Machinelearning
How I almost doubled my investments by betting in AIBig wins for 2020 and 2021! Exactly today two years ago I posted this idea about investing in FANG (Facebook, Amazon, Nvidia and Google). If you followed my advice and invested in FANG you should have almost doubled your investment by now.
Remember that the idea behind picking these stock is very simple:
These companies have a lot of data, and data is the oil for AI .
My investing advice remains the same for the 2022. Avoid investing in meme stocks and unknown crypto coins. This is a very hard way to make any money. Invest in companies related to what is coming next. Invest in AI, ML, healthcare, robotics, 3d printing, drones, biotech.
Worth reading: USDOF Official Calls Artificial Intelligence the New Oil .
Follow me on TradingView to know more about my investing choices.
---
“Robots are not going to replace humans, they are going to make their jobs much more humane. Difficult, demeaning, demanding, dangerous, dull – these are the jobs robots will be taking." - Sabine Hauert, Co-founder of Robohub.org
Bitcoin situation based on Options flowBitcoin is trading recently in clearly visible Trading Range, keeping investors nervous and asking question - is it Distribution or Accumulation? From Daily Timeframe we see in general Positive/Bullish sentiment from Options Traders, but it's not fully confirmed by the market yet. Going into more detailed M30, we see recent signals of incoming demand to the market identified by VSA Scanner in form of Selling Climax and Climactic Shakeout. Also Volume Area (blue rectangle on the chart identified also by Scanner) is retested from the top (top edge on 45945) what adds fuel for Bulls.
From Daily Chart we could observe also equal ratio of Put and Call options what happened several times on level 46105. This is currently our major support which needs to be kept if Bullish tendence should continue be present on BTC. From Related Idea about BTC, you can remember that level 50000 is strong Put Wall. Billions of dollars are loaded into Options with Strike Price above 50k. Around area of 50k also we have present Supply Zone (red rectangle), therefore we can expect Bullish run up to that level, then correction most likely to happen. And here will come decisive moment for both camps - Bulls and Bears. We also have present Virgin VPOC on 54890 from beginning of December, what is another confluence factor for Long.
And what only worries me, is Virgin VPOC from 30th September on 43100, which is the level below the current price (for the moment of writing analysis). Let's make some popcorn and see what happens next ;) Here comes handly VSA Scanner script, which will at earliest possibility warn us before potential Supply signals and Bears entering the market.
JNJ Potential for a move upI am a data science enthusiast and decided to share some of my models results here. My current model scans over 300 stocks and 300 etfs. It tries to predict probable moves over the next 10 trading days. JNJ has been one that has been highlighted. Think the model is on to something considering that it has had quite a move down the last few months. The model has predicted 6 for JNJ which means it is expecting a reasonable move up over the next 10 days.
I use python for all my scripting of the machine learning. If you know about sklearn it can generate a confusion matrix like below for JNJ. I have included the confusion matrix on the chart where columns are what my model predicted and the rows are what the values actually were. The values 0 to 1 are indicative of a negative return over the next 10 trading days and 2 to 7 positive moves. 0 means a are large expected down move and 7 a large expected upward move for the stock.
Also have a look at my Patreon page where I publish more ideas: www.patreon.com
Options flow predicting moves on Derivatives (Futures)Options have been and are an important instrument on the financial market for a trader trading Intraday Futures. Therefore, while exploring the mechanics of the option market over the last several months, as a result of work, indicators were created that load data from Quandl and then look for patterns that may herald a change of direction on the derivative market - in this case Futures Contracts. There are two main types of Options:
CALL - allow their owner to buy a given product in the future at a predetermined price (Strike Price)
PUT - allow you to sell this product at a predetermined price (Strike Price)
By observing the market volumes of both types of Options, we can observe the sentiment of investors. The key factors are which volume (call or put) prevail in the volume and the dynamics of the volume - what is the trend on volume, whether the difference between them increases or decreases. In addition, the Put / Call Ratio analysis allows you to confirm or negate the signals from the Option volume. The Ratio indicator behaves inversely to the price movement - in the case of a bearish sentiment, we expect the ratio to increase, and in the case of bullish sentiment - the indicator should decrease. If the Ratio follows the price in the same direction, it is an anomaly.
Of course, the mere observation of the Option volumes and the Put / Call ratio is not sufficient, as the Options Market is a much more complicated activity. It is worth including in the calculations such factors as Expiration Date, Bonus Amount, option type (In the Money, Out of Money or At the Money). Not each of the factors is equally important, therefore the key is additionally the appropriate selection of the weighting factors. For this purpose, due to the multitude of data, it is worth using Machine Learning, which I also do by saving the resulting data in a dataset in Quandl and displaying the data in TradingView using Pine Script.
Below are some additional examples from recent sessions on ES showing the predictive nature of the Option sentiment, often preceding major movements in the ES index (during the spot session):
First, from the left, the session from November 15 is shown and an opportunity to play Short. On the right, the session from November 16 and an opportunity to play the Long position this time.
Session from November 10, where we first got the Bull's signal, and at the top we got a warning signal of traffic reversal and the possibility of entering Short:
And one of my favorite moves on November 3:
Open Tutorial ⚪ Have You Missed the Boat?Open Tutorial ⚪ Have You Missed the Boat?
"Have you missed the boat?"
Dominances fall = prices rise.
73% of crypto whales used to be average nerds:
Students, gamers, administrators.
Less than 20% of the whales come from Wall Street.
How could high school students beat PRO traders?
In simple steps.
So simple that anyone could understand.
Our followers made more than 10% profit in seven days,
an average of 1.42% per day.
Proof:
How does it compound over months?
You can make 52.7% per month.
Triple your investment in three months.
Or enjoy a yearly 17083.7% compound interest.
Too good to be true?
HODLers didn't know it was impossible.
So, they made it.
We accelerate this same mechanism with our TA.
Be the first one to read our TA.
Choose our charts and outperform HODLers.
Bearish Wedge on BTC dominance.
Understand this chart.
You become a whale soon.
Adcore $ADCO.TO TA Potential entry point for Long PositionAdcore has recently announced a bought deal at $1.33. the company needs capital to further grow out its sales division/initiatives in addition to capitalizing their R&D for their adtech.
Bought deals are always tricky beasts, and Adcore is an illiquid stock, besides some serious selling pressure the last two days. I would recommend using a limit buy if you were looking to add and or open a long position in Adcore. I see a potential slide to the $1.26-1.29 range as being possible this week. DCA approach is always something to consider when building a position in microcaps to smooth out volatlity.
This should not be interpreted as an entry for a swing trade, this is not set up for anything like that right now.
Disclosure: I own shares of Adcore but in anticipation of this bought deal, given signals from CEO and recently filed prospectus I moved off most of my position in early June to be able to allow myself the opportunity to capitalize on what I thought could happen wrt to share price and it currently is.
Please do DD and follow your own trading rules.