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BTCUSDT: Pro Analysis, Major Swing Supports, Risk Focus__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum & Trends : Short-term consolidation (<1H frames), dominant uptrend 2H–1W. BTC market structure is “Up” across all higher timeframes. Supports/Resistances : Major supports: 100,300 – 101,600 USDT (1D/4H/2H pivots) Resistances: 109,000 – 111,500 USDT (1D/W/12H pivots) Volume : Recent bearish climax absorbed, back to normal volumes, no current excess. Multi-TF Behavioral Read : Behavioral indicators (ISPD DIV) are neutral; no extreme sentiment. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator confirms structural buy-side. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global Bias : Bullish trend on high TFs, technical consolidation short term. Opportunities : Swing entries on return ≥101.6k, TP at 109k/111.5k. Manage position sizes actively before Fed. Risk Zones : Invalidation <100.3k daily; key area to monitor. Short-term stop-loss below 99.9k. Macro Catalysts : FOMC (June 17–18) = expected volatility, no major macro risk now. Watch Mideast tensions. Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel/Iran): volatile climate, potential risk-off sentiment on certain assets, but no widespread panic; to be monitored in case of rapid escalation (possible increased BTC volatility). Action Plan : Favor gradual entries on major supports, reduce leverage pre-macro events, active volatility and stops monitoring. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D / 12H: Key support at 100.3k–101.6k, major resistance 109–111.5k. Repeated rejections at resistance, mature range. Normal volume, consolidating momentum. 6H / 4H: Strong lateral structure, ISPD/Volume neutral. Technical play around 101.6k, gradual profit-taking below 109k. 2H / 1H: Start of institutional reaction (moderate to high volumes). Bearish climax absorbed, possible short-term rebound at local support 99.9k–101.6k. 30min / 15min: Micro-range, short-term consolidation, some volume spikes on corrections. Downtrend confirmed on lower TFs, despite macro/swing bullish confluence. ISPD & Risk On / Risk Off Indicator Summary: ISPD DIV = Neutral across all timeframes. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY on all horizons (US tech strong). Cross-timeframe Synthesis : BTC market is accumulating on supports under favorable tech sector influence. Short-term consolidation seen as post-shakeout setup for potential resumed uptrend. __________________________________________________________________________________ Final Synthesis & Operational Plan __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC market remains in a dominant swing bullish bias, supported by tech sector momentum and on-chain inflows. Key support zones (100.3–101.6k) offer attractive technical swing entries, with targets at 109–111.5k. However, strict risk management is essential ahead of the upcoming FOMC, rising Middle East tensions (Israel/Iran), and the potential for sudden volatility spikes. Strategy: Maintain bullish exposure with partial profit-taking and reduced leverage into macro/geopolitical events. Systematic stops remain below 99.9k. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
Bitcoin: Firm supports, play the breakout or dip ahead of CPI__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Structurally bullish momentum across all timeframes. No bearish divergence or signs of capitulation detected. Major supports: 108,291.5; 106,743.9. Key resistances: 109,997.81; 111,949. Normal volume, robust buying dynamics without climax, no excess in the flows. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : “ Strong Buy ” signal from 1D to 1H; only M15 is neutral (micro-consolidation). No exhaustion or massive profit-taking behaviour. ISPD DIV neutral across all timeframes. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall bias: Structurally bullish, strong momentum, no imminent major reversal. Possible consolidation ahead of US CPI. Risk zones: 109.9k–111.9k (historic resistance), key macro event June 11 (CPI). Catalysts: US inflation figures (CPI), Fed speeches, low implied BTC option volatility. Action plan: Buy on retracement towards 108.2k/106.7k, or confirmed breakout >111.9k; technical stops below 108.2k & 106.7k; trim risk before CPI if actively managing. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Approaching historic resistance, “very strong” trend, no weakness detected. 12H/6H/4H: Strong buying pressure, full indicator alignment, close to a break/rejection at 110–111k. 2H/1H: Persistent intraday momentum, no bearish alert, moderate to dynamic volumes (notably 2H). 30min: Healthy trend, buying pressure, no sign of topping out. Squeeze scenario possible if broken. 15min: Neutral phase, micro-consolidation with supported volume, swift resumption possible post-break resolution. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy on all timeframes except 15min (neutral/short pause). ISPD DIV: Neutral everywhere, environment supports bullish trend continuation. Volumes: Normal to moderate, no distribution alert or bull trap detected. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Recap __________________________________________________________________________________ Primary trend: Structurally bullish, strong multi-timeframe confluence. Key signal: Accumulation on support, breakout/extension to be considered only on significant volume. Opportunity: Entry on technical pullback (108.2k/106.7k) or confirmed breakout (>111.9k), swing target 115.4k Critical risks: US CPI release, extended resistance, hidden volatility Risk management: Stop below 108.2k/106.7k, reduce cash risk ahead of macro events as needed. Summary: As long as 108.2k-106.7k support holds, pullbacks are buying opportunities. Strong conviction for upside if 111.9k is broken. Anticipate volatility around US CPI. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
S&P 500 Index (SPX) Weekly TF – 2025 Chart Context: Tools Used: 3 Fibonacci Tools: 1. One **Fibonacci retracement** (from ATH to bottom) 2. Two **Trend-Based Fibonacci Extensions** * Key Levels and Zones: * **Support Zone** (Fib Confluence): \~4,820–5,100 * **Support Area (shallow pullback)**: \~5,500–5,600 * **Resistance & TP Zones:** * TP1: **6,450** (Fib confluence & -61.8%) * TP2: **6,840** (-27%) * TP3: **7,450–7,760** (Major Confluence) Technical Observations: * SPX is approaching a **critical resistance** near previous ATH (\~6,128) with projected upward trajectory. * The **green dashed path** suggests a rally continuation from current \~6,000 levels to TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840), and eventually TP3 (\~7,450–7,760), IF no major macro shock hits. * The **purple dotted path** suggests a potential retracement first to \~5,600 (shallow correction) or deeper into \~5,120 or even 4,820 zone before continuing the bullish rally. * The major support zone around **4,820–5,120** includes key Fib retracement levels (38.2% and 61.8%) from both extensions and historical breakout levels. Fundamental Context: * US economy shows **resilience** amid soft-landing narrative, though inflation remains sticky. * The **Federal Reserve** is expected to cut rates in **Q3–Q4 2025**, boosting equity valuations. * Liquidity expansion and dovish outlook support risk assets, including **equities and crypto**. * However, **AI-driven tech rally** may be overstretched; a correction could follow earnings disappointments or macro surprises (e.g., jobs or CPI shocks). Narrative Bias & Scenarios: **Scenario 1 – Correction Before Rally (Purple Path)** * If SPX faces macro pushback (e.g., high CPI, hawkish Fed), expect retracement to: * 5,600 = Fib -23.6% zone * 5,120–4,820 = Major Fib Confluence Zone * These would act as **accumulation zones**, setting up next leg up toward TP1 and beyond. * **Effect on Gold**: May rise temporarily due to risk-off move. * **Effect on Crypto**: Could stall or correct, especially altcoins. **Scenario 2 – Straight Rally (Green Path)** * If Fed confirms cuts and macro remains soft: * SPX breaks ATH (\~6,128) * Hits TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840) * Eventually reaches confluence at **TP3 (7,450–7,760)** * **Effect on Gold**: May struggle; investor preference for equities. * **Effect on Crypto**: Strong risk-on appetite, altseason continuation. Indicators Used: * 3 Fibonacci levels (retracement + 2 extensions) * Trendlines (macro and local) * Confluence mapping Philosophical/Narrative Layer: This phase of the market resembles a test of collective confidence. Equity markets nearing ATHs while monetary easing begins reflect a fragile optimism. The Fibonacci levels act as narrative checkpoints — psychological as much as mathematical. Will we rally on faith or fall for rebalancing? Bias & Strategy Implication: Bias: Bullish with caution * Strategy: * Await **confirmation breakout >6,128** for fresh long entries * Accumulate on dips in the **5,100–5,500** zone if correction unfolds * Use **TP1, TP2, TP3** as staged exits Related Reference Charts: * BTC.D Analysis – Bearish Bias: * TOTAL:Bullish Bias *TOTAL3 – Bullish Bias: * US10Y Yield – Falling Bias Impact:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/US10Y/45w6qkWl-US10Y-10-Year-Treasury-Yield-Weekly-TF-2025/
TVC:SPXLong
by BitonGroup
NOKJPY – Detailed Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaMacro Bias: LONG NOK / SHORT JPY Why NOKJPY? 1. Fundamental Macro (ENDO): Norway (NOK): Strong inflationary pressure, positive PMI, robust M2 growth. Massive fiscal surplus driven by energy exports – best debt/GDP ratio in the G10. Norges Bank still maintaining relatively high interest rates. Positive Terms of Trade, central bank balance sheet (CBBS) is shrinking (long-term bullish for NOK). Japan (JPY): Economic stagnation and deflationary risks, weak PMI and consumer spending. Negative real yields, central bank remains ultra-accommodative, extreme debt/GDP ratio. Persistent deflationary sentiment – classic “funding currency” for global carry trades. 2. COT Positioning (Commitments of Traders): JPY is the most crowded short in the entire G10: hedge funds and leveraged funds are aggressively short JPY. NOK positioning is neutral to slightly long – no overcrowding risk on the long side. 3. EXO & Sentiment Signals: Terms-of-trade and projected GDP/CPI all favor NOK. Sentiment, macro “score,” and risk/reward models consistently generate a long NOKJPY signal. Exogenous indicators (futures, commodity impulse, sentiment, parity) all support NOK strength. 4. Technicals & Carry Edge: NOKJPY remains in a strong multi-month uptrend. Major carry advantage: NOK rates are much higher than JPY, yielding significant positive swap. Every recent pullback has been bought, and momentum remains bullish. Key Reasons for the Trade: Multi-model consensus: No contradiction between macro, COT, exo, and technicals. NOK is “king of G10” by every fundamental measure; JPY is the weakest currency this cycle. Textbook carry trade for 2025. Risks: Only a sudden global “risk-off” or a central bank policy shock could temporarily disrupt the trend. Currently, there is no crowding risk on NOK longs. SUMMARY: LONG NOKJPY is the cleanest, highest-conviction swing trade for this cycle – every model (macro, COT, exo, sentiment, carry) is in agreement. Every meaningful pullback is a buying opportunity.
Long
by Idealadvantage
BTCUSDT Analysis – Pivot 103k/106k, strategy and key zones__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum : Bullish structure on 1D/12H (MTFTI “Up”), but short-term consolidation (1H-2H “Down”). Momentum exhaustion observed. Key Supports/Resistances : Resistances: 105287.8 / 106743.9 / 109952.8 / 111949. Supports: 103033.3 / 100333.3 / 93337.4. Repeated rejections below 105-106k, active testing of 103-100k supports. Volume : Normal or slightly elevated on all timeframes. No capitulation or euphoric extremes detected. Multi-TF Behaviour : Strong sector leadership (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = “Strong Buy” across all frames; growth stocks > market). No behavioural anomalies on ISPD DIV. High-cycle consolidation below resistance. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Bias : Neutral/bullish as long as 103k/100k holds. Bullish momentum intact, but short-term caution warranted. Opportunities : Defensive buys/technical pullbacks above 103k; scalp/range trading 103-106k. Risk Zones : Confirmed breakdown below 100k or acceleration in LTH distribution. Macro Catalysts : Next FOMC June 17-18; no major short-term events identified (recent neutral macro, FOMC is key for swings). Action Plan : Prioritize strict stops (≥3%) near pivots, consistent monitoring of behaviour/volume. Avoid overexposure pre-FOMC. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D : Structuring range below 109952.8-111949 resistances. Bullish HTF trend, but momentum pausing. Average volume. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Strong Buy”. No extreme ISPD signals (neutral). 12H – 6H : Consolidation; supports holding, no euphoric confirmation (normal volumes, ISPD DIV neutral). Sector leadership unchanged. 4H : Compression below 105287.8. Moderate volume. Defensive resumption on supports. MTFTI bullish. Dynamic risk: monitor for sell-side capitulation. 2H – 1H : Technical correction, active retest of 105k (range 103-105k). Absorption volume. MTFTI “Down”. 30min – 15min : Short-term positive bias above 103k. Risk of false break if volume remains low. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Buy”/“Strong Buy”. Cross-Indicators : Market leadership confirmed: Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Strong Buy on all frames >15min. No excess behaviour or significant divergences detected. Key ranges: 103k-105k. On-chain: heavy LTH profit-taking but no panic. Summary : BTC market in post-cycle-high congestion phase, structurally robust, but momentum recalibrating with fewer “easy trades.” __________________________________________________________________________________ Cross insights & on-chain summary __________________________________________________________________________________ On-chain (Glassnode) : Top at $111.8k, correction to $103.2k by LTH profit-taking. Spot accumulation on $103.7k/$95.6k. Upside limited unless fresh buying flows return. Macro events : Awaiting FOMC; no recent surprises. Price action and levels dominate short-term strategy. Stops/invalidation : Swing long defended at 103k/100k (stop <100k H4). Partial short/sell below 106743.9/109952.8. Dynamic targets: 106-109.9k; extension: 111.8k if breakout on volume. __________________________________________________________________________________ Conclusion & Actionable Plan __________________________________________________________________________________ Market condition: - High consolidation, ranging below major resistances. - Long-term bullish, short-term momentum fading. - Neutral/bullish if 100-103k holds. - “No macro — only levels” until FOMC or volatility catalyst. Tactical decision: - Trade technically, stops ≥3% under supports. - Defended buys at 103k (stop <100k), partial profit 106-109k. - Continuous monitoring of volume/on-chain zone reaction. - Aggressive exit/hedge below support, target 96k/83k. __________________________________________________________________________________ 100% analysis based on TradingView multi-TF, Glassnode on-chain, macro calendar and risk management. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
BTC Tactical rebound or flush? Decision point at $103700 support__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points ➤ Strong overall momentum across all swing/weekly timeframes, clear advantage to buyers. ➤ Key support at 103,700–104,000 USDT (chart/on-chain confluence, maximum visibility on all timeframes). ➤ Major technical resistance zone at 111,000–112,000 USDT (ATH + HTF pivots). ➤ Volumes normal to moderate, no directional climax or emotional excess in short and mid-term. ➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains strongly positive, indicating persistent sector outperformance. ➤ Only short-term weakness detected: temporary bearish trend on 2H/1H/30min/15min, typical of a short-term flush within a bullish structural context. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary ➤ Main bias: Bullish for swing approaches as long as $103,700 holds on closing. ➤ Opportunity: Buy on support on any retest 103,700–104,000 USDT with stop <102,000 USDT. ➤ Partial target: Take profits at 105–106k, then 111–112k. ➤ Risk zones: Confirmed break below 103,700 USDT with high volume = potential flush to 97–98k or even 95–96k. ➤ Catalysts: Quiet macro calendar until NFP (06/06) & FOMC (mid-June) — increased monitoring as these events approach. ➤ Action plan: Tactical intervention on support pullback, reduce exposure before major events. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis 1D/1W : Major structure fully bullish. No underlying reversal, stable volume, solid momentum. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator fully “On Risk”, no behavioral excess. 12H/6H: Sector momentum and volumes validate all swing-long entries on dips. Key supports 103,700–104,000 USDT consistently defended across timeframes. 4H/2H: Bullish bias maintained, healthy structure. Slight intraday weakness: 2H softens, moderately high volumes without extremes. 1H/30m/15m: Short-term bearish bias across all LTF — profit taking impact, typical technical flush on support. Bearish signals do NOT invalidate HTF bullish trend, but require tactical vigilance. Risk Summary: A fast drop below 103,700 USDT with volume would validate a flash liquidation scenario to 97–98k. Pullback in mature bull phase, strongly defended at the key support: timing for “mean reversion” on volume reaction, else wait for lower setups. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Still “On Risk”, strong tech/growth sector momentum on daily/swing. ISPD: No behavioral excess, neutral/median histogram across timeframes. Volumes: Normal/moderate, no exhaustion spike nor major selling. On-chain: Mature distribution, LTH profit-taking; key supports at $103,700, $97,100, $95,600. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Synthesis & Bias Market in mature bullish consolidation, HTF structure robust as long as 103,700 USDT holds. Active opportunity window until NFP & FOMC: prioritize swing/mean-revert setups. Required stop for any trade: strictly below $102,000. Smart monitoring of volumes & sentiment: confirmed support break + volume = wait for lower rebound. No excessive panic or exuberance signals: strong RR if re-entering the main range. Actively manage exposure approaching macro events. Operational summary: • Buy at 103,700–104,000 USDT, stop <102,000. • Partial profits at 105–106k, final offload at 111–112k. • Reduce exposure ahead of NFP/FOMC. • If break of 103,700 USDT: stop and wait for $97–98k or $95–96k. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
Tactical BTCUSDT Swing: Persistent Risk On, Key Stop at 103,000__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Strong bullish sectoral momentum (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator on strong buy across all timeframes), but momentum is fading just below key resistances. Supports/resistances: Key 104,179–103,086 area tested on every timeframe, consolidating a major price floor. Upside targets: 109,588 then 111,980. Volume: Stable liquidity, no anomaly spike or structural rupture. Volumes consistent with trend; moderate pickup in activity near supports, no climax. Market behavior: Investor Satisfaction Indicator is neutral on all timeframes except 1H (behavioral buy signal to monitor). No euphoria or panic, no aggressive accumulation. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global bias: Cautiously bullish as long as 104,179–103,086 pivot support holds. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator gives a strong bullish sector signal. Macro backdrop neutral, low volatility. Opportunities: Swing timing on pullback to support confirmed on 1H/4H, targets 109,500/111,980. Wait for daily/4H confirmation before full allocation. Risk zones: Strong invalidation under 103,086, alert under 104,179. Suggested technical stop-loss below 103,000 USDT. Macro catalysts: Watch ECB and Fed (8:30–9:45 UTC, Thursday). Expect possible volatility spike, adjust sizing and stop accordingly. Action plan: Active swing trading off support, dynamic stops, partial exposure ahead of major events. Active risk/reward management (>2.5), upside targets on technical pivots, liquidity is normal. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ : Global uptrend but fading momentum below ATH. Major support 104,179–103,086, no clear behavioral signals. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strong buy, volumes stable. : Strong tech sector bias (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strong buy), support at 104,179. ISPD DIV neutral, volumes normal. : Pause/consolidation above multidimensional support (104,179). Healthy but cautious structure. : Consolidation >104,179, long positioning remains valid as long as support holds; no clear short-term behavioral inflow. : Testing key support, first signs of indecision. Increased watchfulness recommended. : First short-term behavioral buy signal (ISPD DIV/mason's), optimal tactical allocation timing if 104,179 support is defended. : Intraday range on support, no emotional spike or break volume. : Local flush, defensive rebound off support, short-term range scenario; potential technical bounce. Cross-timeframe summary: - 104,179 is the key defensive multi-support area, tested across all TFs. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator is bullish across the board, except behavioral divergence (ISPD DIV Buy on 1H only). - No panic or rupture volumes detected. - Immediate risk if breakdown below 104,179 and/or 103,086: opens door to intraday bearish extension toward 93,377. __________________________________________________________________________________ STRATEGIC OUTLOOK – Final Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Technical setup: Solid consolidation above 104,179/103,086 supports, sectoral buying confirmed. No major deterioration unless a clear breakdown occurs. Opportunity: Short-term swing entry on 1H/4H signal, target 109,500–111,980. Stop-loss below 103,000 advised. Risk: Downside acceleration if support breaks, especially if LTH profit taking continues or spot demand fades. Macro: Calm backdrop, ECB and Fed decisive for short-term volatility. Watch post-announcement market action. On-chain: Significant profit-taking near highs, no euphoria, positive risk/reward if stops are respected. Operational summary: Cautiously bullish while 104,179/103,086 hold. Tactical swing entry possible on pullback and confirmed signal (1H or 4H). Strict stop management below 103,000, reduced exposure before key ECB/Fed events. Upside targets: 109,588 – 111,980. Monitor volumes and behavioral signals post-news. Key levels to watch: Supports: 104,179, 103,086 Resistances: 109,588, 111,980 Macro alerts: ECB/Fed (Thursday morning, 8:30–9:45 UTC) Behavioral ISPD DIV signal after news Suggested stop-loss : < 103,000 USDT (as of 01/06/2025, 22:56 CEST) Comprehensive analysis based on multi-timeframe technical structure, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and ISPD DIV behavioral/mason's confirmations. Remain disciplined and flexible in risk management. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
BTC at resistance: tactical swing plan for bulls <106.7k __________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Dominant bullish structure across all timeframes, major resistance at 106.7k–112k. Supports/Resistances: 106743 (multi-TF pivot), 103000–105000 (key supports). Price compressed below main resistance. Volume: Normal to moderately high, a few occasional yellow spikes, no massive distribution or capitulation. Behavior Multi-TF: Risk On / Risk Off Indicator bullish at every horizon. Behavioral indicator (ISPD DIV) in constant buy zone, no orange anomaly. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Bias: Bullish structure intact, sustained momentum up to the critical 106.7k–112k resistance. Opportunities: Swing entries on 103–105k support clusters, long scalps on 15–30min signals, partial exits near/under key resistances. Risk Zones: Confirmed break below 103k = major bearish alert, repeated rejection below 106.7k–112k = risk of extended/distributive range. Macro Catalysts: US data (ADP, ISM, PMI), stablecoin/GENIUS regulation. High-volatility windows expected during major news (03/06–04/06). Action Plan: Active management, progressive reinforcement on pullbacks, controlled exposure below resistance, stop-loss advised < 103k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ Daily: Pivot High 1D: 111949/ Pivot Low 1D: 93337.4. Stalled below 106.7k–112k. Normal volume, strong software sector/ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator buy signal, healthy behaviors. 12H – 4H: Compression in 104.5k–106.7k/109.9k. Cautious bullish bias, localized volume clusters, all buy signals except on immediate resistance tests. 2H – 1H: Technical pullbacks at 104k, micro-range 105–106k. Momentum intact, 15–30min buy signals on every support retest. 30min – 15min: High intraday volatility, liquidity absorption at supports, active ranging phase. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and ISPD consistently bullish. ISPD & Risk On / Risk Off Indicator Summary: Buy alignment across the board, no behavioral deviation, strong sector support. __________________________________________________________________________________ Summary: BTC/USDT remains capped beneath the 106.7k–112k resistance, but all multi-TF, behavioral, and sector signals stay bullish above 103k. Favored setup: active management around supports, prudent profit-taking below resistance, intensified macro monitoring. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
JNJ - Macro View 🌐Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 JNJ has exhibited an overall bullish trend, trading within the ascending wedge pattern outlined in blue. It is presently nearing the lower boundary/blue trendline. At present, JNJ is undergoing a correction phase and is trading within the descending red channel. It is currently approaching the lower limit and a highlighted demand zone in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue and red trendlines acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As JNJ approaches the lower purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NYSE:JNJ
by TheSignalyst
3
ebay is on sale 🛒Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 EBAY has exhibited an overall bullish trend , trading above the orange and blue trendlines. At present, EBAY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching a strong support zone 30 - 34 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue and orange trendlines acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EBAY approaches the lower red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NASDAQ:EBAYLong
by TheSignalyst
3
Can Tech Strength Still Drive Markets Amid Trade Tensions?Macro approach: The Nasdaq 100 (USTEC) began Jun with strong momentum after its best monthly performance since 2023, fueled by robust tech earnings and a brief lull in tariff concerns. - However, renewed US-China trade tensions resurfaced early in the week, briefly weighing on sentiment before a market rebound restored cautious optimism. - Nvidia (NVDA) surged due to the continued demand for AI chips. At the same time, Tesla (TSLA) drew investor focus ahead of its 12 Jun robotaxi launch, helping maintain positive momentum in the face of geopolitical uncertainty. Technical approach: - USTEC is now testing the previous swing high near 218000, staying above both EMAs, a sign of ongoing bullish strength. - A clear break above 21800 would likely open the path toward the record-high zone near 22200. - Failure to do so may trigger a pullback toward the nearest support of around 20700. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
CITYINDEX:USTECH100CFDLong
by DatTong
BTC/USDT: Strong Bullish Alignment, All Signals Green (01/06/25)__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Bullish structure confirmed by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“BUY” across all timeframes). Key Supports: 103k–104k, consolidated on every horizon (1D to 15min). Resistances: 105.5k–108k (short-term), 110k as a main pivot. Volume: Moderately high, with no climax or distribution signals. Behaviour: Proprietary indicators (ISPD DIV) show strong bullish confluence across timeframes; no divergences or significant bearish signals. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Directional Bias: Dominant bullish bias across all timeframes. Opportunities: Tactical entries on pullbacks to 103k–104k, main exits >108/110k. Risk: Invalidation below 101k; watch for extreme volumes or major macro catalysts. Catalysts: Strong global risk-on dynamics (tech rally, institutional flows, weak USD); monitoring SEC regulation and macro events (NFP, CPI, FED). Plan of action: Buy defended support zones, reduce on exuberance >110k, dynamic stop below 101k, stay reactive ahead of major events. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Major resistance at 110k (Pivot High), strong support 101–104k, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “BUY,” healthy volume; maintained momentum. 12H: Confluent resistance 105.5–110k, support 102.5–104k, bullish indicators, no divergence or volume climax. 6H: Resistances 105.5/108k, solid support 103–104k, strict bullish confirmations. 4H: Clustered resistances 105.5/108k, dense support 103–104k, digestion phase in volume (healthy consolidation). 2H: Major pivots 105–108k, supports 103k/101.5k, strong demand on pullback. 1H: Barriers 105.5–106k, support 103.4–104.2k, no bearish signals. 30min: Spot resistance at 105.5k+, support 103.8–104.2k, microstructure favors buying, weak selling pressure. 15min: Support 104k, resistance 105.5–106k, intraday flow remains pro-buy on weakness. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Consistent “BUY” signal across all timeframes — sector and behavioural momentum alignment. ISPD DIV: Positive histogram, no red zones or distribution alerts. Volumes: Normal to moderately high, no climax suggesting trend end. Summary: Strong multi-timeframe technical alignment. Bullish momentum, firmly defended supports. No imminent reversal signals, healthy consolidation within dominant risk-on trend. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic & Fundamental Synthesis __________________________________________________________________________________ Technical bias: Strong bullish conviction as long as 103–104k is defended, supported by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator/ISPD. Fundamentals: Macro momentum (Nasdaq/US tech rally, weak USD), OI and spot dominance high, growing euphoria (ATH ~111k), watch for potential distribution if buyer exuberance peaks (P/L ratio 12:1). Scenarios: Buy on defended flows 103–104k, TP >108–110k; caution on extreme volume at support. Macro: Anticipate reactions to major events (NFP, CPI, FED). If a key event is due within 48h: prudence, adapt post-release. Opportunities: Potential rotation to altcoins (SOL/ETH), short-term swing as BTC momentum pauses. Momentum prevails, but caution warranted on any volume spikes or major macro headlines. Market remains a buy at support, optimal strategy is dynamic pullback/TP management, strict discipline in case of high-volume sell-off. __________________________________________________________________________________ Actionable Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Entry: Buy securely on 103–104.2k zone Stop: Hard invalidation if <101k (on volume) Take Profit: 108–110k+ Risk: Excessive on-chain euphoria, violent support break Stay agile near major releases and watch flow rotations (BTC/ALT) __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
BTCUSDT: Strong Risk-On Signal, Optimal Swing Above 103k__________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global bias : Dominant bullish structure, confirmed sector momentum, “risk-on” technical setting. Opportunities : Favored swing entries above supports (103703.7–107019.9), breakout plays at 104865/106537. Risk zones : Technical invalidation below 103703.7 or rapid ISPD DIV deterioration (red/orange zone + extreme selling volumes). Macro catalysts : Rate, inflation/PCE, job numbers publication (48–72h) – to monitor closely for volatility pivots. Action plan : Tight stops below supports, partial profit-taking on resistances, reduce exposure before key macro events, re-enter post-announcement on confirmed direction. __________________________________________________________________________________ Fundamental & Macro Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ Favorable macro momentum (BTC, ETH, equity indices, institutional trust). Bull-cycle confirmation via technical triggers (bullish cross, MACD divergence). Risks : Major token unlocks coming (3.3B+), on-chain euphoria (extreme profit/loss, exchange dominance >33%). Dynamic risk management crucial – swing stop-loss < 103703.7 is imperative. Events to watch : US rates, inflation/PCE, payroll data – periods of heightened volatility expected, necessitating exposure adjustment. Swing trade plan : Defensive entries on key supports, reduction pre-announcement, gradual profit-taking below 106537, then 109952.8/111949. Risk/reward : Optimal for swing trades near supports, tactical management required for breakout chasing. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D (Daily) : Bullish structure intact, key supports (107019.9, 81075.6). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains “Strong Buy”. No excess in volumes or behavior – buyers’ climate. 12H – 6H : Solid momentum above 103703.7–106537. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator still “Strong Buy”, ISPD DIV neutral, standard volumes. 4H – 2H – 1H : Pivot range (103703.7/104865/106537), buyer momentum, swing/scalp strategies favored. Supports to watch: 103703.7 (main stop trigger). 30min – 15min : Tight range (103703.7/104865), Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Buy” (slightly weaker on 15min). Tactical scalping on bounce or pivot breakouts – risk zone if range breaks sharply. Summary : Sectoral outperformance on all timeframes via the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, ISPD DIV neutral, normal volumes. Key pivots: 103703.7 (support) and 104865/106537 (resistances) frame all action. Swing trading optimality as long as these levels hold. __________________________________________________________________________________ Conclusion __________________________________________________________________________________ BTCUSDT market remains bullish on all timeframes, supported by strong sector momentum (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator), steady volume and behavioral stability (neutral ISPD DIV). Preference remains for long strategies on support, with increased vigilance around macro windows (events, unlocks). Strict stop discipline and active profit-taking are key on extension moves. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
1
US500 - Let the Bulls Strive!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong support and structure! 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #US500 approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TheSignalyst
7
Gold Setup: Range or Rip? Here's the PlaybookGold’s been on a tear lately — driven by safe haven demand as real yields soften and global uncertainty lingers. But here’s where things get interesting... We’re now watching what could be a textbook head and shoulders pattern start to take shape. 📊 Current Range: Right now, price is stuck between 3380 and 3280 — and it’s acting like it knows it. ⚡ Possible Scenarios: 🔁 Scenario 1: Range Play Short near 3380 Long near 3280 Let it ping-pong and catch the edges. 📈 Scenario 2: Breakout Long Confirmation above 3380 Look for momentum follow-through into 3420+ 📉 Scenario 3: Breakdown Short Break below 3280 Eyes on the 3220s for a potential flush 🧠 The key? Drop to the lower time frames near these zones and wait for clean setups during active sessions — especially NY open or post-data volatility. 💬 How are you playing this? Breakout or bounce? Drop your take 👇 #gold #tradingview #futures #technicalanalysis #metals #xauusd #tradingstrategy #macro
COMEX_MINI:MGCM2025
by natron
3
Peace Headlines Are Here — But Markets Have Already Moved OnA Russia-Ukraine peace deal making headlines right now is historic news — politically and emotionally. But for the forex and commodities markets? The real money already left this story behind months ago. 🧠 Smart Money Knows: Markets Price in the Future, Not the Past Two years ago, the war sent shockwaves through oil, gas, wheat, and risk currencies. By late 2023, price action had already normalized — the "war premium" faded out quietly. Commodities stabilized. Forex volatility shifted. Safe havens lost their edge. Traders adapted, recalibrated, and moved on to new battlegrounds. Bottom Line: The market already priced in a future where this conflict would eventually fade — peace or no peace. 📊 What Actually Drives Forex Now While peace headlines grab attention, the real macro drivers today are: 🔥 Tariff escalation and global trade wars 🔥 Sticky inflation battles (core services inflation still high) 🔥 Central bank pivot games (Fed, ECB, BoJ) 🔥 Global growth fears (China slowdown, EU stagnation) This is where new money is flowing. Not into a two-year-old headline finally catching up. 🛡️ "Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact" in Action For two years, markets have priced in an eventual end (or fade) to the Ukraine conflict. A peace agreement now? → It confirms expectations, not shocks them. → It may trigger a short-lived risk-on pop (EUR, AUD, NZD up, gold down) — → But unless it unleashes massive new money flows (unlikely), that pop gets sold. 🔥 Final Thought: If you're still trading the last war, you're already late. The next major moves won't come from peace headlines — they'll come from tariff escalations, inflation battles, and central bank pivots. Focus forward. That's where opportunity lives. 💬 Question for Serious Traders: Which macro theme are you really watching into summer 2025? Peace headlines... or the new fires already burning? Drop your insights below. 👇
Education
by natron
1
LINK / USDT: Macro Support Zone ReachedThe price has now reached the upper boundary of the ideal macro support zone for a complex and rare corrective structure (running flat), between 11–8.5. As long as the price holds above April’s low, my operative scenario assumes that a new multi-year uptrend (wave (3)) has already started. Key resistance zones to watch ahead: 85–121 (first major resistance) and 150–205/220 as final macro resistance targets. Full view of the macro structure: Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions! ⸻ Previous trend analysis on LINK: Nov'24: Jun'24: Dec'23:
COINBASE:LINKUSDLong
by artemfedorov
1
ETH Will Flip Bitcoin – Sooner Than You ThinkEveryone’s watching ETFs and halvings — but here’s what they’re not seeing: Ethereum isn’t just a currency. It’s digital infrastructure — powering AI, tokenized real estate, RWAs, and decentralized identity. The next wave of global finance will run on Ethereum. 📈 My prediction: By Q1 2026, ETH will flip BTC in market cap. Not hype — mathematics + macro + mass adoption. 🧠 Smart money is already rotating. Are you paying attention? ⏳ Don't say "nobody warned you."
BITFINEX:ETHUSDLong
by IPatrice