AUD/USD Outlook (26 January 2022)Overall, AUD/USD is ranging across.
The Australian CPI q/q data (Actual: 1.3%, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 0.8%) released yesterday indicated that inflation ran hotter during the fourth quarter of 2021 than the third quarter.
Australian banks will be closed today in observance of Australia Day. Expect lower trading volatility and volume during the usual Australian market hours.
AUD/USD’s next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of AUD/USD up until the FOMC announcement tomorrow at 0300 (GMT+8).
Macro
USD/CAD Outlook (26 January 2022)Overall, USD/CAD is trending downwards. Recently, USD/CAD traded into the support zone of 1.26100.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) will be announcing their monetary policy decision later at 2300 (GMT+8). With the ever-rising inflation in Canada, the central bank may increase interest rate by 0.25% in an attempt to tame inflation.
A press conference will be held at 0000 (GMT+8). During this time, there may be volatility in CAD.
Currently, USD/CAD is testing the support zone of 1.26100 and its next resistance zone is at 1.29200.
If USD/CAD bounces off the support zone of 1.26100, look for short-term buying opportunities of USD/CAD up until the Bank of Canada announcement at 2300 (GMT+8).
USD/JPY Outlook (26 January 2022)Overall, USD/JPY is trending downwards. Recently, USD/JPY bounced off the resistance zone of 114.200.
The Bank of Japan Core CPI y/y data (Actual: 0.9%, Forecast: 0.7%, Previous: 0.8%) released yesterday indicated a faster pace of inflation.
Currently, USD/JPY is trading towards the resistance zone of 114.200 and its next support zone is at 112.800.
If USD/JPY bounces off the resistance zone of 114.200, look for short-term selling opportunities up until the FOMC announcement tomorrow at 0300 (GMT+8).
USD Overview (26 January 2022)Yesterday, USD weakened against most major currencies except EUR, NZD and CHF.
The U.S. FOMC will be announcing their monetary policy decision tomorrow at 0300 (GMT+8). It is expected that the central bank will keep interest rate unchanged at the targeted range of 0-0.25% and make no change to quantitative easing tapering. Nonetheless, pay attention to any details provided on the timeline of interest rate hike and the unloading of bond holdings from the Fed.
A press conference will be held at 0330 (GMT+8). During this time, volatility is expected.
GBP/JPY Outlook (25 January 2022)Overall, GBP/JPY is ranging across. Recently, GBP/JPY broke the support zone of 153.800.
The UK flash PMI data released yesterday indicated a slight slowdown in business activities in both the manufacturing and services sectors.
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 56.9, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.9 revised from 57.6)
Flash Services PMI (Actual: 53.3, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 53.1 revised from 53.2)
Currently, GBP/JPY is testing the resistance zone of 153.800 and the next support zone is at 151.000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of GBP/JPY if it bounces off the resistance zone of 153.800.
GBP/USD Outlook (25 January 2022)Overall, GBP/USD is ranging across. Recently, GBP/USD broke below the key level of 1.35.
The UK flash PMI data released yesterday indicated a slight slowdown in business activities in both the manufacturing and services sectors.
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 56.9, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.9 revised from 57.6)
Flash Services PMI (Actual: 53.3, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 53.1 revised from 53.2)
GBP/USD’s next support zone is at 1.33800 and the next resistance zone is at 1.36000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of GBP/USD.
EUR/JPY Outlook (25 January 2022)Overall, EUR/JPY is ranging across.
The series of eurozone flash PMI data releases yesterday indicated that business activities continue to expand. Also, the services sector in Germany has rebounded from contraction into expansion.
French Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 53.1, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 55.6 revised from 54.9)
French Flash Service PMI (Actual: 55.5, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.0 revised from 57.1)
German Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 60.5, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.4 revised from 57.9)
German Flash Services PMI (Actual: 52.2, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 48.7 revised from 48.4)
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 59.0, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 58.0)
Flash Services PMI (Actual: 51.2, Previous: 53.1 revised from 53.3)
Currently, EUR/JPY is testing the support zone of 128.800 and the next resistance zone is at 130.000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/JPY if it breaks the support zone of 128.800.
EUR/USD Outlook (25 January 2022)Overall, EUR/USD is ranging across. Recently, EUR/USD bounced up from the key level of 1.13.
The series of eurozone flash PMI data releases yesterday indicated that business activities continue to expand. Also, the services sector in Germany has rebounded from contraction into expansion.
French Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 53.1, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 55.6 revised from 54.9)
French Flash Service PMI (Actual: 55.5, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.0 revised from 57.1)
German Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 60.5, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.4 revised from 57.9)
German Flash Services PMI (Actual: 52.2, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 48.7 revised from 48.4)
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 59.0, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 58.0)
Flash Services PMI (Actual: 51.2, Previous: 53.1 revised from 53.3)
Currently, EUR/USD is trading down towards the key level of 1.13. Its next support zone is at 1.12000 and the next resistance zone is at 1.13800.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/USD if it breaks below the key level of 1.13.
NZD/USD Outlook (25 January 2022)Overall, NZD/USD is ranging across. Recently, NZD/USD broke the support zone of 0.67100.
Currently, NZD/USD is testing the resistance zone of 0.67100 and the next support zone is at 0.65400.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of NZD/USD if it rejects the resistance zone of 0.67100.
AUD/USD Outlook (25 January 2022)Overall, AUD/USD is ranging across. Recently, AUD/USD bounced off the support zone of 0.71000.
The Australian CPI q/q data (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 0.8%) will be released later at 0830 (GMT+8).
Australian banks will be closed tomorrow in observance of Australia Day. Expect lower trading volatility and volume during the usual Australian market hours.
AUD/USD’s next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of AUD/USD.
USD/CAD Outlook (25 January 2022)Overall, USD/CAD is trending downwards. Recently, USD/CAD broke the resistance zone of 1.26100 and bounced down from the key level of 1.27.
Currently, USD/CAD is trading towards the support zone of 1.24500 and its next resistance zone is at 1.29200.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of USD/CAD if it bounces off the support zone of 1.26100.
USD/JPY Outlook (25 January 2022)Overall, USD/JPY is trending downwards.
The Japanese Flash Manufacturing PMI data (Actual: 54.6, Forecast: 55.0, Previous: 54.3 revised from 54.2) released yesterday indicated a slight slowdown in the manufacturing sector this month.
The Bank of Japan Core CPI y/y data (Forecast: 0.7%, Previous: 0.8%) will be released later at 1300 (GMT+8).
Currently, USD/JPY is trading towards the resistance zone of 114.200 and its next support zone is at 112.800.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of USD/JPY if it bounces off the resistance zone of 114.200.
USD Overview (25 January 2022)Yesterday, USD strengthened against all major currencies.
The flash PMI data released yesterday indicated that business activities expanded at a slower pace in January.
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 55.0, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.7 revised from 57.8)
Flash Services PMI (Actual: 50.9, Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.6 revised from 57.5)
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence data (Forecast: 111.9, Previous: 115.8) will be released later at 2300 (GMT+8).
Macro BTC ideaWe are at the bottom of the range in which we're in for about a year now. Let's see if we can bounce back up.
MacD seems to be slowly curling up (see histogram). This was also the case in begin June 2021.
However, if we break the bottom of the range, we see support at the demand zone ( 29k -31.5k purple).
If we're going down even further, we see the huge blue parabolic trendline (now 20k- aligning with previous ATH in December 2017).
GBP/JPY Outlook (24 January 2022)Overall, GBP/JPY is trending upwards. Recently, GBP/JPY traded into the support zone of 153.800.
The UK flash PMI data will be released later at 1730 (GMT+8).
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.9 revised from 57.6)
Flash Services PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 53.1 revised from 53.2)
Currently, GBP/JPY is bouncing off the support zone of 153.800 and the next resistance zone is at 156.000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of GBP/JPY only if it breaks the support zone of 153.800.
GBP/USD Outlook (24 January 2022)Overall, GBP/USD is trending upwards. Recently, GBP/USD broke the support zone of 1.36000.
The UK flash PMI data will be released later at 1730 (GMT+8).
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.9 revised from 57.6)
Flash Services PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 53.1 revised from 53.2)
GBP/USD’s next support zone is at 1.33800 and the next resistance zone is at 1.36000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of GBP/USD.
EUR/JPY Outlook (24 January 2022)Overall, EUR/JPY is ranging across.
The French flash PMI data will be released later at 1615 (SGT).
French Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 55.6 revised from 54.9)
French Flash Service PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.0 revised from 57.1)
The German Flash PMI data will be released later at 1630 (SGT).
German Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.4 revised from 57.9)
German Flash Services PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 48.7 revised from 48.4)
The eurozone flash PMI data will be released later at 1700 (SGT).
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 58.0)
Flash Services PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 53.1 revised from 53.3)
Currently, EUR/JPY is bouncing off the support zone of 128.800 and the next resistance zone is at 130.000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/JPY if it breaks the support zone of 128.800.
EUR/USD Outlook (24 January 2022)Overall, EUR/USD is ranging across. Recently, EUR/USD bounced up from the key level of 1.13.
The French flash PMI data will be released later at 1615 (SGT).
French Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 55.6 revised from 54.9)
French Flash Service PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.0 revised from 57.1)
The German Flash PMI data will be released later at 1630 (SGT).
German Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.4 revised from 57.9)
German Flash Services PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 48.7 revised from 48.4)
The eurozone flash PMI data will be released later at 1700 (SGT).
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 58.0)
Flash Services PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 53.1 revised from 53.3)
EUR/USD’s next support zone is at 1.12000 and the next resistance zone is at 1.13800.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/USD.
NZD/USD Outlook (24 January 2022)Overall, NZD/USD is ranging across. Recently, NZD/USD traded into the support zone of 0.67100.
Currently, NZD/USD is testing the support zone of 0.67100 and the next resistance zone is at 0.68400.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of NZD/USD if it breaks the support zone of 0.67100.
AUD/USD Outlook (24 January 2022)Overall, AUD/USD is ranging across. Recently, AUD/USD broke below the key level of 0.72.
The Australian flash PMI data released earlier today indicated a contraction in the services sector while the manufacturing sector slowed down in January.
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 55.3, Forecast: NA, Previous: 57.7 revised from 57.4)
Flash Services PMI (Actual: 45.0, Forecast: NA, Previous: 55.1)
The Australian CPI q/q data (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 0.8%) will be released tomorrow at 0830 (GMT+8).
Currently, AUD/USD is trading up towards the key level of 0.72. Its next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of AUD/USD if it bounces down from the key level of 0.72.
USD/CAD Outlook (24 January 2022)Overall, USD/CAD is trending downwards. Recently, USD/CAD broke above the key level of 1.25.
The Canadian retail sales data released last Friday indicated a slowdown in overall retail sales in November.
Core Retail Sales m/m (Actual: 1.1%, Forecast: 1.1%, Previous: 1.5% revised from 1.3%)
Retail Sales m/m (Actual: 0.7%, Forecast: 1.2%, Previous: 1.6%)
USD/CAD’s next support zone is at 1.24500 and its next resistance zone is at 1.26100.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of USD/CAD.
USD/JPY Outlook (24 January 2022)Overall, USD/JPY is ranging across. Recently, USD/JPY broke the support zone of 114.200.
The Japanese Flash Manufacturing PMI data (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 54.3 revised from 54.2) will be released later at 0830 (GMT+8).
USD/JPY’s next support zone is at 112.800 and the next resistance zone is at 114.200.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of USD/JPY.
USD Overview (24 January 2022)Yesterday, USD strengthened against most major currencies except EUR, CHF and JPY.
The flash PMI data will be released later at 2245 (GMT+8).
Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.7 revised from 57.8)
Flash Services PMI (Forecast: TBA, Previous: 57.6 revised from 57.5)