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Market update FX, SPX, Crypto 8th of AprilHello hello everyone, Long time no see. Its been a while since i've been doing updates but its good to be back again. We have some very interesting plays that we are ready for. Let's start with a few 1. #EURUSD - been in a very long range on the daily and what really caught my eye is the formation of a potential quasimodo pattern and a breakout to the upside. From a seasonality point of view April is a weak month for the #USD and it can be already spotted in the chart and my bet is of a weak CPI on Wednesday. 2. #GBPUSD - same as EURUSD but it looks a bit more bullish and explosive 3.#AUDUSD - broke a multi year trendline and now i think it is ready to send aggressive on the top side. We might get very quick to the 2023 high 4.#USDJPY - this one looks like a banger of a trade and i am ready to pull out the big guns for a whooping 40-48R trade yes, you read that correctly and probably retire if it goes my way :)) 5. #SPX - bullish until fed starts to cut 6. #BTC & Crypto - good spot to be in general. It was very much fun to trade this period crypto, more than it was in FX but i think FX will get back to fun very soon. Now its a game of chess and who cuts faster. But in my humble opinion i think once the Fed start to cut. Its gonna be game over for the dollar
Long
by teambacktotrade
ETH: BEGINNER FRIENDLY ✅ Methods for Predicting Ahead For those who have been following me here for the past three years, you'll know that I usually never miss an opportunity at a April Fool's prank. However, today's post is NOT one of them. Instead, I'm going to take a turn and do a post that may be of real value to many investors and speculators at this point in the market cycle. We'll specifically use ETH for this example but these methods can be used across ALL MARKETS. Understanding the crypto/stock/forex markets can feel like stepping into a vast ocean of numbers, trends, and predictions. As an investor, you might wonder which pricing information is truly crucial: is it the current price or the future selling price? Interestingly, many investors look beyond these immediate numbers and delve into historical pricing data to guide their decisions. But does recent pricing history actually provide reliable insight into future market movements? Let's explore four perspectives on this topic and dive into the academic research supporting each viewpoint. ❕1. Momentum: Riding the Wave Picture yourself on a surfboard catching a wave. Momentum in the stock market is somewhat similar - it's about riding the wave of market trends without fighting against them. Think of it as the market's way of saying, "Go with the flow!" Behavioral finance tells us that investors tend to flock towards rising stocks out of fear of missing out or driven by greed. Academic studies, like the one by Narasimhan Jegadeesh and Sheridan Titman in 1993, suggest that stocks which have performed well in recent months are likely to continue outperforming in the short term. However, this momentum effect seems to reverse over longer periods, hinting at something called mean reversion. ❕2. Mean Reversion: Finding Balance Experienced investors often preach the gospel of mean reversion - the idea that over time, markets tend to return to an average value. This phenomenon isn't limited to stocks; it can be observed in various economic indicators like GDP growth or interest rates. While some studies support mean reversion in certain datasets, it's not a universal truth. It might take years, even decades, for these subtle shifts to become apparent. ❕3. Wyckoff Method : Planning WAY ahead The Wyckoff Method is a technical analysis approach to trading in financial markets, particularly stocks. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 20th century, it focuses on understanding the intentions of large institutional players, such as smart money, through the analysis of price and volume. The method emphasizes the principles of supply and demand dynamics, as well as market sentiment, to identify potential trends and trading opportunities. Traders using the Wyckoff Method typically study price charts, volume patterns, and market phases to make informed decisions about when to buy or sell securities. Overall, it aims to provide a framework for interpreting market activity and making more effective trading decisions. ETH is clearly in profit release phase atm: ❕4. The Search for Value: Digging for Diamonds Value investors are like treasure hunters scouring the market for undervalued gems. But this method also accounts for knowing when the price is over- or under valued at its current level. Valuation Metrics include: Market Capitalization (Market Cap): Compares a crypto's total value (price x circulating supply) to similar projects. A high Market Cap relative to peers might indicate overvaluation. Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio: Divides Market Cap by daily transaction volume. A high NVT suggests potential overvaluation, while a low NVT might hint at undervaluation. Both ETH (436 at time of writing) and BTC (417 at time of writing) have a relatively high NVT ratio, which could be an indication of overvaluation. ❕Long-Term vs. Short-Term Investing: Investors should consider their investment goals and time horizons when formulating strategies. Long-term investing typically involves buying and holding assets for an extended period, while short-term investing focuses on capitalizing on immediate market movements. Each approach has its advantages and risks, depending on individual circumstances and preferences. The long and short of the matter here is buying low and selling high. Two methods for TECHNICAL PRICE PREDICTION: 1) Fibonacci Fibonacci can be helpful to speculate future price targets by using it on a macro scale: 2) Logarithmic Analysis Find more information on ETH LOG here:
by CryptoCheck-
1
Is The EV Hype Over? How The Fed Is Destroying TeslaThe first quarter of 2024 is now over, closing in a record +10% YTD rally and an exceptional +43% YOY increase in the QQQ. Despite the markets pushing higher, Tesla is experiencing significant challenges, with a -30% decrease YTD and a -9% decline YOY. This performance has positioned Tesla as the worst performing megacap so far. Given these circumstances, it's essential to delve into both macroeconomic factors and technical analysis to understand what has happened and what is likely to happen moving forward. The Macroeconomic Impact on Tesla Two years ago, the Federal Reserve initiated a historic rate-hiking cycle, increasing interest rates from 0% to 5.5% within just over a year and maintaining this rate since July 2023. This shift in monetary policy has notably affected car financing rates, now at 8.2% for a five-year loan, which significantly discourages consumers from buying new vehicles, especially EVs. The chart clearly illustrates an inverse correlation between Tesla stock and interest rates. Moreover, Tesla has operated exclusively during periods of historically low interest rates. Despite the Federal Reserve pausing rate hikes nine months ago, the interest rate on car loans continues to rise. Further examination of inflation trends indicates that most common inflation measures have either plateaued or slowed their pace of deceleration, at a level inconsistent with the Fed's 2% inflation target. The M2 money supply and inflation expectations are critical indicators for predicting the direction of inflation. The peak in the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) followed the peak in M2 YOY by 16 months, recently bottoming just three months before CPI YOY stopped making progress to the downside. This lagged correlation suggests that headline CPI is unlikely to continue its strong downward trend moving forward. Moreover, inflation expectations, which remain well anchored, have also appeared to stop making progress to the downside, all remaining above 2%. This, combined with unchanged interest rates for nine months, suggests that the neutral rate of interest must be significantly higher than the pre-COVID trend. Historically, recessions have played a key role in helping the Fed bring down inflation to their 2% target. However, current economic indicators, including low unemployment levels and easy financial conditions, suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near future, despite the fed funds rate staying unchanged at a two-decade high. The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) captures the stimulative effects on the economy from the U.S. government's expansive fiscal policy. By borrowing and spending trillions directly from the Reverse Repo (RRP), the U.S. government has ingeniously counterbalanced the constrictive effects of tighter monetary policy without exerting upward pressure on long-term yields. The prolonged inversion of the yield curve, significantly extended by the U.S. government's financial strategies, could mark this cycle as having the longest inversion in history. Typically, a steepening yield curve is a precursor to higher unemployment and economic recession. However, the steepening of the yield curve remains unlikely in the short term, with excess reserves still available in the RRP and the Treasury General Account (TGA). With the U.S. employment sector still robust, showing historically low unemployment levels and low initial and continued claims, the likelihood of a significant uptrend in the unemployment rate seems low, as job openings are absorbing most of the excess labor supply and still remain well above the historical trend. This suggests that the fed funds rate may remain at around 5% this year, maintaining car loan rates at a higher level for an extended period and consequently making EVs increasingly less affordable for the average consumer. This scenario is likely to lead to a continuation of price cuts and greater margin contractions. Tesla's Technical Analysis Outlook From a technical analysis perspective, Tesla stock faced rejection at the $205 horizontal resistance line and might be rejected from the $180 level, marked by the 0.236 Fibonacci level. The next significant support level is at $155, with a possibility of revisiting the January 2023 low of $110, given Tesla's stock has been in a downward trend ever since November 2021. From a trend-based perspective, we can clearly see that TSLA stock is in a strong downtrend both in the 4H and daily timeframe with the EMAs and 20- week SMA trending lower. Despite this unfavourable outlook, caution is advised when considering short positions in Tesla due to its market dominance and relatively stable financial position, making it a riskier target than other less financially secure EV manufacturers. Concluding Thoughts While the broader market demonstrates resilience, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is significantly shaping the EVs industry future. With the economy likely transitioning away from historically low interest rates into a higher interest rate environment, caution is advised. Investors may benefit from considering less interest-rate-sensitive options until a clearer picture of the inflationary landscape and its impact on the economy emerges. Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ingeforberg
2
ETH - Wait For It 🏹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 ETH has been overall bullish , trading within the rising broadening wedge in red. Currently, ETH is in a correction phase and it is approaching the lower bound of the wedge acting as a non-horizontal support. Moreover, it is retesting a strong support and round number $3500. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support and lower red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #ETH is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
7
🔥 Bitcoin In Area Of DANGER: Macro Signal! 🚨In this analysis I want to take a look at one of my favorite personal indicators: Bitcoin Logarithmic Price Bands. You can find a detailed explanation of the indicator below. In short, this indicator tries to predict future areas of extreme opportunity. Buy in the green and sell in the red. However, I also added a yellow band in the middle which surprisingly lined up very well with areas of historical resistance (purple circles) and support. As of this week, Bitcoin has reached the yellow band for the first time within ~2 years. During two previous bull-cycles this area marked a mid-cycle top and caused a major reversal. My view is still that we will make a new ATH in before the halving. However, that would mean that the price would still be within the yellow band. The top of the yellow band is currently placed at 77.000, so we still have a lot of room theoretically. Now that the ETF is here it remains to be seen whether BTC will respect historical price bands. Nevertheless, it's without a question that BTC is entering a major area of resistance around the current all-time high of 69k. Do you think we're going to see a new all-time high soon? Time for reversal? Share your thoughts 🙏
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
23
BTC MACRO - Short to Long - My TakeHello everyone, This is a result of about a year of analysis on Bitcoin, and I will explain my take. First and foremost let’s understand the timing of the market - we have several large conduits this week - most importantly the NVIDIA earnings report in just a few hours. This news conduit should be fuel to see volatility enter the bitcoin chart. Bitcoin has been in a steady upwards trajectory for 1.2 years now - without any major retracement to the downside. We must ask the question - why? It’s of my opinion that what really moves bitcoin is the stop losses of leveraged positions. Think of these stop loss orders as buy / sell orders that are in place - without automatic fulfillment of price is above / below. In other words, the leveraged (key word) limit orders are in the chart already - as a result of stop loss orders of a direction of trading. Here we have a massive order block below us of long position stop losses - not only are these orders (sell orders) in place - they are leveraged. Meaning a trader with $100 in a long - using 100x - is creating a SELL order for $10,000 below his entry. If we understand the current chart this way and look at the massive open gaps below us - we can view this as “propellant” to drop the price at incredible speed and distance. Think of this as a chain reaction of orders - not ordinary orders, but leveraged and multiplied orders. With liquidity leveraged, we can translate this into leveraged speed and distance as well. At precisely the 21,500 to 22,000 location there is a bullish retest as I show with a pair of trendlines. We have the appearance of a bear trap (shown via the pair of bearish parallel lines) - and a measured pole height (shown) taking bitcoin to that exact location - 21,700 approximately. This is a very large bull flag pattern that can execute a measured move to the 70-80k range following - as we know this is a range of great interest for bitcoin. So while I do see us hitting this all time high - I don’t see that happening before the 22k zone is tapped very quickly. Not only is this a bullish retest with supporting patterns, we have massive order blocks in the chart to support this, and a substantial news conduit to support this event occurring. This is my take on key bitcoin levels - and I trust I provide to you enough supporting evidence in the chart to demonstrate this is a product of many months of time and effort. God speed and good luck to all. We all share the same goal - to understand this bizarre marketplace.
Short
by DickDandy
1
U.S Core PCE Price Index (MoM)ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM Core PCE prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in December of 2023, aligned with market estimates, and picking up slightly from the 0.1% increase in November. From the previous year, Core PCE prices edged 2.9% higher, undershooting market estimates of 3% to mark the lowest reading since February 2021. The data extended the disinflation trend in prices measured by the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge, consistent with previous signals of rate cuts to be delivered this year. Regarding the whole national PCE that includes energy and food, prices rose by 0.2% from the prior month and 2.6% from the prior year, consistent with expectations. Prices for goods rose by less than 0.1% from 2022, while those for services remained elevated at 3.9%. source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM
by Mr_J__fx
ETH - TRIO RETEST 3️⃣Dear TradingView community and fellow traders, I find the daily chart for ETH to be interesting as it appears to be forming one of my favorite patterns. What I call TRIO RETEST Here is why the purple circle is a strong zone to keep an eye on: 1 => Overall Trend ETH is bullish medium-term trading inside the rising broadening wedge in blue and now approaching the lower blue bound / trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 2 => Demand Zone The green zone at 2250.0 is a strong demand. 3 => Oversold Zone ETH is bearish short-term trading inside the falling channel in red and now approaching the lower red trendline which I consider an oversold zone. As per my trading style: As ETH approaches the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and so on...) 📚 Hope you find this post useful. It's important to always adhere to your trading plan, including entry points, risk management strategies, and trade management techniques. All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. It is important to do your own research and make informed decisions before entering any trades. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always be aware of the potential for losses, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Long
by TheSignalyst
16
ETHBTC is about to make a historical moveAnything that follows is not to be taken as financial advice. This is the Binance weekly chart for ETHBTC, with a single indicator loaded on: the Bollinger Bands Width Percentile. The BBWP is a volatility indicator that measures whether or not we should be looking for the price action of the examined asset to contract or expand in relation to its own past volatility, calculated by the BBW. Simply put, it tells us if we should be expecting the asset to be in a mostly sideways price action, or if it's appropriate to look for expansion. Make no mistake, volatility is a direction-neutral indicator, meaning it's inherently neither bullish nor bearish. We can see some flashing red and blue bars in the background, they're there to warn us about an extremely high (red) volatility environment, or an extremely low (blue) one. Generally, when the asset is in an extremely high volatility environment, it's wise to expect it to cool off, therefore looking for price action to generally reduce its turbulent behavior. This implies the exact opposite for when the volatility is extremely low. With default settings, which I'm running, extremely high volatility is considered to be between 98% and 100%, while extremely low volatility is found between 0% and 2%. Let's focus on the blue bars for this analysis. Only once in the history of this chart, two weeks straight of extremely low volatility can be observed. From there, the expansion led to an initial move up, and then ultimately a move down of -26.95% from the open of next week to the lowest point of the move. Right now, ETHBTC is waiting for a massive expansion after twelve weeks straight of extremely low volatility. If it was to expand to the downside from this point, a move of roughly the same impact would see this asset retest the june 2022 low. However, spending more time contracting, usually means having a more explosive move when the time comes. In the case of a downside move, I don't think it would be too crazy to look for a retest of Q1 2021 highs, anywhere around the 0.045 level. That would make for about a -33% move from here, but I'd say there's fair concern for said move ending up being more destructive than that. This could happen along with BTCUSD breaking into a new bull market while ETHUSD fails to catch up just like it did in the past, although that's just speculation on my part. Remember, volatility is direction-neutral, while price action might look bearish right now, there is no way to tell where a future sustained volatility expansion might lead this asset to. Personally speaking, I believe that if it were to expand to the upside, a retest of the ATH would definetely be within reach, seeing as ETHBTC has been consolidating for about 22 months. It would certainly result in a massive move, more than a 2x from here, since the ATH is around 0.15 and the asset is now trading at around 0.067, but we've seen crazier things in crypto. Whenever the expansion happens, and wherever it brings ETHBTC to, good luck and stay safe.
by Andewyl
1
EURJPY - Following The Bulls ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, 📈 EURJPY has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising channel in blue and it is currently approaching the lower blue trendline. Moreover, the zone 150.0 is a robust round number and demand zone. 🎯 Therefore, the highlighted blue circle represents a significant area to consider for potential buy setups , as it marks the intersection of the green demand and lower blue trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As EURJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be actively searching for bullish reversal setups to capture the next bullish impulse movement. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
Will History Repeat With LTCLtc is riding a macro support while coming to the end of this correction/ bear phase. RSI is at a historic value that has resulted in reversal highlighted by the white vertical lines. Both downtrends have nearly identical timeframes. This could be a place to take a small position in LTC. This also seems like a make or break position for Litecoin in the PA. I am also going to add a chart looking at the Ltc/btc pairing. NFA Do your own DD Novice here
COINBASE:LTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
1
The most important chart in your trading career.Merry Christmas to all, I hope you and yours are well. My present to you this year is the one chart you should ALL be watching. SPX/GOLD Risk On (Equities), Risk Off (Gold). It will save you a TON of time/headaches, if you follow this chart. In this video I go over why you should use it. How your portfolio would have been managed the last 50yr, and at the end give a quick method for managing your ratio between Risk On/Off. As always, good luck in your trading, have fun, and practice solid risk management.
FRED:M2SL
by mrjones2020
6
LONG a Falling Interest Rate! - TLTNASDAQ:TLT is an ETF that tracks value of United States Treasury Bonds in the time range of the 20-30-year bonds. With this ETF tracking the bond value it will rise with the decrease in these bond yields as the previous bonds offering higher % rates increase in value. I am bullish on TLT for a few reasons that are summarized in the bullets below - Interest Rates are at their highest levels in around 20 years and history would show that following these peaks in the 5.5%-7% range tends to be a sharp fall of interest rates usually due to a general moderate or severe economic downturn needing economic stimulus with low rates - Along with the peak thesis, in the current economic state of America, it has been generally discussed by Fed Presidents that rate slowdown / rate hike pauses are starting. The FedWatch tool from CMEGroup shows that traders predict the highest rates will not go any higher, and actually start being cut in Early Spring 2024. Due to this data, it is definitely important to realize the risk/reward of this trade on how the downside is minimal with the current economic conditions proving interest rates will likely not move higher, and definitely not more than a last 25bps hike for this rate cycle considering no unprecedented events occur. - Another staple to this bullish thesis is against the Federal Reserve. I strongly believe the Federal Reserve bluffs intentionally during their public conferences and talks. Recalling the inflationary period following COVID, the Fed repeatedly spoke out on this inflation being transitory while CPI rocketed to record highs in decades. I believe they like to not inform the public to the 100% truth and locked room talks. The Fed has came out and said they are quite against publicizing a rate pause officially / begin cutting rates and I believe this is a bluff. As the Fed claims to wait for data, I believe that data is showing, and will continue to show stronger economic struggle from the effects on high-interest rates. As unemployment just ticked up and probably will continue, rates will start to drop fast as soon as the Fed starts. Treasury Yields would likely dump prior to all of this as the anticipation begins to flow into the markets. Lastly, I think the Fed tends to deceive the public to try and not heavily move the markets in a short time. - Overall the data should start to pour in on economic slow down as student loan repayments resume, credit delinquencies continue to rise, housing market cools, unemployment ticking up, and more can feed to a sharp drop in CPI as aggregate US demand settles. The Fed will act on this slowdown and will need to sharply cut interest rates, especially if they wait too long. - Technicals on NASDAQ:TLT also look strong with a major demand zone, a dailydouble bottom and a diagonal trendline supports the price level. TTM_Squeeze also backs up a possible end to the downside. Below 89 area could be a solid Exit area for risk-management. Any Cut in Rates, or anticipation in rate cuts can send TLT flying with bond yields tumbling. Bonus: NASDAQ:TLT also provides a safe hedge to a market collapse or recession. Because market recessions would spark a cut in rates to help fuel a recovery, while stocks may tumble, this ETF would rally on a decline of interest rates to help stimulate a falling economy. Thesis : long Commons or 2025 dated Credit Spreads
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by ZachSap
6
Head and Shoulders Pattern Forming on the DXY Dollar IndexWhen the dollar is running, most other assets are dropping. This has been my experience in the markets and is why the DXY is on my watchlist and is ALWAYS one of the first charts that I check before jumping into the markets. When the DXY is high, that means that people are demanding dollars, and when it's dropping, those dollars are flowing into other assets. Learning to watch the DXY and it's movements will give you some good edge in the markets. Not everything will be effected. There are always other market conditions to watch for, news, etc that can move the markets as well, but keeping your eye on what the USD is doing is certainly something you want to add to your trading routine. So the Head and Shoulders pattern is a strong reversal pattern in the markets. Nothing is ever 100% and the pattern could fail, so you always have to be ready for that. The regular Head and Shoulders is a bearish reversal pattern meaning we have found the local top in that market at that time. An Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is the opposite. It usually shows at a market bottom and indicates the possibility of bullish movement. What we see here is that the DXY is knocking on the door of a breakout of this pattern and if it keeps going up, well, you will want your trading account to be in the dollar, or looking for shorting opportunities in other assets like crypto and FOREX pairs, that is if you are trading futures or options. If you are trading spot, this is the time to be in the dollar and waiting for your chosen asset to hit a fire sale clearance price, then go in an scoop up what you can with what you have! Of course none of this is financial advice, just some things I have learned along my journey in this crazy world of trading that has helped me make some successful trades. As always make sure you have a solid risk management plan before diving into the deep end! Doing this will help you gain some edge in the markets and trade logically!
TVC:DXY
by thelogicaldude
Respect the pump - USDT.D breaking supportTime to get off the sidelines and respect the pump. If the ongoing L2 rally isn't enough of a wake-up call, check out USDT Dominance, which is putting in lower lows and breaking through a significant previous resistance level with increasing volume to back it up. Also, looking at VPVR, there's also very little volume to stop this trend at least until it retests the 200 SMA, which is not far off. I wouldn't be surprised to see a bounce off of that corresponding with a slight retrace for some of these coins as traders take some profit, but at this point my bias is bullish. We are so back. Happy trades, CD
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by cryptodonovan
BTC - Still Strong 🏆Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, 🏹 After breaking above the orange symmetrical triangle, BTC initiated a new parabolic impulse and has been bullish trading within the ascending red channel. Presently, BTC is hovering near the upper boundary of the channel, which could potentially lead to a bearish correction. 📉 In such a scenario , as BTC approaches the intersection of the lower red trendline and $40,000, we will be on the lookout for trend-following buying opportunities. 📈 Concurrently , for the bulls to assert dominance aggressively, a decisive break above the current minor high at $44,500 is crucial. In this scenario, a movement towards the $48,000 resistance level can be anticipated. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
Let's see how this gold chart plays out over the next six years!Here's a long-term perspective I have not seen and will be interested to follow. I think bias needs to be removed. The bulls will see a potential shot to the MOON. The bears will see a likely hard spill. NEWS FLASH: This is a new and crazy world! EVERYTHING IS IN PLAY! If this gets above $2200 in 2024, it could be the start of something epic. If we see the $1700s in 2024; then (eek) I'm nervous. All I know for sure is I look fwd. to watching this every quarter for the next several years.
TVC:GOLD
by CSGold1
Bitcoin - Back Inside The Range? 📦Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, 📌 on Weekly: Left Chart As per my last analysis, BTC is still hovering around the 38,000 - 40,000 resistance zone. 🏹 To sustain bullish control and assert dominance from a macro perspective, a crucial requirement is a weekly candle close above 40,000. Such a development would likely lead to a parabolic movement, aiming for the 50,000 resistance level. 📌 on H4: Left Chart Meanwhile, considering BTC's proximity to a resistance zone, there remains a possibility of bearish intervention, potentially pushing it back into a range reminiscent of the 30,000 to 32,000 range. 📉 To trigger the bearish scenario, a break below the last significant low in red at 35,670 is required. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
1
Gold - Macro View 🌎Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📌 Monthly: Left Chart From a macro perspective, Gold has been generally bullish, trading within the rising brown channel. For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the 2075.0 level is essential. In this scenario, a continuation toward the upper boundary of the brown channel can be anticipated. 📌 Weekly: Right Chart Meanwhile, from a medium to long-term perspective, Gold appears to be confined within a range, currently nearing its upper boundary. As long as the 2075.0 resistance holds, the possibility of a bearish correction persists. Confirmation of a bearish reversal setup would depend on lower timeframes. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
2