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Management

Celer Network (CELR)CELR Analysis 🔹 Overview: CELR is a Layer 2 solution designed to enhance blockchain transaction speed and reduce fees. The token has been trading in a long-term range between 0.009 and 0.033. After reaching the top of this range, the price has started a corrective move to the downside. 🔹 Key Levels: 1️⃣ Support Levels: 🔸 Fibonacci 0.382: 0.020 - 0.019 🔸 Fibonacci 0.5: 0.018 - 0.017 🔸 Fibonacci 0.618: 0.016 - 0.015 🔸 Range Bottom: 0.0105 - 0.009 2️⃣ Resistance Levels: 🔸 Range Top and Weekly Resistance: 0.03038 - 0.03590 🔸 Target 1: 0.068 - 0.081 (Fibonacci 1.618 level) 🔸 Target 2: 0.14 - 0.19 (Fibonacci 2.618 level) 🔹 Volume and Entry Signals: 🔸 Volume Trend: Increased volume at the weekly resistance level is a strong indicator for a breakout move toward higher targets. 🔸 RSI (Relative Strength Index): A breakout above the RSI overbought zone could confirm a strong upward trend. Holding key RSI support levels can act as an early signal for price recovery. 🔹 Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the red resistance zone at 0.033 - 0.035 and holds with strong volume, it is likely to move toward Fibonacci targets at 0.068 - 0.081 and 0.14 - 0.19. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold Fibonacci support levels, we may see further downward movement toward the range bottom at 0.0105 - 0.009. A breakdown below this level could trigger deeper price declines. 🔹 Conclusion: 📊 Entry Zones: Gradual Entries: At support levels 0.020, 0.018, 0.015 Safe Entry: Upon a confirmed breakout above the red resistance with high volume. 📉 Stop-Loss: A break below the 0.015 - 0.013 range signals a potential invalidation of bullish setups. 🔑 Recommendation: Given CELR’s low market cap, this project carries a high investment risk. Proper risk management and position sizing are crucial. 🔍 Confirmation Signals: ✅ Volume increase during breakout above resistance ✅ Positive reaction to Fibonacci support levels ✅ RSI holding support or breaking into overbought zones Final Note: Always manage risk and approach trades with a clear plan. The crypto market’s volatility can be both an opportunity and a challenge. Stay disciplined and aim for consistent, reasonable gains. 🚀
Long
by alizeynali69
2
The 20 Trading Lessons from Top Traders I have read a lot of trading books since the time I started trading my own account and the one book that really helps me out and “I wish I’ve read this one first” – is Market Wizards Interview with Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager. Here’s the list that struck me most that I’d like to share: “Early trading failure is a sign that you are doing something wrong; it is not necessarily a good predictor of ultimate potential failure or success.” – Michael Marcus “If you don’t stay with your winners, you are not going to be able to pay for the losers.” – Michael Marcus “Liquidating positions is the way to achieve mental clarity when one is losing money and confused regarding market decisions.” – Michael Marcus “Being a successful trader also takes courage: the courage to try, the courage to fail, the courage to succeed, and the courage to keep going when the going keeps tough.” – Michael Marcus “Place your stops at a point that, if reached, will reasonably indicate that the trade is wrong, not at a point determined primarily by the maximum dollar amount you are willing to lose per contract. If the meaningful stop point implies an uncomfortably large loss per contract, trade a smaller number of contracts.” – Bruce Kovner “The times when you least want to think about trading – the losing periods – are precisely the times when you need to focus most on trading.” – Richard Dennis “Everybody gets what they want out of the market.” – Ed Seykota “It is a happy circumstance that when nature gives us true burning desires, it also gives us the means to satisfy them.” – Ed Seykota “Frankly, I don’t see markets; I see risks, rewards and money.” – Larry HIte “ I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don’t bet, you can’t win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet” – Larry Hite “In my judgment, all traders are seekers of truth.” – Michael Steinhardt “The more disciplined you can get, the better you are going to do in the market. The more you listen to tips and rumors, the more money you’re likely to lose.” – David Ryan “When the market gets good news and goes down, it means the market is very weak; when it gets bad news and goes up, it means the market is healthy.” – Marty Schwartz “Learn to take losses. The most important thing in making money is not letting your losses get out of hand. Also, don’t increase your position size until you have doubled or tripled your capital. Most people make the mistake of increasing their bets as soon as they start making money. That is a quick way to get wiped out.” – Marty Schwartz “The best traders are the most humble.” – Mark Weinstein “You have to learn how to lose; it is more important than learning how to win.” – Mark Weinstein “Most traders who fail have large egos and can’t admit that they are wrong. Even those who are willing to admit that they are wrong early in their career can’t admit it later on. Also, some traders fail because they are too worried about losing.” – Brian Gelber “You are never really confident in this business, because you can always be wiped out pretty quickly. The way I trade is: Live by the sword, die by the sword. There is always the potential that I could get caught with the big position in a fluke move with the market going the limit against me. On the other hand, there is no doubt in my mind that I could walk into any market in the world and make money.” – Tom Baldwin “Clear thinking, ability to stay focused, and extreme discipline. Discipline is number one: Take a theory and stick with it. But you have to be open-minded enough to switch tracks if you feel that your theory has been proven wrong. You have to be able to say, my method worked for this type of market, but we are not in that type of market anymore.” – Tony Saliba “ How do you judge success? I don’t know. All I know is that all the money in the world isn’t the answer.” Tony Saliba There’s still a lot of golden information that I want to write in here – for ourselves and for everyday reading so as to keep us aligned with our trading goal, but I prefer to encourage you to read the book.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by blue039
2
Trading Psychology: How to trade economic data.As traders, one of the biggest challenges we face is deciding what factors to consider when opening a trade: should we base ourselves on charts, news, macroeconomic data? Many opt for a combination of all these elements, and although all traders go through the same stages, there are different routes to success. The problem with following the crowd is that you end up doing exactly what everyone else is doing. The solution: forge your own path, with all the challenges this entails. Most traders follow the news, analyze the data and then compare them with the charts to try to determine the best entry point. And as if that were not enough, they often seek the opinion of other online traders to confirm their decision. However, consulting the opinions of others can be counterproductive, as they can alter, for better or worse, any personal opinion about the analysis we are conducting. We always tend to think that others know more than us and that if they think differently, it must be for some reason and that we will not be the ones who are right. This is just another example of market psychology and the human tendency to always follow the crowd, regardless of whether it is right or not. I believe that in order to make a living from trading, research must start with yourself, it is essential. And this is necessary to confirm or refute the information with which the market bombards us every minute. You need very intense training and experience to make a living from trading. How many traders trade intraday based on economic calendar data? How many really make money? It’s not worth it. Aware of the multitude of traders who congregate around the platform at key times, market makers have all kinds of tricks. Their favorite; the sweep. Up, down and both sides at the same time. Is a mental stop better? In my case, no. I don’t know how mentally strong you are, but the word says it all: mental-stop. When you expose yourself to letting the mind think, you are entering dangerous psychological terrain and it is very difficult, if you are losing, to close with discipline in each and every operation. Notice that I say in each and every one, because with not respecting a single one and that the price does not return in that operation to the entry point, it will be your elimination as a trader. Therefore, anything that can cause a loss is worth discarding. Greed doesn’t let you, we know that with a data in favor of our position you can make a lot of money but if the data is contrary and also forms a gap, no one will save us. And let’s not talk about if you are leveraged. Being leveraged and having the position run against you is one of the hardest experiences a trader can have. Seeing how your capital is destroyed at forced marches, how losses increase, how you are not able to close because you expect a recovery to do so is dramatic. Realizing that first loss, which at first seemed big to you and now doesn’t seem so much. You would “kill” to lose only that. Then, once you are losing a lot you will no longer be able to close. There comes a time when you assume it and let the losses run as far as they go. You have accepted it. You risk the account in the hope of recovering. This means hours of waiting for the desired recovery. In addition, the market is very rogue. After the fall comes the rebound, usually up to half. You get the idea that it is going to recover completely and instead of closing you hold on to see if the moment comes when you no longer lose anything. The market will make you believe that this is going to happen. You may even average (add more positions) so that the recovery is faster and by the way, if the price goes beyond where you have opened the first operation, you even come out with profits. But, as I say, the market is very cruel and when you start to dream and have hope again, it turns around and falls with even more force if possible, crushing your account and destroying your morale. The result we all know. If the account does not have enough capital to withstand the bleeding, margin call will “come to see us”. And if it does, it will take you days, weeks, months or even years to recover your capital, if you do. Days, weeks, months and even years without liquidity to do what you like the most, trading. In view of this, stoploss, as well as avoiding any situation that makes you lose is more than justified.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CryptoCoBit
COMPOUND INTEREST: The Secret SauceIn this video I cover the topic of "Compound Interest". I go over the WHAT, WHY, WHO and HOW of it. The Importance of Compound Interest in Trading Compound interest is a fundamental concept in the world of finance and trading, offering a powerful mechanism for growing wealth over time. Unlike simple interest, which is calculated only on the principal amount, compound interest is calculated on the principal and also on the accumulated interest of previous periods. This seemingly small difference can significantly impact long-term investment returns. Amplifying Returns In trading, compound interest can exponentially increase the growth of your account. When profits from trading are reinvested, they start to generate additional earnings. For example, if a trader earns a 10% return on a $1,000 investment, they would have $1,100 after the first period. In the next period, the 10% return is calculated on the new total of $1,100, resulting in $1,210, and so on. Over multiple periods, this effect leads to exponential growth, far outstripping the returns from simple interest. Long-Term Benefits The magic of compound interest becomes particularly evident over longer time horizons. The longer an investment is allowed to compound, the greater the potential growth. For traders, this underscores the importance of patience and a long-term perspective. By consistently reinvesting earnings and allowing them to compound, traders can achieve significant wealth accumulation even if individual trade returns are modest. Mitigating Risk Compound interest also highlights the importance of managing risks and minimizing losses. In trading, avoiding substantial losses is crucial because significant drawdowns can severely disrupt the compounding process. A trader who loses a large portion of their capital will need significantly higher returns to recover, which can be challenging. Therefore, prudent risk management and maintaining steady, positive returns are key to leveraging the power of compound interest. Psychology plays a role as well as losing large amounts of your account can negatively affect your decision making. Conclusion Understanding and leveraging compound interest is essential for traders aiming to maximize their long-term returns. By reinvesting profits and allowing them to compound over time, traders can achieve exponential growth in their investments. Coupled with effective risk management, the power of compound interest can transform modest returns into substantial wealth, making it a cornerstone of successful trading strategies.
Education
by Road_2_Funded
1
Risk Management Guide for Beginner TradersHello traders. In this video, I delve into the fundamental principles of risk management tailored specifically for beginner traders entering the world of financial markets. I start by emphasizing the importance of understanding risk and its implications on trading outcomes. By setting clear goals and objectives, traders can align their risk management strategies with their investment aspirations. We explore practical risk management tools such as stop loss orders, which act as a safety net to limit potential losses on trades. Calculating position sizes based on risk tolerance and stop loss levels ensures traders are not overexposed to any single trade. Continuous monitoring and review of trading performance enable adjustments to risk parameters in response to changing market conditions. I also shared some tools that can be used to help make the process of calculating risk efficient and accurate. By mastering these risk management techniques, beginner traders can safeguard their capital and embark on their trading journey with confidence and resilience.
Education
by Pips4Breakfastx
🔔COMP Analysis: Consolidation Phase on 4H Chart⚡️🔍COMP is currently in a consolidation phase on the 4-hour timeframe, forming a sideways trading range. Considering the upward trend behind it, if the long trigger is activated, it would be favorable to open long positions with increased confidence. 📉For short positions, our risk trigger is at 85.37. Given the bullish nature of the market, I do not recommend entering short positions right now. Instead, wait for a breakdown below this level and consider entering short positions with a trigger at 76.92. 📈Regarding volume, COMP has encountered significant volume at the resistance of 95.21, followed by a decrease in volume. This indicates strong resistance that may not easily be breached. If you anticipate a bullish move, consider entering positions earlier than the resistance level, as it may break, and the confirmation candle may not provide timely validation.📊 💥As for indicators and oscillators, there is not much to add as the market is range-bound, and additional information may not be beneficial. 🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
by itsparham96
📈GMX Futures: Potential Long Opportunities🚀🔍In the 4-hour timeframe, GMX exhibits a clear ascending trendline providing consistent support, yet to be breached. It once faked out the trendline, followed by higher lows, demonstrating resilience and breaking the resistance at 59.2 with conviction. 📈Following the break, two significant red candles with substantial volume are observed, serving as potential pullbacks. Should the current candle engulf the previous one, it presents a favorable opportunity to enter a long position in futures. Aim for a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2, ensuring the use of stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses. 💎For those waiting on the sidelines, patience until the trigger at 64.35 is advisable before considering entry. ✅The target for long positions, apart from the risk-to-reward ratio of 2, could be set at 71.66, although current price levels may pose a challenge for immediate attainment. 📉In the event of a reversal at 59.2, a more aggressive entry could be considered at 57.52 in lower timeframes. However, exercise caution and promptly secure profits to avoid substantial losses. 🐢For a more conservative approach, waiting for confirmation at 54.01 before considering short positions is prudent. 🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
by itsparham96
DOGE: Breakout Potential/ Long-Term Investment Considerations Accumulation Range Breakout: BINANCE:DOGEUSDT has successfully broken out of its previous accumulation range over the past few weeks. 🐃This breakout confirms a bullish trend reversal and indicates potential for further price appreciation.🐃 🍣Key Resistance Level and Consolidation: The price has reached a significant resistance level, leading to price consolidation and RSI reset. A successful breakout above this resistance level could propel the price towards the next weekly resistance at 0.3. 📊Volume and RSI Considerations: Adequate market volume is crucial to facilitate a breakout above the current resistance level. RSI approaching the overbought zone would indicate strong momentum and support the bullish case. 📈MID-Term Investment Potential: Based on higher targets, DOG could be a viable investment option if the overall market trend remains favorable. However, investors should exercise caution due to the inherent risks associated with cryptocurrency investments. 🔍📉Reversal and Ranging Scenarios: Rejection at the current resistance level and a breakdown of the RSI trendline could result in a price correction or extended consolidation. 🚫Investors should monitor these factors and adjust their strategies accordingly. 🚫This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before investing.🚫
Long
by solinash1
MINA Analysis: Potential Correction, SELL or BUY Setup?!🍣📈Weekly Channel Breakout and Retest: MINA previously broke out of its weekly channel and reached its target successfully. The recent breakdown below the channel indicates a loss of bullish momentum and potential for a retracement. 🔍📉Corrective Phase and Resistance Levels: If MINA undergoes a correction, it is likely to retrace upwards until reaching its weekly resistance level. A rejection at this resistance level, coinciding with the RSI reaching the daily blue resistance line, could present a selling opportunity. 🚫Early Sell Setup and Risk Management: A sell position could be initiated early at the current price level (below the lower channel line) using the red trigger line as confirmation. Trailing the stop-loss to the lower support zone can help mitigate risk and maximize profit potential. ✅Important Considerations✅ The overall market trend should be taken into account before executing any trades. Confirming the reversal with additional technical indicators and market sentiment analysis is essential. 🚫This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before trading. 🚫
by solinash1
2
Simple management is easier on your mindhi, just wanted to share a couple of thought on management, mainly for new members. in my eyes, there are two categories of management: simple (fixed RR) and more complex (variations of trailing). Both have positive and negative sides. In my eyes, as a very very subjective opinion, simple fixed RR system will be better for most people. Or ok, I'll not speak for most, but for me definitely. Why so: incredible simplicity, cause you just need to test to see how much your trades usually run + create b.e. rule, and you're good to go 3-5RR are usually best for fixed RR systems do not underrestimate the energy that goes into making decisions while managing and waiting, watching for the trade to develop into higher RR's. With fixed you don't have this - you just go b.e. and then you can close the terminal, and go away if needed. However yes, advanced experienced consistent traders would trail almost with no extra emotions, cause it's usually more mechanical. With that said, for many relatevely new traders, trailing could be extra emotional. with fixed, you'll have less chances to become emotional, because of many reasons, for me personally fixed RR system gives a sense of accomplishment on every trade, while with managing I'm constantly thinking how can I manage longer better etc. So I'm rarely satisfied when I'm getting stopped out on trail, cause I'm still "stopped out", while on fixed I have a sense of good work done. I know it's weird, but it's personal experience I could continue, but I guess the general guideline is there. My main message is that TP can be a very simple fixed 3 or 4RR and that would be more than enough and easier for most people's mind have a good weekend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Yelli_trades
1
24-01-30 update AUDUSD Long Entry: Trade Management 24-01-30 update AUDUSD Long Entry Entry Price: 0.65700 Stop Loss Price : 0.65300 / 40 Pips Take Profit: 0.66300 / 60 Pips Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5 Trade Grade: b + -Tagged into trade at same price levels above * Trade Management* A. Risk entry (pending order) B. Take Profit at levels above B2: I might scale the risk off if the market trends in the direction of the trade. Cut losses quickly and let the winners ride is a big part of my trading style If anyone wants to know when I reduce risk please message me
Long
by Trader_Miles
Bajaj Finance - Management Quality & Economic MoatNSE:BAJFINANCE Bajaj Finance Ltd, one of India's largest and most diversified Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs), has exhibited robust management quality and developed a significant economic moat in the financial services sector. Management Quality: Strategic Growth: Bajaj Finance Ltd has shown a consistent focus on strategic growth and resilience, particularly evident during the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the disruptions caused by the pandemic, the company maintained a nuanced strategy on acquisition and underwriting across its businesses. This adaptability reflects strong managerial foresight and capability. Financial Performance: In FY2022, Bajaj Finance recorded a 29% growth in assets under management (AUM) and a 59% growth in profit after tax on a consolidated basis. The company managed to achieve this impressive growth despite disruptions in business and elevated credit costs. Capital Adequacy and Risk Management: Bajaj Finance remains well-capitalized with a capital-to-risk weighted asset ratio (CRAR) of 27.22% as of March 31, 2022. This is among the best for large NBFCs in India. The company's robust risk management practices have resulted in a strong portfolio quality, with Gross NPA at 1.60% and Net NPA at 0.68%, among the lowest in the industry. Operational Efficiency: The company's operational efficiency is highlighted by its diverse customer base, digital transformation, and omnichannel strategy. This approach has enhanced customer experience and contributed to business growth. Economic Moat: Market Position and Sectoral Importance: As an NBFC, Bajaj Finance has become an integral part of India's financial sector. Its assets, worth more than ₹54 lakh crore as of March 31, 2021, constitute about 25% of the balance sheet size of the banking sector. Rapid Asset Growth: Over the last five years, NBFCs' assets have grown at a cumulative average growth rate of 17.9%, with Bajaj Finance being a key contributor. Customer Expansion: Bajaj Finance's customer franchise grew significantly, adding 2.21 million new customers in Q4FY22 alone. This growth in customer base is a testament to the company's strong market penetration and customer retention strategies. Diversification and Innovation: The company has diversified its product offerings and continued to innovate, leveraging its understanding of regional dynamics and customer preferences. This diversification has enabled it to tap into various market segments effectively. Strengths and Weaknesses: Strengths: High growth rates anticipated by analysts in the coming years. High profitability due to outperforming net margins. Frequent upward revisions of sales forecasts. Strong analyst recommendations and upwardly revised price targets. Weaknesses: High valuations in earnings multiples. High valuation levels compared to the size of its balance sheet. Limited generosity in shareholder compensation. Conclusion In summary, Bajaj Finance Ltd demonstrates strong management quality characterized by strategic growth initiatives, robust financial performance, and effective risk management. Its economic moat is underpinned by its significant market position, rapid asset growth, customer expansion, and product diversification. The company's strengths in maintaining high profitability and adapting to market changes are counterbalanced by concerns about its high valuation levels and shareholder compensation policies.
NSE:BAJFINANCELong
by amitlall_79
ALTO's Comprehensive Trajectories: AI-powered InsightsS taying informed is a key to making well-considered decisions. Today, I revisit ALTO, shedding light on its current state, potential scenarios, and the nuanced interplay of technical analytics. A few weeks ago, I outlined why ALTO is considered a risky asset, and in a subsequent update, I signaled a near-term rally in the stock market, impacting ALTO's trajectory. Both perspectives remain relevant today. A s we assess the broader market, stocks may either sustain the rally briefly or consolidate around current levels. The clarity lies in the immediate market reaction next Monday, November 20. A continuation signals further upside, while a bearish pullback indicates consolidation. Even in the case of a dump, the potential for subsequent continuation exists, but it prompts consideration of safer target prices. ALTO 's appeal lies in its allure to traders seeking risk and potential profit. In the event of a continued rally, investors may find the courage to engage with this high-risk, high-reward asset. Conversely, if general stocks consolidate, sentiment could shift, prompting a move from ALTO to less risky stocks, casting a bearish shadow on ALTO. T urning to technical analytics, our Deep Neural Network-based AI, employing Support Vector Machines, predicted a support level of around 1.85. This prediction held true as ALTO bounced from this level on November 20. This level might serve as the target for a potential short position, succeeding the current long position. T he long position's target stands around 2.73, identified as a resistance level by our AI. In a sustained rally, this resistance could be breached, setting the stage for the next target price along the falling resistance on the purple line. As depicted in the chart, the timing of the rally significantly influences target price estimation. Rapid rallies elevate the probability of higher target prices, while extended consolidation brings them closer, possibly intersecting with the two resistances in August. N avigating this landscape, it's crucial to recognize ALTO's risk profile. The 2.73 resistance is formidable, and a bearish event could trigger a retreat to the support level. Below the support, free fall becomes a possibility, underscoring the importance of placing a stop loss, at least below this level. W hile near-term crash signs are not evident, it's essential to acknowledge ALTO's long-term bearish potential. Please note that this analysis serves educational purposes and is not financial advice. Best regards, Ely
NASDAQ:ALTOLong
by Elysian_Mind
Revisiting Automatic Access Management API for VendorsThis video explains how to automate access management for vendors who build and sell invite only scripts based on subscription or one time fee. I have made videos about this earlier as well. But, due to high demand, I have been asked to make this video again. 🎲 Tools Required Replit - Used for hosting the service that automates access management Postman - To test the services hosted 🎲 Prerequisites User should have premium tradingview account and be able to publish invite only scripts by following the house rules. User should disable 2FA on their account in order to allow programs to login remotely and manage access. 🎲 Steps All the steps are also mentioned in the githup repository: github.com 🎯 Run the access management service Fork the replit repository: replit.com Update Environment Variables tvusername and tvpassword Run the repl 🎯 Use postman to test the service methods Detailed explanation of the API calls are present in the github link provided above. The service is capable of doing following things. Check if the given tradingview username is valid or not Get the access details of given user to list of scripts identified by pub id. Delete the access to given user to list of scripts identified by pub id. Provide/Extend access to given user to list of scripts identified by pub id for specific duration. 🎲 Notes Please follow house rules while publishing and selling subscriptions to invite only scripts. Do not commercialize these API calls or do not turn it into product. The mechanism is built on backend calls that are not officially supported by tradingview. While tradingview is tolerant on individual use, any malicious activity may force them to shut this down for everyone.
Education
by Trendoscope
17
Risk Management vs. Time ManagementHey! Have you been spending day thinking about mistakes you made and things you didn't do? Investors are knowingly comparing an exchanges to a casino. A gambler, losing, does not get up from the gambling table in the hope of winning back. He believes that the likelihood of winning increases with every lost bet. This phenomenon, called player mistake, is common among investors. The pioneers of the theory of behaviour finance Hersh Shifrin and Meyer Statman showed in 1985 that investors intuitively misjudge the likelihood of repeating random results - they hold unprofitable positions too long, hoping for a return in prices, and close profitable positions too quickly, fearing that the movement will end. The assertion that the market cannot fall for many sessions in a row is untenable. Short-term changes in asset prices are mostly random, notes analyst and author of several books on behaviour finance, James Montier, in his article Global equity strategy, gamblers fallacy. Tails does not become more probable after a series of heads, the coin has no memory - in the same way, the chances of success do not increase after a series of failures. The major problem in the trading when we trying to recoup from losses. Many people make this mistake over and over again. The reason of this mistake is the unwillingness to accept and calculate affordable losses and come to terms with the result, the wrong internal setting that you must end every trade and every trading session with a profit. But not every trade will be profitable. How can I avoid this mistake? 1. After loss trade, tell yourself: "Stop, I won't trade now, I will pause." 2. Analyze the failed trade and write it down. Thus, you will allow yourself to "cool down" and more intelligently approach the situation on the market. There will always be opportunities, don't be afraid to miss out on any movement and profits. 3. Calmly develop a new trading plan based on market changes. If according to the trading plan you need to enter, then enter and earn. Do not rush to enter the market immediately, because it is easy to enter, but it is difficult to exit, since it is no longer possible to change the initial price at which you entered. 4. Make sure you following your risk management and always trade with possibility to lose. Stay safe and good luck!
GEMINI:BTCUSDEducation
by ArShevelev
69
Reverse Psychology... TraderTrading in Reverse Psychology. 1. Base your trading strategy on waiting for patterns or roadmaps to develop before taking action (trades). 2. Maintain a risk-reward ratio of no less than 1:2 for favorable results, aiming for 1:3 or higher whenever possible. 3. Define your trading approach—scalper, day trader, swing trader, or investor—and select specific assets and timeframes. Avoid trading impulsively and diversify your choices. 4. When allocating margins, refrain from concentrating all your resources in a single trade; distribute investments to manage risk effectively. 5. Trading may seem like gambling but it is not. Day traders can secure long-term victories by practicing effective risk management and reverse psychology techniques.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by lukiman
3 Types of Stop LossesToday’s topic is going to be on three types of stop losses . This is a very critical topic because stop losses come under the category of risk management. Risk management is such a pivotal, important and critical topic. Why? Because professional traders and investors, the first thing that they always do and constantly think about before they get into a trade or investment is not how much profit they’re going to make, it’s how much they can afford to lose. The only control that you have when you enter into a trade and you’re in the trade is the risk factor because most of us will not have the capital power to control that trade. It’s a collective pool of people’s thoughts and a lot of other factors that come in which then determines how the price moves in the market, especially how smart money enters the market actually. So in light of all of that, the real power that you have, the real control that you have is your risk management. How much you can afford to lose. In terms of that, we’re going to be looking at the three types of stop losses and how to stop your loss when the market does something which is not favourable to you and not in line with the direction of the trade that you are taking on. The first type is what we call the technical stop . This is the one most people will be familiar with. That’s where all your different kinds of stop losses come under: moving averages, channels, trend lines and so forth. All these are summarised under technical stop losses. Even if you use tier based stop losses, they come under technical stop losses. The second one is called a money stop . A money stop is basically one where you write in your rules, and this is how you execute a trade as well is that you say, for example, you enter a trade and it is going well in profit. You tell yourself to trail your stop loss to break even as soon as the trade is 3% in profit. You don’t care what the moving averages are or where the price pattern is whatsoever, you would just move your stop loss to break even. So that is purely based on money. That is called a money stop because the stop loss is adjusted according to your profits or your losses. Usually it’s to your profits – that’s when you trail and adjust your stop loss. The final one is the time stop . As you’ve already guessed, the time stop is based on time. Especially for intra-day trading it’s very important because you know certain times of the day volume is really high and other times of the day volume starts to dry up. So especially if you want to capture a certain percentage of move, you want to capture it before a certain time and you usually know that after 5pm or 6pm the volume usually dries up. Price movement is not really that much especially towards 9pm. So you can have a rule saying, for example, at 5pm or 6pm you’ll look at exiting a trade if it’s not reached an objective. If you’re a swing trader you start saying things like you know if it’s consolidating for 10-15 days in a row I will possibly exit out of the trade. So all that is basically based on time. Let me ask you a question. Out of all the three stops I’ve talked about: technical, money and time, what do you think is the strongest stop of them all? I think, if my guess is right as we have coached thousands of traders, most of them usually tell me it’s either the technical or the money stop. In fact, let me tell you Traders, the weakest one of them all is the money stop because there’s no basis for it. It’s just based on money and just trailing it. The strongest is the time stop because everything is determined on time and you’re time bound in everything that you do. If you look at daily activities: waking up, going to work, having meals, going to bed – your life is time bound. Here’s the final most critical point. If you actually want to make your risk management really strong, the trick is not to put emphasis on either one of them according to strength, but to make them sync with each other so that they can then adapt to market conditions. It’s basically a confluence of the types of stop losses that can help you to generate the rules which can adapt to market conditions. For example, when you start out if you put in your initial stop loss in a technical place and as time then moves by then you would then get more aggressive with your stop loss and as it’s nearing towards exit, if you’ve reached a certain profit potential as the market price is still hovering around, losing momentum, then you would then start to go into money stop. Money stop is especially useful if you’re in swing trading. For example, when we took the DOW Jones trade and we took that 2,000 point move on a mismatched strategy when it had already done 80% of the move we used a money stop because we don’t want to give back all that profit back to the market. So that’s when we start to us a money stop and a combination of time stop, initially starting with a technical. So that’s how you do it. Do have a good think about this because this is so critical Traders. If there’s only one thing you have total control of, it’s your stop loss, it’s your risk management. So contemplate this, revisit your strategy rules and see how you can optimise that for maximum performance of your strategy. I believe that you have really enjoyed this topic and have some amazing value from this. Until the next time, as we always say, stay disciplined, follow your trading plan and keep trading like a master .
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by masterthemarkets2010