Manipulation
Daily "Manipulations"So here is a perfect example how the Institutions operate on a daily and weekly basis and how order flow works.
We got this gap because the institutions trapped traders into the believe that price would go higher and many orders were stuck there over the weekend.
Then we got a small gap signaling buying pressure while in reality the institutions sucked in orders to build their position (maybe only short term in a bigger cycle). The gap also faked some people out because they believed that this was a valid double Top there. They then just went 3.5 Pips higher to trick people into more buy orders so they could prepare for the final big move.
Just another day, same methods.
Trading is all about probabilities and order flow that creates those patterns.
On the lower timeframes those "patterns" are unreliable because all the pending orders and such create heavy noise at important levels and those patterns are more a result of that noise and HFT firms than a planned move within itself. So we should stick to higher timeframe confluences.
But anyways, this is how it works.
Cheers
Continuation trade short 5/16/2019I managed to trade this short twice already and should still be in this trade. There is not much volume right now on the pair but thats partly why I like it. Less manipulated.
This is a continuation of analysis done two weeks ago and this week. Re entering short on current retrace up.
What do you think about CADCHF? Any fundamental reasons I am wrong or right? Lemme know
EURAUD Position ShortPair: EURAUD
Timeframe: Daily
Trade Type: Position/Swing
EURAUD is approaching the area where there was the huge manipulation at the beginning of the year to mitigate. A lot of people are in sells currently which makes the market more likely to push up to take them out, before a long term bearish run. AUD news approaching and I expect AUD to temporarily spike down in weakness before it’s bullish run.
#JSnipes
A possible result from current Bitcoin manipulation.I believe manipulation is in full effect currently as these exchanges are trying to cover their butts to liquidate leveraged shorts that have been stacking. As a result this will extend the length of our current bear market, cause a much faster and harder drop and possibly take us to lows lower than previously expected by even the most bearish of bears. Sleep tight! :)
Dont be fulled into thinking this a bitcoin bull run!The yellow graph represents shorts being liquidated. Exchanges are pumping as much as they have to in order to liquidate these shorts that would clean them out if left checked. They know a dump is coming soon so they have to push price up before of that drop can happen. This is not organic growth as we have broke though major resistance like a knife through butter. With Binance suspending withdrawals and FOMO increasing profits for these exchanges manipulating price it is a win win for them. There a bubble expanding and its on the verge of popping! shorts are dropping but they are still stacked, so while there is room to more further to the upside.. I suggest you all grab a parachute because when start to drop it will be a free fall!
Bitcoin medium term very bearishBitcoin medium term outlook (2-4 weeks) is quite bearish for the following reasons
- 1 week targets would be 4600-4700
-A break of the trend line of 4700 could see us head to 4100-420
-2-4 week targets would be 3-3.5k
-Long term 1-2 months, I expect us to hit the bottom of the channel , which is around 2K area
1.TD Sequential hit 9 on the Weekly. While in strong trends it can be ignored, we have to remember that we are still in a bear market till we make a higher high, which would be roughly 6500-6800 area depending on which exchange you used. This means the TD sequential is giving us an alert on essentially counter-trend pattern, making it very strong likelihood of achieving. This was substantiated by the rally ending at the TD 9 Sequentaiil
2.Spinning Top on Weekly about to form ( closes in 1 day)
-This shows price indecision at a significant resistance.We made a very strong bullish move recently but its likely that the bullish sentiment is waning
3.Rejection by significant resistances
-We got rejected by the 21 Monthly EMA resistance
-We got rejected by the 55 Weekly EMA Resistance
-You can see this by the rejection wicks
4. Extremely overbought Stochastic RSI, and modified RSI of length 3, overbought=95, and oversold=5, shows we went past the 95 resistance RSI area and are now back below it, showing we rejected the overbought resistance area. If we were extremely bullish , we would have managed to not go back to the purple area but we have, showing a rejection
5.Contrarian Investing0Go short when others are going long and calling bull market
-Everyoen is calling this a bull market
-Retail Avg Joe heard the bitcoin buzz and is now going to buy
-Remember the Crowd is rarely right. They are only right in significant trends. The 2017 bitcoin bubble had a huge frenzy between November to December and that was PRECISELY the top. So many retail investors got burnt
6. This rally seems to be artificial/manipulated.
-According to a article titled
-This rally was pumped by this huge whale market buying.
-The article specially states " anonymous trader who recently placed $100 million USD worth of concurrent Bitcoin buy orders on Coinbase, Kraken and Bitstamp probably triggered a ‘frenzy’ of automated buys,"
-Essentailly after a certain price point a ton of stops got triggered. This, along with a breach of resistance likely made bots auto buy and caused this tremendous rally
-This entire rally wasn't really the retail traders and bitcoin ecosystem showing renewed interest ( this would show we are actually transitioning to a bull market ), but just a big powerful whale
-He likely bought a ton of bitcoin cheap 3-3.5k OTC, then went on the futures market and likely longed x100 ( since he knows it can only go up ). Then decided to market buy 100M on these exchanges. After a certain price, likely 4400-4500, bots took over and began a buying spree to push us higher.
-Now, this same whale will likely market sell. And since retail things its a bull market, as soon as they see a drop of more then 10% in a span of a few hours, guess what will happen ( mass panic selling )
-This whale could likely be wanting to orchestrate a mass panic sell of bitcoin by trapping tons of bitcoin long orders and retail fomo in to cause a huge capitulation
You can keep up with my trading setups at
telegram-@CryptoFuturesGroup ( Its a public group, so just type in the username and it will pop up ).
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Kraken BTC/USD 1hr - Longs & Shorts - 4/9/19 1:30PM EDTNothing too exciting for now, however we do see the shorts creeping up a touch while the longs continue to flatline as is. A continued rise in the shorts with an increasing price might just mean there isn't blind and total faith in the BTC price increases at this point. If both price and shorts GRADUALLY rise, it's just caution with the masses - movement on the shorts is REACTIVE to price. If we see a SHARP move in the shorts this would be more indicative of ACTIVE play by the bigger players, similar to what we saw on the 8th with the sudden drop in shorts.
What to look out for:
If there is a sudden sharp move upwards with the shorts timed oddly close to a price increase with BTC then it is likely a setup. In that scenario someone would be stacking up their shorts while pumping the price of BTC to encourage some FOMO while they get ready to dump. Sharp movements in price or long/short numbers are the ones to watch, while gradual movements are the reactive players like us, just holding on for the ride.
Bitcoin Manipulation & Technical Analysis:
If anyone is doing technical analysis on immature assets like Bitcoin....just assume there's so much manipulation and the token volume so small you're trying to predict the future on a past with such a small sample size the analysis means very little. Bitcoin will get there, but the current state of the volume for crypto is a few major players on a few large exchanges poking the price around. And 267 fake exchanges copy those charts, candle for candle with wash trading from start to finish. We're not there yet folks, can't predict something that hasn't established a core set of players and predictable movement. The only shot is to try and see the motivations behind those that are moving the price around. Once we get enough real volume then you can trend patterns and analyze the past to predict the future.
Don't get fooled!!!Guys, I far as I can see, all the hype with the trend reverse is occurring too soon, according to all top-reviewers analyses. The big whales are accumulating and trying to cut the last strongest holders. This stupid manipulation is so obvious that it can't be taken seriously by anyone who has been into trading for some time.
I still believe that the price is going to get to the 1200-1600 level, to get the whales interest into reversing the trend.
*Be careful, trade safe, don't get fooled.
** I am not a professional trader. Just a guy who made 35k$ from scrap and almost lost everything. I have some experience I want to share.
*** This analysis is done only for educational scope and doesn't intend to advise you how to invest your money.
CLEAR SIGNS OF MANIPULATION ON BTC!?Today I go over some advanced mass readings and define some excellent ways BTC has been faking us out these past few weeks.
The readings I'm getting make for some choppy trading, I am more inclined to take smaller position sizes until trend clearly defines itself.
Exceptional speculation from mid April '18 onwardsUsing an updated chart of earlier posted opportunity around AUDUSD (AU) I like to highlight and illustrate the exceptional speculation that has been going on since mid April onwards. The first and many incidence of the same speculation has often seen coming in very sudden which indicates a single source instead of graduate forming of buying/selling pressure you see normally when larger long term trends are forming.
Only news events cause such sudden incoming interest in the buying or selling of an asset when it's coming from a group, but then there have to be a profound reason for it been in the news and it always dies out within a few hours. Quite often we have seen USD buying surges since mid April not complying with any of these rules on top of that these volumes were sometimes hidden from public pools and planned very timely to exactly block a USD bearish cycle from bringing down the value of USD or a potential opposite interest such as London open.
The latter is just too silly to observe, suddenly on Tuesday morning Asia timezone when there are normally low volumes until one hour before London open, there would be a ridiculous sudden surge of GU and EU selling at a time it was never seen before. There is simply also no reasonable explanation for anybody selling GU and EU at that time other to stopping GBP and EUR from being appreciated.
Nobody says a word and nobody writes about it since that I have noticed these out of place events. There are some economists speaking in youtube videos but searching for manipulation of USD returns litle results on Google and first few entries are about China manipulating their currency and Google's very nice suggestion list doesn't show a single entry when typing it out into the search field. Well, everybody knows that every single central bank is doing it, all of them. They call it market operations and it published on their websites. Look at the implementation notes published by the FED May this year or read on about RBA market operations published clear in public, just to name two examples but all central banks list it as normal operational tasks as part of their portfolio of services.
Yet search seems to return limited results, making everyone believe very few people are interested in this business. Something so important as a ring-network of almighty controllers manipulating the financial market on a daily basis and nobody would be interested. That doesn't glue very well with me, censored it is, big time, for only one reason, this network of market operators have a lot to hide. More than they trying to let the everyone believe with their website publications.
The dangers are that like this year the speculators are all making to believe the sudden interest is genuine, just to grow a large group of supporters because the FED know it can't beat macroeconomic cycles. At one the these will overpower the built up speculative forces against the macros over 6 months and that contr force will be stronger than ever seen on the market and speculators will realise that at one point in time and start selling on top of the macro selling pressure. That combined could give us the strongest ever seen sling back down from high up reaching far below it normally would go, the so called overshoot could reach the opposite side of the market at USDJPY 67...
Silver Hitting Strong SupportIndicators point to a bounce off of low risk entry.
Look at all that sell volume that hits like a hammer - smells like opportunity. Hitting the strong support of 15.00 on dying volume. CCI, RSI and strong support are on favorable terms for a low risk long at this position. Banks love dumping those futures to acquire physical at the cheap.
THE TRUTH ABOUT TRADING! YOU ARE BEING LIED TOO! (MUST WATCH)Are you tired of FURUS lying to you about the "proper way" to trade? Are you tired of screaming manipulation in your trading when you lose a trade that seemed like it could not go wrong? Are you ready to truly understand market direction and psychology?
Then this video is for you.
Many are fed the ideology that retail minded strategies will make them money in the market. They claim trading is easy... that it is designed for YOU to SUCCEED. This is the greatest lie that was ever told in the history of financial markets.
The truth is, you are designed to lose in the market. You are designed to provide liquidity to the institutional market makers. Nothing else. The market is not designed for you to make money. In reality, its quite the opposite.
My favorite slogan is... The News was the reason for market movement..... "Bitcoin fell 1200$ today because Goldman Sachs is canceling their crypto trading desk". These phrases are what feeds the consistent spiral of retail loses and improper strategy. Once you recognize that the market is manipulated, but that you can trade with the manipulation to fill up your own pockets... is the moment you become a profitable trader.
I look forward to sharing more ideas with you in the future,
Trader_Tristan
Bart Incoming for BitcoinSo since we have this continual cycle of pump, consolidate, pump, consolidate; then dump, consolidate: I am expecting a Bart down. It could however go up instead. I am 100% sure though that we WILL see a massive candle very soon. If you want to short/long then flip a coin and put a tight stop loss.
The reason I am expecting a Bart down is because this (according to my previous TA) could be the final leg down to the support at the low 3000s before we see good upwards movement. If we look at the 2014 bull run then we see that there is a possibility of a bart up before continual barting to the support. We see what happens soon I guess.
Neutral position: waiting for btc to hit support before I buy more.