#008 NEW DCA USDCAD Buy Up TrendI bought USDCAD just because I saw that it has been trending.
No other reasons. I think sometimes no reason but because it is trending is a very good reason.
Just like duolingo, godaddy, marriott, tesla. Don't question. No need for question.
Obviously if something is going to go upwards and it has been going upwards, plus being strongly going up, you would want to take a piece out of it. You dont question why its going up. You just grab that wall flower and begin peddling. Once the trend dies, and you give it logic, you kill yourself with the logic when the logic doesn't work out the way you thought.
So, don't think. theres nothing to think about.
1547SGT 13122024
M-oscillator
Mastering RSI: The Complete and CORRECT Way to Trade ItThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular and widely used indicators in trading.
Despite its prevalence, many traders misuse it or are unaware of its full potential. RSI isn't just about identifying overbought and oversold conditions; when applied correctly, it becomes a robust tool for trend confirmation, reversals, momentum acceleration, and much more.
This guide explores how to unlock the full power of RSI and avoid common pitfalls.
What Is RSI?
Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price changes over a specified period. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with the following traditional zones:
Above 70: Indicates overbought conditions, where the price may reverse or consolidate.
Below 30: Indicates oversold conditions, where the price may rebound or reverse upward.
However, it’s important to note that RSI above 70 or below 30 can sometimes indicate trend acceleration rather than an immediate reversal—especially in strong trending markets, discussed in #6
The real reversal signal comes after RSI crosses back below 70 (for overbought) or back above 30 (for oversold). Understanding this distinction is critical to using RSI effectively.
1. Overbought and Oversold Conditions
The classic use of RSI involves identifying overbought and oversold levels:
Overbought: RSI rises above 70 and then drops back below it, signaling potential selling pressure.
Oversold: RSI falls below 30 and then moves back above it, indicating potential buying interest.
These signals are more effective when combined with tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines.
2. Centerline Crossover
The 50-level on RSI is a reliable trend indicator:
Above 50: Bullish momentum dominates.
Below 50: Bearish momentum dominates.
Use these crossovers to confirm trends:
Enter long trades when RSI is above 50.
Enter short trades when RSI is below 50.
3. Divergences
Divergences between RSI and price can signal potential trend reversals:
Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows, but RSI forms higher lows.
Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs, but RSI forms lower highs.
These divergences highlight weakening momentum and often precede reversals.
4. RSI Patterns
RSI can form recognizable chart patterns, such as triangles, head-and-shoulders, or double tops/bottoms. These patterns often precede price moves:
Triangles: A breakout on RSI often signals a strong price move.
Double Tops : A topping pattern on RSI warns of potential price declines.
5. Failure Swings
Failure swings occur when RSI enters an extreme zone (above 70 or below 30) but fails to sustain momentum and reverses. This is a strong reversal signal and can precede significant price moves:
Bullish Failure Swing:
RSI dips below 30.
It rises but dips again, staying above 30.
RSI breaks its previous high, signaling a bullish reversal.
Bearish Failure Swing:
RSI rises above 70.
It falls but rises again, staying below 70.
RSI breaks its previous low, signaling a bearish reversal.
How to trade it:
For a bullish failure swing, enter long when RSI confirms the higher low and breaks above the previous swing high.
For a bearish failure swing, enter short when RSI confirms the lower high and breaks below the previous swing low.
6. Momentum Acceleration Strategy
While RSI is traditionally used for spotting overbought and oversold conditions, it can also identify momentum acceleration during strong trends:
Above 70: In strong uptrends, when RSI rises above 70 and stays there, it signals upward acceleration, indicating buyers are in control.
Below 30: In strong downtrends, when RSI dips below 30 and stays there, it signals downward acceleration, with sellers driving the market lower.
How to trade it:
In uptrends, treat RSI staying above 70 as a sign of strength and look for pullbacks to enter long positions.
In downtrends, use brief rebounds as opportunities to short while RSI remains below 30.
7. Multi-Timeframe Strategy
Analyzing RSI across multiple timeframes enhances accuracy:
Use the higher timeframe (e.g., daily) to identify the overall trend.
Use the lower timeframe (e.g., 1-hour) to time trade entries.
Example:
If RSI on the daily chart is above 50 (bullish trend), look for hourly RSI dips below 30 to enter long trades.
If RSI on the daily chart is below 50 (bearish trend), wait for hourly RSI to reach overbought levels above 70 to short.
Tips for Advanced RSI Use:
Adjust RSI Settings: Shorter periods (e.g., 7) make RSI more sensitive, while longer periods (e.g., 21) smooth out signals for longer-term trends.
Combine RSI with Other Tools: Use RSI alongside moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, or Candlesticks.
Risk Management: Always pair RSI signals with a stop-loss strategy to manage risk effectively.
PRO TIP: As I like to say "Trade the price, not the indicator."
Use RSI as a confirmation tool, not the main signal.
For example, a price reversal from resistance or a bullish engulfing candle becomes far more reliable when backed by RSI signals.
Conclusion
RSI is far more versatile than many traders realize. While it’s traditionally used for identifying overbought and oversold levels, strategies like momentum acceleration and failure swings add depth to its utility. By combining RSI with centerline crossovers, divergences, multi-timeframe analysis, and chart patterns, traders can pinpoint entries, reversals, and momentum shifts with more precision and trade more confidently.
Key Takeaways:
- RSI staying above 70 or below 30 in trends signals momentum acceleration.
- Failure swings offer reliable reversal signals when RSI breaks key levels.
- Combining RSI strategies with other tools and proper risk management leads to more confidence
USDCAD Wave Analysis 16 December 2024
- USDCAD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.4300
USDCAD currency pair recently reversed up pivotal support level 1.4140, former resistance level which reversed the price sharply at the end of November.
The upward reversal from the support level 1.4140 started the active impulse wave 5 of the higher order impulse wave (3) from September.
Given the clear daily uptrend, USDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 1.4300.
AUDUSD Wave Analysis 16 December 2024
- AUDUSD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6400
AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area set between the strong support level 0.6350 (which has been reversing the price from 2023, lower border of the weekly sideways price range) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from the support zone stopped the previous impulse waves 3 and (3).
Given the oversold weekly Stochastic and the strength of the support level 0.6350, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 0.6400.
Gold bearish movementGold is bearish now.
After BAT Pattern completion (exactly on relevant PRZ) it is started to model the XA wave with Elliot 5 waves. it is completed for now although it would continue due to strong move. because of positive divergence we would have a bullish correction up then it will continue downward to the BAT target (AX wave model). and it will meet the end of the long term channel which can be seen here.
All Targets achieved on PSO!PSO Call was initiated on 25 Oct'24 at the breakout of 225, however, could not be published due to unpaid account.
78% gains as per the projections have been achieved within 2 months.
Swing traders should close their trades here, however, those wish to ride the trend can still hold it with Stop loss at 288
OGDC all Targets achieved !Initiated a call in Sep'24 for potential Target of 190 on the breakout of symmetrical triangle and breakout of previous LH which was achieved on 8 Nov'24. given swing traders approx 35% gain within 2 months.
The stock is likely to continue its bullish momentum and might test its first resistance at 244 and second resistance at 265. However, those who wish to ride should place SL @ 177 so that all gains are not eroded.
Bitcoin’s bullish break generates fresh long setup Bitcoin futures have opened the new week on the front foot, talking out the former record highs at $105325 before extending the move as Asian markets come online.
RSI (14) has broken its downtrend while MACD looks like it may crossover from below, suggesting bullish momentum may be building again.
While the price signal is definitive, we’ve not seen pickup in volumes accompanying the bullish break, making the preference to wait for a retest of $105325 before initiating long positions, rather than simply buying around these levels.
If there was pullback and bounce from $105325, it would improve conviction in the setup, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a tight stop beneath for protection.
If the trade were to move in your favour, the preference would be to wait for a topping pattern or signal to determine whether to hold, take profit or reverse the move.
Octopus is attractive to Buy at these levels Offering 117% GainsThe stock after breaking out its accumulation zone enters the bullish territory and printed a Cup and Handle formation on weekly chart. The stock has successfully broke out the Cup and Handle but went into consolidation after posting bearish divergence. Currently, retraced till 71.8% as per FIB levels and being accumulated for another bullish ride where it can double the investment within next 6 months.
One can start accumulate atleast 25% allocation at these levels with SL at 55. Confirmation to the Target price will be given once weekly closing above 100 is given by the stock where it will validate the journey towards final target price of 165 which is the projection of Cup and Handle formation.
EXIDE offers more than 55% gains on prevailing price LevelsThe stock is in Bullish Momentum, for those, willing to take secure trades, should enter at a price above 1166 for the Target of 1458 potentially can make 25% gain on these levels.
However, anyone wish to take calculated risks, can enter the trade now with the SL of 775, for TP1 of 1101, TP2 of 1264 and TP3 of 1427 with upside potential over 55%
Crypto Insights: Will XRP Price Hold Above $2 After South Korea’
XRP, the native cryptocurrency of Ripple, experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent weeks. Following a sudden dip to $2.13, the price surged by 9%, recovering to $2.45. This dramatic price swing was triggered by South Korea’s sudden decision to ban crypto exchanges from listing XRP. However, the broader market sentiment, fueled by Ripple’s expanding ecosystem and Bitcoin’s bullish rally, has contributed to XRP’s resilience and potential for further growth.
Ripple’s Ecosystem and Bitcoin’s Rally Fuel XRP’s Optimism
Ripple’s growing ecosystem, particularly its focus on cross-border payments and blockchain solutions, has been a major driver of XRP’s price appreciation. The increasing adoption of RippleNet, the company’s blockchain-based payment network, has solidified XRP’s position as a key player in the global financial landscape. Additionally, the recent surge in Bitcoin’s price has positively affected the entire cryptocurrency market, including XRP. As the leading cryptocurrency continues to gain momentum, it is likely to lift the prices of other altcoins, including XRP.
Strong Market Indicators Signal Potential for Further Gains
Several technical indicators suggest that XRP may have further room to grow. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) are two key indicators that can provide valuable insights into a cryptocurrency’s price trend. Currently, XRP’s RSI is hovering around the 50 level, indicating that the asset is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests that there is still potential for further upward movement. Additionally, the MACD line has crossed above the signal line, forming a bullish crossover. This bullish signal suggests that the momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls, and XRP may be poised for a significant price increase.
XRP Price on the Brink of $3: Is a Major Breakout Imminent?
As XRP continues to gain momentum, many analysts believe that the cryptocurrency is on the brink of a major breakout. If the current bullish trend persists, XRP could potentially reach the $3 price level shortly. However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly Therefore, investors should exercise caution and conduct their research before making any investment decisions.
In conclusion, XRP’s recent price surge, strong market indicators, and the upcoming launch of Ripple’s stablecoin suggest that the cryptocurrency has the potential to continue its upward trajectory. However, investors should remain vigilant and monitor market developments closely.
understanding roc obv with rsi indicator ,teslaCombining the Rate of Change (ROC) of On-Balance Volume (OBV) with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) creates a multifaceted technical analysis tool that assesses momentum, volume flow, and potential trend reversals. Here's an overview of this composite indicator:
**Components and Calculations:**
1. **On-Balance Volume (OBV):** OBV measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on up days and subtracting it on down days. A rising OBV suggests buying pressure, while a falling OBV indicates selling pressure.
2. **Rate of Change (ROC) of OBV:** This calculates the percentage change in OBV over a specified period, highlighting the speed at which volume flow changes. The formula is:
\
A positive ROC indicates accelerating volume flow, while a negative ROC suggests decelerating volume flow.
3. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions, oscillating between 0 and 100. Traditionally, RSI values above 70 indicate overbought conditions, and values below 30 indicate oversold conditions.
**Interpretation and Usage:**
- **Trend Continuation:** A rising ROC(OBV) combined with an RSI above 60 may confirm a strong uptrend, suggesting sustained buying momentum.
- **Trend Reversal:** A declining ROC(OBV) alongside an RSI below 40 could signal a potential trend reversal, indicating increasing selling pressure.
- **Threshold Levels:** Incorporating horizontal threshold lines can help identify support or resistance levels. For instance, if ROC(OBV) bounces off a threshold with a corresponding RSI change, it may suggest a pause or continuation in the trend.
**Visualization:**
Some implementations enhance this indicator by coloring the ROC(OBV) line based on RSI values, providing a visual representation of momentum shifts. For example, the line might turn lime when RSI is above 60 and blue when RSI is below 40, offering immediate visual cues for traders.
**Application:**
This composite indicator is particularly useful for assets with significant volume activity. By analyzing both price momentum and volume flow, traders can gain deeper insights into market dynamics, aiding in the identification of trend continuations, reversals, and potential breakout points.
**Example Implementation:**
An example of this indicator is the "Rate of Change of OBV with RSI Color" available on TradingView. This tool combines OBV, ROC, and RSI to monitor momentum and potential trend reversals, with visual enhancements based on RSI values.
By integrating these three analytical tools, traders can develop a more comprehensive understanding of market conditions, improving the accuracy of their trading decisions.
EURGBP Wave Analysis 13 December 2024
- EURGBP reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8350
EURGBP currency pair recently reversed up from the support area set between the long-term support level 0.8210 (former support from the start of 2022) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from the support zone is likely to form the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer, if the pair closes today near the current levels.
Given the oversold weekly Stochastic, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 0.8350.
Long Signal on MORPHOUSDT/Making profit Together /2X-3X LeverageOKX:MORPHOUSDT
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone: 2.44-2.57
⚡️TP:
2.70
2.84
3.03
🔴SL:
2.31
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
JPMorgan: Not the Star of BethlehemThe Christmas season is known for three Wisemen following a light in the night sky to Bethlehem. But another, less jovial star may have settled above the House of Morgan.
The first pattern on today’s chart of JPMorgan Chase is the candle on November 25. Prices jumped above $253 in the first five minutes of that Monday morning, but quickly reversed and closed at $250.29. Some traders may view that as a bearish shooting-star pattern.
JPM proceed to close lower the next six sessions and was soon under $250. Its shares have continued downward, probing above their 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) while mostly closing below it.
That could suggest a short-term downtrend has developed. Falling MACD may provide a similar signal.
Finally, a large gap occurred on November 6 after Donald Trump was reelected President. Could JPM now look to fill some of that space?
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TOMCL taking off for 65% potential gains within next 3 monthsThe stock has recently made a divergence breaking 38.5 will trigger upside journey, however, keeping the SL at 31.7 , one can enter the trade with first TP of 45.6 which will be a gain of 18%.
The second TP of the trade is Rs. 52.65 (total gain from entry point will be 36.7%), however, it will be confirmed once HH of 47.7 is break out
If the HH is broken out, the final Target as per AB=CD pattern would be 61 which is around 58% upside from the entry price and ~65% if the trade is taken immediately with SL of 31.7