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M-oscillator

AMZN 6/6/2022AMZN Jeff Bezos sold at the top and bought a yacht while The Jeff Bozos the clowns will buy the stock split thinking they’re getting a good deal. That last leg of AMZN Uptrend which respected 50ema, started April ’20 and topped out Sept.’20. It closed below the 50ema that Sept. and price entered a Sideways market AMZN moved sideways from Sept.’20 thru Jan.’22. During this time, Good ‘ol Jeff Bezos jumped ship Nov.5th ’21 @ 179 and jumped into an enormous yacht. The sly dog knew what was coming and exited at the top. Jan’22 price broke down from this sideways range and confirmed the range to be a Distribution stage. Price fell from 165 down to 136. During this time, we also had Death Cross between the 50 & 200 ema to further signal the bearish conditions. Price pulled back from 136 twice to previous Support looking to turn it into resistance. The market was very nice to the “investor”, gave them two chances to exit. On the second pullback to resistance, we also had an Overbought Stochastic reading. This was our 1st entry to enter trade short. This short entry saw price move from 167 down to 102. This breakdown saw price make a lower low and confirmed the start of the downtrend for AMZN. From the lower low made at 102, price pulled back to the 50ema which is acting as Dynamic Resistance level. Currently, we also have an Overbought Stochastic reading. This is the second entry to trade short. Downtrend + Pullback to resistance + Overbought Stochastic = Short Trade Entry Entering trade short. Entry: 124.79 Stoploss: 139 Target #1: 101.61, 18.56%, 1.63 RR ratio Target #2: 83.86, 32.79%, 2.87 RR ratio
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by rudcharts
36
FL 9/14/2022 FL Daily chart analysis FL has been in a downtrend for quite some time now. It has now pulled back to the downtrend line it has created. This area will be considered an area of value. We have stochastic reading just coming down from overbought We also have the MACD just crossing under its signal. Downtrend + Overbought stochastic + Pullback to area of value = Short trade entry Entering trade short Entry: 37.53 Stop loss: 41.92(-11.70%) Target: 24.76, +34.03%, 2.91 RR ratio
NYSE:FLShort
by rudcharts
6
BTC correcting, This isn't a crash smmfhCrash talk🫠 Talk of manipulation and fake outs should have been anticipated weeks ago. Markets refusing to react appropriately after consecutive weeks of high cpi readings and then a super hawkish Jerome Powell speech was crazy work. Bitcoin is still in bull territory for this consolidation range. 🫠 Many are calling crash already, lol. A 20% correction would be at 86k which is where the bottom of the consolidation is at on daily timeframe. That wouldn't even be considered a crash as 20% is normal for btc in bull environments. Areas of interets: Bullish mitigation block (the gray rectangle). Vwap: (green)Anchored below the Nov. 5th trump pump candle which is being tested 50 ema: (dark blue ema) being tested for first time on daily time frame 💡I also anchored a volume profile at the Nov. 5th trump pump and value area low also coincidences with the areas of interest. 💡Daily stochastic is oversold riding the floor and the daily rsi is below 50 with chance of making bullish divergences with prior lows
Long
by CryptoFuze
2
The Relative Strength Index (RSI): A Beginner’s GuideThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most widely used technical indicators in trading. Developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, it helps traders evaluate the momentum of a market and identify overbought or oversold conditions. What is RSI? RSI is an oscillator that measures the speed and magnitude of price changes over a specific period, typically 14 periods. It provides a value between 0 and 100, which helps traders gauge whether an asset is overbought or oversold. Overbought: RSI above 70 suggests the asset might be overbought and due for a correction. Oversold: RSI below 30 indicates the asset might be oversold and due for a rebound. The RSI Formula The RSI is calculated as: Where: RS= Average Gain of Up Periods (over the lookback period) / Average Loss of Down Periods (over the lookback period) How to Interpret RSI 1. Overbought and Oversold Levels: - When RSI crosses above 70, it may signal that the asset is overbought and could experience a price decline. - When RSI drops below 30, it may indicate that the asset is oversold and could see a price increase. 2. Divergence: - Bullish Divergence: When the price makes lower lows, but RSI makes higher lows, it suggests a potential upward reversal. - Bearish Divergence: When the price makes higher highs, but RSI makes lower highs, it indicates a potential downward reversal. 3. Centerline Crossover: - RSI crossing above 50 is often viewed as a bullish signal, indicating upward momentum. - RSI crossing below 50 suggests bearish momentum. Strengths of RSI - Versatility: Works well in a variety of markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes. - Simplicity: Easy to interpret for beginners. - Divergences: Offers insight into potential trend reversals. Limitations of RSI - False Signals**: RSI can provide false overbought/oversold signals in strong trending markets. - Lagging Indicator: Like most indicators, RSI relies on historical data, which may delay signals. Best Practices for Using RSI 1. Combine with Other Indicators: - Use RSI with trend-following indicators like Moving Averages or MACD to filter out false signals. - Pair it with support and resistance levels to validate potential reversals. 2. Adjust the Period: - Shorten the period (e.g., 7 or 9) for more sensitive signals. - Lengthen the period (e.g., 20 or 30) for smoother, less frequent signals. 3. Context Matters: - In a trending market, RSI may remain overbought or oversold for extended periods. Use it cautiously in such conditions. Example of RSI in Action Imagine a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin has been rallying for several days, and the RSI rises above 70. This suggests that Bitcoin might be overbought, and a pullback could occur soon. However, if the market trend is strong, Bitcoin’s RSI could stay above 70 for an extended period. Combining RSI with trend analysis or support/resistance levels can provide better insights. Conclusion The RSI is a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand market momentum and potential reversal points. While it’s simple to use, its effectiveness increases when combined with other indicators and market context. As always, practice using RSI on historical data before applying it to live trades, and remember that no single indicator guarantees success
Education
by CobraVanguard
4
Nobody appreciates it !!!The price is within an ascending wedge and this can be a bullish signal for Dogecoin. However, we need to wait for this wedge to be broken and then wait for the price to rise. Currently, the price can be bearish because more funds have been injected into Bitcoin to allow Bitcoin to find more stability in the coming days. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
10
$OTHERS Alts Catching A Bid vs $BTCEveryone kicking themselves for not taking profits on Alts because they’re almost back to where they were before this whole run up when Trump won 😭 Today, Alts dumped to just 10% above their ₿itcoin pairs. Lesson Here: If you're gonna trade Alts, make sure to continuously take profits back into CRYPTOCAP:BTC Good News: the market looks to be bidding Alts > BTC rn on this dip, signaling Alt Season around the corner 💯 Notice RSI, Ascending Volume and Bullish Hammer 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by jonnieking
DAX - short term correction currently very Overbought!Hi guys, we are following up with our next opportunity DAX : Currently it has been perfoming fantastic as being part of the biggest Economy in Europe, and it reached a glorious All time High, following up with the western Indices , SP500,NASDAQ100 and Dow Jones. Currently the price has reached a very overbought level based on the RSI check on 1H time frame and 4H time frame, so for the time being I am looking into a short term correction with a follow up to maybe break down the current all time high and get passed it. Entry : 20,400 Target : 19,916 Let's see how things are going to formulate and move from there. As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
XETR:DAXShort
by DG55Capital
4
CYCLE 4 | BTC If Perfect Cycle - ATM Target Zone [For Fun]IF PERFECT CYCLE - ATM TARGET ZONE For this post (just for fun) if BTC is allowed to run to it historic tends this cycle, then I have marketed the projected 'ATH Target Zone', based on the current state of my price modelling, cycle mapping, oscillators, indicators and technical analysis tends. Weekly RSI - CURRENT ANALYSIS While the weekly RSI bearish divergence (yet to be locked in) looks eerily familiar to our double peak top the 2021 cycle, if this does eventuate then we will be looking for BULLs to continually invalidate similar to the 2017 bull run. If there is a reasonable pull back at this point (30% to 40% pull back) and we retest and hold the 21W EMA 20W SMA, then this would be consistent with the 2017 bull run at this point in the cycle and we would then want to see bulls invalidate the bearish divergence on the weekly RSI to have confidence in the possibility of more upward price action ahead. FOLLOW ALONG WITH THIS POST! What do you think about this chart? Am I too bullish or bearish with this zone? Will be fun to track this moving forward.
Long
by Brodie
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period... BULL MARKET PULL BACKS Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels. The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE). We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post). ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING? As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market. CME GAP Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles. To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post. The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close. NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle. 21W EMA & 20W SMA Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC. ORANGE TREND LINE Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher. * Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top. * Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s). Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
CME:BTC1!
by Brodie
Or do we have to wait for longer?Here we assume that XRP won't go after the ATH just yet. We will have to see if #Bitcoin chills out for a moment and starts either distributing or slightly correcting to $98-100K regions. We can then assume the corrective wave (primary W4) will be deeper or a more complex variant (here presumed an expanded flat). The flat correction would allow for consolidation and a potential RSI reset, possibly forming a bullish divergence to signal a reversal which is typical between waves 3 and 5. A clear break of the lower trendline and failure to hold $1.97 would validate this scenario. The invalidation for this scenario will be taking out the recently set high at $2.9. Given the corrective nature of expanded flats, completion of this structure could extend into early 2025, aligning with broader market uncertainties and potential shifts in macro sentiment.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by amourification
2
Can we set a new ATH before 2025?This scenario presents a classic Ending Diagonal structure for Primary Wave (5), where XRP has likely completed Wave (4) near $1.90 and is now advancing upward to set new ATH. After entering price discovery and everybody FOMOs in, a significant portion of HODLers will start taking profits which will slow down the momentum and eventually leads to the formation of a bearish divergence marking the end of the impulse. The first major resistance is the current high at $2.9 then the 2017's ATH at $3.31, from which we can expect a smaller degree correction. For this scenario to unfold, we will need a steady momentum. Then we can expect it to set a new ATH before the end of year. Personally, my targets for this would be somewhere between $4 and $7 by late Jan to early Feb 2025, given the current pace and Trump's inauguration (and maybe SEC settlement?).
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by amourification
2
AES Corporation - Short term view with strong supportSo first of all both price and indicators are confirming the downtrend. Today NYSE:AES opened with a gap succeeding yesterday's equilibrium in price with doji candles. The price is still in the middle of the regression line and in the next few days the price don't seems to be close to upper 2 SD. In the print above the yellow line shows the support at $11.43. The image's time horizon starts at the end of 2006. Furthermore looking at short ratio available online the value is about 2,7 from mid October as well as more than 22M short interest
NYSE:AESShort
by AFCapital21
Bitcoin: Hold now, buy laterHello, Bitcoin is a clear uptrend as the price is above the moving averages, as the picture on the left side of the chart shows. Technical indicators like Ultimate Oscillator, ADX, MOM, and MACD are bullish. However, RSI indicators are overbought, which means Bitcoin might go higher, but there'll be a better time to buy when the market corrects the overbought conditions. I hold my Bitcoins, but I won't buy any more until the upcoming correction, which might come soon. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
Nasdaq Bounce or Break? 21340 Becomes the BattlegroundNasdaq futures may have seen an ugly decline following the Fed’s rate decision but it’s noteworthy the price remained respectful of technical levels, bouncing off 21340.75 at the height of the carnage. It’s far too early to call a bottom, especially with momentum indicators mixed: MACD has crossed over from above, generating a bearish signal, but the long-running uptrend in RSI (14) remains intact. Therefore, rather than trying to anticipate directional risks based on thin volumes going through in Asian trade, I’d much rather see how the price action evolves into Europe and US. If the price tests and holds again 21340.75, longs could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection. Apart from a minor level at 21608, there’s little visual resistance until the record highs. Alternatively, if the price breaks 21340.75 and cannot reverse back higher, you could flip the setup around, selling beneath the level with a stop above for protection. 20984 and important 50-day moving average are nearby levels of note, with a break of the latter opening the possibility of a deeper flush towards 20400. More broadly, for the carnage witnessed following the Fed, its updated rate projections were not significantly different to what traders were anticipating before the event. And when you step back and look at where markets see the funds rate bottoming this cycle, it’s around 70bps higher than where the Fed’s dot plot indicated. What the Fed signalled was a slower pace of cuts, not a large reduction in cuts. One 25bps move was removed from the profile by the end of 2027. That’s it. Based on the market reaction, you’d think multiple cuts were removed! That makes me think the move was more about market positioning rather than a truly monumental hawkish shift, making me question how long the rout can be sustained when that reality sets in.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by FOREXcom