AMZN's Cup and Handle forecasts bullish continuation LONGMZN on a daily chart is in the continuation phase of a cup and handle patter which started In
August 2022. Of the Magnificent 7, it has performed better than the rest with the exception of
NVDA. The cup and handle pattern suggests continuation to the price level of $ 200 which is
similar to the all-time high with 5- 8% added for inflation ( July and November 2021 in the
range of 187 ). On the reliability of a cup and handle pattern and that of a daily chart
compared with a lower time frame I will take long positions in AMZN in both AMZU EFT shares
and long dated call options for AMZN more or less ITM at $ 175.
Magnificentseven
Can the MAGNIFICENT 7 outperform once more?We have seen the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvdia, Meta, Tesla) underperform on this rally since the October Low relative to the rest of the Nasdaq index (NDX). The former can be seen on the left chart while the latter on the right. This goes so far against the aggressive nature of the Magnificent 7 (M7), which have outperformed Nasdaq on all previous rallied by at least +50%.
In fact the M7's first major rally (2016 - 2018) rose by +150% while NDX's by +95%. The second major rally (2019 - 2021) registered +363% for MA7 and 'just' +185% for NDX. If there is any progression between them, we can argue that on M7 the rallies increase by a constant of (0.41) while on NDX by (0.51). Of course the sample isn't big enough for solid conclusions. But there is a Higher Lows trend-line on both that is driving this logarithmic growth. Especially for M7, it has been touched on all corrections.
As a result, a modest target estimate for both could be the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which for M7 is 600.00, while for NDX 27500. Indeed those seem remarkable from the levels we stand currently but the projections can get even more inflated if we follow the 0.41 and 0.51 progressions respectively, which indicate that M7 could rise up to +511% (767) from the recent market bottom, while Nasdaq up to +279% (39700).
In any event, do you think the Magnificent 7 will start to outperform Nasdaq again after November - December's pause?
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