at least a meal treat for the weekend!FX:HKG33
Hello everyone, from the D chart, the index seems dancing within the dancefloor.
From 1h chart
today trade plan : same old same old strategy sell into resistance and buy at support.
From the shorter tf we can notice probably end of the week and index seems giving meal treat.
🥩 🦃.
For the first hours from the MACD signal and KDJ it seems bullish.
Long for the first half; continue to monitor see if it breakthrough 19975/20000.
Happy trading everyone!
Stick to your plan, set your SL/TP. Let's zen with 📙 and 🍵 while waiting for the meal treat and show your gratitude and love the Index although sometimes it doesnt go according to our plan. 🥂
Macdcrossover
Do you see what I see? Uncle Roger quote: Haiya!FX:HKG33
Hello everyone!
Do you see what I see?
Haiya! not sure if the overnight fed news probably injected more booze; the Index seems continues to hangover and not gonna sober anytime soon.
4h chart
Price movement - Bearish
MACD Signal indicator : Bearish
D chart
no sign for bullish, the reversal seems not happening that soon.
To gain some pocket money, from chart we do not go against the trend.
Same old strategy - sell into resistance today.
Be cautious if the reversal happens this week, tomorrow is the end of the week.
As of writing, the index loss around 250++pips ; down around 1.45% this week.
See W chart:
Happy trading everyone and the Santa actually is there always, you can long/short for the 🎄 📦.
Let's be cautious to protect our capital unconditionally while monitoring the movement let's Zen with 📙 & 🍵!
the hangover hit quite long isn't it?FX:HKG33
Hello everyone! The index seems got some booster?
D chart shown that the
MACD Signal lines are both are closing the gap and touching the zero line.
Price : 19700 - 19730 is the support level
We do not know if this is gonna be bullish or bearish. How to cross-check and confirmed?
Let's deep dive into smaller tf:-
4h chart
On 9Dec2024 we can see the Golden Cross from MACD indicator. Infact the index did surged for that day but it did not last long. As you can see the Dead cross on 11Dec2024 as marked in chart for easy reference.
1h chart
as marked 12Dec2024; the MACD signal formed a Dead cross crossing down the zero line which confirmed it was in a bearish zone. This bearish mode has continue till date.
However, you can see the indicator starting contributing green histrogram and the MACD line is curving up and touching zero line, as mentioned we are hoping that there is attraction for volume to realize the reversal.
So we have to monitor closely and see if we can ride on the reversal.
Support level at ¬19700.
The Index will continue to test this support level.
BB : we can see the movement is slowly curving up, and hopefully this continue together checking and confirming with the MACD curving up trend.
Also to look at the KDJ, although is in bullish green zone but the indicator seems curving down.
Swing trade plan buy into support sell at resistance and set your SL/TP. Trade according to your tf ; set your entry/exit plan accordingly.
Support Level ; 19700, 19520, 19315(another key support level)
Resistance Level : 19900,20050-20250
Happy Trading Everyone!
Let's execute our zen strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Welcome to the Bitcoin Christmas PUMP! BTC 1D MACD Crossover↖️⬆️ Click the 🚀
Welcome to the Bitcoin Christmas PUMP!
₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ 🚀🚀🚀🚀🧑🏻🎄🧑🏻🎄🧑🏻🎄🎅🎅🎅🧑🏻🎄🧑🏻🎄🧑🏻🎄🚀🚀🚀🚀₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿
The 1D MACD Crossover just signaled on COINBASE:BTCUSD BTC 1 Day candle.
But that's not all. It's the type of crossover. Text book.
RSI just entering 70 area.
The last time the 1D MACD crossover happened, Bitcoin saw a 45% pump.
looks like it should go to just past new year. The big question is does it continue before taking a breather.....?
In fact, when using the last pump as a guide, it falls perfectly in line with the Fib levels and lands right around $150,000. (just my silly extrapolation. I'm sure it's nothing. ;)
not yet sober; continue with bearish sentiment.
Resistance level : 20070-20090
Support Level : 19670 - 19568
If breakdown thru 19303 the next bus stop will be 19080 i.e 🆘 level as you can see from 1h chart.
Tradeplan : buy into support and sell at resistance, set your SL/TP.
From today macro overview, most of the traders likely to short the index. To trade for 100-150pips profits for tomorrow and within this week for 200pps is feasible. Remember your SL and locked in profit.
tradingview.com/news/mtnewswires.com:20241216:G2446630:0-hong-kong-stocks-extend-slide-on-disappointing-chinese-economic-data-ganglong-china-property-slumps-10/
The Hang Seng Index fell 0.88%, or 175.75 points, to close at 19,795.49.
For D chart
We are hopeful to see the reversal; the MACD Signal is now breaking above zero level and
although the KDJ still in bearish zone.
Let's continue to monitor; while waiting for more positive news and hopefully Santa remember to drop by the index chimney to give it a boost we shall zen with 📙 and 🍵!
Happy Trading Everyone!
The booze seems quite strong; the hungover continue aft party!FX:HKG33
hello everyone TGIF!
Trade plan for today before end of the week.
It continues to dance btw range as shown in chart : 19800 - 20500 (1h Chart)
To trade using smaller range tf.
For the week it's still a small gain.
Shorted earlier hoping to take some profit for 🎄 weekend meals. ☺
Again to set your SL/TP level.
4H Chart
The 4h chart showing the index is still on the bearish zone.
Happy Trading and have a good weekend everyone!
while waiting toTP let's continue to zen with 📙 and 🍵!
Is The Reversal End? Will the rebound party last?FX:HKG33
Is the Index rebound strong? Based on the 1h chart, you know the answer.
What is the range to look out for?
10EMA crossing down 52EMA on 1h chart. Not good.
MACD signal break through zero line level indicate bearish mode. Histogram bearish color in deep red like the index. Required "blood/live" to boost.
From the Money Flow Profile : 20208.39 level shown the selling pressure with huge volume. You know where to get the indicator and how to read it.
KDJ Indicator, kind of confirming the bearish zone for the hour.
Consolidation area : 19750-20300(the index dance between the rangebound)
as mentioned in previous post reaccumulate at 19730-20300.
D Chart
Price 20165.88 closed below 52EMA - 20354.18 (Down 171.28; -0.84%)
For the Week, as of today - it is still gaining 391.15 +1.98% from Open : 19,774.73 on 9Dec24.
Let's continue to monitor and see if the authority fiscal policy benefit and boost the reversal.
Happy Trading!
Key Support Level! FX:HKG33
Hi everyone, did you managed to ride on yesterday the fireworks and joined the party?
If you are following the movement of HSI then probably you are in the game and able to catch the short term fireworks Bull :)
Yesterday the Index seems being injected with stimulant - based on HKG33 (surged 1,013.46; +5.13%)
Let's look together at the D,4h & 1h charts where they've had given us signal of the boost.
D Chart
4h Chart
1h Chart
- Price is moving downwards closing to the 52EMA (20137)
- MACD Signal with Deadcross and KDJ at bearish zone
However, as mentioned in previous post my personal POV, prefer the movement slow and steady forming a stable staircase; more sustainable.
As you can see, today the candles seems tired after the stimulant boost for the party.
Then, did you managed to short for the reversal for some pocket money? :-)
Trade Plan -
Day Trade : Swing Lo: 20290-20800 (Long at support and short at resistance depends on your own tf)
Swing Trade : 2 days - 5days : Swing Lo:21350 Swing Hi :18960
Re-accumulate at/below 19730-20300 level.
Please note that 19730 & 20300 are keys support/resistance level. Remeber to put your SL for traders.
Longterm Trade : With the recent China govt calls for proactive fiscal policy in 2025 (appropriately loose monetary policy), it's confident and confirmed that both China and Hong Kong markets will benefit and the reversal is for real. We can start to expose and accumulate more in both countries.
For HSI to break the range 22900-23275 and make new ATH would be very soon.
Happy Trading everyone!
Let's continue to monitor the Index movement and dont forget to follow your zen trading strategy.
Trading is a lifelong learning path , continue to practice and master the skills by reading 📙 and 🍵.
Reading helps to form a good habits for thinking and sometimes is a good method for distraction (not to keep looking at chart) once you have set your TP/SL following your strategy. :)
About to breakthrough!FX:HKG33
From previous post - D chart shown that the MACD SIgnal lines are both downtrend and breakthrough the zero line. Forming a short term bearish mode.
The Index corrected down to 18956 (last week low).
As you can see from the snapshot from W chart that week of 11Nov,
week of 18Nov: -246.64 (-1.27%)
week of 25Nov: +395.16 (+2.06%)
This week - 2 Dec : as of now -109.64 (-0.56%) if the Index able to hold at the support level of 19330 and break 19785, the Index then considers reversal.
the MACD Signal lines.
Trade Plan -
Day Trade : 19000-19700 (Long at support and short at resistance dependings on your tf
Swing Trade : 2 days - 3wks : Accumulate at 19000-19150 Discount level, Take partial profit at 19300, 19700.
Longterm Trade : The Index is now retracing. May accumulate & hold at 19340 (if you have been monitoring accumulating starting 16900.
Is it the time to Buy the Dip? FX:HKG33
As you can see from 1D chart - the MACD & Signal line both are on downtrends.
Be cautious if the MACD fast line break below the zero line.
From W chart, you can see the MACD & Signal lines are both staying zero line i.e bullish mode but on a weaker momentum ( the KDJ is on bearish zone and the MACD histogram with ligher green). Also the MACD line (blue line) seems forming a curving down movement.
The next Support level at 18186 (the sudden surge on the 26Sept2024 +1239.06;6.41% that day)
From 1h chart, at point of commenting it seem that the index is on Bearish mode, it might take a while to rebound to previous support level (the new resistance ) at 19500-19520.
You may not want to open bullish too early if it's not break through the level.
Shorterm
Bearish - it seems the index will continue to be downtrend based on 4h BB; but SL at 19834, you may set TP at 19146 (the next support level)
Peoples Sell on News
www.tradingview.com
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From Reuters : China and Hong Kong stocks fell on Thursday after Beijing's latest measures to revive the struggling property sector failed to boost investors' mood.
##
Longterm
Let's continue to monitor the D chart with MACD & KDJ indicator if there is clearer signal to take position.
While waiting let's zen with 🍵 & 📙
SWING IDEA - MEGASOFTNSE:MEGASOFT 's stock price has been retesting around the 50 resistance level for approximately one and half years. Following multiple retest, the stock finally broke out above this level in December 2023 and has since established it as a key support.
The stock subsequently surged to a peak of 107, representing a 104% increase. However, it then experienced a sharp correction, plummeting 50% to revisit the 50 support level again. This pivotal point, formerly a resistance, has now become a robust support.
Currently, MEGASOFT is exhibiting an upward momentum, poised to retest its swing high at 107. The weekly MACD crossover, occurring after the establishment of support at 50, indicates a bullish trend reversal. Immediate Short Term Target as mentioned in the chart with a potential to reach 13% from current Price Point is also observed.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
- One year resistance level of 50 broken in December 2023
- Stock surged 104% to 107 before correcting 50%
- 50 level now serves as robust support
- Weekly MACD crossover indicates bullish momentum
- Upward momentum poised to retest swing high at 107
RECOMMENDATION:
Based on this technical analysis, I would recommend holding MEGASOFT for a Long Term horizon. This could potentially yield:
- 37% returns from the current price (as of writing)
- 104% returns from the support point (50)
This analysis highlights a compelling buying opportunity in MEGASOFT, driven by its breakout and momentum reversal.
IMPORTANT NOTE: Investors should be aware that there is a possibility that the stock may revisit this Support level at 50 in the near future before resuming its upward momentum towards the swing high at 107. This potential pullback should be monitored closely, and investors may consider adjusting their strategies accordingly.
DISCLAIMER: This IDEA is for informational/educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The analysis presented is based on technical indicators and historical data but does not guarantee future performance. Please conduct thorough research based on financial goals and risk tolerance, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SWING TUTORIAL - ABSLAMCIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:ABSLAMC (Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in Oct 2021. The stock declined by nearly 57%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend.
At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Lows. This Higher Low Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity.
The trading strategy yielded approximately 114% returns in 63 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 720 and serving as our Exit too.
As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in May 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS:
1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in May 2023.
2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 720.
3. Return: Approximately 114%.
4. Trade Duration: 63 weeks.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONCEPTS USED:
1. Price Action Analysis
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
3. Momentum Reversal
4. Trend Analysis
5. Chart Patterns
NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
SWING TUTORIAL - ICICIPRULIIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:ICICIPRULI (ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in Sep 2021. The stock declined by nearly 50%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend.
At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Lows. This Higher Low Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity.
The trading strategy yielded approximately 88% returns in 71 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 724 and serving as our Exit too.
As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in March 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS:
1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in March 2023.
2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 724.
3. Return: Approximately 88%.
4. Trade Duration: 71 weeks.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONCEPTS USED:
1. Price Action Analysis
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
3. Momentum Reversal
4. Trend Analysis
5. Chart Patterns
NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
Summary of the week and a swing long position & locked profit
FX:HKG33
Summary of the week for the index.
1h chart form a golden cross below zero line and happen that 4h chart had formed the same golden cross even though both are below zero line. I took a aggressive & several long position.
TP at 20735 level at time was looking at the index trying to close the week gap.
I did keep some position open hoping that the US trading time could continue to boost the index.
But it seems it loose its steam and 4h chart not strong for MACD & Signal line breakout zero line.
the Index closed at 20506.46 (still record a decline of 1.21% -250.70). Looking at the W chart it seems pulling back and let's continue to monitor if its prepare for the next climb.
You may note that the W chart the MACD is above zero line still consider bullish but with weak lighter green histo.
Jya. Let's zen during weekend with 🍵 & 📙
SWING TUTORIAL - MFSLIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:MFSL (MAX FINANCIAL SERV LTD) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in July 2021. The stock declined by nearly 50%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend.
At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Highs. This Higher High Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity.
The trading strategy yielded approximately 80% returns in 71 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 1148 and serving as our Exit too.
As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in May 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS:
1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in May 2023.
2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 1148.
3. Return: Approximately 80%.
4. Trade Duration: 71 weeks.
NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
SWING IDEA - ANGELONENSE:ANGELONE 's stock price has been retesting around the 2000 resistance level for approximately two and half years. Following multiple retest, the stock finally broke out above this level in October 2023 and has since established it as a key support.
The stock subsequently surged to a peak of 3895, representing a 87% increase. However, it then experienced a sharp correction, plummeting 45% to revisit the 2000 support level again. This pivotal point, formerly a resistance, has now become a robust support.
Currently, ANGELONE is exhibiting an upward momentum, poised to retest its swing high at 3895. The weekly MACD crossover, occurring after the establishment of support at 2000, indicates a bullish trend reversal.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
- Two-year resistance level of 2000 broken in October 2023
- Stock surged 87% to 3895 before correcting 45%
- 2000 level now serves as robust support
- Weekly MACD crossover indicates bullish momentum
- Upward momentum poised to retest swing high at 3895
RECOMMENDATION:
Based on this technical analysis, I would recommend holding ANGELONE for a Long Term horizon. This could potentially yield:
- 35% returns from the current price (as of writing)
- 87% returns from the support point (2000)
This analysis highlights a compelling buying opportunity in ANGELONE, driven by its breakout and momentum reversal.
IMPORTANT NOTE: Investors should be aware that there is a possibility that the stock may revisit this Support level at 2000 in the near future before resuming its upward momentum towards the swing high at 3895. This potential pullback should be monitored closely, and investors may consider adjusting their strategies accordingly.
DISCLAIMER: This IDEA is for informational/educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The analysis presented is based on technical indicators and historical data but does not guarantee future performance. Please conduct thorough research based on financial goals and risk tolerance, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
stuck in the middle breakout or breakdown?
FX:HKG33
Hi ya everyone here's to a week filled with optimistic, progress and hapiness - may the market treat us well!
As you can see from previous post ; last week 1h chart that the MACD & KDJ movement that gave us some insights testing the support level. It has climbing up steadily. quite handsome!
It didnt breakdown to 19753 level and staying above 20240 level.
Last Friday HSI closed at 20804.11 (+725.01; +3.61%) ; however it still record a down 447.87 ; -2.11% for the week.
As mentioned, a healthy pullbackis just the market catching its breath before the next big climb!
This D chart showing the momentum has turn weak the MACD had a dead cross and the KDJ is at weak zone too.
For today, we are looking at 20700, if it holds above this level then it could break 20900 and next resistance at 21395.
May trade within the range of 20400 - 20600.
For this week, the key support level at 20400 (the 52MA).
Note : the last high was Jan'23 (closed at 22635); the recent high (closed at 23119) early this month Oct'24.
Happy trading everyone!
My take:- For today I'll watch and wait for a better entry point to avoid my previous mistake enter the party too early. No action is an action.
while waiting let's zenning with 📙🍵
SWING IDEA - RUBYMILLSStock NSE:RUBYMILLS is currently at a Breakout Zone of 263 in the weekly timeframe. Also currently at its 52W High as well.
MACD line and Signal have a fair enough split between each other, which also indicates a good bullish momentum.
If market conditions are good, this stock should easily revisit its Swing High levels.
Point to note is: The stock needs to maintain weekly closing above 263 levels in order for it to start pumping upward.
SWING IDEA - XCHANGINGNSE:XCHANGING has been rallying since the last few months. Currently it is at a S/R zone of 128. We have to wait a couple of weeks to see if this will turn out to be a Support Zone or a Resistance zone.
If it turns out to be a good Support Zone, we also have a MACD crossover incoming and once the crossover completes, it can rally up the stock at least till its Swing High Levels.
Another point to note is while the Lower Low Pattern on Price Action and Higher High Pattern started forming in the April of last year, this is only the next MACD crossover we are going to see after that.
SWING IDEA - BCLINDNSE:BCLIND is currently at a good demand zone. The stock is about to close a gap which was created last March. Some good volume and market conditions and it should be able to close the gap by this week or next week.
It can start pumping up more and reach its Swing High levels once the Gap has been successfully closed. Company also has a strong 1Y Beta of 1.85.
MACD line and signal has a very good split which indicates strong Bullish momentum.
If market conditions are good in the coming days, this trade should not have any issues completing sooner.
SWING IDEA - DELTACORPNSE:DELTACORP has been forming a Lower Low Pattern on the Price Action, while the MACD seems to be forming a Higher High Pattern currently, which could indicate that this stock's Price Action could be reversed and start to form a Higher Higher Pattern too.
In addition, Delta Corp Reports Q1 Consolidate Net Profit At 216.8 Mln.
If all is well, we can start seeing the Price going all the way up to the next Support/Resistance zone.
SWING IDEA - ASIANTILESNSE:ASIANTILES seems to be breaking out from its S/R zone at the 90s level. Watch how the same S/R zone played a crucial role right from April 2020 all the way through April 2022.
NSE:ASIANTILES is revisiting the same levels again after more than 2 years later and also with good volumes and a big green candle as well.
Price Action and Moving Averages also gave a good Convergence Divergence signal back in mid of 2023.
As long NSE:ASIANTILES maintains its weekly closing above this level, it should easily be able to revisit its Swing High levels soon.
Stock looks very bullish over the long run especially.