$SPY July 23, 2024AMEX:SPY July 23, 2024
15 Minutes.
The gap up helped AMEX:SPY to achieve 554-555 easily.
At the moment gap not filled in 15 minutes. So, this move is good.
If we draw extension from 547.9 to 554.46 to 551.03. we have first target as 557 to 561 levels.
So, consider the last rise from 551.03 to 555.27 AMEX:SPY need to hold 552 levels to continue the uptrend.
As written many times. Daily is still up. No change. To get trades I do 15 minutes.
For the fall 565.16 to 547.9 we have 61.8% retracement as 558 levels. So, this also supports 556 557 as initial target.
The oscillator divergence played out well during the fall.
At the moment i am long from 552 levels.
M-oscillator
$SPY July 22, 2024AMEX:SPY July 22, 2024
15 Minutes.
The Oscillator divergence did not sort out between 563 - 565 levels.
Now again we have a divergence as AMEX:SPY making LL but oscillator did not make LL.
So, a bounce back expected for the fall 559.53 to 547.9.
The 61.8% retracement is 555 levels.
We could be resisted in this at 552.5 being 50-day average.
If we take the last fall from 554.05 to 547.9, we have 551.7 as 61.8% retracement.
Hence for the day i expect 551 to 554 move which could give an opportunity to short.
Nice XLM chart.I think that even though Lumens is quite an old asset, it will show itself again.
I am starting to work more often with MOTT and I am also starting to experiment with Linear Regression Oscillator .
We can see that the reversal signal has been received.
The price is confidently contracting above the invalidation level.
Let's pay attention to the range between 0.44 and 0.62 The most probable point of movement is somewhere between these two values. I mean ~0.50 average. Of course, the alt season could drive the price much higher, but a reasonable optimum lies between the two levels.
Think with your head always.
Nifty & Bank nifty market predictions for next week || Nifty selA trading plan is a set of rules that specifies a trader's entry, exit, and money management criteria for every purchase. With today's technology, test a trading idea before risking real money. Known as backtesting,this practice allows you to apply your trading idea using historical data and determine if it is viable.
Incoming 40% correction on Gold / Silver ratioThe above 12 day chart a 40% increase on the Gold / Silver ratio since early 2021 within a rising channel is shown. A number of reasons now exist to suggest a strong reversal in that trend with an equal 40% correction. They include:
1) Hidden bearish divergence. This occurs as oscillators print higher highs with lower lows in price action. (Black arrows).
2) A rising channel breakout. The breakout in the Gold / Silver ratio is clear to see with a flag extension measuring a further 40% correction. The correction area is by no means the end of the correction. Look left.
3) It is not the first time a hidden bearish divergence has printed on the Gold / Silver ratio. The last flag breakout occurred in October 2010. Price action on Gold saw a 40% correction in the months that followed. Ask yourself, is the current Gold euphoria indicative of a new bull market or the contrarian call for the top?
Ww
Will StarkNet STRK revive from the dead zone? Hello, Skyrexians!
Today we have another one "perspective" crypto to overview. This is BINANCE:STRKUSDT token. Since Binance listing price dropped significantly and continue dropping now. Entire crypto market dump boosted the STRK sell-off. Today we will analyze in details this asset and try to understand will this coin pump or die. It's vital for successful cryptocurrency trading to consider all possible scenarios.
Looking at the most of ideas on this asset we can conclude that most of the crypto trading strategies gave the advice to buy this coin when price was above $1.5. Obviously, it's not profitable crypto trading strategies. Even automate crypto trading of most cryptocurrency trading platforms fails to predict the price of this asset because after dumping at 50% it continues dumping, which is not likely according to the most crypto trading algorithm. That's why most of automated trading bots and grid bot faced with losses for this asset.
The exception is the ai crypto trading bot which takes into account the Elliott wave, the key feature of successful crypto trading. Today we consider STRK price action using advanced technique. Let's go!
STRK dump structure
Let's use the 1D time frame to analyze this downtrend. Fortunately, it has the clear Elliott waves structure. Awesome oscillator helps us to find the most impulsive wave 3, this is the min value. After this the price formed the flat or triangle wave 4. If crypto has already significantly drop it tends to form the flat corrections without big retracement to the upside. This is because most of early bulls have been locked in their position and they shall be disappointed before reversal.
Now we can see three strong signs of trend reversal. Awesome oscillator crossed zero line after wave 3 bottom reaching, it has printed bullish divergence and the momentum now is upward. In most of cases these are enough to make a decision about the entering trade, but we will make the deep dive further in different indicators.
Hash rate capitulation in full effectThe hash rate capitulation indicator is showing full-on capitulation of the hash rate spurred by minors needing to pull back on the hash following the halving. The timing for price peaks following HRC flashes have been different, but HRC flashes are generally followed by increased prices (sometimes multiple Xs). I'd say the probability is very high that we will see higher prices in a few months.
Note: The trigger on July 6th, 2023 was near a bottom, but we did go sideways and then lower (FTX) for an extended period of time after that.
BITCOIN More Correction to 50-48KHello!
According to the daily chart,
we observe a double top, which indicates a further decline. also a pullback to broken trendline. so BTC can go lower , in the range of 50,000 to 48,000. ❌❗❌
This is the same strong resistance range that the price broke through a few months ago, leading to a significant rise. 📚💡
it is possible to see
some range candles too 📚💡
📖💡 Feel free to express your perspective by commenting below. Thanks! 🐋
AUD/JPY looks set to bounce from OS levelsAUD/JPY fell nearly -4.5% since the MTD high to today’s low. And as AU employment has raised the takes for another RBA hike – even if only very slightly – we suspect further upside over the near term. Besides, assuming the MOF did intervene on the yen on Wednesday, it seems unlikely to be followed up with more action today. And that could allow the yen to drift lower and provide a slight tailwind for AUD/JPY.
The daily RSI (2) reached oversold on Wednesday. Today we have seen prices open above the April high, dip beneath it and back again. This could suggest we have already seen the daily low. The 4-hour RSI (14) is well within its oversold zone, and two very negative delta volumes (bids – asks) suggests some bears got greedy on the way down. Besides, volumes were also relatively thin in the recent leg lower looking at the volume profile, hence the bias for a corrective bounce towards 106.
Bulls could seek dips within the prior 4-hour bullish pinbar with a stop below.
OverstrechedMeta is strong - to strong. It has been rising for 2 years without a major correction.
There was a correction of this year's rise at least and now we are trying to retest this year's high again. I expect this test to fail despite there is still some momentum.
The correction is required to get the market clean of the "weak hands" which hamper the finding of a fair value of the stock.
This correction may be long sideward movement. But with a change of the overall market sentiment a certain Fibonacci retracement may be expected.
Meanwhile the April decline has been retracedit may be the right time of another fall to begin.
Oil's Descent: Triangles, Elliott, Reversion, & BackwardationIn this analysis, we will delve into the oil market’s current state and explain why a significant reversal is imminent.
Contracting Triangle
Oil has been forming a contracting triangle since the beginning of May. The lead-up to the triangle was bearish, so statistically, the breakout should also be bearish. The upper extreme of the triangle is at $84.45, but prices could advance up to $87.67 before invalidating the bearish breakout.
Wave C of E of X
According to Elliott Wave analysis, contracting triangles form five waves (i.e., A, B, C, D, E). Typically, each of those five waves subdivides into a zigzag (i.e., A, B, C). We can clearly count five waves of the triangle and three waves of the final zigzag, indicating that the reversal should occur at any moment.
Mean Reversion
On the daily timeframe, oil has approached the overbought level on three different mean reversion indicators. It has been overbought since June 17, according to the Stochastic Oscillator, and it will be overbought according to RSI and Bollinger Bands at $85.09.
Backwardation
Backwardation, where forward contracts are traded below the expected spot value at maturity, often signifies a bullish outlook for crude oil. However, it can also indicate short-term market stress caused by buyers' panic over excess demand or insufficient supply. This scenario often results from an overreaction, and as future supply and demand expectations come into balance, the oil market tends to experience a selloff towards more rational pricing. Given the current strong state of backwardation in oil futures, this dynamic could unfold, contributing to the next market downturn.
Executing the Bearish Strategy
As this is a countertrend trade, risk should be tight, and one’s stop loss should be adhered to religiously. While unlikely, if prices were to continue their ascent, and you have a wide or flexible stop loss, you could experience a substantial loss.
I believe the best place for a stop loss would be just beyond the end of intermediate wave C at $87.68. If prices move beyond this level, it would invalidate the Elliott analysis and offer a strong indication of a bullish breakout from the triangle. As long as prices hold below this level, the outlook would remain bearish, unless a strong consolidation pattern forms near these highs.
If the analysis is correct and we do see a bearish breakout, prices could easily decline to $65, possibly lower. This would be a reasonably conservative target, but I am planning a discretionary exit as price action develops.
As for entry, this is a personal decision. I see three possible options:
Wait for prices to climb a little higher (less risk at entry if successful, with a chance of entering lower with more risk if unsuccessful).
Wait for prices to decline a bit to confirm the analysis (higher probability of a winning trade, with greater initial risk at entry).
Enter now (somewhere in between options 1 and 2).
Good luck, everyone!
EURNZD to continue in the upward move?EURNZD - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
We look to buy dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 1.7921.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We look to Buy at 1.7928 (stop at 1.7878)
Our profit targets will be 1.8048 and 1.8068
Resistance: 1.7978 / 1.8061 / 1.8100
Support: 1.7925 / 1.7900 / 1.7870
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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KAS - the gift that keeps on givingI've been playing KAS for the better part of 2 years and for the life of me, I'm not sure why more people are not taking advantage of it. Over time, it has followed a nice logarithmic growth pattern (around 180 days), technical indicators show we are out of peak fear after the last impulse up, heading to peak greed. KAS continues to consolidate higher, now in the 0.18 range. I tagged-in at 0.10 and 0.11 recently so plan to sell above 0.20 cents with a stop loss around 0.16383 just to protect my current profits.
$SPY July 16, 2024XETR:AMEX : SPY July 16, 2024
15 Minutes.
XETR:AMEX : SPY made 3 HH pattern.
So, if we take 555.83 as low, we can expect 566-567.5 levels as target for now provided it holds around 557 levels
At the moment it took support at 61.8% of the fall as support.
For the fall 564.83 to 559.62 it needs to cross 563.8 levels to resume uptrend.
So, for the day Buy above 564 to 566-567 as target and sell below 556.5.
If this level is broken, I expect a 4 to 5 $ fall.
Remember 556 is 9 MA support in daily.
EUR/USD Hesitating at 1.09The world's most widely-traded currency pair has seen a big bullish run over the last 2+ weeks, but today's price action shows some hesitation around the 4-month highs at 1.0900.
The combination of a daily doji candle (in progress) and relatively stretched RSI and MACD oscillators hints at a pullback if tomorrow's US Retail Sales report can beat expectations. To the downside, the next logical level to watch would be at the convergence of the 50- and 200-day moving averages near 1.0800.
-MW