M2K
What does AI Fatigue look like for Indices? What is moving lately? Tech stocks in Nasdaq and S&P are down, whereas traditional stocks in the Dow Jones and the smaller-cap stocks in the Russell are holding well.
Micro E-Mini Russell Futures and Options
Ticker: M2K
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 index points = $0.50
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Russell 2000 (RTY, M2K) Low-Timeframe ShortQuick idea here as we look to get back in a groove with analysis/posts after a very light October. Not going to include a lot of elaboration, but we're looking to take advantage of a swing short (price depending) via a low timeframe (5-minute) RTY supply zone (defining candles not pictured here since sub-15-minute charts cannot be posted). If price approaches the zone hot (expanded range candle vs. grinding action), look to take the trade outright upon penetration of the lower bound (1795.4). If RTY stair-steps higher, forming new pockets of demand between current price and supply, consider taking a confirmation entry (price exit from zone). Stop should be placed a bit above the zone's upper bound. Keep in mind round # psych @ 1800. Targets are 2:1 and 5:1 (look for a fall back to origin of CPI breakout). Finally, US stocks have been very bullish as of late, so shorts fly in the face of current momentum. That said, RTY has consistently been the weakest of the 4 US equity indexes, so if you're going to short one, it's probably your best bet. Have to run, but good luck!
Stay tuned b/c a LOT more ideas are coming soon!
Jon @ LionHart Trading
Anatomy of an MES day trade short, Target reachedMES consolidated early after the bell creating a really visible and tradable opening range. After M2K tipped its hand and showed clear weakness, a trade in MES lower became probable. Following the Trinity Trading setup we find a great entry with very low risk. This turned into a gorgeous easy hold for 3.89 R with plenty more on that run.
RTY - JunkCo IndexIndependent Producers remain in implosion mode.
Bankrupt Companies feigning existence worthy of a Bid.
Chasers will be wrecked again 1610 fails and it's going
to lose 90%+ into 2023 October.
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For now - the Flamingo is having a bit of difficulty getting
gamblers back to the tables.
A complete horror show... this JUNK.
RTY - Millennium Tower IndexThe Russell 2000 continues to expend energy in a large Range which
remains in a weakened condition.
2282.50 was rejected.
There is little to support this as the Parking Lot is being vacated.
Small to Mid Caps are not faring well in the present Environment
with little reason to Position for 2022.
Slowly Sinking into a LArger Sell is ahead after the next Retracement.
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RTY / M2K will Ourperformi to the Downside.
RTY - Russell 2000 a consistent Sell @ HighsIndependent Producers are being systematically crushed, slowly being
wiped off the Competition Map.
The Map itself is on a well defined Roll Up.
Wreck them, collect them.
Master of the obvious type stuff I know but many seem to cling to their
hopes.
The RUT has a large composition of Mixed Bags to hold.
Weightings:
Consumer Discretionary @ 13.1%
Financials @ 15.1%
Health Care @ 21..11%
Industrials @ 15.35%
Information Technology @ 14.13%
Communications, Consumer Staples, Energy, Basic Materials, Utilities,
Telecoms and Real Estate make up the balance.
A horizontally opposed group of Sectors... On the surface of it, many
would argue it is a balanced Index.
It is certainly not, it is a place where Wall Street Parks $ during periods
of indecision as it is a "Safe Place" for BlackRock and Vanguard to defend
positions.... there are 2,000, but a very few are needed based upon
the Sector weightings.
Total Volatility is Highest for the RTY relative to the ES YM NQ (NQ Being 2nd in VX).
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We anticipate a run back up to the Top of the Range @ 2335, our last sell for
a great many handles due South.
Futures | Why I Got Long All The Stock Indices on an UGLY CloseThe stock indices all broke below the prior sessions lows to make new lows for the week. But I noticed a few signs that made me pick up some micros long (MES, MNQ, KYM, M2K) right before the 5pm EST close.
Long MES 4385
Long M2K 2152
Long MYM 34822
Long MNQ 14827
$150 risk per position
RTY - Russell 2000This is fast becoming the Gift that keeps on Giving.
We closed out Buy To Open Positions an are now employing an
Inverse SELL to Open Ladder from 2273 to 2335.
We are using M2K as a Hedge IF need be - low probability imho.
Our target for the RTY remains Sub 2K, there has been aggressive
Support Mechanism for the RUT, we see it as an enormous Gift :)
ES and RTY consolidation targetsES / SPX
ATH gives a bullish stance but looking for a correction / more consolidation first.
Looking to retrace to first stop @ 3630
POC for the current run up from 02 Nov 2020 is @ 3560
RTY / RUT
Consolidating below POC, if there is a close below 1822 a retracement to VPVR nodes is likely
First Retracement to 1800 (weak support) then to the next much more solid node @ 1780
A close above current POC of 1845 will generate a probable break of ATH
RussellPerhaps time to short, at least tactically.
The Russell has fallen below both the 50 and 200 day moving averages and seeming confirmed a breakdown below a descending triangle (sloppily drawn) the began to form at the beginning of the month.
On a daily chart of standard candles there is a gap to fill around 1423, perhaps we are headed there now.
A trailing stop above the 10dma to stem any bleeding in the event of a hard reversal (JPow flaps his horse lips some more tomorrow) and the Fed put is still alive as far as we know so shorting is always uncomfortable.
Trade accordingly.