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Manipulation

XRP Bull Breaker - Alternate View By Popular Request (5:1 Short)My most popular idea by far, with over 70 comments in half as many hours, is this one, which I've revised in order to show the Trend Exhaustion details w/in the AVWAP Array on the 1D chart. Again, if you are a long term Bull, you won’t like it, and yet since I operate by the Steel Man principle, I welcome your toughest questions and chart-based counter-arguments. As I always, I strive to render my ideas so that I need no words to explain them, although I can (and do) write detailed paragraphs (elsewhere). Anyways, in the medium term, I expect price to fall to the $0.3785 shown here, which also marks the Point-of-Control from the last major swing low. Price Action already tested the positive 3rd Standard Deviation of the AVWAP from the same reference point, as shown, and will, by degrees, retest the negative 2nd Standard deviation below (+/- $0.22 USD as of this writing). The stop loss shown here is discretionary and conservative, and should be revised for current conditions if you are considering a short trade. Closer study on lower timeframes may reveal a better entry or stop loss as the chart unfolds over time. Hopefully this version clarifies a few details for the confused. In practice, the Trend Exhaustion Wedge reveals stop loss and profit targets for day traders on the lowest time frames (minutes, even seconds), which are, by nature, moving targets on any given day. The AWVAP Array, on the other hand, is dynamic, and prints according to the timeframe, unlike the trend lines. I intend to start live-streaming soon, so feel free to ask questions if you have any. Critical thinkers only ... XRP-Trolls need not apply. Until then, be liquid!
BINANCE:XRPUSDShort
by TheLeadingIndicator
13
Weekly Imbalance Filling for CHAINLINK 🚀💼In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, recognizing unique opportunities is essential for success. One such opportunity that often goes underappreciated is the concept of weekly imbalance filling. In this post, we'll dive into what weekly imbalance filling means and why it's crucial, especially for assets like LINK, which hold significant growth potential. Understanding Weekly Imbalance Filling: A Hidden Gem Weekly imbalance filling refers to the process of fulfilling previously unmet market orders, typically those accumulated during weekly price gaps. These gaps represent levels where market participants have unexecuted orders, creating a potential catalyst for price movements. Why It Matters: The LINK Perspective Chainlink (LINK), known for its innovative decentralized oracle network, is an asset with substantial growth potential. Recognizing the power of weekly imbalance filling can be especially beneficial for LINK traders and investors. The Potential Benefits: LINK's Growth Catalyst Filling weekly imbalances can act as a strong catalyst for LINK's price appreciation. By addressing these gaps, the price often experiences upward momentum as market orders are executed. How to Leverage This Opportunity: A Game Plan Identify Imbalances: Use technical analysis to locate weekly price gaps or imbalances on LINK's chart. Monitor Closely: Keep a close watch on these levels, as they may serve as key turning points for LINK's price. Trading Strategy: Develop a well-thought-out trading strategy that incorporates weekly imbalance filling as part of your decision-making process. Risk Management: Always employ sound risk management practices to protect your capital. Conclusion: Seizing the LINK Opportunity In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading, it's crucial to stay vigilant and explore all potential avenues for profitable opportunities. Weekly imbalance filling represents one such avenue, and when applied strategically, it can serve as a powerful catalyst for LINK's growth. Chainlink's unique position in the blockchain ecosystem and its ongoing development make it a prime candidate for benefiting from this phenomenon. By understanding and harnessing the potential of weekly imbalance filling, traders and investors can position themselves for success in the LINK market. Remember, while this strategy holds significant potential, it's important to combine it with comprehensive analysis and disciplined risk management for a well-rounded approach to trading LINK. 🚀🔗🚀 ❗See related ideas below❗ Like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! Your engagement fuels our crypto discussions. 💚📈💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
2
XRP Bull Breaker - 7.77:1 Short + Longterm ForecastI just finished a complete overhaul of my XRPUSD chart, a portion of which is on display here in order to publish my medium and long range forecasts for this most “distributive” of digital assets. If you are a long term Bull, you won’t like it, and yet since I operate by the Steel Man principle, I welcome your toughest questions and chart-based counter-arguments. As I always, I strive to render my ideas so that I need no words to explain them, although I can (and do) write detailed paragraphs (elsewhere). Anyways, in the short term, I expect price to fall below the $0.3785 shown here (purely for the 7.77 R-Value) down to ~ $0.34, then to ~ $0.28 in the medium term and finally to ~ $0.22 at or near the next BTC Halving event. From there your eye leads up to the Trend Exhaustion Limit and retraces until the end of 2025. Three years later, if my forecast is correct, there will be a final speculative peak, after which price should level off to some stable range of intrinsic value of ~ $5.89 throughout the next decade. Obviously, this chart is not tradable, per se, and serves instead as an an introduction and reference point for lower timeframe ideas and videos I intend to publish. The complete chart has many granular details for targeting stop losses, and new details will be constantly updated (and erased) as price action unfolds. Until then, be liquid!
BINANCE:XRPUSDShort
by TheLeadingIndicator
92
Understanding How Forced Liquidations / Stop Hunts are DesignedIn this write up I will explain how we can extrapolate our knowledge of stop loss orders to understand the automatic execution of what are known as forced liquidations or stop hunts. We will understand the mechanics of how Bitcoin can achieve such speed of movement and how to predict these events by reading the charts with a unique perspective of pre-design of these events. Our first goal with viewing the Bitcoin chart is to remain objective and without personal bias. We should have no emotional attachment or opinion when it comes to trading and asset effectively. Due to the lack of regulations in the crypto market and our knowledge of for-profit ventures benefiting off the liquidations of traders positions, we can strive to align ourselves with these forces so long as we decide to actively trade this market. We can begin by understanding what drives Bitcoins price up and down. Unlike equities that have relational value to real world output via job creation, product sales, infrastructure, P&L reports, etc - Bitcoin is in a different class of assets lacking intrinsic value and belong to what I like to call “perceived value assets”. This means the evaluation of price is based on an agreed upon value, defined only by liquidity flowing into and out of the asset. This creates the “volatile” nature you hear about in crypto assets. Prices are very fluid and move up and down extraordinarily fast at specific times that may seem random. The executable actions that impact the price is the fulfillment of orders; buys and sells. Where things get interesting is in understanding stop loss orders and their accumulation. Stop losses are effectively limit orders that reverse the position of traders by returning liquidity into the Bitcoin market cap or by pulling it out of the market cap; depending if the stop loss is for a LONG or SHORT. While it may be hard to grasp how the futures market has a direct effect on Bitcoins price, we must understand that in futures we are simply instructing Market Makers what to do with their assets by borrowing the leverage to our margin and in effect they will sell or buy Bitcoin. The stop losses of these trades are the direct opposition and not only is it in the Market Makers interest to ensure you aren’t taking money from them, attacking the stop losses and liquidations of your trades has a factual benefit to both the exchanges and market makers who collect your position margin once liquidation level is hit. Understanding this we can look at the bitcoin chart and make sense of accumulation of stop loss orders; shown here in my boxes (green are buy orders / short stops, red are sell orders / long stops). We can gauge for ourselves the amount of stop losses accumulated and predict the speed of bitcoins movement and clear interest in setting up a two way liquidation. Now why would a two way liquidation of such magnitude occur? The answer is to do with the US Dollar just underneath a major bearish retest on the 3 month chart. An entry into a bull market is would be a key time to execute a dramatic liquidation on Bitcoins chart, as we see here there is a chain reaction ready to hit both the top and bottom level I have marked. As the stop loss orders are hit, there is accumulating power sent into the next level, which creates exponential speed of movement and this is what we like to call “stop hunts”. Hopefully this article is helpful and allows you to understand how we can decipher the chart in a way that allows us to forecast out these movements and ideally prove that these “unpredictable” movements are in fact quite predictable after all. - Dick Dandy
by DickDandy
C3.AI - A Highly Volatile Fade With A Big RewardWhether you like it or not, the AI pump, even though it lasted for four months, has come to an end, because "artificial" has never been much of a compliment in the first place. Consider this: Artificial butter is called "margarine" and if you use it in pastries in France you'll go to prison Artificial milk is called "soy drink" and if you drink it then you'll get hormonal problems. An artificial bed is called a "couch" and you only sleep on it when you did something stupid and hurt your wife's feelings or have become poor. Regardless, C3.AI, just like Docusign, shows curious signs that it should rally and be a big bagger in the future, but the timing for it to do the go train doesn't make sense at present. I outline Docusign here: Docusign - In Theory, A Long-term Technical Multibagger for C3.AI, the evidence is made the most clear on the monthly bars, which is the big gear that dominates all the smaller time frames anyways. The point is this: 1. All price action in the four month pump was simply retracing a mid-2021 gap down liquidity void, as evidenced by the bodies of the candles and the move away from the level. 2. The big "omg ChatGPT" pump candle from May, which formed an outside reversal bar, has had the 50% level traded through on two monthly bars 3. The May low of $16.79 is still higher (and meaningfully so on a % basis) than the $13.37 level, which amounted to little more than a stop raid during the 2022 lows 4. These numbers and ranges are enormous in magnitude, but C3 is a very, very volatile stock and only worth $3.16 billion at current levels 5. The same idea for an upside gap play exists at $90, and a strong Q4 rally is extremely possible. So, let's say that the market makers are willing to take price on a 300%+ moon mission. Let me ask you a question, is it very likely that this will happen before, or after, some sort of manipulation to the downside that shakes out weak hands? The answer is obvious, and so the target is circa $15 in the remaining portion of September and/or October. The problem with going long the bottoms on the pump thesis is that the situation in Mainland China with the Spectre of Communism controlling the "Chinese" Communist Party is that the CCP is about to fall. The Yuan is in rough shape, property developers and commercial real estate are about to explode like they ate a crit from the rocket launcher in Quake 4, and cities are starting to appear empty as a result of Mainland China, the world's motherland, being made empty as a result of the Wuhan Pneumonia epidemic. And to think that all these problems are nothing more than a prelude to the real elephant in the room: the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners launched by the CCP and former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999. The CCP, Xi, the remnants of the Jiang Faction, and the "International Rules Based Order" that smeared its hands participating in the persecution to court Shanghai and Tsinghua Marxist-Leninist vows for material benefits, can absolutely not escape the consequences of these crimes against humanity. Humans won't hold people responsible, but Heaven will. There will never be a Nuremburg 2.0, and there won't be a "Great Judgment," but there certainly will be a historic retribution for evil that will be passed down forever. And this makes long into January of 2024 as the market rallies extremely dangerous. I can only ask you to consider hedging with volatility when you see the VIX at a 9-handle in November and an 8-handle in December. When "That Day" really comes, everything will be over in a night. And it will be too late to cry. You'll be trapped on the greatest gap of all time.
NYSE:AIShort
by LordWrymouth
1
AMD Wyckoff Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution 📈💹📉 The Wyckoff Phases Recap: The Wyckoff method consists of Accumulation (smart money buying), Manipulation (price action controlled by insiders), and Distribution (smart money selling) phases. 📈 Applying Wyckoff to AMD: We can adapt this method to AMD stock. During Accumulation, savvy investors may be accumulating AMD shares quietly. Manipulation is when price action might seem unpredictable but is driven by insiders. Distribution marks the phase where these insiders might start selling. 📊 Accumulation Signals: Look for signs of increased buying activity in AMD while prices remain relatively flat. This could indicate the accumulation phase. 💡 Manipulation Hints: Manipulation can be tricky to spot, but unusual price movements or volume spikes might provide clues. Consider this phase as a time of price consolidation before a potential move. 📉 Distribution Clues: During the distribution phase, watch for decreasing buying interest and potentially diverging indicators. This might indicate that insiders are slowly selling off their holdings. 🚀 Trading Opportunities: If you can identify these phases correctly, you might find opportunities to trade AMD more strategically. For example, entering during Accumulation when prices are low and potential upside is significant. 🔮 The Future of AMD: Keep in mind that while Wyckoff analysis can provide valuable insights, no strategy guarantees success. Always combine it with thorough research and risk management. In conclusion, applying the Wyckoff method to AMD stock can offer a unique perspective on its price movements. Recognizing the phases of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution might empower you to make more informed trading decisions. Stay analytical, stay vigilant, and remember – understanding market phases can give you an edge when trading AMD or any other asset! 📊🚀
by AlexWhale
Crude Oil ~ Snapshot TA / Bullish ReversalWell well, H&S Short Position was there ready to be taken - but unfortunately Price Manipulators were also ready to defend.. First warning sign was wick reversal beyond 38.2% Fib. Second warning sign was another reversal just underneath previous wick for the Stop Hunt. Price action has since rallied above neckline, consolidating just under 23.6% Fib. In hindsight, makes sense why Market Makers would intervene an imminent sell-off when globally significant news haven't hit wires yet (Powell/Jackson Hole). All you can do is highlight key levels, set alerts & wait for Trade Setup to come to you.. Ps, retained H&S Short Idea on chart as reminder & part hopefulness of potentially playing out lol...we'll find out soon. Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers :) CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE TVC:USOIL TVC:UKOIL NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:CL2!
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by BlueHatInvestor
Bitcoin and the Engineering of a Mass 2-Way LiquidationBitcoin is set up to perform a two way liquidation any moment now - as it corresponds to DXY. The chart is loaded with stop orders shown respectively as buy orders in green and sell orders in red. This is how the chart engineers such moves to perform at such speed without reliance on retail traders at all - the orders are embedded in the chart itself. Think of lighting the fuse of a chain of explosives that accumulate more and more momentum in a big chain reaction. Look at my levels shown here for liquidation top and bottom - Bottom is the entry of a bull market to 60,000 or more. God speed and be safe.
by DickDandy
EUR/USD - Back to fair valueEUR/USD analysis for next week. Price currently reacted on the H4 fair value gap after a long bullsih push. We took out liquidity first on London open and then on NY open causing a market structure shift on the m15 timeframe. You can look for a potential setup to go short once price retraces and potentially fill the FVG + Imbalance on this m15 swing that caused the break. Wait for rejection on the zone for a potential short targeting fair value (50% of the swing).
Short
by andrefx24
2
DGLY is due for a correctionDigital Ally, has had a bit of a slow motion pump after earnings in mid-May. Insofar as the earnings go, there were none. The news is DGLY is burning cash less than expected. No matter how you cut it shareholder value is not there and still the price went up since then especially in the last few trading sessions. DGLY could dilute shareholders to raise capital. Insiders could be manipulating the price. According to FinTel, there are 12 insiders who own 7.7% of the shares. Seemingly, if they act in a coordinated scheme without any paper trail they could have run the price up especially if they got help with one of the several penny stock trading rooms with lots of followers. Overall, this looks like a pop and drop pumped up and ready to flush. I will take a short trade of put options on this expectant for a quick profit over a week or two.
NASDAQ:DGLYShort
by AwesomeAvani
4
ACA/USDT 1D. Fall out of channel. Manipulation.Here's coin in DOT ecosystem - Acala network. Though it has problems with its stable coin etc. there's space for earning money. Here's how. There was an accumulation channel(logic of the current movements). In it the volume was accumulated. Now there;s a break down of this channel. Price is dumping. The meaning of it - is how i've already described - collection of stop losses. From the support price has now dropped 37% down. We've come to the first support and potential reversal zone 0.545$. Yellow level. The second one is on the chart. When dropping out of that horizontal channel we had - the downtrend channel started to form, this is when we speak about technical side of this potential manipulation. Now as you can notice on the chart - the price is on the support of this downtrend channel. Hence we can at least work locally from the support considering potential bounce of the price.
Long
by TradingTsar
1
EOS/USD 1W. Basic trend. Potentials and manipulations.Here's the EOS/USD 1W Chart on Bitfinex(long history). Right now we can see the horizontal channel forming. In this channel harmonic pattern on daily TF formed and worked out the first target, which is the middle of this local horizontal accumulation channel, in terms of 1w TF. Now we're near the support of this channel 0.86$. Recently the big amount of EOS were deposited on the exchanges. Showed the classical potential manipulation - look. On the bottom we have the support zone. Also it's 0/61(16)$ zone which often acts as bottom. This 0.61$ zone is -25% from the current support which is basic percent for pulling out stop losses. Though, if the market gives an "opportunity" it can dump further. The global support is 0.5$. This is also a possibility. And if on the moment it's very scary - the price can drop up to 0.36, which is also -25% but from the main support 0.5$. It will be 0.36 $ zone. Still, the potential is very good. Shown the potential distribution(local distribution) zone on chart. Those are - 2.5$; 5$ and then maybe 15$ but probably not in this local cycle. You can potentially work martingale in this type of situation, which means buy more if price drops.
BITFINEX:EOSUSDLong
by TradingTsar
6
Algorithm vs Liquidity In Determining PriceBased on my research into IPDA and algorithms, central banks, trading firms/hedge funds, and smaller banks use execution algos (EAs) for trading with different objectives. Small banks use EAs to split large parent orders into smaller child orders generally in one direction, buy or sell. These orders are executed separately over a period of time to either open or close positions. Trading firms and hedge funds use opportunistic EAs to buy and sell to turn a profit. Central banks use market making EAs to buy and sell in order to bring liquidity providers net positions back to or close as possible to neutral. (This sounds like equilibrium). Central banks use EAs cautiously and only during their main trading hours and always under the supervision of people. A key reason for using EAs is to access multiple liquidity pools in order to reduce market impact or footprint. This is similar to a parent child relationship between Central Bank algos and other smart money players, where smart money (including central banks) accumulate orders in consolidation before expanding price, then the central bank algo pulls them back to equilibrium like a parent calling their child that has strayed too far away. Then they rinse and repeat. I am of the opinion that with the function of central bank algos to facilitate the provision of liquidity with minimal market impact, that liquidity itself is the determining factor in price delivery. Algos used by smart money break up large orders in to smaller chunks and funnel them to multiple liquidity providers (market makers) for fulfillment since forex is decentralized. If there is enough liquidity (buyers and sellers) to open/close positions at a certain price then it is done at that price. When liquidity is low or there aren't enough buyers and sellers at the current price, the market maker's algo has to fill these received orders where there is enough liquidity based on available buyers and sellers. The algos move very quickly which can deplete available buy or sell orders rapidly leaving unfilled counter party orders in its wake which defines liquidity voids (imbalance). Algo adjustments to meet buyers and sellers at their price is perceived as a stop hunt but it's just economics. Example: If I must sell something and I want to sell it for $100 but no one is willing to pay $100, I would have to look for buyers willing to pay $95. If I must buy something and I only want to pay $100 but the seller is charging HKEX:105 , then I have to pay $105. Either the buyer crosses the spread to meet the seller or the seller crosses the spread to meet the buyer. When there are limit and stop orders the buyer or seller isn't moving so the liquidity provider has to move to meet these buyers/sellers at their limit or stop order prices (including orders left behind in liquidity voids). When the orders trigger and price reverses it takes out both buyers and sellers so people call it a hunt, but I'm sure it is intended for actual institutional trading entities because retail traders such as ourselves can not provide the liquidity to be on the other side of every order placed by institutions. We are simply collateral damage in the battle between financial titans seeking to provide and tap into liquidity.
Education
by MartialChartsFX