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Macroeconomy

BTC Outlook 2023-2025Fresh new data and more information of significant factors brings me to a new deliberate prediction. The corrective wave that we are in is not a usual corrective wave. It could make twice as long as the two previous corrective waves in 2014 and 2018, an ABC move from a larger degree of Elliot Wave (Could be a wave 4 from the whole BTC movement since 2009). Currently we are in a bear market rally that potentially will bring BTC up to 25k, from there the corrective move will continue to the bottom which potentially at 8k in early 2024. I still believe potential Fed pivot will be around Q4 2023-Q1 2024 and inflation at that time will probably sits around 2-3%. 3% is good enough to restart the Quantitative Easing. Due to the longer corrective wave, 4th BTC Halving in Q2 2024 will occur in the 1st wave, not the same with the last three halvings that occured in the 3rd wave. This also means that we are approximately one year away from the beginning of a new bull market that potentially will make BTC going up to 140k or 1600% from 8k. Expect more business entities to collapse, more lay-offs and rising unemployment which also means rising in crime rates. Take care and survive!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by derahmanov
GBPUSD: How to read the fundamentals?GBPUSD is ahead of an important week of CPI meeting in Tuesday and FOMC on Wednesday. if inflation remains under control we can expect fed to slow down the rate hikes more likely 50 bps the coming week and 25 bps early next year which should trigger USD bears and that's what we expect as well based on the last CPI data. Otherwise if CPI is above expectations we can expect the opposite Scenario and more of a strong Dollar and a hawkish FOMC. when Good fundamentals meet good technicals then there is a good probability for your trade to go in your direction but always keep in mind that trading is a field of probabilities and since everything could happen a proper risk management should be taken in consideration. my recommendation is to risk 1% per trade so that will allow you to stay in the market the longest possible and will help you to compound your account as well. Otherwise if you risk 20% per trade then 5 losing trades in a row will knock you out of the market. And you don't want that to happen so you should stick to proper risk management of always risking small and aiming high. if you have any question please don't hesitate to ask in the comment section. i'm happy to interact and answer to all!
Long
by JoeChampion
40
Bitcoin Bull Run, the confimations you need.As governments go to war, and the long expected inflation boom in the US: CHINA will with high probability get a real-estate debt flash crisis. This will affect financial markets deeply, but crypto will regain a bullish momentum. Why do I think crypto will regain it? More distrust in FIAT-currency. Many countries will experience FOMO, which results in Bitcoin becoming legal tender in an increasingly manner. Blockchain Developers are in high demand and a scarcity at first (sign one) whilst salaries and compensation increases, so does the amount of developers(sign 2) . The wildest marketing campaign the world has ever seen. Celebrities and influencers promote it everywhere. Due to both hot and cold wars (NATO/Russia (+ China)) and hot(Ukraine/Russia), Sanctions can simply be bypassed through crypto/stablecoins. And the list could go on, trust me. These are important reasons as to why I am so bullish toward crypto in 2022. (I speculate that 2025 will be the year of most growth in the crypto market) In addition, I have studied different timeframes and technical indicators to see if the future already is priced in the market\. I must proclaim that my analysis is based on an expected bullish behavior in the financial markets, and also NOT TO BE TAKEN AS FINANCIAL ADVISE *0
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by x2morrowsCrypto
1
When Trump Made America Great Again - SPXSP:SPX TVC:SHCOMP AMEX:VEU TVC:SX5E AMEX:VEU 1, Vertical lines: Thin Orange is Trump wins election. Thick Orange is start of Trump presidency 2. Chart Lines: White is USA stock market, S&P500 Blue is the European “Dow Jones”, Euro Stoxx 50 Orange is the market cap weighted index of the entire planet’s stock markets (the 44 countries with capital markets), except the S&P 500. “All World minus USA” ETF. Red is China stock market. Summary: Between January 29th and May 24th, 2018, The U.S. went from lagging the World’s stock market to clearly leading the Earth’s stock. I propose this is a direct result of the announcement and implementation of Tariffs. 1st with $50B of tariffs on China on March 22nd, 2018. - I had initially thought this was due to Brexit (Britain exiting the European Union), However, the Brexit vote happened in June 2017, and actually seems to have boosted their markets. - For symmetry, and to compare apples 2 apples, this chart is in log percentage format.
AMEX:SPYLong
by jgeno
Lasta chance for a long on GASThe price has almost reached the last static support placed at about 2.56 $, after it there is a gap of 30/50 cents that could be covered in the very short term if the level just mentioned was broken downwards. The main trend, so far, has been reversed: technically the EMA20 and 200 periods on medium / long term tf are above the price and this means that the trend has basically become bearish; with the end of January, however, historically, begins a period of laterality that bounces the price in this channel between $ 2.60 and $ 3.10 approximately, until late spring / summer does not violate the downside support to test the areas around 2.20. For the next few weeks we will trade it by entering and exiting the market, when the opportunity arises, and then keeping a short position in the portfolio for the short / medium term that we will close towards the autumn. Obviously if the scenario changes, we will change the analysis and the strategy. Join us for further analysis on: Instagram : www.instagram.com Telegram: t.me Facebook Page: www.facebook.com Web: www.bfcminvest.com
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by BFCMInvest
A long depression, the rise of facism, a new Kondratiev cycleMost of the important points are in the chart. ** I am not saying I WANT this to happen, I am saying there is a pretty damn high probability it happens. Here are a few more charts: 1929 btw, which I already posted The socioeconomic stuff: Germany economy in 1926 - 1938 If you are not under 25, you should hang out with people 15-20, they are let's say, just a little racist, they feel they are getting bullied and getting blamed for everything and hated and dicriminated against while being called privileged and are tired of it (again, not my opinion, just how people think). Might be my opinion in 10 years thought, I'm just here to make money, not my problem, I don't care about all this stupidity, you hooman simian beasts sort out your little issues between each other. Everything is all primed for a big depression and a big rise in facism. Angela Merkel is 64 years old. She won't be around telling people what they should do or think forever. I still expect the stock market to possibly go up by the start of next year, to 30-35k points, but for 2020-2030 all I see is a recession. I will keep a bear bias whenever I want to swing trade. Only short, never long. I will day trade long at major support levels. Value investor Phil Town is making a video about Stock Market crashes live in 2 hours, I cannot link it here so I linked it on twitter (you can find it easilly on YT).
DJ:DJIShort
by MrRenev
2