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Bearish Reversal Alert on EUR/USDTechnical Outlook: LSMA Indicators: The 45 period LSMA in red and the 53 period LSMA in blue are both trending downwards towards the pivotal 50 level, reflecting a bearish sentiment taking hold. TSI Behavior: The True Strength Indicator has just crossed and is angling downwards, with the lines beginning to diverge, enhancing the bearish signal's credibility. MACD Crossover: The MACD line crossing at 46, following last Friday's rally, now exhibits a downward trajectory, aligning with the growing bearish momentum. Price Action Context: There is notable price congestion around the 1.07490 area, suggesting a distribution phase that could precede a downward move if support fails. Trade Rationale: The synergy of these indicators, paired with a comprehensive analysis of price action, suggests a potent opportunity for a short position. The alignment of LSMA lines descending, TSI's bearish crossover, and the MACD's downward turn post-rally indicates a shift in market dynamics. The distribution around 1.07490 serves as a potential inflection point for price, where a sustained move below could confirm the bearish outlook and offer a strategic entry point for traders. Action Plan: Consider a sell position on EUR/USD, while closely monitoring the 1.07490 level for confirmation of the bearish momentum. As with any trade, ensure proper risk management strategies are in place to protect against unexpected market movements.
Short
by GibsonTrades
Covid & Vaccine Related Novavax Long Play in the cardsHi guys! So lately theres been some buzz on a particular variant, increased cases of hospitalizations and government backing. At risk population that require vaccinations/ boosters will always exist. Therefore, i believe this fact along with various technical analysis findings can make companies such as Biontech, Moderna and even not as famous Novavax potential plays. (Look below for my analysis on Biontech) Jumping right in. This is a technical analysis on Novavax (NVAX) on the 3 day timeframe. Zoomed in we can see that we have a GOLDEN CROSS. Between the: 21 EMA 50 SMA Being on the 3 Day its ALOT more Powerful than having it on 1 Day and it may influence the larger timeframes. Which is what we want. We have also maintained SUPPORT on both Moving Average. (21 EMA and 50 SMA) This is a great sign, if we continue like how we are with our current candle during the close that would further confirm Support and a bullish case in my opinion. This 3 day candle will close on the 8th of September. Pay attention to how big the body of candle gets on the close. With this i would like Volume to start to pick up especially if and when we get to the "flat trendline". Another important development to notice is the Ascending Triangle. This can be giving us evidence we are in the process of BOTTOMING out. Watch for the breakout ABOVE the Flatline. This with confirmation of Support on flatline would be a Major Area to take Long Positions. I would ADVISE AGAINST buying inside the triangle. But Belowthe Ascending Support Line would be an area for Stop losses. Watch also how the MACD acts. If we continue in Green and the Blue/Orange lines make it ABOVE 0 level. We will be off to the races, as it would be the necessary catalyst that provides momentum to have the triangle play out. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on NVAX in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:NVAXLong
by SafofAllTrades
2
Current Developments on CVS chart can make for opportunityHi guys! This is a Technical analysis on CVS Health Corporation (CVS) on the 3 day timeframe. We discuss some Current developments on CVS, which maybe pointing to signs of potential opportunity to invest/ hold CVS. We've had a deathcross that has brought us down more than 38%. Which has lead us to a critical support trendline that has acted as support since March 2019. We recently bounced from this trendline with a BULLISH ENGULFING candle print We have from this support line bounced up to reach the 21 EMA Current price action is attempting to establish support on 21 EMA. MACD has crossed Bullish with Green bars printing. BUT also remember that we have resistance above us from the 50 SMA. We are also in an established DOWNTREND from the Deathcross. Until proven otherwise so we have to pay attention for signs of trend change. Key area is around the 2 moving averages. We need to establish support on 21 EMA. We have to also see how we react with the 50 SMA. If we get ABOVE 50 SMA and maintain support, it is likely we print a GOLDEN CROSS, leading to BUY pressure to come in. This could be the necessary catalyst for trend change. Another hint in an attempt to trend change is the 21 EMA flattening out, beginning to show signs of a curvature to upside. Now lets Look left to find evidence of previous patterns in the Moving average interactions, Support line interaction and MACD. Our first time interacting with the SUpport line, we had many touches, before printing a GOLDEN CROSS. ALong with MACD CROSS ABOVE 0 level, we had a 48% Uptrend. Our 2nd interaction with SUpport line, we experienced a fakeout on the 1st touch. MACD could NOT move ABOVE 0 level. The 2nd touch of support line, had the GOLDEN CROSS and the MACD cross ABOVE 0 level. This lead to an extended Bull run for CVS with gains of 100%. Keep this in mind. Look for similar pattern in our current price action. If we see a Golden Cross with MACD crossing ABOVE 0 level. This would mean an UPTREND is probable. But dont discount the possibility of a fakeout. We can always have another attempt to test support on support line. Watch closely for these to develop in our current price action. Best opportunity to invest would be after Golden cross has been established with confirmed MACD cross Above 0 level in my opinion. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on CVS in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:CVSLong
by SafofAllTrades
1
Bitcoin's Weekly Chart Analysis: Signals and Indicators 📈🔍Hey there, crypto fam! Let's dive deep into the world of Bitcoin with a look at the weekly chart. 📈 🕒 4 Weeks of EMA 200 Testing: Bitcoin's been doing this interesting dance for the past four weeks, where it keeps testing the EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average). It's like it's checking for support, and so far, it's been bouncing off that level. 🙌 🔴 Bearish Signals Galore: Now, it's not all sunshine and rainbows. Those red dots and that ominous red cloud hanging around are telling us there's some bearish sentiment in the air. It's like the market's giving us a little wink and nudge, hinting that it might not be all smooth sailing. 😬 📏 Price Squeeze: There's this fascinating thing happening – it's like a price squeeze. Imagine a spring getting coiled up tighter and tighter. This could mean a big move is lurking around the corner. 🔄 📉 RSI Bearish Divergence: Our trusty RSI is showing a bearish divergence, but here's the catch – it's still on the positive side. It's like a tug of war between the bulls and the bears, and right now, neither side has a clear upper hand. 🤼‍♂️ 📊 MACD Cross: The MACD, another one of our favorite indicators, has had a cross, but it's also on the positive side. It's like two friends giving each other a high-five, but they're not quite sure which way they're headed next. 🤝 So, what's the bottom line? Well, the weekly chart is painting a picture of uncertainty. Bitcoin's testing support, but the bearish signals and divergences suggest caution. Keep an eye on this coiled spring – a big move might be just around the corner. And as always, stay sharp and trade wisely! 💪💰
INDEX:BTCUSD
by sailortrades
2
Bitcoin Bullish Momentum at Risk as Monthly Stochastic IndicatorBitcoin (BTC) enthusiasts might face some headwinds as a key monthly technical indicator, the stochastic, signals an "overbought downturn" according to Fairlead Strategies. The stochastic indicator recently dipped below 80, which indicates a loss of upward momentum. This indicator typically oscillates between 0 and 100, with readings above 80 signaling overbought conditions and readings below 20 indicating oversold conditions. A downturn from overbought levels suggests a weakening of upward momentum. Strong Resistance Causes Downturn Katie Stockton, the founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, highlighted this development, stating that "at the end of August, Bitcoin confirmed an overbought downturn in its monthly stochastics in a setback." She added that this downturn might prolong the basing process for Bitcoin, especially considering the resistance around $31.9K posed by the monthly cloud model, a level Bitcoin has struggled to breach. Historically, overbought downturns in the stochastic indicator in early 2021 and December 2017 have marked significant price peaks. The monthly MACD histogram, which measures trend strength and changes in trend, is near zero, indicating a neutral long-term bias. Crossings above zero suggest a bullish momentum shift, while drops below zero signal a bearish trend change. However, the MACD has yet to turn positive, implying that a sustainable uptrend has not yet taken hold, according to Stockton. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $25,700. Stockton identified immediate support at $25,200 and noted that the 50-day simple moving average at $28,200 is a critical resistance level.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptohopper
STX - broke out of CUP consolidationSTX rise that began in late Dec last year was disrupted as it went into a multi-month cup consolidation from February. Last week, it finally broke above the neckline of this CUP @ 71.50 on strong volume. A number of technical signals are now going right for STX and it appears a trend continuation is underway: 1. its 200 day moving average is now subtly curving upwards 2. MACD on its MONTHLY chart has now begun to cross up into positive territory. This is significant and likely signals a longer term bullish outlook (whip saws not withstanding). Any dip back towards the neckline @ 71.50 will be a lower risk opportunity to long with initial stop loss below 67.50. Trail profits up should trade goes our way. Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:STXLong
by Juliac
📈🚀 Seize the Moment: Epic Buying Opportunity on S&P 500! 📈🚀Hey traders, get ready to ride the wave of profits with an exciting setup on the S&P 500! 🌊📊 A golden opportunity has surfaced, and it's time to capitalize on a potential bullish rally. In the 4-hour timeframe, we're witnessing the stars aligning for a buying spree that could lead us straight to the coveted 4570 target. 🎯🦅 The Double Bottom Delight: Hold tight as the price action unveils a mesmerizing double bottom formation. This pattern is like a green light for bullish momentum, signaling a potential upward surge. 🚀 The beauty lies in the symmetry, and we're ready to ride this pattern to its fullest potential. Harmonic Bat Pattern: Point D in Sight! 🦇🎯 Prepare for some harmonic magic! The stars of the show are aligning as we approach the mesmerizing point D of the harmonic bat pattern at 4570. Brace yourself for a journey towards this target, riding the wave of pattern completion and potential profits. Candlestick pattern: Doji Breakout! 🕯️🚀 The magic continues with a "long-legged Doji" candlestick, signaling a breakout like no other. This is the ultimate call to action – a signal to buy this dip and ride the upward momentum. 📈🕯️ Moving Average Mastery: Crossover Confirmation! 📈✨ Get ready for a symphony of confirmation! The moving averages are about to cross over, a sign that amplifies our scenario. This crossover is like a nod from the universe, signaling that it's time to jump on board and enjoy the ride. MACD Marvel: Bullish Momentum Amplified! 🚀💥 The MACD indicator joins the party, forming a fresh crossover to the upside. This is the stamp of approval we've been waiting for – a clear signal that bullish momentum is skyrocketing. 📈💪 The Game Plan: Entry: Buy around 4420 Stop Loss: Below 4407 Target: 4470 (with partial profit-taking along the way) Remember, smart trading involves not only the entry but also the exit strategy. Keep an eye on those partial profit-taking points as we journey towards the 4470 target. 🎯💰 Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful 🌊🚀
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Thomas_Zito
16
INGERSOLL RAND LTD - Multiple Indicator 📊 Script: INGERRAND (INGERSOLL RAND (INDIA) LIMITED) 📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO 📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY INFRASTRUCTURE 📊 Sector: Industrials - Capital Goods 📊 Industry: Industrial Products - Compressors & Pumps Key highlights: 💡⚡ I have used 4 indicators which is as follow: 1. Bollinger Bands (BB) 2. MACD 3. RSI 4. MOVING AVERAGE CROSSOVER 📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and giving breakout of it. 📈 MACD is giving crossover. 📈 Double Moving Averages also giving crossover. 📈 Current RSI is around 67. 📈 One can go for Swing Trade. ⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2292 🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 2475 ⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 2194 ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ⚠️ Purely technical based pick. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:INGERRANDLong
by radha_23
5
Jubilant Pharmova Limited - Bullish on Chart📊 Script: JUBLPHARMA (JUBILANT PHARMOVA LIMITED) 📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO 📊 Sectoral Index: N/A 📊 Sector: Healthcare 📊 Industry: Pharmaceuticals Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and giving breakout of it. 📈 MACD is giving crossover. 📈 Double Moving Averages also giving crossover. 📈 Volume is increasing along with price which is volume breakout. 📈 Current RSI is around 69. 📈 One can go for Swing Trade. ⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 370 🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 450 ⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 329 ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ⚠️ Purely technical based pick. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁 Happy Labh Pancham 🪔🎉✨ Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:JUBLPHARMALong
by radha_23
2
IWM - joining the bull party soon?Bull cycles usually start with heavy weight stocks (especially those in technology and discretionary) taking the lead, with small-caps usually joining the party at a later stage and when this happens, the bull run will be a lot more obvious by then. The IWM (tracking 2000 small-cap stocks) had been stuck in a wide-ranging wedge since hitting a low in June 2022 and with this we experienced huge volatility when we attempted to long these stocks despite that they looked to have bottomed out. A look at the monthly chart showed that the MACD is about to switch into the positive territory for the IWM, a significant indicator that it's longer-term outlook is starting to look bright(er). On its daily chart, the 200-day moving average has even begun to exhibit a subtle upslope. Hence, I am hopeful that the IWM will be breaking out of the wedge above 198 in the near future (perhaps within a few weeks if not days). It is no surprise that more and more of the smaller stocks are beginning to break up, despite that some still experienced a lot of volatility that could be difficult to sit tight. However, having a clearer vision of its longer-term outlook should give some confidence to dip our toes in for stocks with the right technicals and even if we were shaken out, the confidence to retest our entry when the technicals line up again. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
AMEX:IWMLong
by Juliac
Educational: MACD, What is it and how to use it 📊 Introduction You might want to read more about the MACD indicator if you're seeking for a technical indicator that can assist you in spotting market trends and momentum. Moving average convergence/divergence, or MACD, is one of the most well-known and often applied technical analysis indicators. We will define the MACD indicator, describe its operation, and provide trading tips in this publication. 📊 What is the MACD? The MACD indicator displays the relationship between two exponential moving averages (EMAs) of a security's price and is a trend-following momentum indicator. The 26-period EMA is subtracted from the 12-period EMA to calculate the MACD line. The MACD line is the output of the calculation. The signal line, which is then drawn on top of the MACD line and can be used as a trigger for buy or sell signals, is a nine-day EMA of the MACD line. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, traders may buy the asset; when it crosses below, they may sell—or short—the security. The difference between the MACD line and the signal line is represented as a bar graph on the MACD indicator called the histogram. The histogram can inform traders of the strength of a directional move and forewarn them of a probable price reversal. It can also determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. The MACD indicator thus depends on three time parameters, namely the time constants of the three EMAs. The notation "MACD (a,b,c)" usually denotes the indicator where the MACD series is the difference of EMAs with characteristic times a and b, and the average series is an EMA of the MACD series with characteristic time c. These parameters are usually measured in days. The most commonly used values are 12, 26, and 9 days, that is, MACD (12,26,9). 📊 How does the MACD work? The MACD indicator gauges how much two moving averages of various periods are convergent or divergent from one another. The price trend is revealed by the moving averages, a form of smoothing technique that eliminates noise and oscillations in the price data. The majority of MACD changes are driven by the shorter (12-day) moving average due to its speed. The 26-day moving average is slower and less responsive to changes in the price of the underlying securities. There is a strong momentum in that direction when the shorter moving average pulls away from the longer moving average (i.e., when there is a significant difference between the two). According on whether the movement is upward or downward, this indicates that there is an increase in either purchasing pressure or selling pressure. There is a weak momentum in that direction when the shorter moving average drifts in the direction of the longer moving average (i.e., when there is a minor difference between them). This signals a lessening of buying or selling pressure, as well as a price consolidation or sideways movement. 📊 How to use the MACD The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is designed to be used for several purposes in technical analysis. Its primary function is to identify potential trend reversals, confirm entry and exit points, and assess the strength of a trend. Here are the key applications of the MACD indicator: 🔹Trend Identification: The MACD indicator helps traders identify the direction of the underlying trend in a market. By comparing the MACD line (the difference between two moving averages) and the signal line (a smoothed moving average of the MACD line), traders can determine whether the trend is bullish or bearish. A positive MACD indicates a bullish trend, while a negative MACD suggests a bearish trend. 🔹Momentum Analysis: The MACD indicator provides insights into market momentum. When the MACD line and the signal line move farther apart, it indicates increasing momentum in the prevailing trend. Conversely, when the MACD lines converge or move closer together, it suggests a potential slowdown or loss of momentum. Traders can use this information to assess the strength of a trend and make informed decisions. 🔹Crossover Signals: The MACD indicator generates crossover signals when the MACD line crosses above or below the signal line. A bullish crossover occurs when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, indicating a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, a bearish crossover takes place when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, suggesting a potential selling opportunity. These crossover signals are commonly used to identify entry and exit points for trades. 🔹Divergence Detection: Divergences occur when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction of the MACD indicator. Bullish divergences can be observed when the price makes lower lows while the MACD forms higher lows. Conversely, bearish divergences occur when the price achieves higher highs while the MACD forms lower highs. Divergences can be early indications of potential trend reversals and can help traders anticipate changes in market direction. 🔹Histogram Analysis: The MACD histogram represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line, displayed as bars above or below a zero line. The histogram provides visual cues about the strength of a trend. When the histogram bars are above the zero line, it indicates bullish momentum, and when they are below the zero line, it suggests bearish momentum. Additionally, the shape and direction of the histogram bars can provide insights into potential trend reversals or market consolidations. 📊 How to access the MACD. The MACD can be accessed for free by simply clicking on your indicators tab and seraching MACD where you will find Moving average convergence/divergence. The MACD indicator is a useful tool, but to make well-rounded trading decisions, it should be utilized in conjunction with other technical indicators, price patterns, and fundamental analysis. To make the best use of the MACD indicator, traders need also take into account the individual market circumstances and periods they are trading in.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by ChristopherDownie
31
🚀USDCAD double bottom: bulls ready to charge📈Brace yourself for a game-changing setup on the USDCAD forex pair! 🌟 The charts are showing a compelling buy signal in the 4-hour timeframe, with price bouncing off a solid support level at 1.31400. But that's not all! The candlestick pattern has revealed a powerful bullish engulfing formation, signaling a potential trend reversal in the making. Get ready to set your sights on multiple take profit levels: first target at 1.31950, representing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. Then, the neckline at 1.32200 beckons as our second milestone, followed by the third take profit around 1.32500, and ultimately, the grand target at 1.32800! Adding fuel to the fire, the MACD indicator is on the verge of forming a bullish crossover, adding further confirmation to this exciting setup. Don't miss out on this potentially explosive trade opportunity! 🚀 Respect money management don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful🚀
Long
by Thomas_Zito
1
MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA FINANCIAL SERVICES - Multiple Indicators 📊 Script: M_MFIN (MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA FINANCIAL SERVICES LIMITED) 📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO 📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY MIDCAP / NIFTY 500 /NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES 📊 Sector: Financial Services - Financial Services 📊 Industry: Finance - Non Banking Financial Company (NBFC) Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and going to give breakout of it. 📈 MACD is giving crossover. 📈 Double Moving Averages also giving crossover. 📈 Volume is increasing along with price which is volume breakout. 📈 Current RSI is around 68. 📈 One can go for Swing Trade. ⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 229 🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 259 ⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 217 ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ⚠️ Purely technical based pick. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:M&MFINLong
by radha_23
2
How to Use the MACD Indicator?How to Use the MACD Indicator? 🔶 What’s MACD? That is an abbreviation for Moving Average Convergence Divergence. This technical indicator is a tool for identifying moving averages that indicate a new trend, whether bullish or bearish. After all, finding a trend is a key priority in trading because that’s where the greatest money is produced. A MACD chart typically displays three figures that serve as its settings. ▪️ The first parameter is the number of periods utilized to construct the faster-moving average. ▪️ The second factor is the amount of periods used in the slower moving average. ▪️ The third parameter is the number of bars utilized to construct the moving average of the difference between the faster and slower moving averages. For example, if you saw "12, 26, 9" as the MACD parameters (which is typically the default value for most charting software), you would read it as follows: 🔹 The number 12 signifies a 12-bar moving average. 🔹 The number 26 denotes the moving average of the preceding 26 bars. 🔹 The 9 is a moving average of the difference between the two moving averages mentioned above. When it comes to the MACD lines, there is a widespread misperception. There are two lines: 🔺"MACD Line" 🔻"Signal Line" The two lines that have been drawn are NOT price moving averages. The MACD Line is the difference (or separation) of two moving averages. Typically, these two moving averages are exponential moving averages (EMAs). The MACD Line is the "faster" moving average when looking at the indicator. The MACD Line in our previous example is the difference between the 12- and 26-period moving averages. The MACD Line's moving average is the Signal Line. When viewing the indication, the Signal Line is the "slower" moving average. The slower moving average plots the previous MACD Line's average. Again, in our previous example, this would be a 9-period moving average. By default, most charts employ a 9-period exponential moving average (EMA). This indicates that we are plotting the average of the last 9 periods of the "faster" MACD Line as our "slower" moving average. The Signal Line's aim is to mellow down the sensitivity of the MACD Line. The difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line is represented in the Histogram. It depicts the distance between the two lines graphically. It may occasionally offer you an early warning that a crossover is going to occur. When we look at our original chart, we can see that the histogram grows as the two moving averages (MACD Line and Signal Line) separate. The faster moving average (MACD Line) is "diverging" or moving away from the slower moving average (Signal Line), resulting in a MACD divergence. The histogram shrinks as the moving averages move closer together. Because the faster moving average (MACD Line) is "converging" or approaching the slower moving average (Signal Line), this is referred to as convergence . That is how you get the name Moving Average Convergence Divergence. So now you are aware of what MACD performs. Let us now demonstrate what MACD can achieve for YOU. 🔸 MACD Trading Guide Given that there are two moving averages with differing "speeds," it stands to reason that the faster one will respond to changes in price more quickly than the slower one. The faster line (MACD Line), which reacts first to a new trend, finally crosses the slower line (Signal Line). It frequently signifies the emergence of a new trend when this "crossover" takes place and the fast line begins to "diverge" or move away from the slower line. The fast line passed UNDER the slow line in the previous chart, correctly identifying a new downtrend. You'll see that the Histogram briefly vanished when the lines intersected. This is due to the fact that there is no difference between the lines at the moment of the cross. The histogram increases as the downtrend takes hold and the fast line begins to diverge from the slow line, which is a sign of a strong trend. Let's look at an illustration. The fast line passed over the slow line in the above 1-d chart of BTC/USD, and the histogram vanished. This implied that the brief downward trend might eventually turn around. After that, the BTC/USD launched a new upswing and immediately shot up. 🔴 BUT The MACD has one disadvantage. Moving averages naturally lag behind price. It's only an average of past prices, after all. Keep in mind that the MACD indicator has three parts: 🔹The MACD Line which represents the difference between two moving averages. 🔹The Signal Line which is a moving average of the MACD Line. 🔹The Histogram which is a graphical representation of the distance between the MACD Line and Signal Line. However, MACD is still one of the favorite tools of many traders and mine, of course ) If you liked the post and it was useful to you - click <>, let newcomers see! Leave your comments, I'll be so pleased! Sincerely yours Kateryna
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
4
Testing a Youtube MACD StrategyIn previous articles, I’ve tested moving average crossovers and bounces. But I didn’t test this famous (or infamous?) indicator related to them… The MACD. When I saw a video from TradingLab on Youtube called “BEST MACD Strategy,” I was curious to test his approach. What’s a MACD Daddy-o? It stands for Moving Averages Convergence Divergence. It’s meant to help us see momentum in the market. So we take a shorter-duration moving average and pair it up with a longer one. We then graph the difference between the two as its own line. We also plot an MA of the difference, called the “signal” line. When the signal line crosses over the difference line, we might be seeing a shift in direction. The farther the signal line pushes away from the other, the stronger the momentum is in that direction. Note: most charting software, including TradingView, also shows the difference as bars (a histogram). So how are we gonna test this thing? The Trading Truth Test Setup We’re keeping the market and the test period the same as some of the previous tests, for easier comparison. (The TradingLab video just says MACD works in many markets and timeframes, without limiting it to one for testing.) Market: the S&P 500 index (using SPY to trade it, assuming SPY is exactly 1/10th the S&P 500 Index price) Timeframe: Jan 2, 2008 to March 28, 2023 Bar interval: 1 hour Moving averages: Unlike previous tests, where we used simple moving averages, we’re using exponential moving average here to weight recent prices more. We use a 200 exponential moving average for overall trend direction. For the MACD, we’re using the classic 12 bars and 26 bars to see the difference between them. And we’re the normal 9-bar MA of that difference as the signal line. Starting Equity: $ 25,000 Max % of Equity Per Trade: 3% Commissions, fees and taxes. To keep things super simple, we’re assuming these are all zero. Our Test When we get a MACD crossover between the signal line and the difference line, we look to go long. But we only go long if: the last closing price is above the 200 MA, and When an upside MACD crossover (the signal line crossing up through the difference line) happens below its zero line (the lower half of the plotted indicator area). We do the opposite to go short… We short when price closes below the 200 MA and we get a downside MACD crossover above the zero line. Our stop loss is 1 penny past the 200 MA value when entering the trade. And our take-profit price is the difference between the entry price and the 200 MA (on entry) multiplied by 1.5. That’s the suggestion in the TradingLab video. Note: The Youtube video suggests using support and resistance as another filter to avoid choppy markets. But there aren’t clear rules given, so I didn’t do that. The Test Results The test ended at $ 30,401.39, up 21.6% with a 46.9% win rate. The biggest loss from the initial $ 25,000 deposit was $ 270.85, a 1.1% loss. The maximum losing streak was $ 800.22 or 3.0% (from $ 26,908.66). That said, the buy-and-hold return was 173.1%. Quite a reward for sitting on your hands, especially given the tax advantages from long-term capital gains. Note: I did this analysis in a spreadsheet, with exported TradingView data. If you see any errors, please let me know. What Test Tweaks We Could Make We could identify rules on when to stay out of the market. MACD strategies, like many, get chopped up in sideways price action. Some other MACD settings might also be interesting to test. We used only the most common settings here. What would you test? And what else would you like to see tested? Comment below!
SP:SPX
by TradingTruthseeker
2
USDJPY: Bearish Continuation TradeUSDJPY Reversed on the MACRO from a Bearish Butterfly PCZ on the Monthly and has since gone down about 15% as seen here: But recently it's had a bit of a rally as the DXY showed a bullish pattern that it indeed bounced from here: However it would seem that the USDJPY is showing quite a bit of weakness with the MACD confirming Hidden Bearish Divergence and Crossing Bearishly after price was rejected from the 200 Day SMA and the PCZ of a more Local Bearish Bat and could be a sign that the rally in the DXY will be coming to an early close; but more specifically it could be showing that the JPY will start to show Dominance in the FX Markets again and that this Local Bearish Bat could be what sets off the Bullish Continuation of the JPY Dominance.
Short
by RizeSenpai
2
MACD: Everything You Need To Know!The MACD indicator consists of three parts: the MACD line, the signal line, and the histogram. The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. The signal line is a 9-period EMA of the MACD line, and the histogram represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line. Let's break this down a little further. The MACD line is a measure of the difference between the 12-period and 26-period EMAs. When the 12-period EMA is above the 26-period EMA, the MACD line will be positive. When the 12-period EMA is below the 26-period EMA, the MACD line will be negative. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it's considered a bullish signal. This indicates that the trend is likely to continue upward. Conversely, when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it's considered a bearish signal, indicating that the trend is likely to continue downward. One of the most popular ways to use the MACD indicator is by looking for crossovers between the MACD line and the signal line. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it's considered a bullish signal, indicating that the trend is likely to continue upward. Conversely, when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it's considered a bearish signal, indicating that the trend is likely to continue downward. But using MACD isn't just about looking for crossovers. There are several other ways to use the indicator to make informed trading decisions. For example, you can use the MACD histogram to identify divergences between price and the MACD indicator, which can signal a potential trend reversal.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by ClintOnos