BTC Macro Entry Reversal Strategy. Highest risk return.Entry point for BTC based on momentum reversing out of the bear market. For those trading on confirmation and solid risk reward ratios.
Find a safe bottom, not necessarily the lowest price.
Strategy
1. The major buy signal comes when the first Heikin Ashi 1M closes green. (This was once printed in June 2014. But a high RSI would falsify the signal trigger)
2. Looking deeper into the MACD . We want to see a shorter Histogram close in the monthly. (Where a histogram peak is formed)
3. This is usually confirmed by a healthy sign of the Stoch RSI closing blue over orange.
4. If you're even more conservative. After the signal, I'd wait for an spike in volume.
Notes.
- My personal prediction is that BTC falls 85% towards 11k. However the strategy is triggered at a price the market has decided. The most important part is the risk adjusted return.
- The strategy is best aligned to Lump Sum entry.
- The histogram will peak. It's a matter of when. Therefore I'm not interested in the price.
- I suggest replaying BTCUSD in past cycles on standard bars to see how the bars are printed. (H-A won't work on replay)
- The strategy only has 2 major data points. I'd prefer 3. But the higher time frames install greater confidence.
Tickers and Indicators.
- BTCUSD INDEX 1M, HeikinAshi.
- RSI and Stoch RSI .
- MACD with histogram.
Macddivergence
#WISH close to a bullish reversal? Here it is why... is why...Hi All, my main 3 take-outs from this analysis are the following:
1- Price is still moving inside the red falling wedge, finding static support in the lower red trendline
2- Strong divergence between MACD and prices, suggesting that the strenght of the sellers might have come to an end
3- In the next intraday sessions, it might be possible to see a further run up towards the 3.95-4$
Not a financial advice, just personal opinion. Do your own due diligence and good luck!
The MACD explained ! All you need to know about it Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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In this video, I am gonna explain what is the MACD and how to use it and how to identify buy and sell signals using this indicator.
So what is the MACD, The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator (so a momentum indicator is a technical analysis tool that allows us to determine the strength or weakness of a stock's price movement )
There are a lot of people that use the MACD when they analyze charts because it's very simple and it's very good but I always say never just use 1 indicator to analyze a chart, always try to use at least 3 this way u can make sure that the result is more accurate and the market most likely to move as u analyzed.
let's look at the theory behind the MACD before looking at a real-life example and how to identify buy and sell signals using this indicator :
The typical settings for the MACD are 12 26 and 9.
The MACD consist of 4 parts :
1) Zero line
2) MACD line
3) Signal line
4) Histogram
We start off with our zero line and this is where the MACD line and the signal line move around and basically so if the MACD is trading above the 0 line then it's bullish and if it's under then it's bearish.
Then we have the MACD line and it comes from the 12 26 section, and it gets calculated by subtracting the 26 EMA of the price out of the 12 day EMA of the price.
And after that we have a second line that gets plotted from the 9 section so basically, it’s a moving average for the MACD line so it tries to smooth the MACD line and give us some signals and it's called the signal line.(it's called a signal line because that's where we get our buy and sell signals from)
So on top of that, we have another part in this indicator which is called the histogram. So this histogram job is to show how close these lines will crossover, so when the distance between the MACD line and the signal line is far the histogram gets bigger and bigger.
So how do we use this indicator :
1) Crossovers between the MACD line and the Signal line.
* When the MACD line crosses above the Signal line then its a buy signal (Bullish Crossover)
* When the MACD line crosses below the Signal line then its a sell signal (Bearish Crossover)
2) The Histogram .
A lot of people use histograms as a way to predict when a reversal will occur.
We know that the MACD is a momentum indicator so it can show us when sell pressure is low. And that means it might be a good time to buy. And It can tell you when your long position is about to run out of steam and when you should exit.
3) Divergences between the MACD and the Market Price .
A Divergence means that the indicator is not moving in sync with the Market Price and a Reversal could happen (Note that Reversal trading is risky so please calculate your risks before using this Strategy)
always remember that :
Bullish divergence is when the Market price is going down but the MACD is going up.
Bearish divergence is when the Market Price is going up but the MACD is going down.
I hope I’ve made the MACD easy for you to understand and please ask if you have any questions .
Hit that like if you found this helpful and check out my other video about the Moving Average, Stochastic oscillator, The Dow Jones Theory, How To Trade Breakouts and The RSI. links will be bellow
VIPS MACD Divergence by MADO how I use it to predict Breakouts2VIPS
First I want to give mad props to MADO for his/her Divergence MACD Indicator. I found this last night and this is what I have found while using it. Although it doesn't preplot every divergence I would like to see and there are a lot of other things I wish it did...maybe some programmer or Mado themselves would like to help put what I see all together into one indicator. That Said while using the indicator I found that not only can you predict when it will break out but also what it will do when it does, and how far it could go. I have only tested this on a few stocks as I just found this out and wanted to post it while I was discovering it. So its not polished and its not withheld in any way its exactly as I am discovering it. I will make a video again as the first 2 errored out due to my poor internet. lol
@MaDo if you are viewing this I want to give you mad props on this indicator. By far the best one I found and yes im using it not as intendid but thats how i use all indicators. If you are interested in helping me make a version of this with my twist to it I would gladly help you see it the way I see it so that you could. Feel free to reach out anytime.. That goes for any programmers that come across this. I see a lot of things most people dont due to my acquired savant syndrome and would like to share that with the world.
by iCantw84it
07.09.2021