Divergence between ETH and BTC?Are you worried?
ETHUSD
Price action pros and cons
Bull Case:
Trading with in rising channel
Holding above 200sma
Holding above 50sma
Consolidating between $155 and $188\
Lack of strong selling pressure
Bear Case:
Difficulty staying above the 20sma
Lack of strong buying pressure
Stoch and AO still have room to move on the downside
Alt coins considerable weaker than Bitcoin
Correlations:
DATE BTC-LTC BTC-ETH ETH-LTC
1/16 ... 0.73 ... 0.26 ... 0.29
4/16 ... 0.94 ... -0.06 ... -0.06
7/16 ... 0.76 ... 0.06 ... -0.08
10/16 ... 0.67 ... 0.38 ... 0.22
1/17 .... 0.65 ... -0.01 ... -0.01
4/17 ... 0.20 ... 0.27 ... 0.1
7/17 ... 0.38 ... 0.19 ... 0.08
10/17 ... 0.64 ... 0.74 ... 0.65
1/18 ... 0.26 ... 0.13 ... 0.67
4/18 ... 0.77 ... 0.76 ... 0.74
7/18 ... 0.93 ... 0.92 ... 0.90
10/18 ... 0.83 ... 0.74 ... 0.87
1/19 ... 0.90 ... 0.88 ... 0.91
4/20 ... 0.86 ... 0.90 ... 0.82
Several articles have likened the recent lagging performance of altcoins to the situation they experience in Jan 2017. The articles have basically pointed out that traders will soon be selling there BTC to buy the cheaper altcoins, such as LTC and ETH. However, I would like to point out how the crypto environment has changed over the last couple of years. Before 1/17 there was often a negative correlation between BTC and the altcoins, but since 4/18 the correlation between the coins has been greater than 0.75. As a quick reminder: altcoins that approach 1 are closely correlated with Bitcoin, altcoins around 0 are not correlated with Bitcoin, and altcoins that approach -1 are inversely correlated with Bitcoin. This measurement is known as Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient. Thus, in this current highly correlated environment we as traders would be wise to keep our eyes on the leaders to predict future price action.
Comment and Feedback Welcomed!
Mambacoin
OKTA - Breaking out all time new highsSymbol OKTA
setup cup and handle
Upcoming Earnings Jun 05, 2019 (EST)
Horizontal S&R: yes $87
Channel S&R: yes rising trendline
>20 & 50MA S&R: yes bounced 50ma but never really closed below it
>200MA: yes clear up trend
Volume confirmation: no yes
Candle Confirmation: yes yes. gapped down on earning and finished strong
Stoch Divergence: yes turning up
Reg Trendline >85: n/a
Short Float: 6% low float
Entry 91.8
Stop 87.15
Price Target 101.1
Risk / Reward: 1:2
Zacks Rank: 3-Hold 3 Style Scores: F Value | B Growth | F Momentum | F VGM Industry Rank: Bottom 16% (214 out of 256) Industry: Internet - Software and Services
Any feedback is welcomed.
Crypto Weekly Update: (Daily Charts) - XRPCrypto Weekly Update: (Daily Charts)
Symbol Total Vol Chg (24H) Chg (7D) 20/50/200 Support Resistance .
XRP 2.51% -0.78% 15.39% yes/yes/no $0.32 $0.38
Fighting with 200ma. Stoch and vol weak. Volume and price action look like it just getting a little sympathy pop. If i was long it I would get out. Of all the crypto's I analyzed this week XRP is the obvious laggard
Comments Welcomed!
Crypto Weekly Update: (Daily Charts) - ETHCrypto Weekly Update: (Daily Charts)
Symbol Total Vol Chg (24H) Chg (7D) 20/50/200 Support Resistence .
ETH 13.18% 2.11% 18.52% yes/yes/yes $145.00 $200.00
Fighting with 200ma and $170. Stoch and vol show signs of weakening. Honestly, a little disappointed by ETH price action. Arp 3 big negative vol / candlestick is worrisome. As long as price stays above the 200sma I remain bullish.
Crypto Weekly Update: (Daily Charts) - EOSCrypto Weekly Update: (Daily Charts)
Symbol Total Vol Chg (24H) Chg (7D) 20/50/200 Support Resistance .
EOS 4.83% 7.06% 33.89% yes/yes/yes $4.60 $6.80
Though fighting with the top of a rising channel, stoch and volume still bullish. In fact stoch appear to becoming embedded to the upside. However, EOS also currently trading in the middle of the S&R.
BNB double topBNB been trending in an upward channel with bounces occurring when stochastic become oversold in conjunction with a fib entrancement. Could another bounce be about to occur? Bottom trend line could provide support, however, oscillator divergence and volume spike could suggest that there is more room to go down.
Real support is closer to $12.4 - $12.00. At this level have confluence of the 200ma / 0.38 fib entrancement.
Feedback always welcomed!
Mambacoin.net
Play 2dMoon
BCH bottomingWhile most of the major cryptos are still trading in a range, there are still a few that peaking above the Feb 24 highs. LTC flag out as predicted and continues to move higher. BCH also now playing with the Feb 24 high on volume.
A potential setup could be long break of Feb 24 high (158) on volume with stop at 120 and a target of 239. To improve the risk / reward i would use definitive close below the 50 moving average as a stop.
Any thoughts or comments are welcomed!
2dMoon round 2This week'S 2dMoon game involves the following five coins:
Average True Range Percentage ( 90day )
BTCUSD 2.67%
ETHUSD 5.63%
ETCUSD 5.33%
EOSUSD 7.65%
BNBUSD 11.36%
ATRP is used to measure volatility just as the Average True Range (ATR) indicator is. But ATRP displays the indicator as a percentage, to allow for securities trading at different prices per share to be compared. When playing 2dMoon considering Tradingveiw charts and ATRP is not only helpful but fun.
Go to mambacoin.net to play 2dMoon.
XRPUSD Double bottom or going to 0XRP has several interesting formations that are worth discussing.
Triangle / double bottom - bullish
-XRP is trading in the triangle apex with growing buying volume.
-One of my favorite patterns is a double bottom with in a larger double bottom with confirmation from Stochastic and Oscillator divergence.
-There is obvious resistance at .38, .46 and .50 with support at .28.
Triangle / head-and-shoulders - bearish
-Since XRP is trading only at .33 these patterns risk reward are not favorable to trade, since the price targets would less than 0.
BTCUSD - wedge breakout or fakeout?Lately several people have noted the wedge formation that has formed over the last couple of months in BTC. The wedge has some positive traits:
1. A tapering of sell volume followed by some large spikes of buying.
2. Formation is fairly clear on both daily (5 touches) and weekly charts.
3. 6000 seems like an obvious level
While on the surface it seems like a pretty good setup, I remain cautious for the following reasons:
1. Resistance from a clearly downward sloping 200ma.
2. Resistance from a very strong (7 touches) down slopping trend line that starts from Feb 2018.
3. Wedge patterns are historically an unreliable pattern.
4. 3000 seems like an obvious level of support.
Two ways to play this setup:
Aggressive
Entry 3900 with stop at 3600 and a target of 4400 and 5500 and 6000.
Conservative
Wait for price to come back down to 3000, and a double bottom to form. This will allow price to have perhaps break the the down sloping trend line and the 200ma. There could be several good double bottom setups with entries anywhere from 3000-4000 with a target of 6000.