Bitcoin (BTC) - Comparing 2020 vs 2024#BTC/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ After the Bitcoin halving, the expected price correction began in late 2019 and continued through the first quarter of 2020.
+ In 2020, BTC was anticipated to break out from resistance after 35 weeks of correction. However, due to the unexpected COVID-19 black swan event, the price experienced an even further decline.
+ Currently, we are observing a similar pattern following the 2024 Bitcoin halving. The price correction began as expected, and last week, there was an additional 33% drop from the peak (compared to a 53% drop in 2020).
+ If the recovery follows a normal pattern, the price is expected to break out from resistance after 35 weeks of correction, which would occur in November 2024.
+ If another black swan event were to occur, the price could potentially crash further, dropping to the 37K-40K range. However, this is unlikely unless such an event happens.
+ Let’s see how this situation unfolds.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
M-pattern
BAKE: Breakout will push price by 200%#BAKE/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ BAKE has repeatedly retested a key support zone, demonstrating resilience as the price continues to hold strong at this level. The latest test of this support presents a potential opportunity for a bounce back.
+ Multiple Retests: The price has tested this support zone multiple times, each time holding firm, which reinforces the strength of this level.
+ Current Setup: The price has once again hit the support, and we anticipate a bounce back from this zone, offering a favorable setup for a long trade.
+ Trade Opportunity: Given the consistent strength of this support zone, entering a long position with a target based on the expected bounce could be a promising strategy.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 0.2918
Stop Loss: 0.1790
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Target 1: 0.3442
Target 2: 0.4085
Target 3: 0.5613
Target 4: 0.8131
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Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
Bitcoin Dumping: Just A Little More!In my last BTC analysis I talked about the post-ETF sell-off that BTC saw, and which would likely trigger after the Ethereum ETF.
We're now a few days after the fact and crypto is selling off hard, especially the alts.
In my opinion, it's likely that BTC will keep on going down. We might see a short-term reversal in the near future due to being extremely oversold, but in the end I assume we will still revisit the green area as mentioned in this analysis:
The green area is an ideal entry for the bulls. Ideally, it's paired with a daily oversold RSI.
At the moment, my market outlook is neutral. Will switch bullish when we will break through the top yellow resistance and bearish if we fall through the bottom purple support.
Interested to read your BTC outlook in the comments.
Double Bottom w/ Break of Confirmation!! - EGHere I have EUR/GBP on the Daily chart!
The Lows @ .83972 & .83827 seem to have found enough Support in this Zone since its last visit back in the summer of 2022!
After BOE decided to cut their Interest Rates to 5% on Thursday, we see the end of the week gave us quite a Bullish close above the Lower High @ .8490 CONFIRMING the Double Bottom Reversal Pattern!!
With the:
-Divergence of Price vs RSI @ Level of Support
-Break of Structure from LL to HH
-and Price on RSI Above 50
*All that's left is to wait for Price to retrace back down to the .8490 area where the Break of Confirmation of Pattern happened for some potential Buy Opportunities!!
Gold Price Explosion? Key Patterns Indicating Major Moves Ahead!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD
Overview
The chart presents the price action of Gold Spot (XAUUSD). Key technical patterns and significant support/resistance levels are highlighted to provide insights into potential price movements.
Key Patterns and Levels
Descending Channel:
The price previously moved within a descending channel, marked by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), indicating a downtrend.
The breakout from the descending channel suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Support/Resistance Levels:
HTF (Higher Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A crucial level providing a foundation for significant price movements, shown with blue lines.
LTF (Lower Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A lower time frame level within the channel, highlighting short-term price actions.
1HR Double Top: A resistance level around 2458.3 where the price is currently facing a decision point.
Bullish Patterns:
3 Touch Flag: A bullish flag pattern with three touches indicating potential continuation if the price breaks above the resistance.
Daily Bull Flag: A larger time frame bull flag pattern suggests a bullish continuation if the price breaks above the upper boundary.
Liquidity Zones:
Weekly LQZ: A liquidity zone around 2484, which acts as a significant resistance level.
Daily LQZ: A zone around 2348.8 providing a major support level.
Current Market Conditions:
The price is currently testing the 1HR double top resistance. A rejection at this level could indicate a potential short position, while a clear break above could confirm a long position.
Trading Strategy:
Wait for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a clear rejection or break above the 1HR double top to determine the direction of their positions.
Monitor Key Levels: Keep an eye on the support/resistance levels and liquidity zones to gauge potential price movements and market sentiment.
Conclusion:
Gold is at a critical juncture with significant patterns indicating possible major moves ahead. Traders should closely monitor the 1HR double top and key support/resistance levels to make informed trading decisions.
Ethereum ETF Launch Causing Temporary Crypto Dump!Last week was the official launch of the long anticipated Ethereum spot ETF. Sadly, the markets dumped right after trading went life.
We have seen the exact same thing happen earlier this year with the BTC spot ETF launch, where the ETF lost over 26% of its value in the first 7 trading days. The Ethereum ETF is currently trading at -12% after 7 trading days.
Historically, great crypto news has ALWAYS caused some kind of dump. See the analysis below for reference:
Although we're going down, I think it's a merely temporary dump. Like mentioned in my most recent BTC analysis, I think that the green area on the chart is the perfect area to start buying in again in the hopes of a turnaround in the ETF's trading direction.
Share your thoughts on whether this analysis makes sense or not. Happy to hear what you think!
EUR/USD Market Trends: Insights and ForecastsRecent Movement: The price has been relatively volatile in the recent period, with several ups and downs. Currently, the price is trading slightly above the key support level around 1.0825.
Support and Resistance: The horizontal lines drawn on the chart suggest potential support and resistance levels. A break above the nearest resistance level around 1.0850 could signal further upward momentum, while a break below the support level around 1.0825 could indicate potential weakness.
Trend: It is difficult to definitively identify a clear trend based on this timeframe. The price has been fluctuating between support and resistance levels, suggesting a potential sideways or ranging market.
Short-Term (Next Few Days): The price is currently near a key support level. If it holds above this level, we might see a retest of the resistance level around 1.0850. However, a break below the support could lead to further downside.
Medium-Term (Next Week): The overall trend remains unclear. A sustained move above the resistance level could signal a bullish bias, while a sustained move below the support level could indicate a bearish bias
This Simple Error Cost Me Big on XAUUSD! Learn From My Mistakes!Key Levels and Zones
Highs and Lows:
HH (Higher High) and LH (Lower High) are marked on the chart.
The chart shows a recent HH and LH indicating a bullish trend with a potential pullback.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
4HR LQZ at 2474.891: This zone might act as a significant resistance level.
4HR LQZ at 2432.126 - 2432.046: This zone was previously a resistance level that may now act as support.
4HR LQZ at 2348.453: Another support zone lower on the chart.
Daily Bull Flag:
A daily bull flag is drawn, suggesting a potential continuation of the bullish trend if the price breaks out upwards.
Trading Plan
Identify Key Zones:
Mark key support and resistance levels on your trading platform.
Wait for Confirmation:
Look for confirmation signals (candlestick patterns, volume spikes) before entering a trade.
Set Alerts:
Use trading alerts to get notified when the price reaches key levels.
Risk Management:
Always use a stop loss to protect your capital.
Ensure your risk-reward ratio is at least 1:2.
Review and Adjust:
Regularly review your trades and adjust your strategy based on market conditions.
Gold Breakout Imminent? Uncover the Explosive Potential of GOLD!Current Trend
Bull Flag Formation: The chart indicates a bull flag pattern, a bullish continuation pattern that usually occurs after a strong uptrend (flagpole). The consolidation within the flag is typically a pause before the next upward move.
Trendlines: The yellow trendlines outlining the flag suggest that the price is currently testing the upper boundary of this consolidation range.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
78.60%: This level is around 2431.637 (coincides with a 4HR LQZ), acting as a strong resistance zone.
61.80%: Around 2410.880, which the current price has just crossed, potentially indicating bullish momentum.
50.00%: Around 2393.940, served as a support level during the consolidation.
38.20%: Around 2372.760, another support level during the consolidation.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ)
4HR LQZ at 2431.637: A significant resistance zone that aligns with the 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level. This is a critical area to watch for potential price reaction.
4HR LQZ at 2349.449: A key support zone which held during the recent consolidation phase.
Price Action
Current Price: At 2410.880, the price is approaching the critical resistance at the 4HR LQZ (2431.637).
Breakout Potential: If the price can break and hold above the 2431.637 level, it may confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, targeting higher liquidity zones.
Support Levels: The price needs to stay above the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level (2410.880) to maintain bullish momentum. A drop below could lead to further consolidation or a bearish reversal.
Daily Bull Flag
Upper Trendline: The price nearing the upper trendline of the daily bull flag indicates potential breakout if breached.
Lower Trendline: Support if the price pulls back.
Trading Strategy
Long Entry:
Upon a confirmed breakout above the 4HR LQZ at 2431.637, with a potential target of the next daily liquidity zone at 2475.281.
Use the 50.00% retracement level (2393.940) as a support for placing stop-loss to protect against downside risk.
Short Entry:
If the price fails to break above the 4HR LQZ and shows bearish reversal signs, a short trade could be considered with a target back to the lower 4HR LQZ at 2349.449.
Use the current price level (2410.880) as a resistance for stop-loss placement.
Risk Management:
Utilize appropriate position sizing and risk management to account for volatility and potential price fluctuations.
Summary
Bullish Outlook: If the price breaks above the 2431.637 level, indicating a continuation of the bull flag pattern, with targets at 2475.281 and beyond.
Bearish Outlook: If the price fails to break above 2431.637 and shows a reversal, potential downside targets include 2393.940 and 2349.449.
Monitoring the price action around these critical levels will be crucial in determining the next significant move for XAUUSD.
Gold Hit Liquidity Zone: Bullish Sentiment Ahead?So, gold quotes have hit the 'liquidity zone', where buyers trading the 'Engulfing' pattern are lurking, and we're seeing a breakout of the local high (on lower timeframes).
You know the mantra: the market is always hunting for liquidity. Here's a textbook example.
These zones have a solid predictive sentiment. If the quotes continue to 'chop' within a narrow range, having reached such a zone, then there's a higher probability of further upside movement, in other words, the market is kinda benevolent towards stuck bulls and doesn't want to see their blood spilled anymore."
Gold's Next Big Move: Will It Skyrocket or Plummet? Expert View!Major Support / Resistance Zone:
This zone is marked clearly on the chart and acts as a significant level where price has previously reversed or consolidated. It's crucial to monitor how price reacts around this area.
Wave Analysis:
The chart shows a clear Elliott Wave structure, with a 5-wave pattern identified. Waves (1) to (5) represent the motive waves, and the correction waves are seen in between.
Bearish Flag #1 and #2:
These flags indicate periods of consolidation following a downward movement, suggesting potential for continuation to the downside. They are often characterized by lower highs and lower lows forming within a channel.
Descending Channel:
The descending channel provides a clear bearish structure, with price making lower highs and lower lows. This channel acts as a guide for potential price movement, indicating bearish sentiment as long as the price remains within this structure.
Daily Bull Flag:
This larger bullish flag formation suggests a longer-term bullish potential if price breaks above the flag's upper boundary. It's a key pattern to watch for potential upside.
1HR LQZ / Reversal Zone:
This liquidity zone (LQZ) is marked as an area where a significant amount of orders might be present, potentially leading to reversals or significant price reactions.
4HR LQZ:
Similar to the 1HR LQZ, but observed on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting a more significant potential reversal or consolidation area.
Bullish Potential:
If the price breaks above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Zone and the descending channel, there is a bullish potential up to the levels marked on the chart. The structure would need confirmation through higher highs and higher lows.
Bearish Potential:
If the price fails to break above the descending channel and instead moves below the 4HR LQZ, a bearish continuation is likely, potentially targeting lower support levels.
Summary
The chart indicates a potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios depending on how the price reacts to the identified key levels (major support/resistance zone, 1HR and 4HR LQZs, and the descending channel).
Bullish scenario: Break above the 1HR LQZ and the descending channel, leading to a continuation towards higher levels.
Bearish scenario: Failure to break above the descending channel and a move below the 4HR LQZ, indicating a continuation to the downside.
This analysis should help in making informed trading decisions based on the observed technical patterns and key levels.
#Magic 1D chartOMXTSE:MAGIC 1D chart;
The first thing that catches our eye is that the price is back to the December 2022 level where it was listed
The highest level it has ever seen is 5x
It is currently in the bargain zone and it is possible to say that the price is working strongly at the lowest support level of $0.4142
As long as it does not lose this place, there does not seem to be a problem.
After the squeeze with the falling trend lines, it is possible to see a sharp upward movement if the market allows.
In the short term, $ 1 can be considered as the first target.
Unveiling the Secret Masons' Trading Strategy for ANKR/USDT Hey everyone! 🎉
Guess what? We’ve got some super exciting news for you today! 🎊 We’ve been working our magic behind the scenes, keeping our strategy a top-secret recipe 🍲, but now, it’s time to reveal a little bit of the Masons' magic 🧙♂️✨! And not just any Masons – we’re talking about the big Masons who control the world! 🌍🔮
Targets and Fun Stuff:
Current Price: ANKR is hanging out at around 0.03069 USDT. 🤑
Support Levels:
Primary Support: 0.02787 USDT – This is our cozy little safety net. 🛏️
Secondary Support: 0.02220 USDT – Extra cushion just in case! 🛋️
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: 0.03356 USDT – First checkpoint, here we come! 🚀
Second Resistance: 0.03894 USDT – Next stop, a bit higher! ⏫
Third Resistance: 0.04338 USDT – Keep climbing! 🧗
Fourth Resistance: 0.04995 USDT – Almost there! 🏁
Fifth Resistance: 0.05292 USDT – Boom, we’ve arrived! 🎯
Our Master Plan:
Initial Target: 0.03356 USDT – Easy peasy, lemon squeezy! 🍋
Intermediate Target: 0.03894 USDT – Let’s go higher! 🎈
Extended Target: 0.04338 USDT – We’re on a roll! 🏄
Ultimate Targets: 0.04995 USDT and 0.05292 USDT – Jackpot! 🎰
Stop-Loss:
To keep things safe, we’ve got our stop-loss just below the primary support at 0.02787 USDT. It’s like our trusty parachute 🪂 in case things go south!
Why the Secrecy?
We’ve been keeping our strategy under wraps because, well, where’s the fun in giving away all our secrets? 🤐 But now, it’s time to share the love and show you the power of the Masons' work! 🏰🔮
The Big Reveal:
So, get ready to witness some serious market magic. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just dipping your toes in the crypto waters, we’ve got something exciting lined up for you! 🌊💸
Remember, we know what we’re doing, and we’re here to prove that a little bit of the Masons' magic goes a long way. Buckle up, enjoy the ride, and let’s make some gains together! 🚀💰
Stay awesome and happy trading! 😎✨
Your friendly neighborhood Masons 🧙♂️🧙♀️
Missed the XAUUSD Move? Here’s What You Overlooked!1. Daily Trendline
Description: The yellow trendline running across the chart represents the overall upward trend on the daily timeframe. It shows that despite the recent fluctuations, the long-term trend has been bullish.
Significance: This trendline serves as a dynamic support level. Traders often look for price action around this trendline to gauge the strength of the ongoing trend. A break below this trendline could signal a potential reversal or a stronger bearish movement.
2. Ascending Channel
Larger Ascending Channel:
Description: This channel is characterized by two parallel lines (yellow) sloping upwards. The price has been moving within this channel for a considerable period.
Significance: The upper boundary acts as resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. The price breaking below the lower boundary can indicate the end of the bullish trend and the beginning of a bearish trend.
Smaller Ascending Channel:
Description: A smaller channel within the larger context, indicating a shorter-term upward movement.
Significance: The break below this smaller channel, as shown on the chart, signifies a potential reversal or correction within the larger trend.
3. Support/Resistance
Description: Horizontal lines marked as support and resistance represent key price levels where the price has historically faced buying or selling pressure.
Significance: These levels are crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points. The support level acts as a floor where buying interest is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Conversely, the resistance level acts as a ceiling where selling interest prevents the price from rising further.
4. Higher High (HH) and Lower High (LH)
HH (Higher High):
Description: A peak higher than the previous peak, indicating the continuation of an uptrend.
Significance: The formation of a higher high typically signals bullish momentum. However, in this case, the subsequent failure to maintain this level and the formation of a lower high (LH) suggests weakening bullish strength.
LH (Lower High):
Description: A peak lower than the previous peak, indicating potential trend reversal.
Significance: The lower high after a higher high is a bearish signal, suggesting that buyers are losing control and sellers are gaining strength.
5. 15M/5M Bear Flag Entry
Description: A bear flag pattern on the 15-minute and 5-minute timeframes is highlighted. This pattern consists of a sharp decline followed by a short consolidation in the form of an upward-sloping channel (flag).
Significance: The bear flag is a continuation pattern, indicating that after a brief consolidation, the price is likely to continue its downward movement. The breakout from this flag pattern provides a potential entry point for short positions.
6. Target Profit Levels (TP 1 and Daily LQZ/TP 2)
TP 1 (2,347.560):
Description: The first target profit level is set at 2,347.560.
Significance: This level is likely determined based on historical support levels or a measured move from the recent price action. Traders might look to take partial profits or exit their positions at this level.
Daily LQZ/TP 2 (2,265.195):
Description: The second target profit level is set at 2,265.195, which aligns with the daily liquidity zone.
Significance: This is a more ambitious target, potentially indicating a stronger bearish move. The liquidity zone suggests an area with significant trading volume, which could act as a magnet for the price.
Conclusion
The chart presents a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD (Gold Spot) with multiple technical indicators suggesting a potential bearish outlook. The breakdown from the ascending channels, the formation of a lower high, and the bear flag pattern all point towards a continuation of the downward trend. The identified support and resistance levels, along with the target profit zones, provide clear benchmarks for managing trades.
#Pendle 1D chartSEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:PENDLE 1D chart;
It accepts the trend line extending from October 2023 to the present as a balance and continues to rise.
We can see an upward movement after the squeeze with the falling trend line.
There is a ratio of 112% between the harmonic structure it has created and the target zone.
#Pendle 1D chartSEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:PENDLE 1D chart;
It accepts the trend line extending from October 2023 to the present as a balance and continues to rise.
We can see an upward movement after the squeeze with the falling trend line.
There is a ratio of 112% between the harmonic structure it has created and the target zone.
BTC Broadening Descending Wedge 4HBTC moving inside a broadening descending wedge on the 4H chart.
This shape has a bullish outcome more often than not.
Price action has touched major support twice.
BTC Price is back above the 50 SMA which is a good sign.
Keep an eye on this structure.
NFA
Do your own DD
Bitcoin - A Long Term Analysis - Cup and Handle PatternBitcoin has formed a promising cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart. Currently, the price is trading within the handle and appears poised for a breakout. A confirmed breakout from the handle could propel Bitcoin's price above $100K.
The handle formed during the correction period following the Bitcoin halving, which was anticipated. Fundamentally, a bull run is expected during the last quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, which suggests a natural price increase. Breaking the previous all-time high around FWB:73K would further drive the price upward, with my target for this bull run set at $140K.
For a safer trade, consider entering after a breakout above $73K. For those seeking an early entry, you can buy at the current price and hold until the peak of the bull run.
Stay tuned for more updates.
Cheers,
GreenCrypto
Gold’s Next Big Move: Critical Levels You Can’t Afford to Miss!Hey Traders, welcome back to my channel! 🚀
Today, we're diving deep into the latest XAUUSD analysis, and trust me, you don't want to miss this one. With gold prices poised for a significant move, understanding these key levels could make all the difference in your trading strategy.
Let's get started with the 1-hour chart (shown below). 📊
Chart 1: XAUUSD 1-Hour Time Frame Analysis (July 21, 2024)
Key Observations:
Daily Bull Flag Formation:
The chart highlights a daily bull flag pattern, which indicates a continuation pattern following a strong uptrend. On the daily TF sometimes this can take a bit longer to see due to how big this flag is on the (LTF)
The price has been consolidating within this flag formation.
Reversal Structure (Lower High - LH):
There is a reversal structure where the price made a lower high (LH), suggesting a potential bearish reversal in the short term.
Structure LTF (Lower Time Frame):
The price structure on the lower time frame indicates an area where price could pull back and reject off of this area indicating the continuation of the Overall move.
The second way this could play off of this area is we could get a clear impulsive move above this structure and then a rejection looking for higher moves in the Shorter Time Frame.
15-Minute Time Frame:
The 15-minute time frame shows a detailed view of the consolidation and break down from the flag formation. where you could see how close we are to the LQZ shown on the 1HR
1HR Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
Identified at 2,390.966, this zone may act as a significant support area and also our first Take Profit we gave last week.
4HR Liquidity Zone:
Marked at 2,349.179, another major support area that aligns with the daily LQZ. If price end up breaking the 1HR LQZ impulsively then we could look for this area as Take Profit and then once we get down to this area we could potentially see a pullback.
Daily LQZ:
The daily liquidity zone is at 2,286.809, a crucial support level for the longer-term perspective.
Recommendations:
Watch for Reactions at Support Levels:
Monitor the price action around the 1HR, 4HR, and daily LQZs for potential entry points.
Set Alerts:
Set alerts for breakouts above the recent highs and breakdowns below the key support levels.
Manage Risk:
Ensure proper risk management by setting stop-losses below support levels and taking profits at resistance levels.