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Manipulation

4hr BITCOIN mean reversion rejection - Leave the rest for laterIn #Bitcoin's 4-hour chart scenario, we reject the EMA50 we are currently at and take the low at $56k in the next couple of days. We get a lot of economic data in the next few days until Friday, which could strengthen the US dollar and lead Bitcoin into a sell-off. Chart-wise, it looks like a rejection of the 4hr EMA50. The first target would be $56k and if things look really ugly, we should also consider $51k as a possible target.
Short
by reports20netrust
2
The Ultimate Bitcoin Guide - All You Need to Know Right Now!Welcome Future Demons Let me start by telling you about my mission. I'm here to serve you. I'm here to make you a better trader. I will do so by exploiting the grim secrets in the markets, the plausible movements, the market psychology and all the whale-manipulation. I will all the time remind you about the importance of mindset and money protection. The Beginning I will start making some predictions about the market first. I will use Bayesian Reasoning/Statistics to put credence on the different scenarios. I get the output numbers after weighing my TA combined with geopolitics, and market- and whale psychology. I want to make it clear, that I never make any trades alone from these Bayesian Scenarios, nor should you, but they will always serve as a fundament for my trades. The Predictions The 2 most important mid term scenarios to be aware of: 1. We will go up around 85k in this cycle, but we will not surpass 100,000 USD. Hereafter we will go below 30k. Bayesian 62 %. 2. We will not get a new ATH, and we will go down below 30k now. Bayesian 38 %. "Long" Term Prediction: 3. After we hit 30k USD, not only crypto, but also stocks will go into a hard bear market, and we will see a Depression similar to in the 1930s. ------------------------- Why? Mid-term: 1. The crypto market has been behind the stock market for a long time. In fact it has been pretty much ignored due to all the money, whales have been making in especially AI, pharma and war (E.g. Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Lockheed, Novo Nordisk). Both Apple, Microsoft and NVIDIA have market caps above 3 T USD compared to cryptos total Global Market Cap at 2 T USD. Therefore when the stock market soon will collapse it's not unlikely that some of the money will enter especially BTC. I will predict that most will go into Gold though. 2. 100k in this cycle is unlikely due to the psychological nature of the number 100k. Bitcoin is simply not ripe enough for such a high price. Ask your self, your friends or any retailer if they are ready to buy BTC at 100k? Exactly. Remember that whales don't make money by pushing the price as high as possible. To make money, they need to sell at a price which requires buyers. What most likely will happen is, that the whales will try to push the price to squeeze the last money out of retailers. Retailers will FOMO in all the way below 100k hoping for a miracle to occur, but around 85k-90kish, boom, the whales will start to schock mass sell. 3. That we will go below 30k in this cycle is super likely. History repeats it self, and Bitcoin usually drops at least 80 % every cycle. "Long" Term 1. We haven't had a real bear market for 15 years in stocks. Usually we have one every 7 years. We have never before seen such a rise. FED has been printing money like crazy just to give them out to private banks and hedge funds, so they can buy more stocks, and bait retailers into buying more and more. Soon the same whales will mass sell, and become even more rich while the poor will be more poor. The gap between rich and poor is now even bigger than before, which is a catastrophe for all low- and mid-income people, since it will lead to hyperinflation, and eventually a depression for at least a couple of years. That is also why you need to be aware of it, and if you are in the markets atm you should consider to secure some of your money asap. Then you just wait for the depression phase, where you slowly can start to accumulate again. Don't be greedy, my friends. What should You do now? Right now the best thing is to stay out of the market. The price is dancing around 57k, and we are in a big liquidity zone, where we can expect a lot of fluctuation. Whales love these zones, and will always try to steer the market towards them, cause they only are able to make money here. It requires zones of lots of money to make lots of money - remember that. They will continue to go up and down as long as they can to liquidate retailers. If we make a higher high at 70k, you can go long. ----------- I will soon also give you concrete trading ideas too. Please follow me - it will make me happy. Kind Regards Laplace's Demon PS. Remember to be grateful for the small things in life, and strive not to focus on what you don't have.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Lapl4cesDem0n
3
Long term bullmarket scenarioThis idea is a long-term bull market scenario. This idea could start on the day of the FED interest rate decision. The rate decision could lead price action into a bear trap by making traders think we are making a lower low. Well, we do, but this should be considered a bear trap as we have been moving sideways since March and a big event like the FED rate decision could lead to a trend change. Considering the fact that we are making lower lows, it seems like we are constantly liquidating the long positions and the market makers are keeping the short positions alive to sell on a late uptrend.
Long
by reports20netrust
🚨ALTSeason Alert🚨: Why It's Imminent ??The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with anticipation as many analysts and traders believe an altseason is on the horizon. Altseasons are periods in the market cycle when altcoins (alternative cryptocurrencies) outperform Bitcoin (BTC), the leading digital asset. Several factors suggest that an altseason could be imminent, and this article will explore these indicators and highlight promising altcoins to watch. Altseason Index Signaling a Shift: The Altseason Index, a metric that tracks the relative performance of altcoins against Bitcoin, currently indicates a Bitcoin dominance-led market. However, the index is approaching a critical inflection point where it could break below its trendline, signaling a potential altseason. Bitcoin Dominance Poised for a Breakout: Bitcoin's dominance, which represents its share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, has been trading within an ascending wedge pattern. This pattern suggests a potential breakout, with a downward move indicating a shift of power towards altcoins. A decline in dominance below 40% is often considered a hallmark of an altseason. Bitcoin dominance chart showing an ascending wedge pattern Ethereum (ETH) Gaining Strength: The ETH/BTC price ratio, which measures the relative performance of Ethereum (ETH) against Bitcoin, has been on an upward trend. This trend suggests that ETH is gaining strength relative to BTC, potentially signaling a shift in market sentiment towards altcoins. ETH/BTC price ratio chart showing an uptrend WIF (WazirX India Token) Poised for a Breakout: WIF, a cryptocurrency native to the WazirX exchange platform, has been forming a massive ascending triangle pattern on the daily timeframe. This pattern suggests a potential breakout towards $10, making WIF a promising altcoin to watch for the upcoming altseason. WIF/USDT chart showing an ascending triangle pattern Additional Factors Supporting an Altseason: Increased Institutional Interest in Altcoins: Institutional investors are showing growing interest in altcoins, as evidenced by rising investment inflows and the launch of altcoin-focused products. Strong Fundamentals of Many Altcoins: Numerous altcoins have strong underlying fundamentals, innovative use cases, and active developer communities, making them attractive investment opportunities. Market Sentiment Favoring Riskier Assets: The overall market sentiment is shifting towards riskier assets, which could benefit altcoins as investors seek higher potential returns. Conclusion: While the exact timing of an altseason cannot be predicted with certainty, the confluence of several indicators suggests that it is imminent. Altcoins like WIF, with strong technical patterns and solid fundamentals, are poised to make significant gains during this altseason. However, it is crucial to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
1
Ethereum (ETH): Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern in Play Ethereum (ETH) appears to be following the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern on the 4-hour timeframe. This pattern is characterized by several phases of price consolidation and distribution, followed by a decisive breakout. The Wyckoff Phases: Phase A (Accumulation): The price forms a trading range with multiple attempts to break out to the upside, but each attempt is met with selling pressure. This phase is characterized by low trading volume. Phase B (Distribution): The price breaks out of the trading range to the upside, but the breakout is weak and quickly followed by a reversal. This phase is characterized by increased trading volume. Phase C (Reaccumulation): The price returns to the trading range and consolidates again. This phase is characterized by lower trading volume than in Phase B. Phase D (Mark-up): The price breaks out of the trading range with conviction and begins a sustained upward trend. This phase is characterized by high trading volume. ETH's Current Position: ETH has completed Phase A (Accumulation) and Phase B (Distribution) of the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. The price recently broke out of the trading range to the upside but failed to hold the breakout and reversed back into the range. This suggests that ETH is currently in Phase C (Reaccumulation). Expected Price Movement: Based on the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, I expect ETH to complete Phase C (Reaccumulation) by consolidating within the trading range for a period of time. This could be followed by a decisive breakout to the upside in Phase D (Mark-up), potentially leading to a significant price increase towards $4,500. Additional Factors to Consider: Overall market sentiment: The overall sentiment of the cryptocurrency market could impact ETH's price movement. If the market is bullish, ETH could break out sooner and with more momentum. On-chain metrics: On-chain metrics such as active addresses and transaction volume can provide insights into the overall health of the ETH network. Positive on-chain metrics could support a bullish price movement. Conclusion: Ethereum's price action appears to be following the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. While the pattern suggests a potential breakout to the upside, it is important to consider other factors such as overall market sentiment and on-chain metrics before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
2
Perfect Market Maker Plan completed before Halvest (be safe) pt2Yesterday, before the huge fall, I posted: "A lot of Bearish Confluences. The crown: Daily Rising Wedge completed after price cleared all the Poor Highs + Resting Liquidity in the Top of the Daily Range. Be safe." Fall confirms my Bearish Plan. Not sure how far BTC will fall but its very probable that the Daily Range is indeed a Distribution scheme. Protect your capital and positions. Be cautious. In this image I share some possible perspectives of what can be expected.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Zuhru
DOGE MADE DRAGON PATTERN ??DOGE has demonstrated interesting behavior on the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, indicating the possibility of further growth. 4-hour timeframe: Retest of the maximum volume zone: DOGE successfully retested the zone where the highest volume of horizontal trading was observed. This indicates that this level is an important support/resistance level, and its breakout can lead to a significant price movement. 1-hour timeframe: Dragon Pattern: The 1-hour chart clearly shows the Dragon pattern. This pattern is characterized by the formation of a "head," a "bottom point," and a "tail," after which the price rises sharply. Lower low and liquidity grab: DOGE formed a lower low, capturing liquidity from traders who expected a further decline. Sharp pump: After forming the lower low, DOGE made a sharp pump, confirming the Dragon pattern's completion. Conclusion: The combination of the retest of the maximum volume zone on the 4-hour timeframe and the Dragon pattern on the 1-hour chart indicates that DOGE has the potential for further growth.
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
WLD: Manipulation SetupWLD (Wild) is a decentralized exchange (DEX) that allows users to trade cryptocurrencies without the need for a centralized intermediary. WLD has been trading in a bullish pattern on the 1-hour time frame, which suggests that it is currently in the manipulation phase of an accumulation, manipulation, and distribution (AMD) cycle. The AMD cycle: The AMD cycle is a popular technical analysis model that describes the three phases of a market cycle: Accumulation: During this phase, large buyers accumulate tokens at low prices, often creating a bullish chart pattern. Manipulation: In this phase, the price is manipulated to create the illusion of a strong uptrend, attracting retail buyers. Distribution: In this phase, the large buyers sell their tokens at high prices, causing the price to dump. WLD is currently in the manipulation phase: Volume increase: The trading volume has been increasing over the past few days, which is a sign of manipulation. Social media hype: There has been a lot of hype surrounding WLD on social media, which is also a sign of manipulation. Price movement: The price has been moving up in a parabolic fashion, which is another sign of manipulation. Why this is a good time to buy: Early entry: The market is still in the manipulation phase, which means that there is still time to get in before the price dumps. Strong support: The price is currently trading above a strong support level, which could provide a good entry point. Potential for a big move: The AMD cycle suggests that the price could move significantly higher in the distribution phase. Conclusion: WLD is currently in the manipulation phase of an AMD cycle. This could be a good time to buy, as the price has the potential to move significantly higher in the distribution phase. However, investors should always do their own research and exercise caution before investing in any cryptocurrency.
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
PEPE Manipulation ShakeoutShakeout: PEPE recently made a sharp decline, breaking through the lowest level on the chart. This movement was probably artificially created to force out weak hands and leveraged traders. Double bottom: After the shakeout, PEPE formed a double bottom pattern. This pattern often indicates a trend reversal and a possible price increase. Liquidity manipulation: A sharp decline and the subsequent formation of a double bottom pattern can be a manipulation to force traders out of the market and capture their liquidity. This article will delve deeper into identifying various chart patterns indicative of market manipulation, providing you with the knowledge to protect yourself and make informed trading decisions. 1. Pump and Dump Schemes: Pump: A coordinated effort to artificially inflate a coin's price, often through social media hype and fake news. Indicators: Rapid price increase: Unusually sharp and sustained price increase without significant news or market events. Low trading volume: Price rise accompanied by low trading volume suggests artificial inflation. Social media frenzy: Coordinated social media posts and endorsements promoting the coin. Dump: Once the price reaches a desired level, the manipulators sell their holdings, causing the price to plummet. 2. Wash Trading: Fake trading: Creating the illusion of high trading volume by buying and selling between controlled accounts. Indicators: High volume with low price volatility: Large trading volume without a corresponding change in price suggests wash trading. Spikes in trading volume: Sudden and unexplained spikes in trading volume may indicate wash trading. Order book imbalance: Uneven distribution of buy and sell orders, with a significant imbalance favoring one side. 3. Fake Breakouts: Manipulation: Creating a false impression of a breakout to trap traders into buying or selling at manipulated prices. Indicators: Low volume breakouts: Breakouts accompanied by low trading volume are often false. Retracement after breakout: A sharp retracement following a breakout suggests a false signal. Failed retests: Inability to sustain a breakout level after a retest indicates a weak breakout. 4. Stop Loss Hunting: Manipulation: Driving the price towards stop-loss orders to trigger a cascade of sell-offs and further drive down the price. Indicators: Price movement towards support/resistance: Price approaching significant support or resistance levels where stop-loss orders are likely placed. Sudden price spikes: Sharp and unexpected price movements may be attempts to trigger stop-loss orders. Increased trading volume: Spikes in trading volume coinciding with price movements towards stop-loss levels.
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
2
GTLB a software company dives on an earnings beat LONGGTLB did a deep dive shaving 20% off its market cap after the earnings report. I see this big dip as a buying opportunity for a software company stock at a significant discount more or less ignoring the adverse forward guidance as fluff or purposeful misleading of investors and traders to create a bit of a bear trap from which to launch a squeeze to propel the price action. More details on the chart. I will go long here and expect to gain 10-15% with a little patience. The general market downturn helped GTLB fall and then reversal of the general market will give tailwind to the return trip. Targets are on the chart based on the high volume trading range on the volume profile.
NASDAQ:GTLBLong
by AwesomeAvani
BTC - Analyzing Order Blocks to Predict Liquidations / Stop HuntHello all, I’d like to provide a visual representation of a method we can use to understand and predict stop hunts / liquidation moves on bitcoin - these mysterious and hard to capture phenomenon we all experience at seemingly random times. Here I show blocks of orders - which I separate if we have a candle retracement overlapping the block. We can see this mass chain of red order blocks on my chart. What these are - are long position stop losses. To understand the significance of these orders let’s break down the mechanics of these orders. Long stop losses are: 1) Limit sell orders 2) Orders that don’t automatically fill if price is above the sell price (unlike limit sells) 3) Leveraged orders - using traders liquidity with a leveraged multiplier to increase position size When dealing with “leveraged” order sizes - we can also leverage / multiply the speed, power, and velocity of chart movement as these orders are filled. If we can assume an average leverage usage of 20x - We can speculate a price movement of 20x speed, power, and velocity. With this information - we can look at bitcoin on the large time frames - in this case the multi-day. Identifying chart patterns, we can estimate the timing of movements by dividing the suspected speed of these moves by approximately 20. This allows us to speculate these very fast moves on bitcoin, which are essentially as simple as this description: What are stop hunts and liquidations? 1) The result of retail traders stop loss orders being triggered and creating automatic chain reactions of order fulfillment 2) Order blocks being filled and triggered at multiplied speed and power 3) Not forced manipulation - but a natural occurrence of the consequence of a futures dominated market and large order gaps left intact on the chart Looking back at bitcoin we can see this phenomenon happen time and time again. 1) Consolidation / long steady movements accumulating stop loss orders 2) A fast and large candle in the opposite direction as these stop loss orders are triggered and executed Additionally we can understand the benefits of these pheonomons to the exchanges and market makers. Liquidations return your entire trading position to these for profit companies - so there is a clearly defined benefit to executing these moves to the platforms we trade on. Further more - creating automatic movements that generate high speed and velocity triggers an error known as slippage - price moves so fast that it doesn’t allow adequate time for the stop loss order to execute before the liquidation of a leveraged trade is triggered first - resulting in liquidation with a stop loss in place. HOPE THATS HELPFUL AND GOD BLESS
Short
by DickDandy