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Macys

MACYS GOING SHORTMACYS is being attacked from two sides. It has been depending on commerical real estate sales while its profitability has diminished due to consumers moving to online sales. Now in a potentially depressed post covid 19 commercial real estate collapse and competition from well established online retailers, Macy's is looking more and more like a dinosaur of a previous economic era and soon to be a fossil like JC Pennys. They missed their chance to develop an online strategy back in the late 90s and early 2000s. The covid 19 shutdown was the final wake up call for Macys but it is unlikely this bohemith can redeploy its resources fast enough to save this titanic of brick and mortar retailers. NYSE:M
NYSE:MShort
by zhanlao
THE WEEK AHEAD: M, CLDR, CRWD EARNINGS; GDXJ/GDX, SLV, QQQTHE WEEK AHEAD: EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENT VOLATILITY CONTRACTION PLAYS: M (41/103/September 18.7%): Announces Wednesday before market open. Potential Plays: September 18th 13 short straddle, paying 1.30 as of Friday close, .33 at 25% max. September 18th 5/7/7/9 iron fly, paying 1.07 as of Friday close, .27 at 25% max. Look to take profit at 25% max. CLDR (68/116/September 20.1%): Announces Wednesday after market close. Potential Plays: September 18th 13 short straddle, paying 2.60 as of Friday close, .65 at 25% max. September 18th 9/13/13/17 iron fly, paying 2.13 as of Friday close, .53 at 25% max. Look to take profit at 25% max. CRWD (32/74/September 15.0%): Announces Wednesday after market close. Potential Plays: September 18th 101/145 short strangle, paying 4.03 as of Friday close, 2.01 at 50% max. September 18th 100/105/140/145. Markets are showing wide in the off hours, but look to put on a setup that pays at least one-third the width of the wings in credit. Comments: Not a ton is shaking next week for options liquid underlyings, but here are what appear to me to be the best candidates for volatility contraction plays. Naturally, I'm just preliminarily pricing these out to see whether they're potentially worthwhile, and actual strikes are likely to change somewhat running into earnings as price moves. EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS SCREENED FOR >35% 30-DAY IMPLIED/OCTOBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE PAYING >10% OF STOCK PRICE: SLV (45/56/15.2%) XLE (24/39/11.2%) GDX (22/47/13.3%) GDXJ (21/58/15.7%) EWZ (17/44/12.3%) XOP (13/50/14.1%) GDXJ is paying the most as a function of stock price (15.7%), followed by SLV (15.2%), XOP (14.1%), and GDX (13.3%). WHAT THE SHORT STRANGLES NEAREST 16 DELTA ARE PAYING: The GDXJ October 16th 15/75 short strangle: 2.15, 3.6% as a function of stock price, The SLV October 16th 22/32 short strangle: .97, 3.6% as a function of stock price. The XOP October 16th 45/63 short strangle: 1.84, 3.5% as a function of stock price. The GDX October 16th 38/47 short strangle: .84, 2.0% as a function of stock price. Comments: I've already got a miners play on, so am likely to avoid getting into another closely correlated underlying here. BROAD MARKET: QQQ (29/32/8.8%) IWM (22/28/7.6%) EFA (17/20/5.6%) SPY (12/22/5.3%) WHAT THE SHORT STRANGLES NEAREST 16 DELTA ARE PAYING: The QQQ October 16th 257/320 short strangle is paying 6.51, 2.2% as a function of stock price. The IWM October 16th 140/170 short strangle, 2.93, 1.9%. The EFA October 16th 60/69 short strangle, .93, 1.4%. The SPY October 16th 317/391 short strangle, 4.95, 1.4%. Comments: In the IRA, I've been mechanically selling 45 days 'til expiry puts at the two times expected move strike (basically, the 16 delta) and will pretty much continue to do so until 30-day drops below 20%. There's always hesitancy to continue to do this at successive all-time-highs, and, yes, it is likely I will be assigned shares at some point in a >2 times expected move sell-off, after which I'll proceed to cover. That being said, I've got an inordinate amount of undeployed buying power after all the acquisitional short put ladders I put on in the sell-off have come off; I'd rather take some risk here to earn "something," all while keeping a reasonable amount of dry powder free to take advantage if we get another one of those bodice rippers we had in mid-March. This week, I'll follow the implied volatility, and as of Friday close, that was in the QQQ's. DIVIDEND EARNERS: XLU (21/23/7.1%) EWA (20/24/7.0%) TLT (18/19/4.8%) EFA (17/20/5.6%) EWZ (17/44/12.3%) IYR (17/24/6.5%) HYG (17/14/2.8%) SPY (16/22/5.3%) EMB (11/11/2.7%) The Brazilian exchange-traded fund leads the pack for the umpteenth week in a row, with XLU and EWA in distant second and third places. I'm fine with continuing to hit EWZ via acquisitional short put over and over again if that's where the implied volatility leads, but, yes, it's kind of getting old. For what it's worth: The 2 times expected move EWZ October 16th 28 short put is paying .36 per contract as of Friday close (1.2% as a function of stock price). Key: The first number in parentheses is the implied volatility rank or percentile (i.e., where implied volatility is relative to where it's been over the past 52 weeks); the second, 30-day implied volatility; and the third, the percentage of stock price that the specified monthly expiry at-the-money short straddle is paying.
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by NaughtyPines
Macy's "M" Long, bouncing off fib retracement today.Sector rotation out of tech and into laggards started on Aug. 4/6, and beginning of Macy's uptrend. After a very strong week, we've seen some pullback yesterday and today. However, there was a bounce at ~$6.80 a share today at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. I expect this to continue to rise over the next few days and weeks into the $9-$10 range retesting the June highs. Some support above the 50 MA. Also see a hammer candlestick pattern forming today.
NYSE:MLong
by jajlouny
M - MACY'S INC buy investment opportunityHello traders, Description of the analysis: MACY's inc. investment opportunity. I already invest to this stock with big potencial. I bought 1226pcs of shares. Trade what you understand, trade carefully and sparingly according to the business plan. This is not investment recommendation. About me: Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund ($4.000.000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades. Jacob
NYSE:MLong
by Jacob_Kovarik
3
Macy's Inc 800%+ PotentialHello Community! Before we begin please support my idea with a thumbs up and a comment. It'll be greatly appreciated and will motivate me to post a little more! Lets keep it simple. When you look at Macy's Inc on the monthly its at the ultimate all time support! You might not get another chance to enter at this sweet level for a while. With that being said it's most likely to go up from here. As you can see it's been in a major downtrend since July 2018. Previously as seen in May 2009 once that down trend is broken and begins to trade above the diagonal resistance it started to climb. Throughout the years it went up over 800% this is very possible again. If you're willing to Hodl this can play out beautifully in the next couple yrs. Bullish divergence on the MACD and RSI beginning to climb. This is not Financial advice. Safe Trading Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect! Simplicity Win
NYSE:MLong
by rnaofs
Triple bottom on Macy dating back to 1992 =o !!!! $MWhat is Macys? Macy's, Inc., an omnichannel retail organization, operates stores, Websites, and mobile applications. The company sells a range of merchandise, including apparel and accessories for men, women, and children; cosmetics; home furnishings; and other consumer goods. As of April 1, 2019, it operated approximately 680 department stores under the Macy's and Bloomingdale's names; and 190 specialty stores The bull case? -The company has good profit margins for a retail. -The company has good debt to capital because they sold a lot of real-estate a few years ago. - Could get a dead cat bounce (lol) - I've noticed that Yacktman Hedge fund started acquiring over 20% of macy shares.( this is one of those long term investment companies, kinda like Berkshire and warren buffet style, they look for value) -Lastly they got a good online store and ladies love to shop! shopaholics gonna be shopaholics. (I mean that's why i invest in the market, so i can make extra money for my lady to buy stuff lol) The bear case? -retail sector has been going down hill -Corona shutdown gonna affect their revenue this year by 25% easily so we'll be looking at breakeven for them this year. we can bear case all day for sure but that's some of the main ones, so know your risk! So what's my play? picking some up around the $5 range, gonna add a trailing stop-loss at $1 below ( trailing stop means at $4 stoploss, if you don't know, just msg me)
NYSE:MLong
by WallSt007
2
[Update 10-Jun] $M expected to go higher to $11 in wave-5This is an update to my original idea posted on 6th June, while $M retraced back to 0.618 levels today - the hourly and 4 hourly formation in the first half went on very well. However, we did not started rallying higher the same day. With this, is the idea of wave-5 to hit $11 still valid? The idea invalidates if we close below $7.8 on a daily chart. For now, we're good - I'll post an update as well if the idea invalidates. Our targets remain same, with TP1 being slightly lower as it was computed based on length of wave-1 and where wave-4 settles. While TP2 can be an extension based on market conditions of course. TP1: $10.6 TP2: $10.8-11.2 What do you think about this idea? Leave your comments below. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. Please make your independent decisions while making an investment.
NYSE:MLong
by mustafa_bey
4
$M (MACY'S INC) expected to go higher to $11 in wave-5$M has been following elliott wave nicely. Wave-3 was almost 1.62 of wave-1 which is very typical of a stock. With that, as the wave-4 is forming, I am presenting an idea that can lead to ~20% gains during next few days: Entry: $8.4-8.00 TP1: $10.8-11.2 What do you think about this idea? Leave your comments below. Have a great weekend! Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Please make your independent decisions while making an investment.
NYSE:MLong
by mustafa_bey
9
Macy's way oversold on the dayI know this is going to take a turn here in session. Way oversold and below VWAP. CFO had some comments that where realistic and shorts came to pounce on it. Nothing material since they just closed more-than-100% their marketcap with this round of financing. Looking to 430PM EST as the CEO is live to the nation talking about positive foward looking statements that will hopefully send the shorts home packing. Load up here and have a 10% stop loss. Won't be surprised at all if this closes in the Green as the S&P is starting to take a turn.
NYSE:MLong
by GK-Trades
12
MACY'S ($M) 🛍️ | Are the Bulls Going on Parade too Early?🏬 Between a weak earnings outlook, years of growth for online shopping, COVID, and the protests the last place you would think people would want to put their money is in retail giants like Macy's... yet, here we are. M has had a solid recovery since the COVID crash. That said, we think this Macy's day parade may be coming to end as we go into earnings and get rejected from resistance at the same time. Let's look for a setup. Resources: www.earningswhispers.com ✨ Drop a comment asking for an update, we do NEW setups every day! ✨ Like, Comment & Follow to help the community grow 🎉🎉 --- 1. Despite some recent strength, Fractal Trend is showing a downtrend (Maroon colored bars) on the 1-hour timeframe. 2. With this strategy, we are looking for short setups in a downtrend and as such want to enter short on retests of bearish order blocks plotted by Orderblock Mapping (Maroon colored lines) and/or bearish S/R levels plotted by Directional Bias (Maroon colored lines). 3. The plan here is to short the R1 orderblock above the gap on the left side of the chart with a target of the S1 S/R range. 4. We have placed our stop above R1. This not only gives us a good R:R, it also protects us from any volatility (although we expect R1 to hold so that extra protection shouldn't be necessary). Overall our play here is simple, short the recent strength in this retail giant as it touches resistance into what analysts project to be weak earnings. Good luck everyone!
NYSE:M
by AlphaBotSystem