[BTC] Bullish Signs in Bearish Continuation Pattern?Quick look at the shorter, 1-hr timeframes. Not a whole lot to say or analysis to go off on the short term for Bitcoin so kind of just a hypothetical.
Bearish mid/longer term and the symmetrical triangle consolidation right at an important long term trendline (dotted red), isn't making me any less bearish. Buuuuut... we've seen this before not too long ago and proceeded to rocket upwards.
The downtrend and triangle consolidation looks very similar to the larger fractal which dropped BTC from nearly $12k to $6k and then a big ol' short squeeze invalidated the bearish symmetrical triangle with the very notable green candle propelling us to recent highs in the upper $9k area.
Of course the Long/Short Ratio on Bitfinex isn't nearly low enough to support a massive short squeeze like we saw in April. Although, this time around we're in a smaller fractal so that's not all that necessary and plus it's highly likely that was done artificially by larger traders hunting stop-losses. The 1-min candles can support that theory here, creating a big 1-hr candle ending with a longer wick up top. A bull flag is in the making after that now in the purple trendlines.
Also note, bear volume spikes declining as bull volume spikes increasing as the triangle range narrows.
We'll see how this plays out, not holding on to positions until a clear break. Most likely bearish but shouldn't discount bullish possibilities.
Manipulation
WILD THEORY - Play 00 - Leg ATHIS IS A CONTINUATION OF THE IDEA I PUBLISHED LAST NIGHT AT 10 PM 05-25-18
If you saw the map I drew, it inferred we were following a greater pattern.
WHICH MAKES NO SENSE, BECAUSE CRYPTO IS DOING GREAT
WE SHOULD BE FLYING HIGH...
DUE TO ALL THE BREAKTHROUGHS AND SPECIAL INTEREST
But I purposely made it clear, that we were following A MIRROR..
And THAT FORMATION led wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy down...
So naturally, if my theory holds up...
We are going down.
Did you read this morning's crypto news?
For the first time in God knows how many months
We are below the 200 MA
And that means a big drop is probable
So last night...
while all these hopeful analysts plot a rise
I was prepping for a deeper fall
And I was fairly sure we would bump up against the resistance line at 7600
(615 ETH)
And knew when I woke next morning
We would have moved down
(Right now we are heading up to test that resistance)
Most often, after 3 failed tests, the price dives down to test the next lower support level.
To explain who are the FORCES behind WILD THEORY
I need to publish WHO THESE ENTITIES ARE and their AGENDA
And for other than no better name to use, I call them
TEAM EVIL.. because DEEP STATE is already an abused cliche
Verge of Despair: (3) NON-TA theories where BTC will go in JuneWILD THEORY EXPLAINED
PART I - How I discovered WILD THEORY
Most of you are probably thinking I am a crackpot conspiracy theorist.
I do KNOW such people. Some are indeed gullible and some are crackpots.
But one such friend of mine had his life threatened 3 times.
Namely because of his outspoken nature and organization of various committees.
His biggest theory is about the DEEP STATE.
Trust me, if they threaten a 75 year old man with no money, they are serious people with a big agenda.
I saw photos of one of the latest attacks. It's a big wrench that is deeply embedded in his car tire.
The mechanic who changed the tire could not pull it back out.
The kinetic force required to insert this wrench...
through the metal radials and rubber is incredible.
It was a warning.
Told my friend to STOP telling me about these people, because I will not join his crusade.
More important...
At the same time this happened, I bought crypto for my first time.
Two ETH coins at $ 750 -- that I sold 3 weeks later at a $ 192 net profit.
A new hobby was born..
whereby I also thought that would be the last mention of conspiracy theory.
As a new trader, I had no technique..
Entered the market at the quivering correction in February 2018.
Come March, the bears took over --- I lost close to $ 2,000.
Desperate for a plan and method, I started placing rulers on charts...
(Discovered rudimentary TA, without ANY HELP)
Began looking for patterns. while hunting the internet for live price charts, etc.
Found some chart TA forecasters on crypto news sites
Most of them were unreliable, but I realized TA was a science
Found that ETH followed BTC, started tracking BTC.
Next... developed my own method of day trading.
My losses reversed, began earning good money, got back all that was lost.
As a student of sciences and academic scholarship winner at a recognized college...
my instincts were to apply anything I ever learned... to seek patterns.
The first patterns I saw looked wave-like. These were fractals.
I watched for fractals... and that helped a little.
Then I started paying attention to the news.
Fractals acted up big time during main news events, etc.
Next came the Mt Gox court settlement... and the new Futures BTC market...
Everything went to hell.
But I did well.. because I noticed something weird..
which was unexplainable patterns that defied logic.
However, I had to see these in my mind first
They are hard to recognize, like shapes in clouds.
More important, you have to see them BEFORE they finish forming.
It's somewhat like naming a song tune by just hearing the first four notes.
April was a great month...
But now we were in this faux Bull market again.
( I will explain that later)
Then came May.
May defied most of the forecasters.
So I began to assemble my Wild Theory.
Wild Theory is based on fingerprints and anecdotal evidence.
From these things, I was able to figure out where prices where heading...
because I had a theory of what the END RESULT was going to be.
I was now trading WITH the price manipulators.. and
THINKING LIKE THEM.
PART II
WHO THEY ARE and THEIR AGENDA
(To be continued)
Global-Review / May 24th : VIX scenario is on ! Big move ahead !Hope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
If you want to see my chart more closely, click the share button below that video.. You will be able to have access to the chart used in that video.
Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum .
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
If you have questions about the topics discussed in that video post a comment with "@PRO_Indicators" handle.
Kindly,
Phil
If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators here's the educational video link :
Today's Lesson (#5) : How trade possible market manipulations.Before playing that video, be aware that I'm a very agressive trader, which means high level of risk into trying to copy my trades. The quality in those videos comes out of their content, not just following blindly. I'll be trading this with low leverage as this is highly speculative. So please don't just follow blindly but just take the educational content out of this to learn how to trade manipulated market more "safely", still being aware that this remain high risky thing !
Global-Review / May 23rd : Interesting US session ahead !Hope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
If you want to see my chart more closely, click the share button below that video.. You will be able to have access to the chart used in that video.
Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum .
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
If you have questions about the topics discussed in that video post a comment with "@PRO_Indicators" handle.
Kindly,
Phil
If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators here's the educational video link :
Want to know where bitcoin is HEADED?Hello everyone,
hope you are having a wonderful day.
With BTC chart, we are right now in re-testing zone of 8800, where we re-tested 3rd day in a row and did not break through.
We can see lot of tries by bulls to get back in the mood, but as you can see by the charts, bears have more power in this area.
By my info, we will soon spike to around 7800 levels, where i will place some trades for a few hours to get some free % on correction back.
But in meantime i will be full in FIAT because i expect consolidation to 6650 levels where bitcoin is headed right now.
We could be seeing push to 5500 if BTC will be weaker.
For XRP im awaiting pullback to around 0.30$, where i will be acummulating because of my information what will happen this year. You should do that too.
In this position i would be very careful of putting any trades.
Consensus will mean nothing to BTC. You can call it non-sensus.
Wish you best luck in trades.
Manipulations marketAnyone have questions about the handling of this market? Here in the kingdom of the whales there are no patterns or graphic logic but a reading of books by leverage with the only goal = to rip the bitcoins of the deceived, the clip is no longer something really promising when large funds discover it, in the small we do not have any chance in this market full of malicious and biased pimps to take their money.
Be Careful When Others Are GreedyBe Careful When Others Are Greedy
There are still too many who think we'll break $10,000 soon.
I think we'll see one more drop again after the correction, so the Bulls should finally be bearish again and be scared.
However, the current upmove could go to $9,700/9,600 before we see the drop in the $8,000 area.
After that, the long-awaited break out of $10,000 should come.
But it may take a few days until then.
Note: The targets may change over time, but I'll keep you posted.
Next Target Breaks $10,000Next Target Breaks $10,000
I only do this idea because my last one is most likely wrong.
There I gave you 2 scenarios that are not correct, because I assumed that Bitcoin will drop a little further.
Sometimes it's good to hold back and see how the market behaves.
And it looks like the correction is over sooner than expected.
Nevertheless, this is a pattern, which I have already suggested in the last idea, a running flat.
As a result, the yellow box is still the zone where we need to be careful.
In my opinion, despite the drop, there are still many longs open, and as soon as we break the $10,000, it'll be more when I look around Tradingview.
This is the perfect moment for smart whales to sell all their bags so the price should not rise any more.
But we should first see how the market will react.
It is too early to make such a prognosis.
For now, the market should be bullish for a few days.
Note: Altcoins should go up one more time.
Be Aware Of THIS Scenario 2.0Be Aware Of THIS Scenario 2.0
As I said on my last update, it looks like we're going to drop again.
It all looked bullish for a while, but since everyone was sure we had a bounce at $9,200 this support simply could not hold.
Let's move on to the scenarios before Bitcoin breaks through the $10,000:
Scenario 1: We form an expanding flat and test either MA 50 in the 4hr chart or MA 200 in the 1d chart.
Scenario 2: We form a running flat and test $8,800
In my opinion we'll form an expanding flat (Scenario 1) instead of a running flat (Scenario 2).
Since many people, including 'top authors' are expecting a bounce at $8,800, it will probably not hold.
But you can never be sure.
This drop could also change the view of the idea '' Watch Out When Breaking $10,000 '' - depending on how people react to this drop.
Btw: Although I'm still very bullish on Bitcoin Cash, it's very likely that it will drop again with almost all altcoins.
If it drops with Bitcoin, I'm still very sure that it will shoot in the near future.
INCEPTION BTC EDITIONStudent of the game!
TRIANGLES FOR DAYYYYYSSS. INSIDE OF TRIANGLE INSIDE OF TRIANGLE!
It looks like the power is in the hands of the bears as is to me. A pop upwards would rally shortly with a bigger fall. As you can see, what I was saying in the video I posted earlier....theres stronger sell presence than there is buy (arrows). BTC is playing a game inside of our minds at the moment.
Manipulation has to stop somewhere before 11,7 for sure. I am willing to hold out on gains though it is very tempting to jump in but why gamble in a market you can try to read. Better to play chess while everyone else is playing checkers. I refuse to buy until the language of the charts clears up and we have established a confirmation on which direction is which.
I don't like blaming whales for things on the charts but the reality is that they do carry power and either we play into what looks like a pop higher every time until they burn us bad or we wait out their game and sacrifice minor gains for safer major ones coming up.
Alts I am also looking to get into other than BTC : NEO and NCT (polyswarm)
Stay Frosty, Keep the Patience
Be Aware Of THIS ScenarioIt seems Bitcoin has bounced off the critical zone. Since I had a sell order at around $9500 this night, I got away well. On my last idea, I said that Bitcoin breaks through this zone only if it forms a flag before or after it. With this update I would like to warn you that it could be this way again. So be open to this scenario. I've shown you the current options that I see now below what a flag might look like. It could also look very different. I just want you to make your own picture of it. Inspire yourself, go through the scenarios yourself and decide yourself. Never just listen to others, because they could be wrong too. The only difference is that they may have a stop loss while you are not safe. Make your own decision.
Be Aware Of THIS Critical AreaIn the last few days we had a very parabolic move, which is very unnatural. It all reminds of the rally up to $20000. Accordingly, I would watch out for the euphoria that currently prevails. Because the game could change very quickly in Bitcoin in the other direction.
The critical area I have marked serves as a very large resistance. Until now, it has proved to be a direction indicator for Bitcoin. Either we rebounded from there without any problems or had to form a flag before or after to break them.
Since many coins are in the meantime, I would be careful.
I also do not want to say that Bitcoin will bounce 100% there. I just want to warn you hereby.
So watch out for this area, because this could be a very good point to short.
Together with $11000 the $9800 range is the biggest resistance for Bitcoin and since nobody has this area on the screen, I could well imagine a sharp move down there to trap everyone.
How Manipulation Reduces YOUR MoneyIf everyone now thinks that all these manipulations are new to Bitcoin, then I can not agree with that.
All these manipulations already existed in 2013/14, where Bitcoin also fell by about 80%.
This manipulation also came as everyone expected a pullback at $10,000. What happened later? We were rushed through this milestone like anything else.
Even the upmove to $20,000 was pure manipulation. Nobody expected anything like that.
And now to all optimists: We will not reach a new all time high this year. We will continue to correct and we will most likely break the $6000 or at least see a sharp downmove before we go up again. This is what a correction looks like in every market.
All this will continue until almost nobody has money available or no desire to market.
Manipulation is part of the market. That has always existed and will continue to exist.
SHOCKING PROOFS: How Whales Manipulate THE BITCOIN-MARKET!Dear Friends :)
I have the last couple of weeks, warned you again and again about extraordinary high manipulation in the Bitcoin-market (BTC/USD). I received earlier today a link on Twitter to a blog on Steemit, where a guy documents, how a group of whales are discussing, how to manipulate a market.
I therefore decided to spent a lot of time to analyze the last 2 weeks of the BTCUSD-market. I have made a comparison between the last 2 weeks and Bitcoins Price movements in the past and also looked closer in to other traditional markets the last couple of weeks (with lower and higher Market Capitalization).
Let's first define manipulation:
Controlling someone or something to your own advantage, often unfairly or dishonestly. In this case, we are talking about whales with a lot of money (usually at least 5 % of the market) is taking advantage of traders with less money to gain more wealth.
My Approach:
This is only seen from a TA-perspective. I have looked at the 1h BTCUSD chart over 14 days. I have chosen to categorize 3 different ways whales have manipulated the market:
1. Bear traps (yellow circles). To bait traders to go SHORT hopefully with leverage, AND in a situation, where normal TA principles confirms a downtrend direction, where the whales hereafter use their power and money to go in the opposite direction with the purpose to liquidate SHORTS.
2. Bull Traps (red circles). To bait traders to go LONG hopefully with leverage, AND in a situation, where normal TA principles confirms an uptrend direction, where the whales hereafter use their power and money to go in the opposite direction with the purpose to liquidate LONGS.
3. Shake outs (orange magnifying glass). Sudden huge price movements in either direction, WHERE normal TA-principles not necessarily confirms a clear and certain direction. Also with the purpose to liquidate either SHORTS or LONGS to achieve more control in the market.
I have furthermore used the following indicators to confirm a possible manipulation:
- Volume by time (measured and compared to the MA20 volume)
- The RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Summary and conclusion:
1. Take notice of the long period of 14 days, where the RSI not* have been under 50, apart from the times where whales manipulated the market. We only had a period of 15 hours (look at the green rectangle) where it happened. This has never happened in this market before under similar circumstances.
Usually we only see this in parabolic runs over some few days or if we make higher highs and lows in a market, which is going up in bids with not much fluctuations and usually not for that many days in a row.
2. The amount of manipulation is extremely high compared to other periods of 14 days. I have looked into at least 25 different periods of 14 days, and I haven't yet found a period with more manipulation.
3. April the 12th 2018 we had a Bitcoin-record, when it comes to volume by hour (Volume was higher than 24 times the MA20) and it appeared after a bear trap.
4. The number of times the RSI Level is above 70 is extremely high compared to a normal period of 14 days and very high to a similar uptrend period.
What we can expect now
As you can see, yesterday was the first time we came under RSI Level 50 again and stayed there without a manipulation, which took us higher. As I told you before, I also compared this situation with 2014, where we saw the crash. If this and the 2014-path continues, I have illustrated on the RSI what we will see.
You can expect that we will continue go lower in price and the RSI stay under 50 (usually around 30-40) and when we try to go above RSI 50 you can expect that it is a bull trap. You also expect regular shake outs, and eventually it can result in a similar crash we saw in 2014.
Let's hope the best for Bitcoin though!
D4 Loves You <3
I would really appreciate A BIG like this time - I spent a lot of time with all the research :)
BTCUSD- Fear not the whales! Staying afloat amidst manipulationOH NO THE WHALES ARE MOVING THE MARKET!!!!
Yes, yes they are.
But that doesn't mean you have to watch your stops get swallowed up like a helpless krill!
All jokes aside, I hardly ever post about bitcoin as I'm an Ether guy myself, but there really is some highly suspect moves in the BTC market as of late. D4 did a great job of covering some of the suspect zones (link to his chart is provided) and in the comments you can find some secondary commentary and an accompanying chart showing some additional evidence of possible manipulation.
But lets be real, if you're trading cryptos and keep your head in the game, you already knew this was happening.
On to the good stuff!
So today we're going to:
Check out one of my methods for staying away from disastrous losses from liquidated stops while whales move the market
Look at some possible paths for BTC over the next day or so
Oogle some obescenely beautiful channel movement
Staying Afloat
***This is just what I personally do to manage my trades during heavy manipulation, it is neither perfect nor without risk; but if you stay proactive about watching the market you should be able to minimize the likeliness of taking losses in a whale sell off.
I truly cant stress this one enough: Monitor to break even before you even consider dropping a stop.
If you're trading 4 hours or greater bars, drop down your usual trade time cycle to half of its usual value and do your best to check the market often for dramatic shifts. (I usually trade 4 hour charts, in this market I drop to two and do my best to check every 4 hours at most).
Place very loose stops (I usually push down my normal stop as much as 6-8% lower
DONT LOSE YOUR HEAD! whales moving the markets can be scary to watch, but they're relatively easy to pick out.
You can see how many major "whale moves" correct rather rapidly (likely after minnow positions are liquidated), HODL is never a trade strategy, but a calculated short term hold for indications of a market shift is a completely viable strategy; possibly even keeping you from the way too common "buy high, sell low syndrome")
Possible Paths
Blue seems unlikely with the dropping volume against the sharp recovery that just occurred
Green is what I would really like to see and would be the "healthiest", id be more bullish on a pump to the 100% fib after some strong consolidation along the channel than a low volume jet upwards.
I dont think this scenario is too likely considering weve been moving channel bound for upwards of two weeks. If it does though, we're looking at some good support at both $8750 and $8000 (~%50 fib of current channel bound cycle)
Channels can be a beautiful thing
Theres not too much to this one, I just love examples of market geometry and technicals playing out in fromt of me. Really the channels began forming shortly after the recent cycle low reversal. It's interesting to note that both the high/low cycle shifted by a single channel each time the fib ratios were reached.
Stay frosty, and learn to fight the whales fellow crypto traders!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
DISCLOSURE:
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!
Austin Doyle
CTO
BITCOIN: obvious manipulation on the 30min candlesIts really a strange pattern for some whale manipulations here. We see a 24h P.n.D (pump and dump) game and then the start of a short term upwards regression trend channel (at 10°) that lasts about 48h. This pattern has repeated now 2 times with a very high rate of accuracy (24h p.n.d and 48).
I dont really know why "they" (whales, exchanges) are manipulation the price in this pattern. But my guess is that they have some common target and this could be the consensus 2018 conference . (14-16 may)
Let me know what you peeps are thinking of it. If this continues we would see BTC price ranges between 10.4k and 11.6k right before the consensus 2018. If true.. expect a dump afterwards!
BTCUSD :: Bull's Failed Longs Killing BTCBitcoin margin traders have been the primary cause of volatility, it would seem.
What I see here is that for the most part, bears have much less impact on the market than the bulls (I would have thought the reverse!). True, a big bear paw helped knock BTC off the high horse, but the next day bulls started a path of self-destruction. This battle played out for a bit, with the bears seeming more strategic and the late coming bulls having major FOMO. The early bulls falsely inflated the CCI which was easy to do the day after all those shorts opened.
The price continued to go downward as people took their profits before they weren't profits anymore and this caused a lot of bull nuts to be squeezed. Everyone decided to give it another shot and, you can see that as L&S activity stabilizes the market tries to return to normality...which has been a down trend but it's trying to normalize the 6-11K range.
The long bulls finally gave up in the last week of march, falsely *deflating* the market as they had done previously.
At this point every has had their ass torn from both directions and I'm lmfao at how all these smart people out smart themselves. I, having no financial eduction or even skills or responsibility, have also had my ass handed to me so .. This pot is also black.
Everyone had a good LOOONG as week to analyze the crap out of every micro & macro pattern possible and a lot that aren't.
As mentioned, the bears seemed more strategic and you can see that a large number of shorts were opened at the PERFECT time.. when the 100 MA is crossing the 200 .. AND the market is hitting nearly 200 on the CCI.
The rest of the week was mostly Joe Blow grabbing big handful of FOMO. He's the one who is going to cry elephant tears. :(
We're at a crazy pinnacle of resistances from literally every direction and that hammer is super crazy ready to pounce on a market full of bulls who have run out of steam driving their precious lambo straight into the ground.
Ironic eh?
War=Risk on in this Fed manipulated market..Anybody with a mutual fund, 401k, etc should be extremely worried. The banks have hijacked the financial system, and there are no real markets anymore. Do your due diligence on currency creation, devaluation, inflation, and realize we may be in for another 1929.
BTC Stophunters/Flagcityophunters are real quys, perfect example of a beautiful flag setup dipped hard below support right before the breakout. You could tell that once we got huge sell volume on the 2nd smaller flag the run was over for the most part. That's where clean flagging turned into choppy channeling. Keep strong hands manipulation is strong atm. Rising wedge currently breaking out most likely a bull trap as the second half of this Bear Flag is much smaller than the first leg down.
BTC Stophunters!Stophunters are real quys, perfect example of a beautiful flag setup dipped hard below support right before the breakout. You could tell that once we got huge sell volume on the 2nd smaller flag the run was over for the most part. That's where clean flagging turned into choppy channeling. Keep strong hands manipulation is strong atm. Rising wedge currently breaking out most likely a bull trap as the second half of this Bear Flag is much smaller than the first leg down.