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Mag7

He wasn't dead, he was just catching his breath.After a monstrous rise, the time came to catch his breath and prepare for a new year of ups and downs, but most importantly, to consolidate at this level. Before falling, our goal was to reach $169. Based on the current formations, everything seems to indicate that the trend continues. We must observe how an expanding wedge concludes at $155, followed by other patterns at $161, and finally, a very old one at $169 USD. Don't forget that NVDA is partnering with GOOGL on a groundbreaking quantum chip, a revolutionary development that is set to transform computation over the next decade.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AllAboutMoney
MAG7 breaks to new highs with the NAS100 outperforming The reaction in markets is what interests the most, and on the day, despite US Treasuries finding form, we’ve seen broad USD strength, the S&P500 has pushed to its 55th new all-time high in 2024, while gold and crude are largely unchanged. We also see sizeable dispersions in the daily returns in the crypto space, with XRP and Chainlink arguable the standout plays, with 23% and 41% gains respectively on the day. In the volatility (vol) space, we see the VIX trading lower at 13.5% - the lowest level since July and at levels more aligned with S&P500 20-day realised vol. Equity hedges have been unwound, which speaks to a market confident of a grind higher into year-end. Another way to visualise the subdued equity vol is in the daily high-low trading ranges, and on the day the S&P500 has tracked a meagre 18-handle range – one of the lowest high-low ranges of the year, and well below the 5-day average of 34-handles. Removing downside hedges makes sense given the largest drawdown in the S&P500 in Q4 has been 3.1%, and hedges cost money and subtract from performance if equity is moving higher. On the day we’ve seen a solid bid in comms services names (Meta & Alphabet), tech and consumer discretionary – said another way, the MAG7 index (+1.9%) has broken out to a new ATH, with all 7 MAG7 constituents rising on the day. Microsoft and Meta would be my picks that lead us higher from here, with MSFT filling the gap from the 31 Oct, where a break of $432.23 would suggest a continuation rally into $440. Naturally, when tech and the big discretionary plays are firing up, it’s the NAS100 which has outperformed, and we see NAS100 futures 120p from testing the former ATH at 21,340. We’ve seen solid moves in European equity too, and notably in the German DAX which is in beast mode and doing everything right technically – happy to hold longs here until the index has a daily close below the 5-day EMA. French equity is the exception, with the CAC40 closing unchanged, which is quite a solid result given the brewing political angst. Certainly, we’ve seen the political risk expressed in the EUR, which is lower on the day against all G10 currencies, and notably vs the JPY and USD. We can add negative revisions to the French and German manufacturing PMIs, which make for sobering viewing, and the upshot has been broad EUR selling. EURUSD hit a low of 1.0461 before the buyers stepped in – we can attribute a degree of the move lower to an improved US ISM manufacturing report (at 48.4 vs 47.5 eyed), although we did see some modest USD selling late in the session as Fed gov Waller signalled that he is leaning on a December rate cut and that rates are still “some distance from neutral”. US interest rate swaps now price at 79% chance the Fed cut by 25bp on 18 Dec. Equity and bond vol may be headed lower, but FX vol is alive and well with EURUSD 1-month implied vol at 8.66% and the 92nd percentile of the 12-month range. Buying EUR vol certainly made sense given the uncertainty of the ECBs (and the Fed’s) next move and the French political risk premium. CAD vols also screen well, with options traders seeing increased movement in USDCAD and AUDCAD. On the subject of movement, we can always find it in the crypto markets, and while Bitcoin (-2.5%) and Ethereum (-2.7%) take a backseat, it’s XRP that’s getting the lion’s share of trader attention with its punchy 23% rally on the day. The daily chart looks ridiculous and highlights the explosive 450% gain seen since the US election. XRP Volumes are tracking north of SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B on the day, which is higher than what’s traded on BTC, with the gains taking its market cap to $134b – the third biggest coin in the crypto sphere. Grossly overbought, and with a 10-day volatility of 150%, chasing XRP upside from here comes with significant risk and the fact I’m focused on it suggests we’ve likely hit peak sentiment – but as know what is overbought can stay overbought for some time. Looking ahead, we see a largely positive open for Asia with the ASX200 set to outperform with the index set to open nicely above 8500 and to new highs. Event risk in the session ahead comes in on the light side, with Swiss CPI and US Job openings (JOLTS) the key events on the radar.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Pepperstone
Meta: Buy Opportunity with Strong Short & Medium Term SignalsMeta Platforms NASDAQ:META (META) is on track to hit new record highs at $610, and the short- and medium-term technical indicators suggest a strong buying opportunity. Here’s why: In the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes, several key indicators are flashing buy signals: The Exponential Moving Averages (10, 20, 30, and 50) across both timeframes are all signaling bullish momentum, indicating upward strength. In the 4-hour chart, Momentum (10) is positive, and Bull Bear Power is also supporting further gains. While there’s a MACD Sell signal, it’s outweighed by the overall uptrend across multiple moving averages. In the 2-hour chart, the MACD Level has switched to Buy, and the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) is also bullish, suggesting growing strength in the short term. In the daily timeframe, Meta shows even more confirmation for a bullish stance: Most of the key Moving Averages (EMA 10, 20, 30, 50) are aligned with continued upside, supporting a sustained uptrend. The MACD and Momentum indicators show some divergence, but overall the market remains tilted in favor of a bullish outcome, with price action well above the 100 and 200-day moving averages. Risk-Reward Setup: The combination of buy signals in both short and medium-term charts presents a favorable risk-reward setup. Meta’s strong uptrend suggests a continuation toward new highs, while the technicals back a bullish bias with several layers of confirmation. However, caution should be exercised with short-term volatility, but the overall trend still supports the case for a long position. Considering these factors, entering long positions with a target at $610 offers a compelling opportunity to ride the momentum of one of the tech market leaders. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
NASDAQ:METALong
by CF_444
3
Mag 7 Earnings - Something will Break (Ceiling or Floor?)797 stocks reporting earnings next week Notables include GOOGL LLY CAT META MSFT COIN AMZN AAPL XOM CVX MA V $15 trillion in market cap at play as the US markets are still very close to all-time highs with a melty-uppy vibe. I'm cautiously bullish and could certainly see the highs get blown off with strong earnings momentum dominating the sentiment. I could also see Mag 7 disappoint investors with "not enough growth" and any pullbacks on Mag 7 will certain drag on the entire market. Survive next week, then it's onto the US Election, FED, Non-Farm Payroll. No big deal, it's just trading :) Thanks for watching!!!
HKEX:HSI1!
by ChrisPulver
Coffee Is Brewing!!!I don't know folks... again, I ain't nothing but a tier below an amateur beginning options player. There is a lot of learning still to do but I'm ready to be transparent with my thoughts and what I see a bit more often. So here with go with a previous fan favorite of Coffee Is Brewing! Coffee Is Brewing Idea #2 NASDAQ:GOOGL has earnings coming up 10/22 and has had a little bit of price action these past few weeks with a niiiiiiiiiiice Pogo Stick bounce this past Friday and closed above the previous week... all which are bullish signals, to me! Again, from my perspective I've seen Bullish action for the past few weeks. As evidenced by my NASDAQ:GOOGL 165C options exp 10/18 that I picked up at about 1.65 that ran up just shy of 6.00 and the NASDAQ:GOOGL 170C options exp 10/18, that I'm still holding. That's enough about what I had and have in play... let's talk about what I see. That right there folks looks like a cup and handle, which ultimately gets a Coffee Is Brewing tag! The bonus green drawn lines I added, some might consider a Bull Flag is starting to be established. I see another couple weeks of good runs with this AMEX:SPY small fry playa that's part of The Mag 7! I don't know about what y'all see but if you see something else, please drop a comment. If you like what you see, give ya boy a BOOST, a Follow, or a comment. I appreciate y'all for taking the time to look and we'll talk soon.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by FliCityOptions
1
Mag 7 Drags Down Large Cap - Potential Index Wedge FormationsThanks for checking out the video today. It was a reasonably nice selloff today, led mostly by the Mag 7 stocks. All US Indexes were in red, Nasdaq taking the worst of it around -1.60% lower. Powell on tap for Friday with Day 2 at Jackson Hole. The market is oh so curious if the FED will cut 25 or 50 bps in September and we have plenty of news to digest prior to the official September 18 FOMC Meeting and Press Conference. If Friday Aug 23's trading day pushes lower and helps balance out the aggressive bull moves from August 5's bottom, we could see a nice wedge pattern in the works - lower highs / higher lows. Watch the S&P Daily 200 SMA or 200 EMA for some dynamic support. It will be interesting to see if the bulls and bears both get what they want with prices on the move through September with volatility returning to elevated levels > 20 perhaps. Thanks for watching!!!
AMEX:SPY
by ChrisPulver
META could fall from ATH SHORTMETA on the weekly chart is at the ATH which is as a consequence at the third upper VWAP line. The RSI indicator shows the faster line crossing under the slower line. The relative trend index has topped out. Both represent bearish divergence. META makes its money with advertising dollars for revenue. There are increasing challengers to split revenues that could go down if a recession happens. Other headwinds are the federal regulatory blaming META for issues such as foreign interference in our elections, or child molestors floating on the platform without adequate protections for minor or collusion in a monopoly with other high flying targets. I find this to be a good juncture to take a short trade in META on a swing looking for it to last until the next earnings period.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by AwesomeAvani
Nvidia near its cycle peakYou can't turn on the TV without hearing about Nvidia that means that we're in the cycle distribution phase, can the stock rally to $1,300 certainly so this isn't a call to sell $950 today at all, but it is a call that the years high probably happens between now and July 4th start to make your exit plan now, so that when $1,300 arrives, you know what to do. as new ATH print every week, it becomes easy to accidentally wind up as a boiled frog. SMCI monster rally will chart a similar course
NASDAQ:NVDA
by noam_chom
AMZN in a triangle pattern LONGAMZN on the 15 minute time frame is in a relative symmetrical triangle pattern. A volume profile and intermediate term anchored VWAP are overlaid. They validate one another since the POC line and the mean anchored VWAP line up. Price is below both of them. My forecast is that price will rise and temporarily so sideways in the high volume and volatility zone of VWAP / POC and then ascend higher as that tug o war is finalized. My long target for now is 170.35 as the top boundary line of the high volume area of the VP. This is a good trade for shares on margin to get some juice into the trade. I will instead take call options for March 16th striking $ 172 for some leverage and beyond linear RIO. AMZN is good to go. Admittedly, this is an early bird trade. I see the risk as minimal.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is the rest for AMZN short-lived LONGAMZN on the 60 minute chart since earnings shows the jump and the sideways consolidation after that. Here the RSI is superimposed on the chart within its own 0-100 scale. It is currently in what should be considered deep undervalued territory and at RSI support /demand. The William's Alligator set of moving averages shows MA compression and so convergence. AMZN's price is now in a tight range with volatility likewise compressed especially compared with that at earnings. In short price is coiled, the potential energy is ready to get converted to kinetic for those who have an understanding of classical physics. All that said, I see AMZN as ready to roll. I will take long trades in shares and options as AMZN is ready to hit the ground running.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by AwesomeAvani