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M-oscillator

NZD/USD rolling over as dairy rebound soursKiwi is looking toppy after printing a shooting star last Thursday, following the bearish reversal through .62764 with two back-to-back declines before easing lower again today. With RSI (14) breaking its uptrend, bullish momentum is waning. While not confirmed by MACD, the Kiwi looks heavy on the charts. Much will be determined by the price action around .6218, a level that thwarted numerous bullish probes in 2024 up until recently. If we see the price fall below .6218 and hold there, one potential setup would be to sell the break with a tight stop above the level for protection. On the downside, minor support is located below .6200 and around .6175, although there’s nothing meaningful until .6133 where former downtrend resistance intersects with horizontal resistance at .6133. From a fundamental perspective, Kiwi remains closely correlated with dairy markets, as shown in the bottom pane with a rolling 20-day correlation with whole milk powder futures of 0.94. Dairy prices remain strongly negatively correlated with moves in the US dollar index, making the Kiwi essentially an inverse play on US dollar movements. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
Upside Ahead for Cotton - COT Strategy BuyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy LONG Cotton (CT) My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CT if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal Extreme Positioning: Commercials more long than they've been in 3 years = bullish. OI Analysis: We are seeing a "Bubble Up" between Commercials & Large Specs. This is a sign of a significant bottom being formed. Valuation: Undervalued VS Gold COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal Supplementary Indicators: %R Buy Signal Remember, this is not a "Buy Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside. Good luck & good trading.
ICEUS:CTZ2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
Downside Ahead For T Bonds - COT Strategy ShortDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT T Bonds (ZB) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in ZB if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Small Specs most long they have been in 3 years = bearish. OI Analysis: Extreme high in OI. Generally, extremely high OI found at market tops. True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for t bonds to go down into October COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist & POIV Sell Signals Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by Tradius_Trades
Downside Ahead for Gold - COT Strategy SellDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Gold (GC) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Extreme Positioning: Most short Commercials have been since January 2021. Large specs longest they have been since March 2020. OI Analysis: Price upward consolidation since April has seen Commercials heavily selling = bearish. Large Specs at longest positioning since March 2020 = bearish. Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for gold to go down in September Spread: Bearish spread divergence COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, %R & Stochastic Sell Signals. Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
COMEX:GCZ2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
2
Upside Ahead for Soybeans - COT Strategy LongDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy Long Soybeans (ZS) I got long Soybeans last week. This week we see the COT strategy still giving us signals to be on alert for long trades in ZS if we get bullish signals on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal Extreme Positioning: Commercials close to the longest they have been in the last 3 years. Valuation: Undervalued VS Gold ADX: Paunch forming (but not confirmed yet) Supplementary Indicators: %R & Stochastic Buy Signals Remember, this is not a "Buy Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside. Good luck & good trading.
CBOT:ZSX2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
Upside Ahead for Crude Oil - COT Strategy LongDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy LONG Crude Oil (CL) My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CL if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal OI Analysis: Down move since July and recent consolidation has seen CM's getting more long. Valuation: Undervalued VS GOld True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for oil to go up to mid October. Front Month Premium: Front month delivery contracts selling at premium to further out contracts. This is bullish, and is a sign that we could see a commercially driven bull move. COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist Buy Signal Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside. Good luck & good trading.
NYMEX:CLV2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
Upside Ahead for Mexican Peso - COT Strategy LongDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy LONG Mexican Peso (6M) My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in 6M if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal Extreme Positioning: Commercials most long they've been since March 2023 = bullish. OI Analysis: Down move since May has seen Commercials adding to long positioning, which is bullish. Small Specs are at an extreme in short positioning. Also, OI is at its lowest level since 2022, generally low OI is found at bottoms. Sentiment: Bearish advisor sentiment is a contrarian signal which we look to fade. Valuation: Undervalued vs Treasuries & Gold ADX: Paunch forming (but not yet confirmed). True Seasonal: General grind up to mid September COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, POIV, %R Buy Signals Remember, this is not a "Buy Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
CME:6MU2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
6
Downside Ahead for JPY - COT Strategy Sell DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT JPY (6J) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6J if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Extreme Positioning: Commercials at extreme in long positioning, most long since 2021. Small Specs at extreme in long positioning, most long since 2021. All this is bearish. Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries & Gold OI Analysis: Upmove since July has seen CM's quickly shift to strong short position = bearish. True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for this currency to go down into October. COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, POIV & Stochastic Sell Signals Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
CME:6JU2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
Downside Ahead for Aussie - COT Strategy Short DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Australian Dollar (6A) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6A if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal OI Analysis: Last 3 weeks of price rally has seen OI increasing while the CM's have been getting out of their longs. This is bearish. ADX: Pinch forming. Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for this currency to go down to early October. COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: POIV, %R & Stochastic Sell Signals Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
CME:6AU2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
Russell 2000 - COT Based Strategy Suggests Downside AheadDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy SHORT Russell 2000 (RTY) My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in RTY if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for equities to go down in September COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal Supplementary Indicators: POIV & UO Sell Signals Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
CME_MINI:RTYU2024Short
by Tradius_Trades
Why The Rise Of The $ Is Here-3 Points To DigestDid you hear about the infamous carry trade? this trade took a storm over the financial media. Honestly, i was shocked that people in the financial news networks know about this trade. - Did you know this always happens? In currency carry trades a common thing In fact that is why we have currency pairs - These currency pairs represent carry trades Basically, a carry trade is when BANKS borrow each other money using the Government - Bonds as collateral Why? - Because Government bonds produce cash flow. The problem comes when the value of this asset drops. - Imagine defaulting on a loan and taking back an asset that has no value This is what causes a market crash! - Remember: -Always use the dollar index -Dollar is the most powerful currency -The dollar is the one number #1 indicator in forex trading - My names are Lubosi Forex thank you for reading. - To learn more Rocket Boost this content So that i make a follow up lesson on the indicators above. Disclaimer: Trading is risky, please learn risk management and and profit-taking strategies.
Long
by lubosi
ETH looking attractive again for DCAing (vs. BTC)Some of the higher buy orders within the green range triggered. FG{50/15} showing bullish divergence on the weekly chart. Good time to continue to very slowly DCA into ETH from BTC again within the golden pocket as defined (i.e. btwn the 61.8-65.0% Fib lvl), and setting more bigger buy orders within the green zone below -- these on the present backdrop of extremely negative and fearful sentiments on ETH and its future being spread around. See also:
by cybernetwork
Wormhole - Falling Wedge Close To Breakout - Potential 360% MoveA lot of new token launches (Airdrop/Pre-Sale at least) this year seems to suffer the same fate: Price might pump a bit at launch with decent volume, but soon after the interest dies and the price dumps. I've seen several coins now with huge falling wedges like we can see here, and the breakouts are usually insane. W looks like it's getting very close to finally getting out of this wedge. This looks like a great place to enter a long. Main target is $0.786, and the plan would be to hold maybe ~20% if it looks like it can push $1. The VWAP has acted as a resistance in the past, if the price fails to go past this VWAP again I'd just sell, as it's likely to reverse again. The St. Dev. Bands line up quite well with my targets, and could end up becoming more precise TPs. The targets probably seem unrealistic, and maybe they are for the shorter term at least, but these markets move in strange ways, I've been seeing some crazy price action lately (like CLOUD for example) Tight SL here, would probably look to enter somewhere lower if it gets hit.
Long
by NoLimit_777
SPY shows more interest in rallying than beforeSPY is starting to show more signs that a breakout above the flat trading its in is coming We see increased volume over peaks of previous rallies indicating agreement with pushing up prices RSI's SMA starts to break through the 50 line comparing to the QQQ, its experiences another false breakout above for the second day in a row. Showing the tech sector is attempting to turn around to the upside SPY continues to still trade flat but show more confidence in its small rallies than previously
AMEX:SPY
by ratchet-mint
‘Everything should take place slowly and incorrectly’.Everything should take place slowly and incorrectly so that man doesn't get a chance to start feeling proud, so that man is sad and perplexed. Venedikt Erofeev. This is a quote from a very good Russian writer. )) Appropriate. Here's what I'm thinking. Big timeframe 19 days, a month ago the MACD showed a ‘bad cross’. As you can see in 18 and 21 this is what heralded the decline. On the other hand, there were times when there were 3 crosses in a six-month period. Let's be honest, this alt season just hasn't happened yet. Nothing has really grown when you compare it to 2017 and 2021. That's nonsense, not growth. Since there are a lot of projects, it takes ATH to grow. TOTAL2 is so up at MA200 for the 19D chart. It better hold on to that line.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by averkie_skila
2