SPX500 Maintaining Short-Term Bullish MomentumThe daily chart has been bouncing since moving oversold around the 19th of April. The daily RSI has now moved to the positive side of the indicator.
The SPX500 hourly chart still shows signs of positivity. Its stochasstic indicates a bullish momentum, with no short-term oversold signals.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
M-oscillator
ETHUSDT - Cup & Handle - Bullish ContinuationBINANCE:ETHUSDT is currently forming a cup & handle pattern, which is a bullish continuation pattern. Bullish divergence was also formed on the chart and price has already broken the last lower high. Expecting price to reach projected cup & handle breakout projection!
GOEV -Canoo reverses while TSLA slumps into earnings LONGGOEV was in the $ 4.50 to $5.50 range 1-2 months ago and on the 60 minute chart appears to
be in a round bottom or doble bottom reversal concurrently with TSLA continuing to fall on
the expectation of an earnings miss. GOEV's last earnings was a beat. It burned about half the
cash that the analysts forecasted. The relative trend index indicator suggests a trend up is
developing. A red flag is that volume is at or below the running mean. My plan is to watch
GOEV for a rise in trading volumes before entertaining a long trade here. The Price Volume
product Trend is helpful in that regard. While it currently has a positive slope it is minimal.
I will watch for something a bit steeper. I am expecting the Price Momentum Oscillator will
soon cross the horizontal zero and provide another entry signal.
Civic (CVC)On the above 4-day chart price action has corrected 90% since the sell signal in February 2021. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) You know why..
2) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
3) Strong positive oscillator divergence with price action. Multiple oscillators currently print bullish divergence with price action over 136 days.
4) Point (3) prints on the golden ratio, which is also past support. Look left.
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? no.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: 6%
Timeframe: 1-2 weeks to open
Return: will say somewhere else
DAX building a short-term momentumThe DAX hourly RSI is above 50 and its stochastic is in its upper quartile. These suggests a short-term positive momentum. Core PCE out later is likely to influence risk sentiment. In that regard keep an eye on the hourly stochastic - if it starts to slip, the short-term momentum will be waning. If it holds, the sentiment will be biased towards risk-on.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Why I Think USDCAD Will Sell This Week...Technical Analysis Hey Rich Friends,
Happy Tuesday! Here is my technical analysis for USDCAD. Always check the news and cross-reference the indicators on your chart before entering any trades. I think that there are opportunities to sell and here is what I am looking at:
- The market has already rejected a previous supply zone on the weekly time frame
- There is an evening star pattern that has formed, which is a bearish reversal confirmation
- The fast line (blue) of the STOCH has crossed below the 80 line, and is facing down and the slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue), which confirms the bearish trend for me
Signals to wait for before entering at market execution:
- Wait for the slow line (orange) on the STOCH to also cross below the 80 line
- Wait for the 3 EMA (blue) to cross above the 10 EMA (purple)
I have entered this trade at market execution but I also have pending sell limit orders for this trade. My SL will be above a previous high and my TPs will target previous lows.
Great luck if you get into this trade and happy trading!
Peace and Profits,
Cha
$SPY April 26, 2024AMEX:SPY April 26, 2024
15 Minutes.
The expected long was nullified by gap down.
But AMEX:SPY managed to close near 502 levels.
Now we have all moving averages consolidated together.
I have Elliott oscillator green, CCI green and stochastics above 75 with no black bar on top.
Now for the rise from 493.86 to 507.37 AMEX:SPY retraced more than 61.8%.
Also, we have multiple resistance around 506 levels in chart as it can be seen.
For the fall from 515.30 to 493.86 we have 61.8% retracement around 507 levels.
I expect AMEX:SPY to be in the range 507 to 510 on upside today, provided it holds 502 levels.
If that happens then we can assume AMEX:SPY managed to hold 100 days in daily and 21 in weekly, there by setting up a buy above 515 levels for next week.
I will go long only above 514 - 515 levels.
For the day as moving averages have converged, if AMEX:SPY opened gap up I will wait for first 15 minutes, and if close of bar is near low I will short for 503-504 as targets provided the gap open is around 507 to 510 levels with SL high of bar or 511.
The reason is for the fall 524 to 493, 512 is approximately 61.8% of retracement for the fall.
Hence I have a buy only above 514 levels.
Gold holding at support, short-term positivityGold has found support and may be charting a swing low. The shorter-term traders look to be positioning for a positive swing.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Potential To Go UpBased off this time frame, where support is being currently held. I based off the chart data believe BTC will rise from this spot, if not it may want to tap the golden ratio 0.618 - 0.65 before regaining its rise. RSI and Stoch RSI is low, oversold, and price is also holding support but i would not be suprised if BTC dropped to the golden ratio before rising again. I would set the trade up now and more buys at the golden ratio with stops at the level shown in red dashed line. The stoch rsi may form a lowering resistance, like the highs will get lower and lower like a triangle crushing it and then it will pop and price jumps as well.
Bitcoin Price Prediction !!Bitcoin has been trading sideways within a broad range for an extended period, frustrating traders who have been eagerly anticipating a breakout. The current price action suggests that a significant move, either upwards or downwards, is imminent. In this analysis, we will explore two potential bearish scenarios and one bullish breakout scenario, along with key factors influencing price movements.
Key Factors to Consider
Declining Bitcoin Dominance: Bitcoin's dominance over the altcoin market is gradually decreasing, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment. This could lead to a redistribution of funds across the cryptocurrency landscape.
RSI Nearing Critical Zone: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly timeframe is approaching the 70 level, which is considered a bearish zone. A break below 70, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, could signal a significant decline in Bitcoin's price.
Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown
In this scenario, Bitcoin fails to break above the current range and experiences a bearish breakdown.
Rejection at 68,000: Bitcoin could face resistance at the 68,000 level, triggering a drop towards 60,000. This rejection could be due to profit-taking by traders who have accumulated at lower prices.
Liquidity Vacuum at 60,000: The 60,000 zone has witnessed significant outflows, with many traders selling their Bitcoin holdings. This lack of liquidity could amplify the downward move.
Further Decline to 56,700 and 52,000: If the selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could extend its decline to 56,700 and eventually reach 52,000, representing a significant bearish target. These levels have historical support and could act as potential buying zones.
Scenario 2: Temporary Pullback Followed by Rebound
In this alternative scenario, Bitcoin experiences a temporary pullback before resuming its upward trajectory.
Retest and Consolidation at 73,800: Bitcoin could retrace to the 73,800 area, allowing whales (large cryptocurrency holders) to accumulate and prepare for a potential breakout. This consolidation phase could provide support for the price.
Potential Sell-off at 73,800: Once the accumulation phase is complete, a sell-off could ensue, pushing the price back towards 60,000 and 52,000. This sell-off could be triggered by profit-taking from whales or a shift in market sentiment.
Bullish Breakout:
If Bitcoin manages to close a daily candle above 74,400, it could invalidate the bearish scenarios and potentially signal a breakout towards 81,000, marking the start of a new bullish cycle. This breakout could be driven by positive news, increased institutional adoption, or a surge in buying pressure.
Conclusion
The current price action of Bitcoin suggests a higher probability of a bearish move in the near term. The declining Bitcoin dominance, the RSI approaching the critical zone, and the historical support levels at 60,000 and 52,000 all point towards a potential downward trend. However, the possibility of a temporary pullback followed by a rebound or a bullish breakout cannot be entirely ruled out. Traders should exercise caution and carefully monitor market developments before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on technical indicators and market observations and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research and make informed trading decisions based on your risk tolerance.
Which one do you like?
AUD/USD Rises on Hotter than Expected AU InflationAUD/USD rises today as inflation data from Australia came in higher than anticipated. March CPI accelerated for the first the first time in months (+3.5% y/y), Q1 rose 1% q/q (from +0.6% prior) and on a yearly basis it came in at 3.6%, which was above forecast.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has refrained from raising rates for the past three meetings and has hinted at peak rates, but has not ruled out further hikes and seems far from cuts. Its US peer on the other hand, has pointed to multiple rate cuts this year, despite adopting a conservative approach.
The hotter than expected inflation report makes an RBA pivot less likely and boosts AUD/USD further. It had already made a strong start to the week, since the contraction in US manufacturing activity offered a sign of weakness for the US economy that could help the Fed lower interest rates. The pair tries to take out the EMA200 that could pause the bearish bias and give it the opportunity to challenge the March highs (06668).
However, the immediate upside appears unfriendly, with multiple roadblocks and the Relative Strength Index points to overbought conditions. Furthermore, the recent hawkish repricing around the Fed’s policy path will likely continue to weigh on the pair, while Australia’s Q1 y/y inflation showed further moderation.
As such, AUD/USD is likely to face renewed pressure that can lead to new 2024 lows (0.6362), although sustained weakness towards and beyond 0.6269 does not look easy.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
$KAVA may skip the 2024 Bull RunBINANCE:KAVAUSDT , 1d
After reaching failing to break it’s 2024 high around the $1.15 area, price created a lower high and broke below the 200SMA forming a lower low. This creates a bearish sentiment for KAVA.
The downward trendline aligns with the stiff resistance created by 200SMA and previous support turned resistance. This is a key level where bears will look for shorting opportunities. Keep an eye on the charts and wait for price reaction to initiate a trade.
The only indicator making a bullish case for KAVA is the bullish MACD crossover but price has to ultimately breakout of the downward trendline and 200SMA and remain above it to bring back the bullish sentiment.
As always, “anything can happen” so let the market unfold and react accordingly. #DYOR
DAX making progress off of Friday lowThe DAX is showing relative strength following Friday's low. The hourly chart may be running out of puff, but that will bring support levels into focus.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
BTCUSDT1. Each of the last 2 Daily bullish MACD Crosses below the Zero line lead to a GETTEX:25K increase in BTC over the following months.
2. $90K is coming sooner than you think and my guess would be August 2024 given things are now accelerating.
3. $90k will be another local top with my next best guess with the final top at $115k-$120k coming in November 2024 based on CRYPTOCAP:BTC rainbow chart.
TSLA still on the sideline NASDAQ:TSLA showing signs of a reversal on the daily chart. Momentum indicators (middle) suggest strength to the upside although volume (bottom) is weak and for this reason I will remain on the sidelines at this point in time.
PS. The volume indicator is a proprietary oscillator that combines both Chakin Money Flow and On Balance Volume Flow concepts. It is used as a trade filter.