Manipulation
SELL EURNZDBeautiful drop from EURNZD. Price has broken the trendline, the retest is expected shortly above 1.702 area before a big drop. Market makers are looking to short this bad boy. Entry at 1.70180 Stop loss at 1.7064 and our targets are 1.6720. Use proper money management. Good luck to you all.
BTC/USDT SHORT...BITBAY:BTCUSDT
Like I already told you. DONT LAUGH AT ME...
I mentioned that I WILL NOT DO ANYTHING :) and you laughed at me. But it is okay.
Hope we will do better now and help each other and send me a more informative criticism not just bullsh^t comments.
I am here to share these trades
I have been telling you not to do anything unless we are close to that 30K wall. We need to hold that wall and or we will fall if we don't.
The only mistake i did with you guys is I DID NOT let you make aware that we will face a huge fight of FUDs and Official news even tho it is old.
This is not Bear Market (prolonged) this is just place we need to retrace from a raging heights from 10K to 30K to 40K back to 30K to 50K to 64K and we are here.
Still fvvck the government. Let's not say things about race. Government are one and their goal is to control us. Real Democracy is Decentralized. This is the time we can own something finally don't sell your BTC to the whales and bad whales. They will really buy it.
my techanalysis is still the same for the last week. I am the only consistent. I wont change. we are still shorting this then take profit to safe coins then move those short profits at buying more good project coins...
HODL wallet I have is...
$LTC $BTC $ETH $ADA $LINK $DOT $BNB
The Liquidity GrabI'm going to do my best here at explaining the basics around a liquidity grab (some times called a stop hunt), why it happens and how it works (ignore the chart I'm using, I'm not saying this is a manipulated move just showing you an example of how it works)
I often refer to this in my playbook as an STL "Sweep The Legs" coupled with a picture of Johnny Lawrence from the karate kid lol
First you need to understand that Big money plays a different game to retail.
When you want to place a buy order at a specific price point, lets say your buying a thousands dollars worth of BTC @ $30,000, you can put an order in and boom it gets hit your filled and your ready to go to the moon.
Now imagine some bigger traders who play with a lot more money than you, lets say there order is more like a billion dollars.
Well in order for them to fill there position, there needs to be a large amount of selling at that level other wise they may only get a small piece filled...... theeeeeen of course the price moves away and your priced out of the market (imagine putting your $1000 order in, only getting $10 of it filled and then having the price moon....yeah it would suck)
They do not want to chase candles or buy up the order book, thats just not good business, and if you have to do that in order to get your orders filled thats a good indication that there is already liquidity issues within this market and you may have a similar problem trying to cover of your position later on.
So these players some times need to hunt down and find or even artificially create liquidity pools for them to take a big bite at like pigs at the trough.
One of the easiest ways to do that is to look for the most obvious levels of support with in a trend of sideways channel and look at the buying thats happening on that level.
If we dont get an instant recovery or bounce at that level it can normally indicate price being trapped or held down in order to encourage more retail to "buy the dip" or buy on support as these are some of the most basic tools and strategies taught to retail traders.
Now one thing to remember when all of these traders/investors are in there positions from this level, there will be a large number of these traders protecting capital with stop losses, normally under the level they where buying at.
This now created a liquidity pool...... You see every stop loss on a BUY order, becomes a SELL order, and with so many BUY orders created and entered at a specific level that means the stop loss orders are stacking more and more on top.
Think about it like this, if we hit 30k and someone buys $1m worth, that means there is possibly a SELL order (via a stop loss) of roughly 1m under that level.... now we hit that 30k level again, and someone buys some more, maybe another $1m worth... well now there is roughly $2m worth of SELL orders in that stop loss zone. Hit that 30k super sweet safe support level 5 or 6 times and all the sudden you could have 8-10m worth of SELL orders at a single price point below support.
Now if I wanted to enter this market long and I had 10m order to fill, it would make sense for me to run the price down to clip these stop losses creating a large amount of selling straight into my pig of a buy order.
Once my orders filled I can stop holding the price down and let the price begin to organically rise again, this often creates fomo for all the retailers who just got knocked out of there trades from "tight stop losses" to chase the market back in only adding to the momentum and mark up of my position.
The same thing can happen in vice versa when they are covering or exiting a position as well, and its often followed by a square up to reduce or remove the risk taken on to manipulate the price during there accumulation or distribution of there order, more specially into a short position as they take on more exposure to the underlying asset to manipulate the price, in a long there exposure is fiat and there isnt any need to cover. (ill explain square up in detail next time)
This is often what is referred to as a liquidity grab and its how big players enter the market, they do not chuck a limit order in on Binance and hope for the best...
I hope that made sense and added some value, but if you have any questions please chuck them below
GBPUSD Mid Term Directional Bias Following Consolidation
Expection : After manipulating major area of retail support, I believe that GBPUSD will reverse and target the areas of Equal Highs that has been left behind on top. Only if the level of Equal Highs on top is reached I will then be looking for shorting opportunity.
Supply&Demand Perspective : Area of strong demand which the market hasn't mitigated before is now approached. This hints towards a reversal. Beware, there needs to be shift of direction from bearish to bullish in Lower time frames to validify the Demand Zone. If correct conditions for buys are justified on Lower time frame then I will enter.
Fundemental Basis : Wednesday High impact GBP CPI news and USD FOMC Statement is going to provide gush of liquidity and major runs to the upside can be looked for. This is because USD fundamentals are dovish Long term. Optimistic GBP news as expectations are better for the CPI numbers also makes it likely to aid bullish run GBPUSD in the upcoming week or so.
Legal Risk Disclosure ❗❗
Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors.
The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
BTC PATH TO SUCCESS? - CHECK THIS!How's it going, Alkalites! Today we bring you good news, as BTC crossed the $40k psychological area!
Regarding technicals, we can see that Bitcoin is fighting against retail oscillators sentiment, respecting our last psychological levels. We could expect some struggle with the 4H 200 EMA, if BTC closes above it, we could see some bearish relief.
Bitcoin fundamentals have played a big role in these green numbers. Elon Musk has gradually adjusted his sentiment from bearish to slightly bullish, and the last news about BTC being accepted by Tesla again just triggered some nice profits.
BTC.D has shown some strength in the last rally, which means that it is outperforming Altcoins. If it crosses the 50% psychological area, we may see a new cycle starting, which could be the greatest buying scenario for alternative projects.
In this scenario, we have released our exposure, as we were protecting it against bearish fundamental sentiment, which is vanishing. We advise our members to do it gently to avoid FOMOing into volatility. Alkaline Crypto will be releasing analysis and trade ideas about our new Altcoin Portfolio soon.
Wishing you a wonderful week, Alkalites!
BTC/USDT FUD vs NEWS = DIP... WHY? (ill explain)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
MAJOR HAPPENINGS FOR THIS WEEK (so far)
We received the head and shoulders that we thought will be the breakout to a bull cycle monthly back to bull season.
We did not make it we dip instead ABCDE Elliot contraction wave.
Then FUD came in how FBI tracked the wallets and crack the words
(STUP1D AF guys i've been in the crypto since 2013 no one did ever crack a wallet *proof go to deep web scammers are there saying they can hack wallets and shit but won't and they will say they can't; you are just that naïve that time and I as well got scammed back then for it 2014)
El Salvador - The #BitcoinLaw has been approved by a supermajority in the Salvadoran Congress.
I AM EXPECTING THIS
New FUD coming in; New personality will just emerge and say shit about Bitcoin.
We will not or may not break 36K that's why I am still bearish.
We will go back to 30K and why 30k is significant now? it is because it is where the market dump (zoom out check the Elon FUD)
I am still looking at the 24K. Why? because of the hype pump from 2000-3000 price BTC to upwards.
I cannot and will not be able to see things but these are all just Psyche.
One TOOL you need and for you sure that will work = PATIENCE...
I will never say on my charts to continue accumulating. But what I can only say is Continue being in the chart and continue playing with it.
You will learn by going through this hard times 1 month 2 months of pain and sorrow to Anger and then you would know something is coming HOPE after a long long depression...
I've been trading since 64K dump and failed to sell that point but sold at 56K when it traced back and never turn my back. you still won.
SO WHAT WE ARE NOW HAVING IS...
Weekends = Blood on the streets.
Dagger Hours are very critical. Watch out those VOL that will not support the 4HR and down 1HR 30min and 15min CHECK also the MA make sure to have 20 50 150 200
never let 200 and 50 Cross = Death cross.
TWITTER INTERESTING CHARTS - twitter.com = S2F Chart - Blackswan Momentum or pattern.
We are not in Bull nor Bear Market, we are in Elon MarketLet's thank another billionnaire for ruining our 21th Century's hope of Freedom !
Just like every Prophet, Satoshi Nakamoto gave us a chance to change our world in a better place, he vanished but his work stood.
People started to fight eachother to impose their vision of BTC. It was all about greed :
We got a useless copy of BTC : the LTC, then Bitconnect, then others useles copies, BCH, BSV...
We got altcoins,
We got shitcoin, many shitcoin.
Then we got leverage, people started being ultra greedy.
Then we got meme coins that people respect more than altcoins.
Finally a billionnaire came, and everybody listened to him blindly , it was the beginning of the end !
Satoshi Nakamoto wanted to give us freedom, but people prefered lambos, yacht, drugs, and women. At the end of the journey, all they got is liquidation, congratulation sheeps ! Karma always win !
Let me know your vision of the future of crypto !
CADJPY, Long Opportunity - 1:5 and 1:14 availableGood afternoon ladies & gents,
After spending 3 days in consolidation, accumulating and collecting orders. CJ is now ready to displace higher to take out the monthly equal highs where a large pool of liquidity lies around the 91.500-92.000 level.
I'm looking for price to trade back down into the H1 Bullish Orderblock, where I'll be looking for a long.
Initial target is the high of the H4 range, secondary target will be the Monthly Equal Highs.
Let's do this.
- AmplaFX
USDCHF Long, 1:6 availableGood morning ladies & gents,
I believe USDCHF is ready for its bullish cycle going up, although there are many significant targets to the upside, I will trade this pair in chunks as its better for capital efficiency.
After moving out of its low yesterday, USDCHF is sat in Level 1 Long.
Price has traded down into the H1 Mitigation Block which overlays with the M30 Bullish Orderblock, from here I'm anticipating a lower timeframe break of market structure to the upside, followed by a retest where I'll be looking to take it long with these 3 objectives above as my targets.
Let's see how it plays out!
- AmplaFX
Blatant markedmanipulation by norwegian newspaper FinansavisenThis stock recieved a unnatural "pump" after the norwegian newspaper Finansavisen published a "10x bull case" regarding this stock.
Public policy announcements as a market manipulation toolDear fellow investors,
As you have all noticed, the latest announcements from the CCP have had a material adverse impact on the price of BTC. However, let us all remember that the CCP has made similar announcements regularly in the past 8 years and that those have never been been followed by any form of implementation whatsoever. In fact, most Chinese retail traders, miners and crypto finance firms are currently consolidating their positions or entering into long transactions.
One can only question the regularity of the CCP's announcements regarding an incoming BTC ban:
- Once in a while, when the BTC price is high, the CCP announces a BTC ban and Chinese whales conveniently happen to sell whole chunks of BTC at the very same moment;
- BTC price plunges as a result of the CCP's announcements;
- The Chinese whales buy BTC back at a discount;
- The circus repeats itself.
This well-rounded process seems to be nothing more that a very easy way for CCP to transfer money from foreign investors' pockets to Chinese investors' pockets. One could almost say that false public policy announcements spread as fast as Covid-19 did.
Now, you know what happens next: buy the dip... and HODL!
USD/CAD manipulation shortwe all know markets tend to follow liquidity , situations like this happen much often on every time frame , mostly on key levels such as s/r levels , they could be small as 10-20 pips on small timeframes , but when we are looking at these major timeframes weekly and monthly , we should smell something fishy , I've noticed every idea regarding USD/CAD are long on this pair , now if a big bank , institution hedge fund etc... were to long this pair they would get a good price with all these long orders just sitting around?for sure no, they would receive the worst price, now in order to get filled in the best price they would have to get rid of those longs to open the road for their ''huge' orders , now since we are on a weekly TF most likely we have some big swingers on this pair and lets say on average they would place a 1:7 risk reward targeting the swing high , that would make their stoploss around 400 pips , now imagine of every 1 short there are 10 longs so we have majority of stops are at a -400 pip level , plus having those ''aggressive'' longs with a 600-800 pip stop loss , in my opinion we are most likely going to witness something close to the 2015 EUR/CHF situation where price flashed 2000 pips in a couple of minutes even those with stop losses didnt get triggered , if i were you i would stay away from this pair for a while cause if a sudden situation was to happen even your stoploss wouldn't save you.
BTC - The #@$*&@! is Over (We Hope) - So What is Next?Summary : Bitcoin is currently painting a short term bear flag within a long term bull flag. The correction of the past few weeks led Bitcoin to a strong support with the possibility of a bullish breakout, but no matter the direction of breakout, I envision some consolidation between the 30k and 40k ranges first as this is a very good opportunity for MM/whales to accumulate more Bitcoin before the next leg up. If we do see another prolonged accumulation, watch for occasional bullish breakouts, the well-timed fud in the news, and small corrections to shake off paper hands so they can accumulate more Bitcoin. This is invalidated if we close below 35k, which could lead to deeper corrections.
Details : Bitcoin is trending down in the final leg of a corrective five-wave pattern started in March. On a smaller timeframe it is painting a 2 week long series of corrections-turned-bull flag; and we are looking for Bitcoin to break above the resistance at the top of the channel but until it does expect it to continue down this flag.
Given that 38k is forming a short term floor in this range, the next drop down could bounce from there towards a potential bullish breakout from the bull flag. I don't envision a strong breakout in either direction and strongly suspect that no matter how it breaks, we'll see consolidation between one of two ranges. I provided a bearish and bullish scenario, each with a ~10% range of volatility to move within before it's next big move, probably not before June.
When will we leave the 30k-40k range? Bitcoin could consolidate here for anywhere from 1 week to several months. I say 1 week because historically the 4th week of the month, in this cycle, is when Bitcoin breaks bullish. I also say it could be longer because consolidating here is a very good buying opportunity that I don't expect MM to give up quickly. That said, there is a small possibility of an early bullish breakout over 50k this week, due to entering an aggressive correction a little earlier in May accelerating the monthly cycle and wiping some stagnation from the Bitcoin price actions.
What to watch for? First look for a breakout and confirmation from this bull flag. Once we break into one of the two ranges, look for the consolidation pattern to firm up before entering trades. Keep an eye on the 45k and 35k lines because breaking past either will indicate strong sentiment in that particular direction.
Note that long term I'm still bullish but never, ever rule out the possibility of deeper corrections or drops . While I think this is only a mid-cycle correction and dump, with the possibility of a short term bear cycle in the larger bull market, always trade safely. If you can't bring yourself to set a daily rolling stoploss, then once every few days/weekly set a stoploss at the high price from the week before.