TWT Short Setup : Rising Wedge + AMD🚫The world of crypto can be full of surprises, and today, we're looking at the TWT token. It recently took a steep plunge from a colossal rising wedge pattern. However, before considering a short position, it's crucial to remember that trading is not just about patterns but also about market manipulation. 📊
The Rising Wedge Pattern:
Rising wedges are typically bearish patterns, signaling a potential price decline. But in the realm of cryptocurrencies, it's essential to exercise caution, as market manipulation can play a significant role. 🚫📉
The Manipulation Factor:
Detailed photo how AMD by wyckoff looks like :
While technical patterns can offer valuable insights, it's essential to recognize that market manipulation can disrupt the traditional signals patterns provide. Traders should remain vigilant and not solely rely on patterns. 🃏
Trading Strategy:
If you're considering a short position on TWT:
Patience is Key: Wait for a retest of the wedge's border as resistance. This can provide a more favorable entry point.
Risk Management: Use risk management tools like stop-loss orders to protect your investments.
Stay Informed: Keep a close watch on TWT's performance and any market news that could impact your trading decisions.
Conclusion:
Trading in the crypto world is a blend of art and science, where patterns can offer insights, but market dynamics can be unpredictable. Recognize the influence of market manipulation and trade wisely.
It's crucial to approach trading with caution, stay informed, and adapt your strategy to the ever-evolving market conditions.
Remember that while patterns can guide your trading decisions, they're not infallible, and market manipulation can add an extra layer of complexity.
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
Manipulation
The Volume Trick: A Bullish Mirage 📈Trading cryptocurrencies often requires deciphering the subtle cues that the market offers. One such phenomenon is the apparent decrease in trading volume while prices continue to climb. While this may seem like weakness, it can, in fact, be a trap for shorts and a strong bullish signal. Let's dive into this intriguing market dynamic.
Understanding the Volume Puzzle:
Trading volume typically reflects market participation and strength.
A decrease in volume might suggest waning interest or weakening momentum.
The Deceptive Setup:
Sometimes, as prices rise, trading volume shrinks, creating the illusion of market fatigue.
This scenario may lead short-sellers to believe the market is losing steam.
The Reality:
Contrary to appearances, this setup often serves as a trap for shorts.
It may signify that long-term holders are not rushing to sell, indicating strong hands.
The Bullish Implication:
A market that can sustain or increase prices with lower volume is demonstrating resilience.
This can be a precursor to a significant bullish move.
Trading Strategy: Navigating the Volume Mirage
Traders should exercise caution when interpreting volume patterns.
A decrease in volume amid a price rise should not be automatically seen as bearish.
Risk management remains vital, as markets can be unpredictable.
Conclusion: The Volume Illusion
Recognizing the subtleties of trading volume can provide valuable insights into market dynamics. When volume decreases but prices continue to rise, it often confounds short-sellers and sets the stage for a bullish surge.
Remember that trading is both an art and a science, and making informed decisions is key in the crypto landscape. Stay vigilant, adapt to changing conditions, and, above all, trade wisely.
As we navigate the complexities of the crypto market, let's keep an eye out for these volume tricks that may just be a prelude to a bullish rally. 📊🚀🌐
❗See related ideas below❗
Don't forget to like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! 💚🚀💚
GbpJpy This is what makes the most sense to me heading in to October...
Monthly wicks respected although the monthly candle actually closed in it's lower 3rd I'm bullish on all TF's
181.60 is a valid MP, OB, TL/Retest, FVG and last weeks opening price...
IF we pull back this far we will also be hitting the 0.7 fib level and I fully expect this level to hold
Accumulation-Manipulation-Trend
XRP Bull Breaker - Alternate View By Popular Request (5:1 Short)My most popular idea by far, with over 70 comments in half as many hours, is this one, which I've revised in order to show the Trend Exhaustion details w/in the AVWAP Array on the 1D chart. Again, if you are a long term Bull, you won’t like it, and yet since I operate by the Steel Man principle, I welcome your toughest questions and chart-based counter-arguments.
As I always, I strive to render my ideas so that I need no words to explain them, although I can (and do) write detailed paragraphs (elsewhere).
Anyways, in the medium term, I expect price to fall to the $0.3785 shown here, which also marks the Point-of-Control from the last major swing low. Price Action already tested the positive 3rd Standard Deviation of the AVWAP from the same reference point, as shown, and will, by degrees, retest the negative 2nd Standard deviation below (+/- $0.22 USD as of this writing).
The stop loss shown here is discretionary and conservative, and should be revised for current conditions if you are considering a short trade. Closer study on lower timeframes may reveal a better entry or stop loss as the chart unfolds over time.
Hopefully this version clarifies a few details for the confused.
In practice, the Trend Exhaustion Wedge reveals stop loss and profit targets for day traders on the lowest time frames (minutes, even seconds), which are, by nature, moving targets on any given day. The AWVAP Array, on the other hand, is dynamic, and prints according to the timeframe, unlike the trend lines.
I intend to start live-streaming soon, so feel free to ask questions if you have any. Critical thinkers only ... XRP-Trolls need not apply.
Until then, be liquid!
Weekly Imbalance Filling for CHAINLINK 🚀💼In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, recognizing unique opportunities is essential for success. One such opportunity that often goes underappreciated is the concept of weekly imbalance filling. In this post, we'll dive into what weekly imbalance filling means and why it's crucial, especially for assets like LINK, which hold significant growth potential.
Understanding Weekly Imbalance Filling: A Hidden Gem
Weekly imbalance filling refers to the process of fulfilling previously unmet market orders, typically those accumulated during weekly price gaps.
These gaps represent levels where market participants have unexecuted orders, creating a potential catalyst for price movements.
Why It Matters: The LINK Perspective
Chainlink (LINK), known for its innovative decentralized oracle network, is an asset with substantial growth potential.
Recognizing the power of weekly imbalance filling can be especially beneficial for LINK traders and investors.
The Potential Benefits: LINK's Growth Catalyst
Filling weekly imbalances can act as a strong catalyst for LINK's price appreciation.
By addressing these gaps, the price often experiences upward momentum as market orders are executed.
How to Leverage This Opportunity: A Game Plan
Identify Imbalances: Use technical analysis to locate weekly price gaps or imbalances on LINK's chart.
Monitor Closely: Keep a close watch on these levels, as they may serve as key turning points for LINK's price.
Trading Strategy: Develop a well-thought-out trading strategy that incorporates weekly imbalance filling as part of your decision-making process.
Risk Management: Always employ sound risk management practices to protect your capital.
Conclusion: Seizing the LINK Opportunity
In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading, it's crucial to stay vigilant and explore all potential avenues for profitable opportunities. Weekly imbalance filling represents one such avenue, and when applied strategically, it can serve as a powerful catalyst for LINK's growth.
Chainlink's unique position in the blockchain ecosystem and its ongoing development make it a prime candidate for benefiting from this phenomenon. By understanding and harnessing the potential of weekly imbalance filling, traders and investors can position themselves for success in the LINK market.
Remember, while this strategy holds significant potential, it's important to combine it with comprehensive analysis and disciplined risk management for a well-rounded approach to trading LINK. 🚀🔗🚀
❗See related ideas below❗
Like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! Your engagement fuels our crypto discussions. 💚📈💚
XRP Bull Breaker - 7.77:1 Short + Longterm ForecastI just finished a complete overhaul of my XRPUSD chart, a portion of which is on display here in order to publish my medium and long range forecasts for this most “distributive” of digital assets. If you are a long term Bull, you won’t like it, and yet since I operate by the Steel Man principle, I welcome your toughest questions and chart-based counter-arguments.
As I always, I strive to render my ideas so that I need no words to explain them, although I can (and do) write detailed paragraphs (elsewhere).
Anyways, in the short term, I expect price to fall below the $0.3785 shown here (purely for the 7.77 R-Value) down to ~ $0.34, then to ~ $0.28 in the medium term and finally to ~ $0.22 at or near the next BTC Halving event.
From there your eye leads up to the Trend Exhaustion Limit and retraces until the end of 2025. Three years later, if my forecast is correct, there will be a final speculative peak, after which price should level off to some stable range of intrinsic value of ~ $5.89 throughout the next decade.
Obviously, this chart is not tradable, per se, and serves instead as an an introduction and reference point for lower timeframe ideas and videos I intend to publish. The complete chart has many granular details for targeting stop losses, and new details will be constantly updated (and erased) as price action unfolds.
Until then, be liquid!
Understanding How Forced Liquidations / Stop Hunts are DesignedIn this write up I will explain how we can extrapolate our knowledge of stop loss orders to understand the automatic execution of what are known as forced liquidations or stop hunts.
We will understand the mechanics of how Bitcoin can achieve such speed of movement and how to predict these events by reading the charts with a unique perspective of pre-design of these events.
Our first goal with viewing the Bitcoin chart is to remain objective and without personal bias. We should have no emotional attachment or opinion when it comes to trading and asset effectively.
Due to the lack of regulations in the crypto market and our knowledge of for-profit ventures benefiting off the liquidations of traders positions, we can strive to align ourselves with these forces so long as we decide to actively trade this market.
We can begin by understanding what drives Bitcoins price up and down. Unlike equities that have relational value to real world output via job creation, product sales, infrastructure, P&L reports, etc - Bitcoin is in a different class of assets lacking intrinsic value and belong to what I like to call “perceived value assets”. This means the evaluation of price is based on an agreed upon value, defined only by liquidity flowing into and out of the asset.
This creates the “volatile” nature you hear about in crypto assets. Prices are very fluid and move up and down extraordinarily fast at specific times that may seem random.
The executable actions that impact the price is the fulfillment of orders; buys and sells. Where things get interesting is in understanding stop loss orders and their accumulation.
Stop losses are effectively limit orders that reverse the position of traders by returning liquidity into the Bitcoin market cap or by pulling it out of the market cap; depending if the stop loss is for a LONG or SHORT. While it may be hard to grasp how the futures market has a direct effect on Bitcoins price, we must understand that in futures we are simply instructing Market Makers what to do with their assets by borrowing the leverage to our margin and in effect they will sell or buy Bitcoin. The stop losses of these trades are the direct opposition and not only is it in the Market Makers interest to ensure you aren’t taking money from them, attacking the stop losses and liquidations of your trades has a factual benefit to both the exchanges and market makers who collect your position margin once liquidation level is hit.
Understanding this we can look at the bitcoin chart and make sense of accumulation of stop loss orders; shown here in my boxes (green are buy orders / short stops, red are sell orders / long stops).
We can gauge for ourselves the amount of stop losses accumulated and predict the speed of bitcoins movement and clear interest in setting up a two way liquidation.
Now why would a two way liquidation of such magnitude occur?
The answer is to do with the US Dollar just underneath a major bearish retest on the 3 month chart. An entry into a bull market is would be a key time to execute a dramatic liquidation on Bitcoins chart, as we see here there is a chain reaction ready to hit both the top and bottom level I have marked.
As the stop loss orders are hit, there is accumulating power sent into the next level, which creates exponential speed of movement and this is what we like to call “stop hunts”.
Hopefully this article is helpful and allows you to understand how we can decipher the chart in a way that allows us to forecast out these movements and ideally prove that these “unpredictable” movements are in fact quite predictable after all.
- Dick Dandy
C3.AI - A Highly Volatile Fade With A Big RewardWhether you like it or not, the AI pump, even though it lasted for four months, has come to an end, because "artificial" has never been much of a compliment in the first place.
Consider this:
Artificial butter is called "margarine" and if you use it in pastries in France you'll go to prison
Artificial milk is called "soy drink" and if you drink it then you'll get hormonal problems.
An artificial bed is called a "couch" and you only sleep on it when you did something stupid and hurt your wife's feelings or have become poor.
Regardless, C3.AI, just like Docusign, shows curious signs that it should rally and be a big bagger in the future, but the timing for it to do the go train doesn't make sense at present.
I outline Docusign here:
Docusign - In Theory, A Long-term Technical Multibagger
for C3.AI, the evidence is made the most clear on the monthly bars, which is the big gear that dominates all the smaller time frames anyways.
The point is this:
1. All price action in the four month pump was simply retracing a mid-2021 gap down liquidity void, as evidenced by the bodies of the candles and the move away from the level.
2. The big "omg ChatGPT" pump candle from May, which formed an outside reversal bar, has had the 50% level traded through on two monthly bars
3. The May low of $16.79 is still higher (and meaningfully so on a % basis) than the $13.37 level, which amounted to little more than a stop raid during the 2022 lows
4. These numbers and ranges are enormous in magnitude, but C3 is a very, very volatile stock and only worth $3.16 billion at current levels
5. The same idea for an upside gap play exists at $90, and a strong Q4 rally is extremely possible.
So, let's say that the market makers are willing to take price on a 300%+ moon mission. Let me ask you a question, is it very likely that this will happen before, or after, some sort of manipulation to the downside that shakes out weak hands?
The answer is obvious, and so the target is circa $15 in the remaining portion of September and/or October.
The problem with going long the bottoms on the pump thesis is that the situation in Mainland China with the Spectre of Communism controlling the "Chinese" Communist Party is that the CCP is about to fall.
The Yuan is in rough shape, property developers and commercial real estate are about to explode like they ate a crit from the rocket launcher in Quake 4, and cities are starting to appear empty as a result of Mainland China, the world's motherland, being made empty as a result of the Wuhan Pneumonia epidemic.
And to think that all these problems are nothing more than a prelude to the real elephant in the room: the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners launched by the CCP and former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999.
The CCP, Xi, the remnants of the Jiang Faction, and the "International Rules Based Order" that smeared its hands participating in the persecution to court Shanghai and Tsinghua Marxist-Leninist vows for material benefits, can absolutely not escape the consequences of these crimes against humanity.
Humans won't hold people responsible, but Heaven will. There will never be a Nuremburg 2.0, and there won't be a "Great Judgment," but there certainly will be a historic retribution for evil that will be passed down forever.
And this makes long into January of 2024 as the market rallies extremely dangerous.
I can only ask you to consider hedging with volatility when you see the VIX at a 9-handle in November and an 8-handle in December.
When "That Day" really comes, everything will be over in a night.
And it will be too late to cry. You'll be trapped on the greatest gap of all time.
AMD Wyckoff Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution 📈💹📉 The Wyckoff Phases Recap: The Wyckoff method consists of Accumulation (smart money buying), Manipulation (price action controlled by insiders), and Distribution (smart money selling) phases.
📈 Applying Wyckoff to AMD: We can adapt this method to AMD stock. During Accumulation, savvy investors may be accumulating AMD shares quietly. Manipulation is when price action might seem unpredictable but is driven by insiders. Distribution marks the phase where these insiders might start selling.
📊 Accumulation Signals: Look for signs of increased buying activity in AMD while prices remain relatively flat. This could indicate the accumulation phase.
💡 Manipulation Hints: Manipulation can be tricky to spot, but unusual price movements or volume spikes might provide clues. Consider this phase as a time of price consolidation before a potential move.
📉 Distribution Clues: During the distribution phase, watch for decreasing buying interest and potentially diverging indicators. This might indicate that insiders are slowly selling off their holdings.
🚀 Trading Opportunities: If you can identify these phases correctly, you might find opportunities to trade AMD more strategically. For example, entering during Accumulation when prices are low and potential upside is significant.
🔮 The Future of AMD: Keep in mind that while Wyckoff analysis can provide valuable insights, no strategy guarantees success. Always combine it with thorough research and risk management.
In conclusion, applying the Wyckoff method to AMD stock can offer a unique perspective on its price movements. Recognizing the phases of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution might empower you to make more informed trading decisions.
Stay analytical, stay vigilant, and remember – understanding market phases can give you an edge when trading AMD or any other asset! 📊🚀
Crude Oil ~ Snapshot TA / Bullish ReversalWell well, H&S Short Position was there ready to be taken - but unfortunately Price Manipulators were also ready to defend..
First warning sign was wick reversal beyond 38.2% Fib.
Second warning sign was another reversal just underneath previous wick for the Stop Hunt.
Price action has since rallied above neckline, consolidating just under 23.6% Fib.
In hindsight, makes sense why Market Makers would intervene an imminent sell-off when globally significant news haven't hit wires yet (Powell/Jackson Hole).
All you can do is highlight key levels, set alerts & wait for Trade Setup to come to you..
Ps, retained H&S Short Idea on chart as reminder & part hopefulness of potentially playing out lol...we'll find out soon.
Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers :)
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE TVC:USOIL TVC:UKOIL NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:CL2!
Bitcoin and the Engineering of a Mass 2-Way LiquidationBitcoin is set up to perform a two way liquidation any moment now - as it corresponds to DXY.
The chart is loaded with stop orders shown respectively as buy orders in green and sell orders in red.
This is how the chart engineers such moves to perform at such speed without reliance on retail traders at all - the orders are embedded in the chart itself.
Think of lighting the fuse of a chain of explosives that accumulate more and more momentum in a big chain reaction.
Look at my levels shown here for liquidation top and bottom - Bottom is the entry of a bull market to 60,000 or more.
God speed and be safe.
EUR/USD London Session Long - July 18 '23Price on a bullish trend is currently on our favour with liquidity. Took out asian low with a Wolfe wave as well, reacted and broke the m5 market structure giving me the confirmation I was looking for. Looking for a continuation of this bullish trend with a 1:3 risk-reward ratio. Good Luck Traders...
EUR/USD Short - July 17 '23We are currently on a very high premium zone on EUR/USD. Formed lots of liquiidty with equal highs as well. Price liquidated higher forming a bearish engulfing candle on the H1 timeframe. Now price is closing the bearish engulfing candle imbalance and shifted market structure as well. Price above the NY opening price. Targeting a very nice zone of imbalance below. Lots of zones to rebalance below. Aggressive reversal trade, good luck traders!
EUR/USD Buy Limit - London OpenWe have a liquidity hunt on London Open with price confirming a bullish reaction. Buy Limit set on the imbalance of the bullish engulfing candle for a potential 1 to 3 risk-reward ratio. Let's see if we get filled. If price hits target without getting us filled I'll remove the limit order
EUR/USD Short Idea - June 26 '23Potential trade to go short on EUR/USD, we just reacted on this orderblock that's the origin point of this strong bearish candle (imbalanced). We had a push higher on London Session (Potential fake move?) and a retest on the order block on NY Open with a bearish engulfing candle as confirmation. The retest of the zone is also the end of a Wolfe Wave pattern. Aiming at the next lows of liquidity for a potential 3.3R. Good luck traders!
EUR/USD - Back to fair valueEUR/USD analysis for next week. Price currently reacted on the H4 fair value gap after a long bullsih push. We took out liquidity first on London open and then on NY open causing a market structure shift on the m15 timeframe. You can look for a potential setup to go short once price retraces and potentially fill the FVG + Imbalance on this m15 swing that caused the break. Wait for rejection on the zone for a potential short targeting fair value (50% of the swing).
EUR/USD London Session - June 20th '23Setup to go short on EUR/USD. We are currently on a new formed uptrend on the m15. Filled imbalances, taken out liquidity during Asia and we are now aiming to target at least the double top above. We just closed the H4 imbalance and the bullish engulfing candle on the 15 min gave us a nice confirmation to enter long.
DGLY is due for a correctionDigital Ally, has had a bit of a slow motion pump after earnings in mid-May. Insofar as the
earnings go, there were none. The news is DGLY is burning cash less than expected. No matter
how you cut it shareholder value is not there and still the price went up since then especially
in the last few trading sessions. DGLY could dilute shareholders to raise capital. Insiders
could be manipulating the price. According to FinTel, there are 12 insiders who own 7.7% of
the shares. Seemingly, if they act in a coordinated scheme without any paper trail they could
have run the price up especially if they got help with one of the several penny stock trading
rooms with lots of followers. Overall, this looks like a pop and drop pumped up and ready
to flush. I will take a short trade of put options on this expectant for a quick profit over
a week or two.
GBPAUD ShortUsually I like to go long but this short was calling my name, lots of downside targets that need to be hit, and since momentum has brought the price up I'm looking for a retracement point to. The golden pocket lines up with confluence W/ an imbalance and market structure and manipulation area. Very confident in this one
ACA/USDT 1D. Fall out of channel. Manipulation.Here's coin in DOT ecosystem - Acala network.
Though it has problems with its stable coin etc. there's space for earning money. Here's how.
There was an accumulation channel(logic of the current movements). In it the volume was accumulated.
Now there;s a break down of this channel. Price is dumping. The meaning of it - is how i've already described - collection of stop losses.
From the support price has now dropped 37% down. We've come to the first support and potential reversal zone 0.545$. Yellow level.
The second one is on the chart.
When dropping out of that horizontal channel we had - the downtrend channel started to form, this is when we speak about technical side of this potential manipulation.
Now as you can notice on the chart - the price is on the support of this downtrend channel.
Hence we can at least work locally from the support considering potential bounce of the price.
How Market Makers Manipulate Retail Pt. 2This is a follow up from the previous tutorial analyzing the One : Two liquidity sweep and entry confirmation after both directions have been taken and confirmed a swing failure pattern. The premise is to trade based on the direction of the first sweep only after confirmation and retest above or below the median consolidation line.