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Manipulation

BTC - The #@$*&@! is Over (We Hope) - So What is Next?Summary : Bitcoin is currently painting a short term bear flag within a long term bull flag. The correction of the past few weeks led Bitcoin to a strong support with the possibility of a bullish breakout, but no matter the direction of breakout, I envision some consolidation between the 30k and 40k ranges first as this is a very good opportunity for MM/whales to accumulate more Bitcoin before the next leg up. If we do see another prolonged accumulation, watch for occasional bullish breakouts, the well-timed fud in the news, and small corrections to shake off paper hands so they can accumulate more Bitcoin. This is invalidated if we close below 35k, which could lead to deeper corrections. Details : Bitcoin is trending down in the final leg of a corrective five-wave pattern started in March. On a smaller timeframe it is painting a 2 week long series of corrections-turned-bull flag; and we are looking for Bitcoin to break above the resistance at the top of the channel but until it does expect it to continue down this flag. Given that 38k is forming a short term floor in this range, the next drop down could bounce from there towards a potential bullish breakout from the bull flag. I don't envision a strong breakout in either direction and strongly suspect that no matter how it breaks, we'll see consolidation between one of two ranges. I provided a bearish and bullish scenario, each with a ~10% range of volatility to move within before it's next big move, probably not before June. When will we leave the 30k-40k range? Bitcoin could consolidate here for anywhere from 1 week to several months. I say 1 week because historically the 4th week of the month, in this cycle, is when Bitcoin breaks bullish. I also say it could be longer because consolidating here is a very good buying opportunity that I don't expect MM to give up quickly. That said, there is a small possibility of an early bullish breakout over 50k this week, due to entering an aggressive correction a little earlier in May accelerating the monthly cycle and wiping some stagnation from the Bitcoin price actions. What to watch for? First look for a breakout and confirmation from this bull flag. Once we break into one of the two ranges, look for the consolidation pattern to firm up before entering trades. Keep an eye on the 45k and 35k lines because breaking past either will indicate strong sentiment in that particular direction. Note that long term I'm still bullish but never, ever rule out the possibility of deeper corrections or drops . While I think this is only a mid-cycle correction and dump, with the possibility of a short term bear cycle in the larger bull market, always trade safely. If you can't bring yourself to set a daily rolling stoploss, then once every few days/weekly set a stoploss at the high price from the week before.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by 1BigPapi
BITCOIN PRICE REVERSAL INCOMINGGood morning, Alkalites! After the volatility faced because of Elon Musk speculation, we will show you our general analysis of the market. Fear and Greed index is displaying 20% Fear right now. One of the lowest sentiment results recorded in the current bull run. Algorithmic and retail trading induced by market sentiment is slowly dumping Bitcoin prices. So we analysed order books looking for long-term orders. If the current sentiment continues, Bitcoin price should restart the previous trend in the long-term buy area between 43k and 38k. If not, we could see prices going further down. As stated yesterday in our channel, CryptoAlkaline will do its best to protect our positions with hedging techniques if needed. See you in our CryptoAlkaline Channel in Telegram!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoAlkaline
2
BTC - Possible Recovery or Breakdown TargetsQuick Notes : I am providing potential bullish and bearish targets for the next 24-48 hours. Closing at or above bullish recovery targets today will signal the possibility of a mid-cycle correction and continuation of the bull market. Failure to close at or above the bullish targets will lend weight to the possibility of a bear cycle or full-on bear market starting. If the price breaks down further, I provided the next few targets/support zones but will be surprised if it closes below 40k in a bearish scenario. ------ What a rollercoaster ride. First let me say that this is a stressful time- everyone is wondering "is the bull cycle over?" "is this a mid cycle slump?" "is Elon to blame?" ... the answer to all of that is, in my opinion,"maybe... but it doesn't matter." We have to trade on the price action/charts at the end of the day. And right now the charts are presenting two possibilities, or directions from here: >> Scenario 1- Bullish Recovery: I posted two targets that we need to close on to consider Bitcoin in a recovery mode. First is the 20/21w Bull Cycle MA; second is the support zone we blew past in our drop on the 12th around 52.8-53k. Failure to recapture these targets make the possibility of a bear cycle or bear market much more likely. The first task is to recapture the 20/21w Bull Cycle supports (bull recovery target 1).Historically these are retested but respected in a bull market. Interesting was seeing the daily candle close -exactly- at the 20w SMA, before continuing to drop, retest the 200 EMA and bounce. In earlier cycles we saw a lot of wicks under the 20/21w Bull Cycle MAs, but only a single instance with the daily closing under it, in 2013. The fact that we closed yesterday exactly at the 20w SMA indicates whales/MM may respect this support. Bottom Line for a Possible Bull Recovery: Today is the real test- whales/MM don't want to buy into retail weakness if this is a mid-cycle correction, because they want to accumulate for the next leg of the bull market. So if we see the price stabilize over those MA, and we see healthy outflows, that will signal to me that the bull market is simply preparing for the next leg up. >> Scenario 2- Bearish Breakdown: I posted the next target if the price continues to breakdown. Our next support is between 38-40k. This is where we broke out after the February "Tesla/Elon candle." It is also the next strongest support zone. Today I could see possibly wicking to that range and bouncing back, but failure to find support will see continued drops with 32-36k as our strongest support of this cycle and likely the lowest practical target for a correction or a bear cycle (in my opinion). Given that we succesfully tested the 200 MA, we may see a double bottom there and bounce back to retest the 20/21w MAs, but with the possibility of rejecting there and dropping again. In any case be prepared for further drops if we close the day under the 20/21w MAs, and if we drop below 40k, look for support around 36k and lower at 32k. Bottom Line for Possible Bearish Breakdown: The lower we go, or if we close below the 20/21w MAs, or if we break under the 200 MA, the odds of a bear market increase dramatically. -- Other Notes : First a little context, because I think this important- When Elon tweeted the other day, that wasn't the primary reason for the dump. In fact I would consider it less of a trigger, and more of something an insider knew of, and took advantage of; let me explain- Unknown to a lot of traders is that hours before his tweet, someone moved ~20,000 Bitcoins to exchanges and started to quietly nudge the price down. This was the largest single inflow of Bitcoins to exchanges in over 3 years. That is a LOT of Bitcoin. You can observe a gentle downtrend after those coins hit the exchanges, but interestingly BTC price actually appears to start recovering in the hour after Elon tweets, before an unexpected and very aggressive price drop that blew through multiple supports. Of course its hard to prove anything, such is life when trading cryptocurrencies. Insider trading, pump and dumps, hackers, and the numerous challenges of regulating a decentralized speculative market. But if we were to speculate- someone with insider information either unknown to Elon/Tesla, or in coordination with them, setup the market for a significant drop. i.ibb.co <--- brief summary of timelines for that dump on the 12th. Now we have to acknowledge that Bitcoin was already struggling, its price action was weak after months of consolidation and a correction was probably due. But that dump was far from natural and almost certainly the result of that large inflow of Bitcoin. Okay - so you are asking why dump big bags, are they offloading for bear cycle? Well oddly enough if you look at exchange outflows (meaning people buying Bitcoin and moving it off exchanges), and you look at the exchange reserves (meaning how much Bitcoin is sitting on exchanges right now), and you look at the industry investment (over the counter-OTC) purchases- it paints a mostly bullish picture. You do not see big money offloading Bitcoin, you do not see a massive selloff and you see OTC investment continuing. I honestly think the MM saw weakness in the retail market, and needed to reset market sentiment, and take the opportunity for cheaper Bitcoin to stock up before the next leg. HOWEVER- that doesn't mean that I am right. I am not a financial advisor, I am not a 10 year Bitcoin trader. So apply risk management and trade only what you are comfortable with.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by 1BigPapi
2
AMC (SHORT LADDER ATTACK)Just because the price is going down does not necessarily translate to retail investors selling. This could be due to short ladder attacks. Short ladder attacks are manipulation tactics used by hedge funds to engineer FOMO. It is done when hedge funds keep selling to each other back and forth giving the illusion that price is heading lower, but in reality they are buying and selling to each other and lower the bid each time. They are purposely. Buying at a high price, selling and re-buying at a lower bid to scare people into selling more. the fact that we even rose 20% is a testament to the fact that people still believe in this movement. source: marketrealist.com seekingalpha.com
NYSE:AMCLong
by jeromepower
4
NANO MANIPULATION APPROACHYay, it's Friday! Our big-boys watchlist seems mixed today! Let's see how mid and low-caps tokens behave today! This week, we have spotted big spikes in volume on some small-cap tokens. As we said yesterday, things are getting interesting. Those volume spikes may be responsible for the short-term manipulation that we were able to observe in BTC and ETH. That is blatantly occurring in other assets as well. Today we are placing limit orders to start adding NANO. With a Fully Diluted Market Cap of 1Billion, we believe it has incredible long term potential since we have found an interesting use case for payments. Through our manipulation approach, you can see where we expect whales to enter the market. You should follow the DCA strategy, but we have found that by providing manipulation insights, we can refine our entries as much as possible. Nano offers secure and free transactions quickly. Would you use Nano on a daily basis? Do your own research, Nano Have a wonderful day, Alkalites. Check our FREE Telegram Channel TODAY!
NLong
by CryptoAlkaline
5
1INCH MANIPULATION INCOMINGHey, Alkalites! Our high-caps finally rebounded from the last dip! Let's continue this bull run! We have been waiting since today's London opening to spot Altcoins opportunities. Luckily, we came across 1Inch, which seems to be in the right place to be manipulated. Today we will place our entry triggers in 1Inch. With a Fully Diluted Market Cap of 10Billion, we believe it has incredible long term potential since we have found a real use case in its swapping technology. Through our manipulation approach, you can see below where we expect retail and whales to enter the market. You should follow the DCA strategy to become a 1Inch adopter safely. 1Inch offerS a decentralized swapping platform that combines several exchanges in one to find the best rates. Would you use 1Inch? Do your own research, #1Inch Have a good Wednesday, Alkalites.
COINBASE:1INCHUSDLong
by CryptoAlkaline
4
(UPDATE) BTC RETRACEMENTS MANIPULATIONHello there! Here is Alkaline Crypto again! We are seeing how the cryptocurrency market has fallen over 5% on average after the close of the Asian session. We are investigating the root causes of the pull-back, probably a profit-taking event. Here you have our last week Bitcoin manipulation approach, as we still consider it valid to place your entry triggers. In conclusion, we will wait patiently for the market to rebound from this little retracement before placing more orders. Do you have any interesting crypto project in mind that you would want us to analyse? Drop it in the comments section! Have a successful day, Alkalites!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoAlkaline
ETHEREUM (ETH) ALGORITHMIC MANIPULATIONGood morning, Alkalites! Today we are starting with slightly green watchlists. There is not too much to see today, as most of our long term orders have been placed. We are waiting until more tokens from our watchlist become favourable to enter in. This morning we have seen ETH making a wedge, probably formed by algorithms battle with EMAs. Today's levels are based on algorithmic volume, as low-frequency buyers won't probably place orders near the recent all-time high. If ETH breaks above them, we could see more growth in the short term. If not, remember this is not a recommendation for you to sell or to place shorts, as we believe this ETH will perform well in the long term. Stay tuned on updates like these in our FREE CHANNEL in Telegram! Have a great Tuesday, Alkalites!
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by CryptoAlkaline
4
SOLANA (SOL) READY TO FLYHey, Alkalites! Today we have seen spikes across mid and low-cap crypto! Things are getting interesting day by day. Today we are adding more positions to our Solana (SOL) portfolio. As analysed in the past, we expect its technology “Proof of History” (PoH) to grow in value if the entire crypto market keeps growing and investors find value in advanced mechanisms. It wouldn’t be difficult to see Solana surpassing other tokens in the future. Solana is drawing some demand zones that could be seen on charts and order books. Low-frequency buys are expected at the 38-40 USD area. What's your opinion on Solana? Let me know! Get daily analysis like these on our FREE Crypto Alkaline channel on Telegram TODAY! Have a great day, Alkalites!
FTX:SOLUSDLong
by CryptoAlkaline
6
Critical to Understand this Flash Crash ConceptLook at this huge wick down on the daily time frame back in the 2017 bull run. Don't think that this can't happen now - it absolutely can. These flash crashes we see every week are a smaller version of this. You always have to be on your toes and make sure you are being diligent as far as following the rules. Always use pretty tight stop losses that follow you up into profit. Always take profits off the table when your trade is in profit. You can lose it all in a matter of minutes, it's not worth the risk. Most importantly, don't leverage trade, and if you insist on doing it anyway, don't ever take your eyes off it unless it's in profit and you have a stop loss set in profit. When I tried leverage trading and leaving it over night, 9 times out of 10 my stop loss got hit. If you aren't in profit, you are losing money every single time that happens. Preserve your capital!
BINANCE:XRPUSD
by DigiLex_LLC
OVERBOARD? Or just PREPARED?Super rough draft of AITX. Just my thoughts rough handing it. Im going to do a dive, use all the tools and try to find all the trends plausible. Its always that one hidden trend you dont see that can make the difference. These market makers, institutions and whales already have the benefit of money, the minimum one can do is limit there element of surprise, prepare for the worst and ride the wave. From only a year trading 6 months I quickly learned how important the charts are. All the lick of news dosent change a thing if you ask me it seems like the charts the charts predict the news. Call me crazy but I swear charts will show something on the brink of making a move. Take bitcoin for a example. It was so over bought right around 58-60k the mac is telling me its coming down and all of a sudden all the corruption kicks in wether it be the hash rate power, whether it be the tax bill being blasted on every outlet when having no real meaning at the time as we can see now. The contract options expiring, the statement that some exchanges are going to be served felony charges. All these played a part in the first price fall that was forseen by many and exaggerated on both sides with something to gain. So i ask this, are these algorithms left behind from mankinds most brilliant as tools for prediction. Are tyey actually predicting the events to come in a little way. And if so as we progress and technology progress will we be able to predict the future kinda like a minority report. Maybe im just to stoned and its something as simple as the corruption already being baked into a the data seeing that the data is no really affecting it. Check back at the charts when we had the corona flash crash on the market itself. If you zoom out you can clearly see that that dip was going to happen just as it had before. It ts just the other time that it wasn’t corona or the time before that. All the mirco dips that line up on the crashes. Id like to believe there is something goin on that cant yet be explained but im sure someone got a simple answer. I was just telling my friend a joke that all fortune tellers just now how to read charts lol. They just check the usd index matched whatever currency is the hot topic, dominant or in a struggle and the charts will sing to a them. I low key want to write a volume based on currency wars. Following nations currency's paired to one another such as USD/CYN or USD/GBP or whatever, its endless. From there i want to get the life data of the pairs and have the charts tell the stories. What made the chart move the way it did, not what would have happend if those events did not happen. For instance checking USD/CYN you can clearly see CYN setting on a critical support level some might say economic crushing if broke. Right up untill covid hit getting the bounce they needed to save the economy. Not saying this happened, but like i was saying earlier ether the manipulation is already baked in or there is something beyond what we conceive. And I think if its not something beyond or control, such as what I call the Trend. Then the chart was manipulated. Because following the trend up untill corona hit eveything said the CYN matched to the USD was about to dramatically collapse. Which would have been horrible world round. People say American first ya I understand but if a whole country goes under that the rest of the world get 90% of there crap from we could have seen a situation like the housing market crash of the 2008 where the debt of another collapses all of it. Like the that but the on a world wide scale. I dont know just my stupid conspiracy.
OTC:AITXLong
by marksms3
Bitcoin is Mount SukubaI've posted previously on here and twitter about how Bitcoins price along with the entire crypto market is manipulated either by the CEX's, Satoshi Nakamoto or a combination. This is how Bitcoin will play out if $64k was not the top. If it was then it will play out in the same formation just the left and tallest peak will be 64k . This pattern played out in 2017, 2019 and it plays out all through the chart in small forms making up larger forms of it. Just Look at December-January on the 6 hour chart. I did a little research and the only twin peaked mountain in japan is Mount Tsukuba which by the Ancient legend surrounding it makes a lot of sense attaching it to Bitcoin . "As legend has it, thousands of years ago, a deity descended from the heavens and asked two mountains for a place to spend the night. With its great summit and almost perfect cone, Mt. Fuji refused, believing with pride and arrogance that it does not need the deity's blessings. Mt. Tsukuba, on the other hand, humbly welcomed the honored guest, even offering food and water. Today, Mt. Fuji is a cold, lonely, and barren mountain, while Mt. Tsukuba bursts with vegetation and is filled with colors as the seasons change. Ancient chronicles say that the sacred progenitors of the Japanese race are enshrined here, the male divinity, Izanagi-no-Mikoto, at Mt. Nantai, and the female divinity, Izanami-no-Mikoto, at Mt. Nyotai. Legends say that the two deities wed and gave birth to other deities, and even to Japan herself." Follow me on twitter @MoneroMasterMo
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MoneroMo
4
EURUSD, Short Opportunity - 1:22 availableGood morning ladies & gentlemen, Hope you're all having a beautiful week. A nice short opportunity has presented itself on EURUSD after trading upwards for several weeks. It's now ready to see some substantial downside. DXY is poised to go higher also. The monthly orderflow for EURUSD is currently bullish. The weekly and daily however shows that we're in a sell structure. The objectives below have been clearly outlined. Objective 1: Refill of the H4 Void. RR 1:6 Objective 2: H4 intermediate lows in line with a H1 Void refill. RR 1:13. Objective 3: Low of the trading range. If it breaks past this area and closes below on the weekly, we can see further downside with the final target being 1.142. RR for this objective is 1:22.
Short
by Jiraiya_eth