News Driver: Oil Prices)
Current: Jan 24' thru Nov 24'
Price has been making higher highs all year
From Mar 24' thru , the RSI has been making lower highs while price is making higher highs
We are now at a point where price is pushing to go higher but what I would want to see based off of historical data is for price to consolidate or some type of Bearish Turtle Soup forming. If this happens and the RSI returns to Fair Value, we could be in for a sizeable sell of for at least a couple of weeks in the near future.
I will come back to this in the next few months. Happy Trading!
XRP Whale Awakens: A Potential Catalyst for Price Surge?The cryptocurrency market has been excited as a significant whale movement involving XRP has been detected. A massive transaction worth $36.67 million has recently taken place, sparking speculation about a potential price surge for the digital asset.
The Whale's Move: A Bullish Signal?
Whale movements are often closely monitored by market analysts, as they can provide valuable insights into potential price trends. When large amounts of cryptocurrency are moved between wallets, it can indicate a variety of factors, including:
• Accumulation: Whales may be accumulating XRP in anticipation of a future price increase.
• Distribution: Conversely, whales may be distributing their holdings to take profits or reduce their exposure to the asset.
• Market Manipulation: In some cases, whale movements can be used to manipulate the market by creating artificial price swings.
While it's impossible to definitively determine the whale's intentions, the sheer size of the transaction has certainly caught the attention of the crypto community. Many analysts believe that this could be a bullish signal, suggesting that the whale may be preparing for a significant price move.
XRP's Recent Performance and Future Outlook
XRP has had a tumultuous journey in recent years, facing regulatory challenges and legal battles. However, the cryptocurrency has shown resilience and has managed to maintain its position as one of the top digital assets by market capitalization.
In the short term, the whale's recent move could provide a significant boost to XRP's price. However, the long-term outlook for the cryptocurrency will depend on several factors, including:
• Regulatory Clarity: A favorable regulatory environment is crucial for the growth of the cryptocurrency industry, including XRP.
• Technological Advancements: Continued innovation and development within the XRP ecosystem can attract new users and investors.
• Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment and the performance of other major cryptocurrencies can also impact XRP's price.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Perspective
Technical analysis of XRP's price chart suggests a bullish outlook. The cryptocurrency has formed a bullish pattern, indicating a potential upward trend. Additionally, key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence1 (MACD) are signaling a bullish crossover, further supporting the bullish thesis.
Conclusion
The recent whale movement involving XRP has sparked excitement and speculation within the crypto community. While it's important to approach any investment with caution and conduct thorough research, the potential for a price surge cannot be ignored.
However, it's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any investment decisions.
By staying informed about the latest market trends, conducting in-depth technical analysis, and diversifying your portfolio, you can increase your chances of success in the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies.
EURUSD Wave Analysis 27 November 2024
- EURUSD reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.0620
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed up from support area located at the intersection of the long-term support level 1.0455 (previous yearly low from 2023) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from the support level 1.0455 will form the weekly Bullish Engulfing if the pair closes this week near the current levels.
Given the oversold weekly Stochastic and the strength of the support level 1.0455, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.0620 (former support from May).
LYV extremely stretched to the upsideUsing the MFI indicator on the 4D chart, you can see that past OB readings (orange boxes) were highly correlated with price corrections. I expect a correction soon, but it might not happen until after Trump is inaugurated. I would express this thesis with an out-of-the-money put with expiration between June 2025 and January 2026.