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Macroanalysis

APT macro analysis ⏰ <•> DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH 🔎 $11.6 is key 🗝️ resistance 📌 )-( we should have clean break and week close above 📌 + It helps price to complete ✅ 🎯 $18 🎯 $27 🎯 $37 I Already accumulated 60% bag 💰 average price of $5.8 Still I don't think 🤔 u ar later )-( just go in plan )-( use 60% liquid 💰 if risk use 70% Back-up plan set-up 📐 losing yellow 🟡 support 📌 green 💚 flash dump 🩸 $2-3 👀 Best price to average ur liquid 💰 ( #imo max not possible ) Long run expecting target's 🎯 $45 & $85 may be even more target's 🎯 But this just 4-6 month's plan after hitting target's 🎯 i provided new plan 📌 Caution 🚨 if backup plan got executed when u reach 1x ( +100% ) just get back ur liquid 💰 Stay safe 💞 stay blessed
Long
by raj5_7_5
Global M2 Money Supply Vs BTCSo when we look just at the Global M2 money supply, we can see its increasing and sharply. However, when you look at BTC, BTC is lagging behind, and the increase in M2 Global supply has yet to have an effect on BTC where we would expect to see a price increase as M2 money supply increases. If you compare the M2 Global money supply against S&P500 though, it tells us a different story, where the S&P is leading and BTC is lagging. Signalling to me a catch up in BTC is inevitable at this stage and its being squeezed at these levels as money flow increases. A good signs imo and no doubt BTC catches up to S&P500
by marshyyy
Global Liquidity Index Against BTCHeres the global liquidity index mapped against BTC and its past cycle data for reference. Im sure you can spot the positive correlation it has.... When global liquidity increases, risk on assets such as BTC increase due to an influx of new liquidity in money markets. We have been consolidating for 2 years in the global liquidity index in an ascending triangle. I am expecting it to push up, break out, retest similar to the prior cycle fractal and continue higher, in turn pushing money markets including BTC into ATHs
Long
by marshyyy
Where bitcoin goes MARA follows - Current Macro developmentsHi guys! As usually i keep my eye open for macro changes or signals that may lead to major moves. Of which Marathon (MARA) has been on my radar. This analysis is done on the 1 week timeframe. We are currently attempting to get Above our Major level/ area around $18-20. This area also coincides with the 21 EMA. Which we are also ABOVE as we speak. However, remember it has not yet confirmed that we managed to get Support from 21 EMA. Also note that we recently tested Support on 50 SMA and have maintained it 6 weeks in a row. This fact makes me think, we will continue UP -> At the very least to the Upper range of the consolidation orange rectangle at $28.00 We have not yet printed a death cross which is a good sign indicating probabilities pointing towards continuation of Uptrend. Pay attention to next weeks candle close for more clues. Ive also highlighted our current price action to be part of a Consolidation range, from $15.00 to $28.00 I think it makes sense for us to be consolidating as we are making our way out of the bottom of the market for MARA. (around the 3.50 area) Since then we've already climbed roughly 1000% to our top around $34. 21 EMA and 50 SMA flattening out also supports the Consolidation occuring. Consolidation is basically when an asset tries to digest rallies, trying to catch its breath. And now we have to assess whether theres further momentum left to continue our Bull market or make our way back down. If Bull market continues, we can make our way back to this Major Resistance lvl labeled. We have touched this line 3 times in history previously and it marks Blow off tops of Bull markets for MARA. If we get rejected from this Major level, we can make our way back to the sloping Support trendline labeled below. So to find a sense of whether or not MARA will continue or come down to test the lows, we look to 2 indicators that i love using to assess "momentum". Notice the STOCH RSI. Everytime we come down to the 20 lvl, we stay Below for extended periods ranging from 57 days to as much as 126 days. When we cross Bullish and move UP Above 20 lvl, we tend to have Rallies UP. 1 pattern though, with STOCH is its relationship with Moving Averages 21 EMA and 50 SMA. When Purple (21 EMA) crosses Below Green (50 SMA) Moving Average and there is a STOCH Bull cross, sometimes it doesn't impact big rallies. BUT When Purple is on top of the Green Moving Average and STOCH crosses BUllish Above 20 lvl. This is a pattern seen in relation to big rallies UP So if we can get a STOCH Bullish CROSS Above 20 level, while our 21 EMA is Above our 50 SMA, we can expect to see a continuation rally. Watch also for a break Up and confirmation out of the consolidation zone. The MACD is currently ABOVE the 0 level, with waning or decreasing Bearish sentiment. This is seen from the print of the lighter red bar of the histogram. The Blue/Orange lines are also attempting to Curve Up and try to Cross Bullish. If we continue to print smaller lighter Red bars, and then see a Green bar print, it is likely momentum has turned Bullish. Bullish Crosses ABOVE 0 level, tend to rally Upwards. A MACD and STOCH CROSS together would be even better sign of uptrend to be PROBABLE. ANd if we Breakout of the consolidation rectangle we are currently in -> its likely we test "Major Resistance" at around $60. Keep observing and paying attention. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on MARA in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:MARALong
by SafofAllTrades
2
Break down on technicals for Alibaba near historical lowsHi Guys. As always, heres a macro chart setup i've found to be a MUST WATCH, at the very least if not a potential long. Analysis done on 1 week, indicating a macro analysis. Alibaba (BABA), at current prices is roughly 75% from its blow off top in 2020. Around October- November 2022, we tested support at the historical bottom and bounced to test the Resistance zone with a REJECTION. Bringing us to our current price action where we have managed to maintain a HIGHER LOW. This supports the idea that perhaps trend is shifting towards BABA wanting to move UP. Notice also the Blue, Green and Purple Moving averages, Flattening out. This can be an indication that price is showing demand after moving averages moved down so much from the highs. look for curve up in MA with crosses happening. This would be significantly supportive of probabilities we see Uptrend. Essentially the order from top to bttom we want to see is: 1. Purple on top 2. Green next 3. Blue below that 4. Red below all This is an indication of a Bull cycle. As you can see blatantly in previous history. Notice also Volume which has been steadily increasing since 2019. Maintainence of Higher lows on Volume is also a good sign, that perhaps BABA may rally if we continue this volume trend. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on BABA in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:BABALong
by SafofAllTrades
3
Americas Car Mart Testing Multi-Year Demand Zone (Buy Zone)Hi guys! This is a MACRO Analysis on AMericas Car Mart (CRMT). Macro meaning larger timeframe aka the 2 week in this instance. Macro moves tend to speak louder than smaller timeframes like the 1 day for example when they start to move in price. I believe CRMT has come to an important area and poses a great trade setup in my opinion. If we look to Price action. Notice 2 Support trendlines outlined. These are MULTI Year Support zones. When price reached the trendlines, we ended up bouncing UP. Notice our current price indicated by Orange box. Our 2 support trendlines have converged. When 2 support trendlines meet it strengthens the Support. Also notice the 21 EMA (Purple moving average) -> We have been below this since Septemberish of 2023. Moves below 21 EMA especially on the 2 week pose for good Buy zones as well. So the combination of converging Support lines and being below 21 EMA = Good area to take positions Now notice the 2 indicators ive included. These are momentum indicators. STOCH RSI has crossed BULLISH. (where blue line moves above orange line) Momentum can pick up and start a move up once this crosses ABOVE the 20 lvl. MACD is currently below the 0 lvl. With the histogram bars changing from dark red to light red. This indicates a waning of bearish momentum. It is also attempting to create a higher low. All good signs. Look for a Bullish cross and green bars to show up. That will help drive prices up. A cross ABOVE 0 lvl would bring about massive moves up. Continue to monitor the indicators and price to stay above the Support zone indicated. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on CRMT in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:CRMTLong
by SafofAllTrades
ID 🆔 binance launchpad project 🔮 Hello 👋 it's me your RAJ 🙂 professional trader ✨ This idea 💡 is completely my own analysis to explain situation _&_ market conditions of BINANCE:IDUSDT 🪙 How this coin valid for long term 📌 explained clearly BASED on history 🤪 & #TA 📌 #DYOR Note 👉 coin 🪙 have potential High risk 🔥 $0 to hero 😂 😆 Present circulation supply was 413M by the end of 2025 , it will be 1.26B only 26% supply avilable in market 📌 remaining kept locked 🔐 this concern me as high risk I recommend PPL to go with unwanted liquid 💰 CRYPTOBETTING 👀 Don't try to use all liquid 💰 or 20% of ur long term liquid bag 💰 just give 5% below priority ::-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:: BUY || accumulation phase 📍 👉 $0.077 - $0.247 👈 + || 👉 Sell :|: distribution phase 👈 || 🎯 :: $1.5 - $2.1 🎯 :: $12 - $14 🎯 :: $20 - $25 🎯 :: $40 - $50 🗝️ Try get ur liquid 💰 back at $1.5 above I used to call as " principal trade " 🗝️ Close 20% bag at $12-14 🗝️ Close 60% bag at $20-25 I am not expecting more than $30 but based on #TA with #FA provided No technical data history to explain about technical analysis ⏰ I have done 👍 my research 🔎 on LAUNCHPAD projects based on funding i review this 👀 __________________________________________________________________________________________ 🪩 disclaimer : ▶️ TQ u for supporting 💚 follow idea 💡 get updates everytime ⏰ when I updated 📌 Note 👀 👉 keeping comments , reacting with emojis , pointing us is very easy to some people They think 💬 what they see 📌 that was knowledge 📌 We need to learn market in many ways and should get adopted with experience, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS won't help understanding market structure and understanding bull 🐂 and bear 🐻 is more important Economical conditions Fundamentals Technical News Sentiments Checking macro to micro having good plan and build it is very important ☺️ Some Times market easily turn suddenly bear // bull 🤣 even we need to catch 🫴 those movements is also very important ☺️ 💛 I hope i cleared my view 🙂 if any points if I miss I will add in update 📌 post Try to understand, try to learn - try to move with flexibility with market is important Have good day 😊 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by raj5_7_5
16
BTC 📍 macro analysis ⏰ BULL 🚀🐂 RUN Hello 👋 it's me your RAJ 🙂 professional trader ✨ This idea 💡 is completely my own analysis to explain situation _&_ market conditions of BITCOIN 🪙 How this coin valid for long term 📌 including fud & news 🗞️ explained clearly 📌 #DYOR 📅 ....... BINANCE:BTCUSDT 👑 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ........ 🌴 28TH - OCTOBER - 2024 / 10TH - FEBRUARY - 2025 🔝 $121236.10 🪙 🎯 ⚠️ >>> leading pressure stretch 💹 8-18TH - SEPTEMBER -2025 🤝 $175576.43 ❣🦩 ( 15-12-25 ) __________________________________________________________________________________________ 🪩 disclaimer : ▶️ TQ u for supporting 💚 follow idea 💡 get updates everytime ⏰ when I updated 📌 Note 👀 👉 keeping comments , reacting with emojis , pointing us is very easy to some people They think 💬 what they see 📌 that was knowledge 📌 We need to learn market in many ways and should get adopted with experience, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS won't help understanding market structure and understanding bull 🐂 and bear 🐻 is more important Economical conditions Fundamentals Technical News Sentiments Checking macro to micro having good plan and build it is very important ☺️ Some Times market easily turn suddenly bear // bull 🤣 even we need to catch 🫴 those movements is also very important ☺️ 💛 I hope i cleared my view 🙂 if any points if I miss I will add in update 📌 post Try to understand, try to learn - try to move with flexibility with market is important Have good day 😊 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let's discuss about buy zone 📌 🙄 Support 📌 $21480 - $23368 - $26800 - $29800 - $33690 Accumulation range was $20000k to $36000 below 📍 Distribution zone 📌 $80k to $175k ( IMO :-: $100k to $140k ) Resistance 📌 $80000 - $104600 - $120000 - $135000 - $146000 - $168000 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀 Note 📌 understood every update and take decision ⚡ 90% chance there is no new low 🔅 90% chance max bull run will complete below $120K 90% chance BITSTAMP:BTCUSD will complete $80-100k wick $120k Everything thing 📌 will be explained as thread 🧵 how and why ✨ Start 🧵👉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by raj5_7_5
2
ZEC 📌 pump and dump macro analysis ⏰BINANCE:ZECUSDT will complete it's bottom next year 🤣 #DYOR This analysis ⏰ only for struck PPL 📌 not for new investors there better projects avilable skip it 👉 I am expecting old dino coin end of bull run the liquid 💰 will move 🙌 on garbage 🗑️ coins or dead ☠️ coins then it will get move 🙌 👉 2024/25 i will enter into this trade so with profit liquid 💰 I can catch easy 5-10X on this 🪙 Expecting crash get completed 📌 2024-dec to APR 2025 below 📍 Buy :: $5.6 - $10 ( 60% + 40% ) split liquid 💰 { follow article when near to buy i will update } Sell :: $50 - $90 ( 40% + 60% ) exit plan 😉 { boosting 🚀 gives me support 📌 } So what would ur theory tell me in comments 😁 if u interested in COINBASE:ZECUSD then follow article/idea 💡 when I updated 📌 chart 📉📈 under here as thread 🧵 u get notified and updated 📌 Be happy 😊 try to understand market 📌 don't buy blindly that index & Crypto 🔮 giving accumulation phase 📍 everything is different 📌
CRYPTO:ZECUSDLong
by raj5_7_5
5
DEGO |:-:| DEGO FINANCE ~ Launchpad 🪙Hello 👋 it's me your RAJ 🙂 professional trader ✨ This idea 💡 is completely my own analysis to explain situation _&_ market conditions of CRYPTO:DEGOUSD 🪙 How this coin valid for long term 📌 explained clearly BASED on history 🤪 & #TA 📌 #DYOR Note 👉 coin 🪙 have potential High risk 🔥 $0 to hero 😂 😆 Present circulation supply was 14.3M by the end of 2025 , it will be 20M Only #CZ & binance holding 60% supply 😆 less supply easily manipulated 👀 I recommend PPL to go with unwanted liquid 💰 CRYPTOBETTING 👀 Don't try to use all liquid 💰 or 20% of ur long term liquid bag 💰 just give 5% below priority ::-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:: BUY || accumulation phase 📍 ⚡ $0.45 - $2.2 ( below / above just stop 🛑 ) + || 👉 Sell :|: distribution phase 👈 || 🎯 :: $10-13 🎯 :: $30-50 🎯 :: $138-187 🎯 :: $580-752 ++++++ 🗝️ Try get ur liquid 💰 back at $10.5 above I used to call as " principal trade " 🗝️ Close 20% bag at $12-13 🗝️ Close 60% bag at $30-50 I am not expecting more than $300 but based on #TA with #FA provided No technical data history to explain about technical analysis ⏰ I have done 👍 my research 🔎 on LAUNCHPAD projects based on funding i review this 👀 __________________________________________________________________________________________ 🪩 disclaimer : ▶️ TQ u for supporting 💚 follow idea 💡 get updates everytime ⏰ when I updated 📌 Note 👀 👉 keeping comments , reacting with emojis , pointing us is very easy to some people They think 💬 what they see 📌 that was knowledge 📌 We need to learn market in many ways and should get adopted with experience, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS won't help understanding market structure and understanding bull 🐂 and bear 🐻 is more important Economical conditions Fundamentals Technical News Sentiments Checking macro to micro having good plan and build it is very important ☺️ Some Times market easily turn suddenly bear // bull 🤣 even we need to catch 🫴 those movements is also very important ☺️ 💛 I hope i cleared my view 🙂 if any points if I miss I will add in update 📌 post Try to understand, try to learn - try to move with flexibility with market is important Have good day 😊
Long
by raj5_7_5
6
CELR 📌 macro analysis ⏰COINBASE:CELRUSD :: long term 📌 analysis ⏰ #DYOR #NFA layer1&2 coin ⛓️ Nothing to explain previous bull run it done 👍 excellent performance 🙂 this bull run expecting decent performance 👍 this coin should need every time chart update #ta i will update here so follow the article and give boosting 🚀 binance launchpad project Support 📌 $0.01-0.013 ( 60% 💰 ) < #BUY >📌 $0.004-0.004 ( 40% 💰 ) Note 👉Losing demand zone 📌 recent low 🔅 will reach 2nd phase 🎯 $0.17-0.16 🎯 $0.61-1.16 $0.03-0.05 key 🗝️ resistance 📌 BINANCE:CELRUSDT Strong 💪 month should close above 😒 ( important ) #imo bull may get completed $0.19 below 80% chance Any doubt 🧐 comment below or DM private box 80% CHANCE coin won't cross $0.19 🤞 in my opinion #imo If candle 1month strong close above $0.2 then new high 💰 chance so fix minimum target 🎯
Long
by raj5_7_5
GOLD next 2 years analysis ⏰ macro Hello 👋 it's me your RAJ 🙂 professional trader ✨ This idea 💡 is completely my own analysis on GOLD TVC:XAU 🪙 How this comodity valid for long term 📌 explained as per technical clearly 📌 #DYOR Note 👉 I am analyst and trader on cryptocurrency BITSTAMP:BTCUSD & stocks I don't know about comodity market much , but my friend asked to do analysis 📌 based technical analysis ⏰ so I am providing here 🙂 :: in cryptocurrency to analyse any coin we check ✅ volatility , fundamental and some points In GOLD i Don't know what to check and how follow and depth fundamental also so PPL 📌 who knows well ❤️‍🩹 keep in comments box 📍 i learn and i improve my work on commodity market Present i am submitting technical analysis #TA based on my view 👀 I am bearish 📍 🐻 in next 1yr and expecting new high 2025 end 📌 2026 mid year Invalid 📌 When weekend close below $1600 Best area to fill bag 💰 BUY 📌 $1680 - $1780 is best accumulate zone 📌 ( 1680/1780 ) My target 🎯 was $2200 - $2400 🔥 1680/1780 >> 2200/2400 || stop 🛑 weekend below 1600 👍 This is what I am expecting on GOLD based on technical analysis 📌 what point i have considere as per fundamental and what news 🗞️ I have to cover pls let me know 🙂 🪩 disclaimer : ▶️ TQ u for supporting 💚 follow idea 💡 get updates everytime ⏰ when I updated 📌 Note 👀 👉 keeping comments , reacting with emojis , pointing us is very easy to some people They think 💬 what they see 📌 that was knowledge 📌 We need to learn market in many ways and should get adopted with experience, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS won't help understanding market structure and understanding bull 🐂 and bear 🐻 is more important Economical conditions Fundamentals Technical News Sentiments Checking macro to micro having good plan and build it is very important ☺️ Some Times market easily turn suddenly bear // bull 🤣 even we need to catch 🫴 those movements is also very important ☺️ 💛 I hope i cleared my view 🙂 if any points if I miss I will add in update 📌 post Try to understand, try to learn - try to move with flexibility with market is important Have good day 😊 🧵👉
COMEX:GC1!Long
by raj5_7_5
XRP macro analysis ⏰ ripple ✴️As predicted case win to bottom everything got completed 🚀 BITSTAMP:XRPUSD from 2021 announced everything on track 😏 Here macro analysis on RIPPLE ✴️ BINANCE:XRPUSDT ....... Long term 📌 #DYOR Buy :: $0.35 - $0.55 ( use only 70-80% liquid 💰 ) Sell :: $3 - $6 - $9 ( I am not expecting more than these ) #imo ( in my opinion ) -->> my personal target is $6 Let's talk about TECHNICAL ANALYSIS there n number of charts 📉 avilable with me to provide but simple way i provided here 😃 different ways of working charts will be provided below 👇 26 BARs from top 🔝 bull 🐂 run trend line formation was broken 😂 same still going 3rd time But there was negative sign bcs still price doesn't breach $1 This is the main reason I said used only 70-80% liquid 💰 Here my backup plan on BITSTAMP:XRPUSD using remaining liquid 💰 30-20% BUY :: $0.045 - $0.0856 Sell :: $0.4 - $0.6 ( i will close when it shows my liquid ) Very less chances are there to get active negative scenario 📌 Note 📌 i will update under post any news 🗞️ or qucik move on price & every time crucial update Chart updates every 3-6 months So make shure following article also update you whenever I am updating it 🤍 Giving boosting 🚀 is ur responsibility updating is my responsibility 😏 I keep wave , liquid supply and demand etc ... Charts 📉 🧵 👉
Long
by raj5_7_5
Nike Monumental Macro TA FindingsHi guys! This is a look into Monumental MACRO developments occuring in Nike stock market structure, some of which are happening for the 1st time in history. For this reason and in my opinion, its a very important time to keep eyes on Price action. The aim is to briefly go over what those developments are and what it may mean for NIKE's Current market trend. Hopefully providing insights for investors. For this analysis, we are looking at Hieken Ashi candles on the 6 month timeframe. Note that: Our current candle will close in January 2024. So it has alot of room to change by the time the candle closes. Ive chosen Hieken Ashi candles to provide clarity in patterns of trend that occured in Nike's History. Our major development is that we have broken down BELOW and confirmed resistance against our MAJOR MAJOR Historical Support Trendline for all of Nike's Market History. This is the 1st time we have ever done this. It warrents caution as this signifies Major Trend Change, perhaps even macro trend reversal. While we were above the Spport line, we knew that everytime we came down we would atleast test that line. Now that we are BELOW it, we need price to find the next support. Currently ive highlighted by a Black Support Trendline, that very support area. We've maintained support since January 2020. This line coincides with another black line that marks Resistance. When combining these 2 black lines, we have ourselves a Symmetrical Triangle. That is very likely to play out sooner or later. If we are able to break above it, it may be probable for us to get back ABOVE the MAJOR SUPPORT Orange line, continuing our Uptrend. If we break below, further declines will occur. Further supporting the idea of a Major Trend Reversal. We are also currently at 4 Red candles in a row. If you notice previous history, 4 in a row has happened only 1 other time. July 83 to Jan 85. And also notice that the 3rd candle of the sequence indicated market bottom with the 4th candle printing a higher low. Can that be the case for us now? Maybe but things in the past don't have to repeat. Being inside of the symmetrical triangle, 4 red candles in a row would warrant me to NOT take any investment positions. In my opinion, if we break out on the upside of the symmetrical triangle and preferably get back above "Orange support line", would i consider taking positions. I think as of now however, we are at best more likely to either move in a range/ sideways or see further declines as the worst case. Why i think this, is because of the STOCH RSI. Notice how we are below the 20 level with a bearish cross/signal. The last time we did this, we were in here for multiple years which led to moving in a range for many years before continuing to make all time highs. Within range our, price dropped from the top about 67% to bottom of the range. If we continue the previous pattern, the same is likely. Hypothetically, we can also drop 60% to $70.00 level, which is a support area. For that to not happen we would need a BULLISH cross ABOVE the 20 level. Also notice the RSI, we are currently at the lowest level in all of NIKE history. We are also in an RSI range that coincides with sideways or range bound action. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on ETSY in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:NKE
by SafofAllTrades
A look into Shake Shack's Macro Trend, Bullish or Bearish? Hi guys! This is a Macro analysis into Shake Shack (SHAK). We will assess various developments occuring in the charts, shedding some light into whether we are in a bullish or bearish overall trend. The analysis is done on the 1 Week timeframe. When looking at the Price action of Shake Shack. We have recently been REJECTED from a Major Resistance Trendline (RED line). This line has been acting as resistance since Feb. 2021. NOTE: This trendline indicates our current TREND. That is we are in a downtrend until proven otherwise. That proof is breaking ABOVE and CONFIRMING Support on this RED line. Also NOTE: This is our 2nd touch point of this RED line. In trendline theory it states that atleast 3 or more touches are required on trendlines for them to weaken enough for a break to the opposite side. So it makes sense that It has pushed us into another downtrend that has recently broken down below the 21 EMA (Purple moving average). We are now rapidly approaching a SUPPORT test on the 50 SMA (Green Moving Average). It is crucial we find SUPPORT on the 50 SMA and Horizontal Black Support line. If we can't we risk falling to the "Major Support Trendline". Which also risks another DEATHCROSS. Notice the slight downward curve on the 21 EMA. Having a DEATHCROSS occur can bring in momentum to even push Prices below the "Major Support Trendline". Our MACD indicator has also CROSSED Bearish with signficiantly increasing RED histogram bars. This signifies an increase in bearish momentum. To maintain Bullish trend, we need to stay ABOVE the 0 level on MACD and have a BULL cross with the print of GREEN histogram bars. We also MUST maintain Support on the 50 SMA, eventually CONFIRMING Support ABOVE 21 EMA. Notice also the GOLDEN CROSS between 21 EMA and 50 SMA, as long as we maintain SUPPORT Above 50 SMA, this has the momentum to maintain an UPTREND. It can also help us breakout through the Major Resistance Trendline. Also take a look for reference at our previous REJECTION of this Major Resistance Trendline. (Orange arrow) Notice how we ended up testing Support on Green 50 SMA, bounced upwards but ended up coming back down and breaking down, printing the death cross and falling 72%. There is nothing saying that we cant do a similar move but theres also no way of knowing that it will play out exactly as past history. Thats why we need to be level headed and take it 1 step at a time. So in the coming weaks our current direction of price action is to TEST SUPPORT on the 50 SMA and the Black line Support CONFLUENCE first. This area is CRUCIAL area that will determine whether we go back to RE-TEST either: 1. RED Major Resistance Trendline above. 2. BLACK Major Support Trendline below. If we re-test the REDline that will make 3 touch points, and we will need to observe whether or not we break through. If we re-test the Black Major Support trendline, we risk breaking down which may cause further price declines. But note its a Major Historical Trendline so it can make monumental buying opportunity provided we get back down there. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on SHAK in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:SHAK
by SafofAllTrades
Recession Timeframe Horizon Macro Monday (2) Potential Recession Time Horizon Below you will find a breakdown of how many months pass before a confirmed Economic Recession (shaded grey areas) after the yield curves first definitive turn back up towards the 0% level: 1) 13 Months (Dec 1978 – Jan 1980) 2) 9 Months (Nov 1980 – July 1981) 3) 16 Months (Mar 1989 – Jul 1990) 4) 12 Months (Mar 2000 – Mar 2001) 5) 22 Months (Feb 2006 – Dec 2007) 6) 6 Months (Aug 2019 – Mar 2020) 7) 4 Months so far (Mar 2023 - ????) Average Time frame: 13 months (reasonable time horizon would be 6 – 18 months). I consider the first definitive turn up towards the 0% level as no. 7 on the chart (March 2023). Since this date we have rolled over below the -1% level (see additional chart in comments). March 2023 appears similar to the bounce in Dec 1978 (No. 1 in the chart), it also rolled over to the lower sub -1% level. If we assumed a similar 13 month timeframe to recession commencement as in Dec 1978 of 13 months, which also aligns with our 13 month average above, we would be looking at April 2024 for a recession to commence. Interestingly 1978 - 1980 was a similar peak inflationary period known as the Great Inflation, a defining macroeconomic period of high inflation. You might be wondering, has a recession ever occurred in the month of April before? I personally thought this was a strange month but it has occurred in the past. In April 1960 a recession commenced and lasted 10 months to February 1961. The 1960 recession was mainly a result of an over-tight monetary policy whereby the Federal Reserve raised interest rates from 1.75% in mid-1958 to 4% by the end of 1959 and maintained them at that level until June 1960. The Federal Reserves motive for raising interest rates and maintaining them was fear of high inflation (as in early 1951 inflation soared to +9.5%). Is it just me or is this all starting to sound a little too familiar? If we wanted to cater for all time scenarios in the chart and noted above (no. 1 - 6) we could argue that the start of a recession is possible at the earliest within 6 months (Sept 2023) and at the latest 22 months (Jan 2025). Also, the month of April 2024 has some eerie similarities to two prior recessions, the 1978 and 1960 Recessions. Lucky 13 Since World War 2 bear markets have on average taken about 13 months to reach their bottom and a further 26 months to recover their losses. Our average time before a recession would start is 13 months. It’s worth remembering that it could take an additional 13 months before a bottom is established and then 2 years or 26 months (2 x 13) of price action below the pre-recession price highs. Over 3 years is a long time to wait to recover losses. It would be pertinent to start deleveraging or increasing your hedge from the 6 month mark (Sept 2023 in this case) as subsequently the likelihood of a 3 year period below the Sept 2023 price levels increase as each month passes. For reference the S&P 500 index has fallen an average of 33% during bear markets over the avg. timeframe of 13 months to the bottom. I actually find it very hard to accept that a recession is possible in the near term (within 6 - 12 months) and I would in fact argue against it, however I cannot explain away the data in the chart which speaks for itself and warrants at least some consideration & caution. Nothing is a guarantee and maybe this time it will be different, especially factoring in the amount of unprecedented liquidity added to the market in recent years, sticky inflation and financial supports provided to systemically important banks. All the chart really indicates is a probable window for a recession to start some time between Sept 2023 – Jan 2025 and no guarantees. The rule of 13 is worth remembering, simply from a timing perspective (before and during a recession) as it may help your timing. Based on two similar periods in history, the 1978 and 1960 recessions suggest the month of April 2024 may be a key date. Again, no guarantees. It is also worth noting that for the last six recessions, on average, the announcement of when a recession started was up to 8 months after the fact…meaning we will have no direct indication when a recession starts, however the un-inversion of the yield curve (back above the 0% level) and a rise in unemployment will be the early tells, so these are worth paying attention too. We will keep you posted on any sudden changes in these metrics. I hope the chart is helpful, provides one perspective of which there are many, and can help time and frame the situation we currently find ourselves in. NO GAURANTEES, just probable timeframes that may be worth paying attention too. PUKA List of Recessions: 1. COVID-19 Recession (February - April 2020) 2. The Great Recession of 2008 (December 2007 - June 2009) 3. The September 11 Recession (March - November 2001) 4. The Gulf War Recession (July 1990 - March 1991) 5. The Iran/Energy Crisis Recession (July 1981 - November 1982) 6. The Energy Crisis Recession (January - July 1980) 7. The Nixon Recession (December 1969 - November 1970) 8. The “Rolling Adjustment” Recession (April 1960 - February 1961) 9. The Eisenhower Recession (August 1957 - April 1958) 10. The Post-Korean War Recession (July 1953 - May 1954)
FRED:T10Y2Y
by PukaCharts
5
MACRO WYCKOFF/ HALVENING OBSERVATIONI just wanna share some of the things I worked on it's still incomplete, and still adding some of my analysis I used Wyckoff theory, pattern recognition(This cannot predict the future but it can help us define what can are the possible moves that btc will do) Observation : -Every 1st month of the day of 365 days before halvening, btc tends to show sos sign of strength.. then it starts showing SOW (SIGNS OF WEAKENESS) OR spring /st ("Springs or Shakeouts usually occur late within the trading range and allow the market and its dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign will unfold. If the amount of supply that surfaces on a break of support is very light (low volume ), it will be an indication that the way is clear for asustained advance. Heavy supply here will usually mean a renewed decline. Moderate volume here may mean more testing of support and to proceed with caution. The spring or shakeout also serves the purpose of providing dominant interests with additional supply from weak holders at low prices.")similar to smc obj -Another thing is that every havening, the bull run tends to cut the percentage to half each halvening using measurement from bottom to top of the uptrend bull(2000++% 1st havening)2nd reaccumulation (1000++%) (500++%) 2nd halvening) (250++% 3rd halvening) if by any chance it will half again I'm expecting a 125%++ percentage which will hit to 150Kvalue. -Are we still going to have a spring? then we reaccumulate like what happened to the 3rd halvening? or other schematics of accumulation trading range phases? - Every distribution schematic it always level out before the break out (before PSY "Preliminary Supply"(distribution side) or the end (retest of PHASE E) of accumulation side) -Spring/ stb level always has the same level of a previous spread out before the phase of preliminary support -Like the 2nd or 3rd halvening or re accumulkation if it doesn't hit the top or the UTAD level of distribution it tends to create re accumulation. Thank you. DYOR 1st halvening - 2nd halvening - 3rd halvening - 1hr distribution -
INDEX:BTCUSD
by markdemesa99
Smells Like HopiumI don't post much; mostly I just watch and observe. But at this point in time, I cannot help my self. I'm seeing way too much joy and optimism in markets over the last few weeks. The smell of strong hopium in the air is pungent, especially in crypto. Lots of traders I follow are posting 10-12x posts a day talking about bullish action...lots of screams of "333% PUSH!", "555% EASY!", etc. etc. You know who you are. Time for some real talk--crypto autumn is over and winter is just about to begin. Let's do the math...using "King Crypto" BTC as a guide. Here we see the 2W chart and the story is clear. I like the 2W time frame as a starting point because if levels out all the BS and allows for clear headedness in lieu of what is obvious hysteria. What are we seeing? 1. Heikin Ashi still points almostly perfectly bearish since the Nov 21 double top. This is a negative. 2. Current price action and all candles are below every channel there is, including KC and Bollinger Band Std Dev 1 and 2. This is super very negative. 3. 2W 50 per EMA is about to death cross 100 per EMA. That's EMA, folks...not simple MA. It will be very hard to see how the next 3 months won't have this cross, but we will wait and see. This is negative. 4. Stochastic has tried 4 times since Nov 21 to break favorable and has failed every time. Short term momentum still under longer term momentum, at the very bottom of the range. This is negative. 5. MACD, while approaching zero on the bars, is persistently below long-term trendlines. This is a negative. 6. On Balance Volume (the ultimate tell) is not even close to breaking favorable. This is negative. Technical analysis, sorting out for all the short-term noise, is all pointing in one direction...downward. From a macro-market analysis, we are just beginning to see the shakeout of the crypto hysteria. Some points: A. Regulation, the "all clear sign" for big money, seems stuck in the muck across numerous geos, because... B. Crypto firms continue to go bust at a rapid pace. Hard to know where to regulate when firms are dying every month. FTX is now "old news", but as yet nobody knows how far the contagion goes. BlockFi this week, likely another before the end of the month. And the "Binance Rescue Fund" (outside of a tweet) is a pipe dream. C. The idea of BTC (or any crypto) as an inflation hedge or safe haven is fully disproven. D. Crypto is now, minus higher variance, inexplicably tied to Tech. Yet even the media hyped, MOMO pushed, fake-out rally in QQQ didn't get to BTC over the last month. E. Recession looms, corporate multiples are still insane, leverage is still too high (in markets, and especially crypto), and fundamental economic dynamics globally are not favorable. All risk assets are still very far away from bottoms, crypto especially. Smoke the hopium all you want, but don't hit that "Buy" button. Long way to go before we are out of the woods. "Roll it up, light it up, smoke it up...Inhale, exhale" - Cyprus Hill.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Imdmagic1
2
The Return of the Golden BullThe Return of the Golden Bull Technical Analysis - Gold has been in a 2 year consolidation, after a 7 year uptrend of over 90% from 2018 to 2020. - Price Action is contracting on a monthly basis, within a bullish pennant. - After an intermediate bear trend of 3 months, Gold is at a massive horizontal support, coming from the 2011 High. - Gold is also right above the rising trendline from the march 2021 low and above the falling trendline from the august 2020 high. - This might be a multi year buying opportunity for Gold, it is hard to put a price target on it, but I would assume around 4000$ could be achieved, if everything goes as expected. Fundamental Analysis - There is also a point to be made for gold, fundamentally. - We are at record inflation, tightening into slowing economic conditions. - Bonds are loosing massively, as are equities and Bitcoin. - Gold has been holding up rather well, despite the US10Y and the DXY rising relentlessly. - In my opinion this is an indicator, that Gold is still the true safe hafen asset to investors, in case of monetary debasement and simultaneously worsening economic conditions. Enter the trade - I am waiting for a short term trend change, as we are currently below the 5, 10, 20, and 50 day moving averages. - I want to see Gold above a rising 5dma, crossing the 10dma. - I am also looking for a weekly close above 1877$. - Gold has been awfully hard to trade in the past months, due to extremely choppy action, often giving daily buy and sell signals on the RSC Trend Trading Indicator, right after each other, so I will be cautious. This is not financial advice, I wish you good luck trading. Cheers Tom
TVC:GOLDLong
by Cyranus
2
T-AT&T- THE CYCLE OF BULL TO BEAR OVER THE DECADES! SHORT!Find out the latest details on AT&T NYSE:T . Have the bulls completely lost their momentum? In this video I go through the macro view on AT&T and discuss their debt and cash flows and there future. Is this a good stock to buy and hold for your portfolio? Find out here! Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
NYSE:TShort
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
Macro view Siacoin30 cents is a reasonable price range for Siacoin to reach this coming cycle. We had an approximately 85% correction from the high in April. We saw the same type of correction from June to November 2017. Next rally up will probably be around 1500% from where we are right now. There are lots of people saying this is some super cycle and the rising won't stop, it's reminiscent to what i've experienced in 2017.. But once Bitcoin tops (which it will between 150 and 300k probably) everything will go into a multi year bear market again. So get out when you've realized your profits. And get back in when correction levels are around 80% again.
KRAKEN:SCUSDLong
by Bittimmer
4