Manipulation
FDP ShortCame up on my short screener as a potential earnings manipulator with poor fundamentals; ranked as 15/62 of the best stocks to short via my screener
Looks like it has failed the cloud and once the CS breaks below the cloud it could really drop quickly
Manage your risk; playing shortside can be dangerous!
gl hf
xoxo
snoop
BTC Cryptocrash and how to profit from itCash hedge, liquidation 25k, keep scaling in from small to high price and let it ride to the ground. The higher the price, the bigger the profit, keep adding positions and cash hedge when need to, preferably futures over swaps.
Regulations coming faster than anybody thinks, goxed bagholders wanting to gtfo at best price possible, especially before end of year for taxes before new taxlaw is passed in Europe.
Crackdown on a) exchanges and b) manipulators (individuals/groups) in the West & East are expected, tether and finex court case still ongoing, asset forfeitures market sold, strict Korean regulation in the making (I don't see Bithumb (with their free fee and rebate structure, with their bots, washtrading and moneylaundering) last, at all) and I could go on and on and on.
No new money coming in, market is contracting (fiat going out), yet this f#cking tethers keep coming back in the market. Complete unsustainable and fake shitshow.
Run or cry later. Accumulate bitcoin, sell all shitcoin (like previous 3 bubbles, they go back to -98% at best and -99.9% at worst from ath).
Contrary to what people believe, regulations will cause the greatest bullrun ever, after manipulators have capitulated and market dumped their bags. You cannot compete vs the central banking system played by Wallstreet, competitors are eliminated by any means.
Play the game or be played.
VET 2 possible profitable scenariosTechnical Analysis of VET revealed that there is going to be trend reversal soon. According to various indicator such as MACD and DMI VET will become bullish in the mid term. Nevertheless, Stoch RSI indicates a small price decrease in the short term which will finish very bullish pattern Inverse Head&Shoulders. This scenario is strengthened by revealed hidden bullish Divergence, as indicator has lower lows edges and the price higher lows.
However in today's BTC manipulated market there can happen a break down it is the second scenario. In such a case there will be typical bearish XABCD which can be used to rebuy at its low and sell at the 1st target.
Probabilities of scenarios:
1st - 70%
2nd - 30%
Free targets, stop loss and buying zone are on the chart
What is the significance with the 5th of the month?5 times this year on or near the 5th of the month there has been a big selloff. Anyone know what's happening?
BTC - where is heading in the next daysThose days we had a nice series of higher low and after the double bottom price nicely raised of +20% anyway we are into a bearish rising wedge and approaching to the tight section so the breakout is imminent
Moreover the breakout could happen near the top of the main downtrend channel, the bearish trend we are into from months.
In this setup I'm noticing few things.
rising wedge really tight, near to breakout
price is again near the 'old' upper bearish trendline, which we are into back from February
SMA50 is matching the upper trendline mentioned above
RSI is above 60 (usually a bullish sign)
7400$ weekly resistance tested a bounce back right at 0.618fib
Yesterday the weekly resistance tested was just a quick push, price bounce back a little and remained into the wedge, considering that there is little volume and we are very near to the SMA50 and the upper trendline there is a strong psycological pressure to reach those target, and at that price (7700$-7800$) RSI could reach the oversold status.
Those 3 signals are a potential setup for a trend reversal, so this could be the right time for taking a partial profit.
On the 4hr chart is interesting to notice a possible bearish RSI divergence, and after the resistance test of yesterday the price could retrace a bit but still within the wedge limits: 7080-7100$ the possible bounce back.
RSI divergence on the 4hr chart are fairly strong signals, let's see if this will be confirmed
I traced a possible trend in green with small rises and pullback (like after the rsi divergence) until the target, this could be an healtly price trend but I fear it could develop in something fishy, and I tell you way:
What I don't like is a possible strong manipulation going right under our eyes:
Yesterday shorts position massively staked up to +50% and after a really big transfer of 100 million worth of Tether from cold storage to Bitfinex was made:
twitter.com
omniexplorer.info
To me this is a potential setup for a flash pump in order to eat all those shorts, and the target is right on the 7700$-7800$ region, after that is "no man land". Price could even consolidate from here, but in my opinion this kind of manipulation (if happens) usually lead to an equally strong pullback...we will see in the next days.
In the Crypto Wild West, Cowboys Don't CryCryptocurrency exchanges are the wild west of finance and this week witnessed one particularly violent gun-slinging duel to be discussed.
But first, a look at the market in general. Since the recent low in mid-August around $5900, Bitcoin has rallied approximately 20% to $7100.
This rally has formed a rising wedge pattern illustrated by the blue lines, ignoring the anomaly of the BitMEX maintenance spike - more on this later. A rising wedge is typically a bearish pattern which sees the price squeezing up only to break sharply to the downside. However, the other less likely scenario is a pop out the top of the wedge which is what has occurred in this case.
A pop out the top of a falling wedge is not necessarily a bullish signal as it is commonly a blow-off move which precipitates a sell-off. However, in this case we found really good support with the price bouncing strongly off the upper trend line of the wedge (red circle). So whilst we are receiving somewhat mixed signals from the market, I feel that a break above the black resistance level will allow you to buy with a fair amount of confidence. A break back below the wedge structure will offer a good opportunity to short.
So what caused the big spike? Well, on August 22nd the BitMEX exchange closed for for "scheduled maintenance" and at the time, there were large short positions being held by BitMEX traders. A short positions enables traders to profit if the price falls, but will suffer losses if the price goes up. Those intentionally attempting to manipulate this situation placed large buy orders on other exchanges like Bitfinex, forcing the price up and causing the short positions to incur loses. As short positions are typically highly leveraged and traders were not able to cover their shorts because the exchange was down, this sharp rise caused many shorts to be liquidated automatically by the exchange. Liquidation involves buying back Bitcoin in order to cover the short positions which perpetuated the pump.
These price manipulators drove the price up and were then able to sell at around $7130 pocketing a nice profit, whilst those shorting on BitMEX were left to observe the damage after the exchange reopened.
The moral of this short story is - don't hold positions during "scheduled maintenance" on BitMEX! I'm not necessarily a proponent for tight regulations, but the reality is that if there is no sheriff in town, the outlaws will run amok.
Cowboys don't cry, so get back in the saddle, keep your finger on the trigger and focus on the next trade to ride into the sunset.
Happy trading!
Price Manipulation in Crypto is a thing: Long ETHUSDWhile Bitcoin is toggling between BTCLongs and Shorts, ETH (at least on Bitfinex) is certainly in a "bearish" position. Let's not forget the lockstep that ETH/BTC/XRP have had in recent weeks. Not a lot of positive volume in the last few days. Suspecting things are going to go against what's expected here: Long ETHUSD for the next 3 days. Regarding price manipulation (and the continuing bearish trend): there is a conflict-of-interest here, which we must take note of. Where most people short with 100x margin (BitMex), they are pegging prices of their XBT and USD/other exchange rates to Bitfinex. In the BitMex derivatives exchange, retail traders and many bots are tracking that. Meanwhile, the Bitfinex guys pretty much control Tether and its issuance across the other crypto exchanges. With the upcoming Bitmain IPO (and because crytpo needs to look good for that IPO), prices have been artificial dropped and shorts expanded, potentially, and in concert with some of the large exchanges through special brokered deals between Bitmain and top exchange (potentially). If you look at the volumes, the question is at this point: who are all the sellers? ICOs have been out. With the reactionary nature of crypto, I imagine that the booms are coming after this scare... and those watching charts will probably be surprised as we have a chance of nearing $300 again by the ned of this week.
Then, again, maybe just trade with the crowd?
Let's see how this week pans out.
BTC rebound is comingOn a 1-day scale, the market is too oversold: Stoch RSI has pushed its lower limit and is already starting to rebound, RSI in the oversold area, where it can also unfold. Below meets tight support near the level of Fin 0.786, within the cost of 4800-5000, but to decrease further to these levels without a visible correction of the fall (rebound or flat), the market can not, Bitcoin lost 29% of the value in just 17 days. In addition, the price is not the first time approaching the 6000 mark, it is very important that it does not go lower, which indicates good support at current levels. As long as the daylight candle did not close below this level, we still have chances for a further positive development scenario, otherwise closing the candle below will indicate the possibility of further decline.
Higher lows for the first time since December?????????????With stochastic being so low, and TDseq showing perfect candle #9 sitting at an important support, followed by a good green candle with acceptable Volume we can hope for a higher lows formation (based on closing daily price, for the first time since Dec that the downtrend started. If price can keep going up and breaking the $6800 are this will happen, and we might finally see higher highs, which will be a huge confirmation of the rally starting and fresh money coming in probably!!! If price cant pass ~$6800 it can go down to below $6000, not that it would happen for sure if price cant pass ~$6800 but there is chance of this happening.
Educational: TDseq indicator gives candles numbers, and indicates the trend, red numbers for downtrend and green for uptrends. Look at the previous rally and downtrend we had! Yep, almost a perfect 1-9 counting in both uptrend and downtrend, indicating that happened so fast, and there was such a strong trend. To me having a strong uptrend, even minor, followed by a strong downtrend, doesn't seem to be normal. I believe there is a mix of manipulation and emotions (FOMO and Panic sell), this helps to get rid of emotional investors (referred to as weak hands) which helps to have a healthy rally in the future.
So the most important thing right now is if the price can break ~$6800 area and stay above it or not.
Remember that "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient."
Garyreza (@Analytca)
ETH good level for open long-term trade#ETH
Ethereum at current levels looks very good for long-term purchases, but in the short term, before building a new wave of growth, the market can survive lower (we have already seen such behavior of prices among crypto-currency assets). The possibility of plum before the beginning of growth is due to manipulative influences from the major players, no one will give up the opportunity to buy the top asset at an even lower price. Artificially, the price can be lowered to 330-340 (possibly up to 320), it will be extremely difficult to lower below, in any case, such a drawdown is possible for an insignificant and short term, since the technical aspects and popularity of the coin itself will not allow for a long time to be oversold, and specifically with Ethereum it is not profitable for anyone. In long periods, ETH has a very good chance of touching its absolute maximum and eventually overcome it. Pay attention to the asset from the current levels, but do not forget about the possibility of a speculative decline in the global market as a whole, which will also affect Ethereum.
ETF rumour is followed by a massive manipulated pumpsWell, I am still bearish because the biggest picture hasn't enrolled yet. Regarding my latest post we are in a retracement. Watching the value increase compared to it time schedule and the normal candle values vs time, the only one conclusion can be made, it's a manipulated pump. During my master study I did some investigation into these pumps. Its increasing and a shame to gain trust by the retail buyers. All those yellow eclipses are suspicious pumps to my perception. Problem, you can't prove and no regulation so no penalties. Sad!
Save trades and look out. Also TA's become unpredictable. I'm away for while. Little vacation.
cme control the marketin chart you can see cme futures control the market and those investor / invest only on bitcoin 3.38% and on this scenario altcoin doomed to fail. vol insanely picking high and this market manipulation with futures is a old joke and old scenario .
good luck.
BTC manipulation - compared to ETH/LTC/BCHIt is interesting to compare the charts of the main coins. Let's take BTCUSD and ETHUSD for now (LTC and BCH follow ETH closely). BTC has clearly been sustained, whereas ETH/LTC/BCH followed an expected retrace. This shows to me that there is an ongoing effort currently to push the BTC price up, while there is no such effort on the other coins. Is that good or bad? It could go both ways : either the current manipulator(s) decide(s) to push it further up, or pull it down. One could see it as a guardian angel, or a damocles sword over our heads.
Let me tell you something about BTC.Hello my Dear Followers.
I'm Feeling like they might set a bull trap, pushing higher above 7800 up to 8200.
Before the next bear run will start.
Faking the H&S pattern.
Also with same pattern like previous small bullish momentum.
Right now we can see obviously we have a bullish pressure, but all depends how we will react to 7800.
Longer term, attached with planned news i do expect fall in between 3500-4500.
Everyone will be shorting at 7800 and pushing price to 8200-8400 would be extremely profitable for whales. Another bear run from 8200-8400 is really possible. But i have even greater news. Next bear run will be really bad for most of The alts. There is huge possibility that alts Could die up to 60-70% from current prices as BTC will gain dominance. So for us later would be The Best opportunity to buy alts at new crazy lows so we’ll be ready for 10x gains this year!
BTC - ETH Manipulated Inverted HS (continues)At this time...
This pattern is holding so far... and..
I am republishing this chart because of new possible events that will effect the pattern.
Most notably.. on AUG 16th, the SEC will decide on allowing or repealing CBOE's request to sell ETFs.
If approved, this will be historic news...
A bull run should happen right then and there, regardless of price or current trend.
If rejected
A bear rally or at least sharp movement down could occur.
I also speculate..
that manipulators will try to influence price a few days before Aug 16th.
USDCAD Daily Long Term Thoughts.Here is some simple analysis for the USDCAD Daily.
These blue levels are some ''Obvious'' levels that could cause a bit of fluctuation in price and therefore some LTF Setups.
I will pay close attention to these levels purely for their significance on the daily chart, These levels could be possible for stophunting or give setups in terms of reversals but especially continuation, If price manages to move down for a while and nearing the lower blue zones i will watch closely for these levels to have not a single reaction, as for the way i trade i can find very likely continuation setups based on the fact if price does NOT react upon FTB.
These white levels are just there for myself, as i expect these levels very able to whiplash price around, Only in very fortunate PA i will maybe look for setups on the LTF in these white zones, but probably wont trade these.
However there is a small little side note with the bottom white zone, There is a blue zone on a very ''Obvious'' level very close above the white zone, Again i will have to see how price develops but there is the possibility of some manipulation here, What exactly am i talking about? Read this:
1. Blue zone gets hit = Initial Buyers pulled in (Maybe some PA to lure in more buyers)
2. If and when blue zone gets broken = Buyers most likely stopped out aswell as Breakout shorts joining the party, could make some false retests aswell to lure as many sellers as possible.
3. Price has lured in the shorts and continues to rally upwards very strongly to also stop out short orders, I expect this to be a strong and powerful upmove purely for the fact that big bullish candles scare short traders to re-enter, and makes possible buyers stay out because it plainly scares them.
4. Long story short i am expecting a bit of ''Market manipulation'' in and between the blue/white levels at the bottom of my chart.
The results of these zones will show over time, still a long way away until we will get close to hitting all levels, if at all!
Until then, trade with caution and ofcourse always go full margin on scalps boys and girls.
(Seriously dont go Full margin though)
BTC- ETH: Returning to Previous July 2 Manipulated Inverted HSMany of you were NOT happy with my support of the TA that indicated prices would fall further and lower.
I was SUPPORTING the respected TA of my favorite authors.
This goes to show that TA is not perfect, EW is not perfect, Wykoff is not perfect, Fundamentals can be off
Manipulation overrides everything.. all logic and all sensible analysis.
What is happening on the price charts should NOT be happening... but yet.. it is.
So I went back to my previous chart I did on July 2nd and redrew a newer version.
This might make some of you happy.
(My flight was delayed and I had time to kill, so this is my gift to my followers)
Will this map HOLD?
I think it will start to deviate (as in the left side matching the right side) where I have posted the ?
However.. if we get THAT far.. this is a great chance a recovery will happen.
FOMO will take over and a new run to 10k will begin.
BTC - ETH - Yes... even good TA suggests new bottom coming...The manipulators have been very careful this month...
Natural market forces predominate... and the price we are at today makes sense.
Yes, markets in alt coins are expected to be repressed during the summer time.
All this will change when new money enters the market.. which is already starting to happen.
We need to be watching for fundamental market 'wins' in August; specifically approval of ETFs by the SEC..
followed by institutional investors who start to use the new custodian solutions; like those offered by Coinbase.
The big optimism is coming for the last quarter in 2018, with a glimmer of hope starting September.
BTC: get your tin foil hat outInteresting thing I discovered today. Check out price action at every 16:00. Large red or green (mostly red) candles right around that time, very day. Who's building all these Marg and Bart heads? When will it stop? :)
Mutated Inverse Head And Shoulders- we all see it (BTC)Hi lads,
I stopped charting and looking up TA for a while.
IMO the manipulation is and was at such a high level that no chart was helpful. Anytime shorts built up, they'd pump it up 200-300 dollars. Longs would build up, they'd dump it (the exchanges themselves). So it was just a guessing game.
Anyways, in the perfect world it'll make something like this. But since many others are betting on a similar chart... will the Market Makers allow it to happen?
You be the judge, Good luck to all!
BITCOIN: 48h pump pattern | price manipulation at its finest!hi there.. i just have to upload this. Another great example how this market is played by big whales and cartels. Its sad to see that only like 3000 BTC's can influence the total mcap and price of bitcoin this easily.
If in the coming 60 mins another pump appears.. we would have an exact 48h pump pattern since 6 days straight. Still we need to break 6800 and build a new floor above this to break 7200$ with enough volume (green line from falling grand wedge). RSI should stay above 45.
Play the waves.. stay save..
Cheers
