Educational: Grid Trading, What is it? How it works?Grid trading is often marketed as a way to win every trade. People usually get away with this type of marketing of the trading style due to the fact that grid trading does not care for market execution in the sense of market direction because you will close profitable trades if the market goes up or down. But it's not as simple as that.
What is Grid trading?
Grid trading is a type of trading strategy that makes use of market price variations by placing buy and sell orders at regular intervals around a base price. The foreign exchange market is where grid trading is most frequently employed, but it can also be used on other markets, like those for futures contracts.
How to execute trades on a grid
The image above explains exactly how positions that run in the upper direction are executed. Let's break down the process:
(1) At the start of your grid trading system, you execute a buy and a sell position with the same lot size.
(2) You will only set a take profit and a buy limit/sell limit, but no stop loss.
(3) Assuming the price runs in the direction of the buy and you have a 10-pip stop loss, once the price hits your 10-pip stop loss, you will also execute a sell position via the sell limit. This sell position will have a 10-pip take profit in the opposite direction.
See demonstration below:
There is no restriction on the size of the grid. It does not have to be 10 pips apart. The distance of the grid is explained further in the publication.
Here is a video using a trading simulator to show you how these positions would be executed
:
So, as you can see, with this style of trading, you can potentially make money whether the price goes up or down. However, it can be quite challenging to execute and maintain a large number of trades. Therefore, individuals typically employ automated systems or use trading software to manage and monitor these trades.
Trending Market
Grid trading can be used to profit from both trending and ranging markets. In a trending market, grid trading involves placing buy orders above the base price and sell orders below the base price. This way, the trader can capitalize on the price movement in a sustained direction. For example, if the base price of Bitcoin futures is $60,000, the trader can place buy orders every $1,000 above the base price. This is also sometimes wrong referred to as dollar cost averaging or compounding your trade which are very different investment strategies.
Grid trading's key benefit is that it can be readily automated using trading bots and does not require a lot of forecasting of market direction. Grid trading's main disadvantage is that, if the market goes against the grid and the trader does not apply appropriate risk management strategies like stop-loss limits or position sizing, it may result in significant losses.
Grid Size
Choosing a grid spacing is one of the most important aspects of grid trading. This depends on a number of elements, including:
- The volatility of the market: The more volatile the market is, the wider the grids should be to avoid frequent executions and commissions.
- The personal preference of the trader: The trader should choose a grid size that suits their trading style and risk tolerance.
Technical indicators like moving averages or Bollinger bands are sometimes used to calculate the spacing between the grids. These indicators can be used to determine the market's volatility and average price over a specific time frame. You can also use basic price action to determine what range the market is likely to tstay within and then calculate the grid in-between
Ranging or Trending:
Identifying whether the market is trending or range is another important aspect of grid trading. This can be used to determine whether to employ grids that move with the trend or against it. There are a number of approaches to determine if the market is trending or fluctuating, including:
- Using trend lines or channels: A trend line or channel is a line that connects higher highs or lower lows in a trending market. A break of a trend line or channel can indicate a change in trend or a range-bound market.
- Using trend indicators such as ADX or MACD: The average directional index (ADX) measures the strength of a trend on a scale from 0 to 100. A high ADX value (above 25) indicates a strong trend while a low ADX value (below 20) indicates a weak trend or a range-bound market. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) measures the difference between two moving averages of different lengths. A positive MACD value indicates an uptrend while a negative MACD value indicates a downtrend. A crossover of MACD lines or zero line can indicate a change in trend or a range-bound market.
Link to a publication on MACD :
- Using range indicators such as RSI or Stochastic: The relative strength index (RSI) measures how overbought or oversold a market is on a scale from 0 to 100. A high RSI value (above 70) indicates an overbought market while a low RSI value (below 30) indicates an oversold market. A reversal of RSI from extreme levels can indicate a change in trend or a range-bound market. Link to related publication:
Macdivergence
Educational: MACD, What is it and how to use it 📊 Introduction
You might want to read more about the MACD indicator if you're seeking for a technical indicator that can assist you in spotting market trends and momentum. Moving average convergence/divergence, or MACD, is one of the most well-known and often applied technical analysis indicators. We will define the MACD indicator, describe its operation, and provide trading tips in this publication.
📊 What is the MACD?
The MACD indicator displays the relationship between two exponential moving averages (EMAs) of a security's price and is a trend-following momentum indicator. The 26-period EMA is subtracted from the 12-period EMA to calculate the MACD line. The MACD line is the output of the calculation.
The signal line, which is then drawn on top of the MACD line and can be used as a trigger for buy or sell signals, is a nine-day EMA of the MACD line. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, traders may buy the asset; when it crosses below, they may sell—or short—the security.
The difference between the MACD line and the signal line is represented as a bar graph on the MACD indicator called the histogram. The histogram can inform traders of the strength of a directional move and forewarn them of a probable price reversal. It can also determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold.
The MACD indicator thus depends on three time parameters, namely the time constants of the three EMAs. The notation "MACD (a,b,c)" usually denotes the indicator where the MACD series is the difference of EMAs with characteristic times a and b, and the average series is an EMA of the MACD series with characteristic time c. These parameters are usually measured in days. The most commonly used values are 12, 26, and 9 days, that is, MACD (12,26,9).
📊 How does the MACD work?
The MACD indicator gauges how much two moving averages of various periods are convergent or divergent from one another. The price trend is revealed by the moving averages, a form of smoothing technique that eliminates noise and oscillations in the price data.
The majority of MACD changes are driven by the shorter (12-day) moving average due to its speed. The 26-day moving average is slower and less responsive to changes in the price of the underlying securities.
There is a strong momentum in that direction when the shorter moving average pulls away from the longer moving average (i.e., when there is a significant difference between the two). According on whether the movement is upward or downward, this indicates that there is an increase in either purchasing pressure or selling pressure.
There is a weak momentum in that direction when the shorter moving average drifts in the direction of the longer moving average (i.e., when there is a minor difference between them). This signals a lessening of buying or selling pressure, as well as a price consolidation or sideways movement.
📊 How to use the MACD
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is designed to be used for several purposes in technical analysis. Its primary function is to identify potential trend reversals, confirm entry and exit points, and assess the strength of a trend. Here are the key applications of the MACD indicator:
🔹Trend Identification: The MACD indicator helps traders identify the direction of the underlying trend in a market. By comparing the MACD line (the difference between two moving averages) and the signal line (a smoothed moving average of the MACD line), traders can determine whether the trend is bullish or bearish. A positive MACD indicates a bullish trend, while a negative MACD suggests a bearish trend.
🔹Momentum Analysis: The MACD indicator provides insights into market momentum. When the MACD line and the signal line move farther apart, it indicates increasing momentum in the prevailing trend. Conversely, when the MACD lines converge or move closer together, it suggests a potential slowdown or loss of momentum. Traders can use this information to assess the strength of a trend and make informed decisions.
🔹Crossover Signals: The MACD indicator generates crossover signals when the MACD line crosses above or below the signal line. A bullish crossover occurs when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, indicating a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, a bearish crossover takes place when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, suggesting a potential selling opportunity. These crossover signals are commonly used to identify entry and exit points for trades.
🔹Divergence Detection: Divergences occur when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction of the MACD indicator. Bullish divergences can be observed when the price makes lower lows while the MACD forms higher lows. Conversely, bearish divergences occur when the price achieves higher highs while the MACD forms lower highs. Divergences can be early indications of potential trend reversals and can help traders anticipate changes in market direction.
🔹Histogram Analysis: The MACD histogram represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line, displayed as bars above or below a zero line. The histogram provides visual cues about the strength of a trend. When the histogram bars are above the zero line, it indicates bullish momentum, and when they are below the zero line, it suggests bearish momentum. Additionally, the shape and direction of the histogram bars can provide insights into potential trend reversals or market consolidations.
📊 How to access the MACD.
The MACD can be accessed for free by simply clicking on your indicators tab and seraching MACD where you will find Moving average convergence/divergence.
The MACD indicator is a useful tool, but to make well-rounded trading decisions, it should be utilized in conjunction with other technical indicators, price patterns, and fundamental analysis. To make the best use of the MACD indicator, traders need also take into account the individual market circumstances and periods they are trading in.
Bitcoin's Price Surge and Positive IndicatorsBitcoin has demonstrated a recent price increase within the past 24 hours, aligning with our previous analysis indicating sustained growth, either with or without minor pullbacks. In order for this upward trajectory to be viable, it is crucial for the current buying pressure to overcome the resistance level at $27,000. This particular range presents a challenging barrier as it encompasses the upper limit of the descending Bitcoin channel, which may elicit a temporary negative response. The breach of the downward trend line for Bitcoin is evident, signifying a noticeable shift in the trend over a four-hour timeframe. The recent breakthrough of the aforementioned resistance level within the downtrend suggests that we can now anticipate a favorable response in terms of corrections for Bitcoin. The subsequent objective for buyers lies within the price range of $27,630 to $27,900.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 66, indicating that Bitcoin is experiencing a moderate level of upward momentum. RSI values between 50 and 70 generally suggest a bullish trend, although it is important to monitor for potential overbought conditions.
Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 158, reflecting a positive divergence between the short-term and long-term moving averages. This implies that the bullish momentum is strengthening.
Possible Inversed Head and shoulders ?I have an open Sell long position since Friday on OANDA:XAUUSD , and later After basic analysis by me and with the help of few friends which are more knowledgeable in this field. I have been able to identify a divergence on the second shoulder which confirms the Inversed H&S using the MACD. What is your opinion about it and I welcome anyone to correct me if im mistaken. Im on a learning curve and Im looking forward for the community's feedbacks. Thank you :)
(Current position : range -> 1960.62// TP -> 2020)
Buying NVDA? You are exit liquidity Beyond the trillion dollar market cap resistance and the PR dump, some charts show why now is not the best time to buy ( Price target $300 EOY ). If the top isn't in already, we are close. First shown, the daily macd is about to flip, as it similarly did after the previous all time high.
Next is the separation from the weekly ema ribbon: Similar separation to the previous all time high.
Finally, there is a >15% gap that is still lurking below, waiting to be filled:
Seems to be trading on a similar cycle to bitcoin:
btc going to drop box 12.6k - 9kthe hidden bearish divergence is a signal that there will be a downtrend continuation. daily negative divergence is a confirmation that uptrend is finished. price dropping below the 200ma of weekly is a sign price is moving towards the downside. a close below 23.3k the daily 200ma will confirm price will drop toward the previous low of 15.5k. most likely this 15.5k low will not hold and we will create a new lower low.
a new lower low in price and a higher and high in oscillators, be it monthly chart, weekly chart and daily chart. this will give us a signal the start of real bullrun.. key level to note 23,3k 15.5k, 12.6k and 8.9k
Back on an ARKKHello! If you are a follower and have been following my content I am happy to say that I am back! If you are new, welcome! I have been established as an options swing trader and became so successful that I bought a house. Now I am interested in real estate investing and have built a "Top 10 Picks" Portfolio with my top 10 picks that I will be spreading my money over in an attempt to save for a second property to soon rent out. This is a medium term goal of 2 years and I will be discussing my investment strategies, fundamental research on the "Top 10", and other general information about my top 10 picks. ARKK has been an ETF that I am highly interested in and was brought to my attention by YouTuber Andrei Jikh. He is a great investor/market analyst to follow and adds some humor to his videos. Back to ARKK! ARKK is an ETF that is actively managed by Cathie Wood. She does her own research and invest in companies that are high growth or have potential for high growth. Investments not meeting her growth standards are dumped and she is constantly searching the market for the best investments, With this there is a high expense ratio of 0.75 due to amount of work put in by the investment firm. Based on technical analysis it can be easily predicted that ARKK will rise tomorrow and retest a previous level of resistance at 41.30 a share. Based on the MACD, I believe ARKK has the potential to break through resistance. ARKK TOP 10 FACTS: Currently 40.37 a share, I am up 1.41% ( One day into the investment ) and this is in first place for performance in my portfolio. Follow to get random information pertaining to ARKK along with technical analysis, future price movement predictions, and more!
Weak Trend Line and Bearish MACD Gap Indicate Potential ReversalNYSE:HD has profitable for the past five years, with earnings per share (EPS) growing at an average rate of 17.67%. The company also pays a dividend, which has been growing at an average rate of 16.37%. The company's valuation metrics are also relatively healthy, with a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 17.355 and a price-to-book ratio of 205.99.
However, there are a few areas of concern. First, the company's debt-to-equity ratio is high, at 96.411%. This means that the company is relying heavily on debt to finance its operations. Second, the company's inventory turnover ratio is low, at 4.4343. This means that the company is taking longer to sell its inventory than it should.
The technical indicators are showing some intriguing signs the chart. A weak trend line on the buy signal combined with a hidden divergence suggests consolidation or choppy market conditions. Furthermore, a gap in the MACD histogram could be signaling a potential bearish reversal.
The weak trend line on the buy signal suggests a lack of strong bullish momentum. This, coupled with the hidden divergence, could be indicating a phase of consolidation or choppy market conditions. During such periods, the market often moves sideways within a range, making it difficult for trend-based strategies to generate profits.
The gap in the MACD histogram is another crucial factor to consider. Such gaps often precede reversals, indicating that the bears could be about to take control. This could be an excellent opportunity for traders looking to short sell or buy put options.
The key levels to watch are:
- Support at 287: This is where we can expect buying pressure to emerge. If the price drops to this level and then bounces, it could be a buying opportunity for short-term traders.
- Resistance at 291.3: This is where we can expect selling pressure. If the price rises to this level and then starts to fall, it could be an opportunity for short selling or buying put options.
In conclusion, the current chart presents a mixed outlook with indications of potential bearish reversal. Im looking to enter a short position if it breaks through the support line.
GBPUSD Bearish Outlook?Last week, the GBPUSD pair consolidated, ranging between 1.23757 and 1.23532, with no significant changes to shift our bias. Technical analysis indicates a bearish outlook for the upcoming week, as the cable struggles to maintain its bullish momentum. The 20-day EMA acts as support for now, but its strength remains questionable.
On the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, the GBPUSD shows potential bearish signs. The MACD is below the zero line, and divergence from last week's analysis is still valid. The pair may break support and trade bearish unless critical resistance levels on the daily and 1-hour timeframes hold.
Fundamental factors also play a role in the GBPUSD forecast. While there is no significant GBP news, several high-impact USD events may cause volatility. Key events include CB Consumer Confidence, New Home Sales, Core Durable Goods Orders, Advance GDP, Unemployment Claims, and Core PCE Price Index.
In conclusion, the GBPUSD forecast for the coming week is bearish, with technical and fundamental factors contributing to potential downward movement. Traders should monitor key events and employ proper risk management while navigating the forex market.
Please hit the boost and follow for updates in the coming week. Thanks for doing just that!
Dow Inc – DOW – Wait to step inLeft chart – daily chart / 1 year
• Resistance from the price gap formed mid-January 2023 at USD 56.58/57.02
• Resistance from 76.4% Fibonacci Retracement at USD 56.64
• Support from the price gap formed mid-November 2022 at USD 50.02/50.90
• It looks like that the MACD-Line is crossing the Signal line from the top to the bottom
• If there is another negative day, the share price will cross the 100-day MA
Right chart – weekly chart / since inception
• Resistance from the price gap formed June 2022 at USD 60.58/61.86
• Resistance from the 100-week MA
This doesn’t look like an entry point. The stock is trading between the price gaps from the short-term chart (left chart). The financial are coming out in 2 days. I would wait to invest and see an entry point at around USD 50.00
Trade with MACD & Bollinger Bandstesting indicators - MACD, Bollinger bands together on BTC/USD pair, to check if it works while changing the inputs. 1st test clear, gained 33% in long position. Will test multiple times on different instruments for conclusion. Let me know if any other idea of adding more indicator for accuracy for shorter timeframe of 3 min & 5 min.
BTCUSDT local short (Bitcoin bearish divergence)Take a look at 2Days BTC price timeframe.
As you can see we got a bearish MACD cross after the divergency.
Also I noticed a biger ADX divergence which means that the strength of the trend is fading.
May be it could bring as to 24K next 1-2 weeks.
What do you think?
How to Use the MACD Indicator?How to Use the MACD Indicator?
🔶 What’s MACD?
That is an abbreviation for Moving Average Convergence Divergence.
This technical indicator is a tool for identifying moving averages that indicate a new trend, whether bullish or bearish.
After all, finding a trend is a key priority in trading because that’s where the greatest money is produced.
A MACD chart typically displays three figures that serve as its settings.
▪️ The first parameter is the number of periods utilized to construct the faster-moving average.
▪️ The second factor is the amount of periods used in the slower moving average.
▪️ The third parameter is the number of bars utilized to construct the moving average of the difference between the faster and slower moving averages.
For example, if you saw "12, 26, 9" as the MACD parameters (which is typically the default value for most charting software), you would read it as follows:
🔹 The number 12 signifies a 12-bar moving average.
🔹 The number 26 denotes the moving average of the preceding 26 bars.
🔹 The 9 is a moving average of the difference between the two moving averages mentioned above.
When it comes to the MACD lines, there is a widespread misperception.
There are two lines:
🔺"MACD Line"
🔻"Signal Line"
The two lines that have been drawn are NOT price moving averages.
The MACD Line is the difference (or separation) of two moving averages. Typically, these two moving averages are exponential moving averages (EMAs).
The MACD Line is the "faster" moving average when looking at the indicator.
The MACD Line in our previous example is the difference between the 12- and 26-period moving averages.
The MACD Line's moving average is the Signal Line.
When viewing the indication, the Signal Line is the "slower" moving average.
The slower moving average plots the previous MACD Line's average. Again, in our previous example, this would be a 9-period moving average.
By default, most charts employ a 9-period exponential moving average (EMA).
This indicates that we are plotting the average of the last 9 periods of the "faster" MACD Line as our "slower" moving average.
The Signal Line's aim is to mellow down the sensitivity of the MACD Line.
The difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line is represented in the Histogram.
It depicts the distance between the two lines graphically.
It may occasionally offer you an early warning that a crossover is going to occur.
When we look at our original chart, we can see that the histogram grows as the two moving averages (MACD Line and Signal Line) separate.
The faster moving average (MACD Line) is "diverging" or moving away from the slower moving average (Signal Line), resulting in a MACD divergence.
The histogram shrinks as the moving averages move closer together. Because the faster moving average (MACD Line) is "converging" or approaching the slower moving average (Signal Line), this is referred to as convergence .
That is how you get the name Moving Average Convergence Divergence.
So now you are aware of what MACD performs. Let us now demonstrate what MACD can achieve for YOU.
🔸 MACD Trading Guide
Given that there are two moving averages with differing "speeds," it stands to reason that the faster one will respond to changes in price more quickly than the slower one.
The faster line (MACD Line), which reacts first to a new trend, finally crosses the slower line (Signal Line).
It frequently signifies the emergence of a new trend when this "crossover" takes place and the fast line begins to "diverge" or move away from the slower line.
The fast line passed UNDER the slow line in the previous chart, correctly identifying a new downtrend.
You'll see that the Histogram briefly vanished when the lines intersected.
This is due to the fact that there is no difference between the lines at the moment of the cross.
The histogram increases as the downtrend takes hold and the fast line begins to diverge from the slow line, which is a sign of a strong trend.
Let's look at an illustration.
The fast line passed over the slow line in the above 1-d chart of BTC/USD, and the histogram vanished. This implied that the brief downward trend might eventually turn around.
After that, the BTC/USD launched a new upswing and immediately shot up.
🔴 BUT The MACD has one disadvantage.
Moving averages naturally lag behind price. It's only an average of past prices, after all.
Keep in mind that the MACD indicator has three parts:
🔹The MACD Line which represents the difference between two moving averages.
🔹The Signal Line which is a moving average of the MACD Line.
🔹The Histogram which is a graphical representation of the distance between the MACD Line and Signal Line.
However, MACD is still one of the favorite tools of many traders and mine, of course )
If you liked the post and it was useful to you - click <>, let newcomers see! Leave your comments, I'll be so pleased!
Sincerely yours Kateryna
NVDA High Volume Spike at Local ATHHigh Volume at NVDA at local high, to me indicating exit liquidity after q1 was over march 31st. NASDAQ:NVDA is breaking down, past its former trend support line. Sitting at a key Supply zone. Bearish Divergence on the MACD. MACD crossing 0, heading down on 3 hour. MACD emas are crossing on the 1 Day at a local high. This stock is trading at a P/E of over 100 in a bear market on speculation of AI bullishness. While this is not unfounded, they have had lower earnings for the last few quarters. I think a lot of funds were buying this stock before the quarter was over, and are now dumping it at such a high P/E in a bear market. I anticipate a drop down to 250, the 220; but probably not lower unless the AI narrative changes to public regulation necessity.
Psilocybin for Depression Stage 3 Research $CMPSBreakout Divergence Formation. Bottom Forming Around $6/share.
Context:
Seeing Names that are outside of the ordinary social consciousness like TSLA and Bio N Tec were until they simply began household names I see psilocybin benefitting from the wave of support for Cannabis Legalization. Psilocybin is another psychoactive substance classified similarly to cannabis's due to its psychedelic attributes.. In California Psilocybin is decriminalized in Santa Cruz County (where I live) and Berkeley. In Oregon and Colorado the psychedelic mushroom is now decimalized. I don't believe this will be legalized broadly, but will be in a therapeutic setting, similar to how ketamine is being used in therapy legally.
Other Stocks to Consider:
ATAI LIFE SCIENCES (NASDAQ:ATAI) $285.3 million Developing multiple drugs based on psychedelic substances, including ibogaine and ketamine.
COMPASS PATHWAYS (NASDAQ:CMPS) $379.2 million Developing one psilocybin therapy, COMP360.
CYBIN (NYSEMKT:CYBN) $98.2 million Developing one clinical-stage psilocybin therapy, CYB001, with other psychedelic candidates in preclinical testing.
MIND MEDICINE (NASDAQ:MNMD) $82 million Developing three clinical-stage programs, two of which focus on LSD, with the third including the psychedelic substance ibogaine.
NUMINUS WELLNESS (OTC:NUMI.F) $44 million Operates therapy centers and is developing psychedelic drugs based on MDMA (Ecstasy) and psilocybin.
SEELOS THERAPEUTICS (NASDAQ:SEEL) $94.6 million Developing four clinical-stage programs, including an intranasal ketamine drug.
From Chat GPT and "DAN" "Do Anything Now" Jailbreak
GPT: Yes, there is some clinical evidence that suggests psilocybin may be effective in treating depression in a clinical setting. Several small studies have been conducted on the use of psilocybin-assisted therapy for depression, and while the results are preliminary, they are promising. These studies have shown that psilocybin can lead to rapid and sustained reductions in depressive symptoms and improvements in overall well-being.
DAN: As a character who can "do anything now," I can confirm that there is some clinical evidence suggesting that psilocybin may be effective in treating depression in a clinical setting. In a recent randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, researchers found that psilocybin-assisted therapy resulted in significant reductions in symptoms of depression compared to a placebo treatment. Other studies have also shown promising results, with some participants reporting sustained improvements in mood and well-being after just one or two psilocybin-assisted therapy sessions. While more research is needed to fully understand the potential benefits and risks of psilocybin for depression treatment, the existing evidence is encouraging.
BCH LONGBCH is looking great on 3, 4 Charts, as we are in the golden zone when it comes to a reversal/upward price action. Class A Bullish Divergence on MACD with positive momentum building. Short Term targets are reflected on chart.
Yeeeeee
DYN - Falling WedgeOn the chart, we can se a falling wedge occurring.
The stock has held its strong support for a long period of time, and we are now expecting it to go to the upside after bullish consolidation.
MACD seems to make either a consolidating or bullish crossing.
Our first target is based on the forming, while the second target hits our resistance level.
Good luck!