Ethereum - bearish divergence alert - Dec 19th, 2024** Trigger warning - the following post may cause skin irritation and involuntary expletives **
The entire market is bullish on Ethereum.
All of social media is bullish on Ethereum.
The Motley Fool is even bullish on Ethereum (Huge red flag!!)
“Ethereum looks undervalued relative to its potential”
source:
www.fool.com
=====================================================
The TA:
Your only source of news should be the chart. The chart has a headline for you to read:
“Strongest bearish divergence print since the 90% and 80% crashes of 2018 and 2021”
Yes, the same specific settings used to track market pivots with divergence on Ethereum price action has printed once more.
On the above 8 day chart price action prints negative divergence with multiple oscillators over an 80 day period. The bear flag forecasts price action to correct until $700.
If you’re bullish on price action you have to reason why… why is this time different?
(Trump said... yes, would never mislead that one)
If you’re neutral on price action and considering a long entry, look left, is now that moment?
If you’re bearish on price action, well then you’re in poor company and public enemy number one. Welcome to my world!
Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure! We’re in a bull market, din’t you get the memo?
Is it probable? No.
Ww
M-oscillator
Technical Report: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Looking DownwardTechnical Report: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Looking Downward
H ello!
The current technical picture and the recent market activity points to the Bearish perspective of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). Having passed the powerful psychological support at $100,000, many signals suggest we’re on the verge of correction, with target support in the $92,000 area.
Weak RSI Signals Overbought Conditions
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the primary indicators hinting at a potential decline. Currently, the RSI hovers around the 60 mark, resistance, reflecting weak momentum and failing to indicate a robust buying trend. While an RSI above 70 typically signals overbought conditions, the lack of a strong rally and an RSI below 50 often signal bearish sentiment. This suggests Bitcoin’s earlier bullish momentum may be fading, increasing the likelihood of a near-term price correction.
Rising Bitcoin Dominance
Another key factor is the rising Bitcoin dominance within the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s growing market capitalization relative to other cryptocurrencies may signify a shift in investor sentiment, positioning Bitcoin as a safe haven amid altcoin volatility. However, this trend could also indicate fear-driven behavior rather than confidence, with investors hedging against broader market instability.
If Bitcoin dominance continues to rise without a corresponding price increase, it might signal an impending sell-off. Investors could be looking to liquidate their positions amid market uncertainty, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price downward.
Regulatory and Macroeconomic Pressures
Recent regulatory developments and macroeconomic factors also threaten Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. Heightened scrutiny from financial regulators worldwide has created uncertainty in the market. Proposals for stricter regulations on cryptocurrency exchanges and potential tax implications could dampen trading volumes and dissuade new investors. This regulatory pressure may contribute to bearish sentiment.
Macroeconomic factors, including rising interest rates and inflation concerns, further complicate Bitcoin’s position. Traditional investments offering higher yields may become more attractive, reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an alternative asset. In this environment, the $100,000 resistance level becomes a critical barrier. Failure to breach this level could trigger significant selling pressure.
Price Projection: $92,000 Support
With a weak RSI, potential for increasing Bitcoin strength, and the latest regulation headlines, a strong reversal below $100,000 seems foreseeable. If it doesn’t have support above $100,000, then it could sink right back into the $92,000. This has been a level that has been resistant in the past, but an attack would open the door for more losses.
Currently technical analysis and overall market picture shows Bitcoin (BTC-USD) in bearish direction. The low RSI also signals lost upward momentum, rising dominance and regulatory issues mean that there could be instability. When Bitcoin reaches the important $100,000 resistance, traders should be patient and prepare for a drop towards $92,000 resistance. Conditions are not set in stone, so stay on top of what’s to come as Bitcoin’s price action shifts.
Regards,
Elysian Signals
Daily Market Review and Analysis for BTC: January 5, 2025BTC (4h)
Over the past 24 hours, the total crypto marketcap increased by 0.6%, while #Bitcoin's dominance rose by 0.2%.
Current Situation
On the 4-hour chart, #BTC is seeing growing selling pressure as the price approaches the lower boundary of its ascending channel. Currently, the asset is heading towards testing the key level of POC ($97,400). A breakdown below this level could signal the start of a local correction, followed by a support test near $95,200.
Key Technical Factors:
- Ichimoku Cloud: Its boundaries continue to serve as zones of support and resistance.
- RSI: A decline to 50 will coincide with a test of the EMA 100 level, providing crucial support for the asset.
Forecast:
- Local Support: A bullish rebound is expected in the $95,000 – $95,500 range.
- Bullish Scenario: Breaking above the Ichimoku Cloud's upper boundary at $99,900 will strengthen buyers' positions, with the next resistance target at $104,000.
Institutional Insight:
On January 3, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a daily inflow of **$908 million**, the highest since late November 2024. This trend highlights the positive expectations of institutional investors, despite potential local corrections.
Key Points:
1) Monitor the $97,400 level closely — a breakdown will determine the next price movement.
2) Watch technical indicators like RSI and EMA to confirm support levels.
3) Pay attention to trading volumes and inflows into institutional products such as Bitcoin ETFs.
Bad news FTM holders markets require more blood sacrificeThe price action of the past few days from the latest bottom of 66 cents seems to have been a bearish retest.
the massive long term support has turned into resistance
the bearish retest has been completed
now down again
RSI also has hit resistance.
more blood more pain
the bit question is when after 68-69 cents is reached:
double bottom confirmation and bottom is in, with rising RSI
or
max pain, max blood scenario of visiting 53 cents with also rising RSI, forming a bullish divergence?
the second part remains to be seen in several days
first part is clear
more blood from FTM holders
sorry, bulls
This is a SHORT-TERM analysis only
VIRTUAL IS BEARISH !!!!The price is in a wedge, and if it breaks the wedge, it can drop to the 0.618 Fibonacci line. Also, the bearish divergence in the RSI strengthens this signal.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Silver- Obvious Head and Shoulder pattern, with great potential!Hi guys, today we are overlooking Silver (XAG/USD) with some great Technical analysis. Currently the overview is on a 1D time frame making this opportunity Mid-Term as to how much time we would expect it to reach it's destination.
Currently as we can see on the chart there has been a perfect formulation of the typical Head and Shoulders pattern. Additionally I would say on a shorter term the overall price has entered and formuilated a Descending Channel, which boost's our confidence in the price action that we are expecting. Additionally we are looking into the fundamentals so we can get the extra confidence in the price action that we are targeting.
Entry: 29.31
Target: 26.60 which is just above the Strong Support Level
Do let me know what you think about this analysis in the comments and what is your overview on this great Precious Metal.
LONG: Mahindra & Mahindra on the Rise: Targeting New Highs!🔍 Technical Analysis Report: NSE:M_M
Current Overview: 📈 NSE:M_M have shown a strong reversal from its recent low of ₹2,665.55. This recovery is significant as it has crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, with the highest reference point being the level 1 Fibonacci at ₹3,214.95.
Key Observations:
Volume Analysis: Over the past 3-5 trading days, the stock has displayed consistent positive volume, indicating sustainable upward movement. 📊🔼
Critical Resistance: Since mid-June, the stock has been approaching a key resistance level. It briefly breached the 0.5 Fibonacci level yesterday but closed near the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🚧
Price Movement: Today, the stock opened around the 0.382 Fibonacci level at ₹2,827.10 and is inching upwards. 📈
Technical Indicators:
MACD Analysis: The current MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows an impending buying crossover. If market conditions stay favorable, we anticipate the MACD histogram turning green tomorrow, reinforcing the bullish trend. 🔄🟢
Target Levels:
🎯 First Target: ₹2,942.15
🎯 Second Target: ₹3,005.10
🚀 Extended Target (if resistance is broken): Around ₹3,100.00
Risk Management:
Primary Stop-Loss: ₹2,800.00 to protect against downside risk. ⚠️
Extended Stop-Loss: ₹2,720.85 for those accommodating broader market volatility. 📉
Conclusion: 🟢 If M&M opens in the green tomorrow, this will confirm the buying trend, potentially reaching the target levels mentioned above. However, cautious trading is advised, particularly around the set stop-loss thresholds, to manage inherent market risks effectively. ⚖️
#Hashtags: #MahindraAndMahindra #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #MACD #TradingInsights #StockMarketIndia #BullishTrend #InvestmentStrategy #RiskManagement #FinogentSolutions
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
GALA 300% Next MovePrice is coiling up for the second half of this fractal pattern (Rally C) and I'm looking
at a bottom some time around February as the last pattern took off around the same time
The reason for this forecast to hit the Demand level again is because of the divergence move
seen on the Trend Reader, and the fractal pattern itself calls for a retest back to demand
Long term EMA is projecting flat readings for the future and this can also give us a signal for
price to slam back down.
Trend Reader
The Short Term Signal Line is racing back to the oversold zone and once the crossover takes effect we should see price shoot back up
Looking back at the Long Term Signal Line its projecting that long term momentum is dying off
and that after we hit this next high we can expect price to selloff like shown before with
the last divergence pattern.
Targets
7.7 Cents
13 Cents
16 Cents
AMD Finishing a 1-2 1-2 with ending diag and bullish divergence Current count looks like a 1-2 1-2 finishing out w-c of W-2 with an ending diagonal. With waves 3 and 5 of the diagonal creating bullish divergence. Looking to go up from here! Could end up seeing another 1-2. Invalidation is pretty close.
Alternate count is much more bearish.
FTSE - recovery jump after strong sell offHi guys, we are looking into the FTSE 100 ,currently it is sitting in a very oversold area on 1H and 4H time frames, so I am analysing a short term up-beta momentum.
Entry : 8,109
Target : 8,232
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
EUR/AUD Change of structure, time for correction.Hi guys today we are analysing the EUR/AUD currently it has broken out of an ascending channel formulating a correction / consololidation on the previous support level at 1.65500.
Additionally we can se that the RSI at least on 4H has already entered a descending channel indicating that the price is going to drop down.
Entry 1.66500
Target 1.65500
We are chasing 100 pips here, then if it continues we will revisit this analysis and look into a further drop.
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Daily Market Review and Analysis for BTC: January 1, 2025#BTC (Daily Chart)
The cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped by 2.5% over the past 24 hours, while #BTC dominance fell by 0.47%. Despite the bullish momentum, there is a growing likelihood of Bitcoin dropping to the $90,000 zone or lower.
Bitcoin’s upward movement was halted by intensified selling pressure near $95,000. Buyers failed to hold the $94,500 level, resulting in a price decline to around $91,600.
It’s worth noting that Bitcoin’s price on the daily timeframe is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, which is positioned above the seller liquidity zone.
In the short term, another attempt to test the $96,000 level is likely. However, it’s more probable that a new wave of decline will follow, targeting $90,500. This would trigger stop-losses for long positions (SSL) and push the price to a local low in the $89,000–$90,000 range.
From this point, a local upward trend could resume, targeting $96,963, where buyers’ stop-losses (BSL) are located. If this condition is met, Bitcoin could rally to $104,000.
That said, it’s too early to make global bullish predictions. Bitcoin first needs to clear key levels and stop-loss zones at $90,500 (the nearest realistic target) and $88,722.
EURCHF Wave Analysis 31 December 2024
- EURCHF reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 0.9350
EURCHF currency pair today reversed down from the resistance area located between pivotal resistance level 0.9430 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the start of October) intersecting with the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 0.9430 will create the daily Shooting Star candlesticks reversal pattern – if the pair closes today near the current levels.
Given the predominant daily downtrend, EURCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.9350.
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish DivergenceTechnical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish Divergence
Hello!
T he recent technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) highlights the presence of a regular bearish divergence between the price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. This divergence, marked by the yellow lines on the chart, signals a potential reversal in the short-term trend and suggests a bearish outlook for the coming days or weeks.
Understanding the Divergence
A regular bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset forms higher highs, while the RSI forms lower highs. This indicates weakening momentum, even as the price reaches new peaks. The yellow lines on the TradingView chart clearly illustrate this pattern for Bitcoin.
Price Action: Bitcoin has recorded higher highs on the price chart.
RSI Behavior: The RSI indicator, however, has failed to mirror this pattern, instead forming lower highs. This discrepancy points to diminishing bullish momentum and the likelihood of an upcoming price correction.
Short-Term Bearish Implications
Given the regular bearish divergence, Bitcoin’s price is expected to experience a pullback in the short term. Traders should be cautious, as this divergence often precedes a period of downward movement. Key support levels, such as $93,000 and $92,000, should be monitored closely to assess the depth of the correction.
Long-Term Bullish Outlook
While the short-term trend leans bearish, the long-term perspective for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several macroeconomic factors, including increasing institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and a growing use case for cryptocurrencies, continue to support the long-term upward trajectory of BTC. This macroeconomic backdrop suggests that any short-term price corrections could present buying opportunities for long-term investors.
Key Takeaways
The yellow lines on the TradingView chart highlight a regular bearish divergence between Bitcoin’s price and the RSI indicator.
This divergence signals a likely short-term bearish trend, with a potential price correction on the horizon.
Long-term trends remain bullish, supported by macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s robust fundamentals.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Regards,
Ely
Bitcoin: The Cyclic Pattern Unfolding Again?Analyzing the current BTC weekly chart reveals striking similarities to the past, specifically the cycle seen at the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024. Let’s break it down step by step.
1. Price Movement Comparison
Late 2023 vs. Late 2024: At the end of 2023, Bitcoin experienced a sharp rally of around 65%, moving from the lows to a significant peak. Fast forward to late 2024, and we see a nearly identical pattern—again, approximately 65% growth from the bottom to the recent high. The symmetry is hard to ignore.
2. WaveFlow Indicator
On both occasions, the WaveFlow indicator paints an eerily similar picture. It shows a strong push from the lows to the highs, followed by an expected pullback before another rally. If history repeats itself, the current setup implies that BTC will form a second peak following an intermediate bottom in the near term.
3. PrimeMomentum Long-Term Signal
The red diamond signal from the PrimeMomentum Long-Term Signal BTC indicator appears in a nearly identical spot:
The beginning of 2024: Red diamond signaled a top before a significant correction.
Late 2024: The same signal has just appeared, aligning with a possible cyclical correction phase.
4. PrimeMomentum Oscillator
At the bottom of the chart, the PrimeMomentum oscillator shows behavior that mirrors the end of 2023. This resemblance reinforces the idea that Bitcoin’s price action is following a cyclic pattern.
5. Expectations and Forecast
January Correction: Based on these indicators and historical patterns, we anticipate a pullback at the beginning of January 2025, targeting a mid-range consolidation or support zone.
February–March Rally: Following the correction in the second half of January, a rally is expected, peaking around March 2025, similar to early 2024’s price action.
Post-March Decline: After March, we could see another downward phase, mirroring the price behavior in mid-2024.
Conclusion: The Power of Cyclicality
This chart showcases the undeniable rhythm of Bitcoin’s cyclicality. Indicators like WaveFlow and PrimeMomentum provide clear parallels between the current market state and historical movements. If the cycle repeats as expected:
Short-Term: Prepare for a correction.
Mid-Term: Watch for a strong rally.
Long-Term: Plan for another cyclical downturn.
The data strongly suggests that Bitcoin’s market structure continues to adhere to predictable cyclical trends. With this knowledge, traders can better anticipate key market movements and position themselves accordingly.
SENDAI - BUY ON DIP ?SENDAI - CURRENT PRICE : RM0.570
SENDAI is uptrend for long term view as the share price is trading above 200-day EMA. In short and medium term the trend is sideways. However, I expect the stock may trend higher in the upcoming sessions as there are several bullish scenario appears on the chart.
i) The share price manage to breakout 50-day EMA
ii) Price bounce from support level of ICHIMOKU CLOUD indicates that buying interest is sufficiently strong to overcome selling pressure
iii) CHIKOU SPAN also manage to bounce from CLOUD support level
iv) RSI (above 50) heading upwards and stochastic oscillator is in oversold zone
v) High trading volume than previous sessions.
Technically it is a BUY ON DIP for this stock.
ENTRY PRICE : RM0.560 - RM0.575
TARGET PRICE : RM0.625 and RM0.690
STOP LOSS : RM0.530
TAYOR !
USDCAD Wave Analysis 30 December 2024
- USDCAD reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.4400
USDCAD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone surrounding the major long-term resistance level 1.4400 (which stopped the sharp uptrend at the start of 2020) intersecting with the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 1.4400 stopped the previous medium-term impulse wave (5).
Given the strength of the support level 1.4400 and the overbought reading on the weekly Stochastic indicator, USDCAD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.4315.