Projected path for Bitcoin based on fibsBitcoins projected path based on Fib expansion levels and previous price action (come back to this one)
Mamo
BTC & ES1! (S&P500 Futures) CorrelationBitcoin and the S&P500 are still showing correlation.
S&P500 Futures (ES1! ticker) has a gap about 3% lower.
I think we need to fill this gap (resulting in a bounce) for BTC to start moving with greater strength to the upside.
The gap is also in the range of the 0.5 Fib retracement (50% of that range).
This could see BTC come back to the lower 80k's region before we completely put in the local bottom.
Bitcoin, Mind The Gap (85,720) The massive move initiated from Trumps tweet Sunday about the Crypto Strategic Reserve has left a massive gap on the Bitcoin Futures Chart. Gaps tend to get fill sooner rather than later, with a high 90% hit rate on gaps getting filled.
We could see a pullback this week to fill the gap with another run up following back above 90k to save the weekly close ... again.
We see confluence with the golden pocket (0.6128 - 0.65 Fib) here on that retracement and also the most amount of volume (VPVR) being traded there.
A final test of the demand below 90k, which if shown as support, will lead us back into the range of 90k to 110k.
Confluence of fibs at 78k - 80k, trendline support and CME gapConfluence of fibs at 78k - 80k, trendline support and CME gap
Bitcoin 4D RSI (38) marks all the major bottoms this bullrun Bitcoin 4D RSI (38) marks all the major bottoms this bullrun
Bitcoins Next Price TargetBitcoins next price target, before some more meaningful resistance, is likely to be in the range of 35.7k - 36.8k.
Their is confluence of fib levels in this range. The 0.382 fib level measured from the all time high to the bear market low, and the golden pocket level (0.618 - 0.65 fib level) measured from the next macro high during the bear market to the bear market low.
We also see a bigger spike on the VPVR (Volume Profile) becoming active at this target. More volume was previously traded at this target level and these areas on the VPVR can act as support or resistance levels. This level is marked out with the white dotted line and it lines up with the 0.382 fib and the 0.618 fib.
We can also do an AB = CD pattern to calculate a measured move. This is useful when a move is made to the upside (in this case) and then corrects back to the 0.5 Fib (corrects 50% of that initial move). The measured move is then the same length as that initial move to the upside but starting at that 0.5 FIb level.
This is shown with the initial move being from 19.6k - 31k (first white dotted line). We then corrected back to 24.8k (50% of the initial move). The measured move from 24.8k (second white dotted line) is the same length as the initial move giving us a target of 36.3k. This is in line with those fib levels and the spike on the VPVR.
When their is confluence among different indicators it increases the likely hood of being a key level.
