EurJpy MP Trading Bias: Open
Market Cycle: n/a
I'm going to hold on to the short bias from yesterday for now, but HTF is still bullish,,
Accumulation is evident just above the weekly level, this could also get rejected and we move bullish from here, so I want a strong break out and retest before shorting..
Manipulation
BTC Bull Run Before 2024 Halving. BTC New Cycle Now?I'm long term bullish on crypto, and I'm happy for this new year pump. Congrats to those who placed longs at $15K, you should take some profits off the table now.
Why? Because we're not out of the woods yet. If you read my previous BTC analysis, I've already mentioned that I'll consider BTC has reversed if it manages to break and close above Ichimoku Cloud at $32K, or at least above all EMAs at $28K, to hint a start of a new cycle. As much as I'd love to see $300K BTC, chances are, that ain't happening this year.
Technical Analysis - Weekly Time Frame:
- BTC is still below EMAs and Ichimoku Cloud
- 20 and 30 EMAs are already below 200 EMA, 50 and 100 EMAs are about to cross below 200 EMA - Death Cross
- Heikin Ashi has shown a reversal pattern which will be confirmed by this week's candle close
- RSI was oversold in November - 2022 lowest low at $15,476, now it's been moving up sharply like January last year and is about to cross middle line upwards, hinting that there's still room for upward movement
- RSI was oversold and high bearish volume on Nov 7th when BTC made a new lower low, signaling a potential bottom
- All Strong Supports(Green) and Resistances(Red) are shown in the chart
- A break and close above or below these key levels with high volume comparable to Nov 7th has a high chance to lead BTC to its next key levels/zones
Fundamental Analysis:
- FED is cooling down with interest rate hike, but a pause is not a pivot
- Overall Macros are still the same, no significant change on the big picture
- Most of BTC's circulating supply has not moved for almost 2 years, BTC price can easily be manipulated
- Black Swan potentials: Mt.Gox BTC selling pressure, DCG/Genesis/Binance collapse, USDT/other stable coins depeg, SEC cases, new crypto regulations, geopolitics
It's better to wait for some sort of confirmations every time BTC reaches a key level, to determine the direction it's going next
While technical indicators are good, one bad fundamental news is all it takes to crash BTC
Be Careful.
Not a Financial Advice ;)
Gold - Manipulation Point TradingBias: Open
Market Cycle: n/a
Sideways PA is but slowly moving down through the MP's,,
If we are treading inside the range we need the SR and CC as usual..
To go short on a breakout,, we need a high volume breakout with some distance on it (the type you wouldn't want to trade back into the range). Then a low volume retest or SR & CC on the lower MP..
It looks like golds heading to 1802.27 minimum on the weekly .. lets see.. ??
GbpJpy - Manipulation Point TradingBias: Long
Market Cycle: 2
Still long on GJ,, Looking at the 162.08 level it's a KL on the Daily, weekly, monthly TF's..
We're trading inside the 1h fvg, so theres potential that it moves bullish at anytime, I will only be looking for LQG on the MP's for the safer entry position's..
GbpCad - Manipulation Point TradingBias: Short
Market Cycle: Possibly the beginning of phase 1
I'm looking at 1.6170 for a potential break and retest..
You'll notice what looks like a 1h OB highlighted with a circle on the left, however when you move up to the 4h TF this OB disappears..
Therefore, if we get a break below 1.6170 followed by a SR & CC to the downside I will look for shorts..
Ideally the 1h OB reacts and buyers come into the market in order to give us our pullback before going short..
Let's see how it pans out..???
GbpJpy - Manipulation Point Trading Bias: Long
Market Cycle: 2
Yesterdays analysis has proven to be correct even if we didn't get a pullback and entry...
I'm looking for a pullback and entry from either 159.90 or 159.53 both KL's in terms of round number trading and valid manipulation points in our trading system.
EurCad - Manipulation Point TradingBias: Short
Market Cycle: 2
PA is currently in phase 2 of market cycle after a 1st push down on friday. Today is the last day to look for phase 2 before we move back to an open bias..
Notice how price is also trading down in a bearish channel since 2nd Feb, we also have our MP lined up with the top of the channel so i would expect some kind of reaction from here..
Follow the rules to the system, they keep us safe and provide quality entry's...
If it doesn't fit our strategy, it's not our money....
AudCad - Manipulation Point Trading Bias: Short
Market Cycle: 2
Yesterdays short bias still holds, but with regards to yesterdays PA moving over 90% ADR then there is potential that we have a reversal on our hands...
Pay attention to the PA at the bottom of the chart, there is a clear DB followed by a 90% ADR move up..
Follow the GFX MP rules in this case..
• Short from 0.9302 should we get a signal
• Long should we break above and 2 x 15m candle open&close above look for a long following a SR & CC
Manipulation strategyWe all know that markets are highly manipulated and the traders have to look for a signs of manipulation.
There are a lot of types of manipulation - imbalance, candle without wick, liquidity grab and so on. On the chart I marked few areas, where price was manipulated and reversed.
The strategy shows you how to recognise the manipulation patterns. It is based on smart money concept, but it is more focused on the liquidity grab and the low liquidity moves.
So for example:
On this chart I marked areas, where price created low liquidity moves and the results are strong movements on the manipulated direction.
Why these examples are low liquidity moves?
Because price cleared a lot of stop losses and inject fresh money in the market. The banks do not invest into the markets, they generate money in order to profit.
In the first rectangle (lower one) - price created triple bottom - this is a major reversal retail pattern and created major liquidity pool, but look closer. Creating the pattern, price also took out lot of liquidity and moved away.
In the second rectangle (the wedge) - price also created low liquidity move, because every time it gave strong signs of reversal tricking the traders to sell or buy and then took them out.
Rule : In order price to move in one direction the institutions must buy or sell. To accumulate orders they should inject money in the market. The injections are liquidity grab in many ways and types.
The markets can not move always with low liquidity moves and always stay in efficiency. The liquidity must to be created first, so that traders can come into the market and later to be taken out.
As every strategy the "Manipulation strategy" sometimes give us false signals, but it is most accurate strategy.
For example in consolidation we may see many false signals, but this is not because the strategy failed, it is because price was manipulated constantly.
This is not smart money concept. The strategy is not focused on order blocks and breaker blocks, it is focused on low liquidity moves.
The manipulation areas are also the true support and resistance, because when the banks buy or sell from the specific level, they will protect this level, if it is not targeted.
Markets moves up and down, taking the buy side and sell side liquidity, this is the way that swings are formed. They are not forming based on retail support and resistance or Fibonacci numbers.
How to use:
1) Calculate the liquidity - look for retail pattern - double top/bottom, previous high or low, support or resistance or every other obvious buy/sell zone.
2) Wait price to clear the level - liquidity grab.
3) Wait until price form low liquidity move(pattern).
4) Buy/Sell to the opposite liquidity pool.
Algorithmic manipulation the Bitcoin 3 stepI call it the 3 step because there's an initialization period followed by 3 steps. Defining the init can be hit or miss, but it's always there. Next, there's 3 bumps, followed by (usually) a pump. Dumps are also seen, and they depend on what the algorithm detects after the init/3 step process. I don't know exactly what the algo does but it's pretty clearly manipulating the market. Look at the volume signal, the oscillator, and the PA: it's NOT RANDOM!!!!!!
If this isn't a case for regulation, I don't know what is. Someone is manipulating the market algorithmically, consistently, for the last 24 hours at least with this particular sequence. And retail just laps it up like nectar from the gods or something- all the while, the table is tilted, the game is rigged. Nobody seems to notice, nobody seems to care.
This algo can be easily beat by staying out of high (or any) leverage and buying the dips--- but the house always wins here, folks. Disgusting.
Oh, one more thing. You can't see this manipulation on the longer timeframes, and TV won't allow 1 minute trend charts to be posted (which is poor design, IMO!--- figure it out!!!).
Long BTCUSDT
Bitcoin is making a spring and doing the Wychoff's accumulation, beware of shorting at the support.
The whales are manipulating the price action to traps retails to short the bottom and reverse it up.
Investing and trading is a game of probability where the market moves up, down or sideways. Hence, the probability of a trader winning is around 33.33%.
The crowd and retails are always wrong, people are too bearish at the bottom of a cycle and too bullish at the top of the cycle.
A lot of traders try to be right after I warned about the institution Wychoff's manipulation and some refused to listen and give into whales manipulation.
Some traders tried to aim for 10k price for BTCUSDT to buy the dip, but it never happened, the only way you can get rich is to buy at 16k and HODL.
Talked about it so many times and yet people still love to donate to the market trying to be smart.
The cryptocurrency , Bitcoin or BTCUSD is now trading at the golden support again with whales manipulating retails to short at support before doing a Wychoff's accumulation and reverse to the upside.
The manipulation was a huge success but I tried to warn the stubborn poor retails traders but yet they refused to listen. Only few listened, I hope they are in profits now.
Bitcoin prices had been ranging around at 15k-17k as I said and now it had made a double bottom , soon it will continue to go up and everyone will get rich. A double bottom of a double bottom .
It had made an impulse correction and soon will go to 35k to fill the gap and beyond, to da moon.
On weekly, the chart had not broken the low and is making a higher high, soon it will go to the moon, buy now.
Amplify your gains by using leverage, long here and u can be filthy wealthy. Time to go all in and get rich.
Bitcoin or btcusd had made a double bottom technical structure. Bitcoin is doing the same Wychoff's accumulation and soon shall reverse the trend and bottoms here.
Do not be tempted by whales to short on bear traps!!
Warning, DO NOT short the market and get short squeezed. Buy the DIP.
I see a lot of retail traders lost money shorting bitcoin at 17k instead of buying it, this is your last buying opportunity before we move up to 35k to fill the CME gap.
The whales had been doing manipulation on bitcoin and ethereum .
It had already made a 5 waves up and will do a correction before pushing further up to 35k to fill the cme gap.
DO NOT MISS THIS last chance to buy the dip opportunity.
The whales are tempting you to short bitcoin so that they can push the prices up by doing this sideways movements.
Do not be deceived by the whales manipulation.
This manipulation by whales are food for them as retails traders getting liquidated easily.
The whales are accumulating. It is trapping breakout traders to short here, this will bottom here.
Long btc . Sick of this sideway obvious manipulation by whales.
On a higher time frame, it made a impulse and ABC correction, soon it will moon and everyone will get rich like WOW?!
This is not a signal and do not follow but a trade idea. Use your brain to trade and don't follow blindly!
Disclaimer - This analysis alone DOES NOT warrant a buy or sell trade immediately. Before you enter any trade in the financial market, it is very important that you have a proper trading plan and risk management approach
Ethereum Manipulation ZonesWARNING: No sheep allowed. This one will ruffle a few feathers....
Ethereum and many other assets have been going sideways for over 36 hours now and will very likely continue to do so until the New York open. Trading experts would have you believe there is 'indecision in the market' or that the 'bulls and bears are fighting for control of the market'. Absolute nonsense - don't fall for it!
Whenever you place a trade on a crypto exchange, you are not entering into a transaction with Dave from London or Lee in Hong Kong, you are dealing with a market maker who is there 24/7 to take your order. If you go long on any asset and the price goes up 5% then the market maker is down 5% on that trade. Conversely, if the price goes down then the market maker is in profit. Whatever price you decide to buy or sell at, the market maker is always there to take the other side of your trade. All of that comes with a risk and expenses for the market maker, so what's in it for them? Quite simply, they get full control over the movement of price up or down. I can go no deeper than that on this platform and I will leave it there.
So, let's discuss what the market maker may have in store for Ethereum traders today and into the weekend. Well, we have seen quite a big push higher and then a levelling out. It is no surprise that a potential 'Bart' pattern can be seen on the chart.
Do you think there is an army of 'bulls' and 'bears' behind their keyboards fighting each other for control of the market and miraculously every week, month after month their battles appear as a 'Bart' pattern on the charts of every single crypto asset? Really?
Do you think that the banks, hedge funds and other institutional investors have the exact same trading methods as the degenerates trading Doge, Ape, Axie and hundreds of other altcoins and that the Bart pattern magically appears on their charts at the exact same time of day? Come on - THINK!
The New York open is where the market maker does most of his dirty work and today he will create uncertainty by taking price to a level where it will be equally valid for traders to go long or short. Moonboys are still hyped about the big rise in prices since New Years Day but the more experienced 'pro' traders will have spotted the potential 'Bart' pattern and absorbed all the FUD in the news about the pending crash. There will likely be a similar number of traders going long and short but they share one very important thing in common. They all have stop losses or liquidation points and the market maker knows exactly where every single one of them is.
If you were the market maker and wanted to make the most possible profit - what would you do? I will leave you to think about that one.
Weekly Outlook - NFP!! (Ending 010623)First, it is NFP week. The Market is more unpredictable because manual intervention will take place. Please be aware of this when trading.
Second, I'm looking for Consolidation, Manipulation, then Distribution. Initially, the market has consolidated. Next, it will drive higher, liquidating all the Bears' Shorts built in (the three levels I noted) and making the Bulls trigger happy to provoke Long positions. After their positions are built in, the market will reverse and liquidate their Stop Loses below 3780.
Stay Tuned...
Trade With The Trend And Watch Out For Liquidity SweepsHello traders
In this example, we will explain how to trade with the trend and use liquidity as an additional confluence.
1) Price makes a new higher high, momentum is present.
2) After momentum, the price begins to create liquidity, as we talked about in one of the previous posts. Liquidity is a trap for retail and other traders.
3) We see that this is precisely why the manipulation took place, liquidity was picked up, and then the price moved impulsively towards the uptrend.
4) Price creates a new demand zone and impulsively continues bullish again. We see strong momentum.
5) In this situation, we see an excellent trend, we know that the price wants to continue bullish.
6) The price creates liquidity again and at one point, manipulation occurs again, we see a liquidity sweep, and the price from our zone impulsively continues to the uptrend.
- In the next post, we will show you this example on a chart so that you can better understand this concept.
- This is all about today's example, if you liked it, leave a like and write below in the comments if you have any questions.
Next target for GALA DUMPwe topped out a few hours ago and we are in our next short on this ravaged token from wallet theft or fake tokens; PGALA being sold instead of GALA and these pGala tokens as stated on their twitter are worthless. Bad new and more bad new for this project.
BTC: POSSIBLE SCENARIO! POWER OF 3!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this BTC update.
What is PO3 and how it works?
The primary purpose of the PO3 is for smart money to build positions and engineer liquidity. Smart money unlike us needs a more complex method of entering classes in the market while retail(us) is able to enter positions as long as the order book allows it. Trading is a 0-sum game, inorder to accumulate a long position there needs to be a seller to provide it and vice versa.
PO3 works mainly in three parts:
1) Accumulation
2) Manipulation
3) Expansion
Currently, BTC is in an accumulation zone. The accumulation range is $15.8k-$17.5k level. Once it breaks above the accumulation zone, we enter into the manipulation zone.
We have a big resistance is at the $18k-$19k level. Expecting a rejection from that level and then we enter into the expansion zone.
Invalidaion:- Close above $19k level
If you like this idea then do support it with like and follow.
Also, share your views in the comment section.
Thank You!
BITCOIN MONTHLY ANALYSIS Outlook for BTC for the coming months. Unlike many others, I do expect a pump up instead of a downside on BTC. Fundamentally we are struggling due to many Fuds in the markets now which is why i do expect a ton of people trying to short the market. This gives me a better confluence that i do believe BTC will actually pump in the coming weeks towards end of the year or early towards 2023. The accumulation zone has been marked and shorts from 21500$ has been called out weeks ago. Now that price has hit our accumulation zone, i will be looking to dollar cost average in. Thinking about it, if many do expect BTC to hit 13k or even 12k in the near future, the whales and institutions won't make it that simple or everyone would be rich by then. The markets is made of human emotions and greed. Always stay one step ahead.
The Truth About APTOS! I've been following apt for about 6 months. I also airdroped. Aptos was designed to replace sol. Don't get me wrong, it's for manipulation, not technology. Apt team will never let you say anything critical in dc. They instantly silence you. The CEO of apt said ftx does not have apt, but ftx is one of apt's early investor. I saw it with my own eyes on apt website and dc channel. Ftx and alameda participated in the investment tour. This information was available on the Aptos website but has been removed. The CEO also confirmed this in the previous interview, and now they are denying it. I know that coins will be received by ftx are locked for now. From the name of Aptos to its early investors, everything is a copy of Solana. They were going to do the pump made by solana last year but the ftx scam has been exposed. Now think twice. Apt is Facebook's crypto version.
BTC/USDT BINANCEBTC/USDT BINANCE
4H hollows
A price rebound at the Golden Ratio of Fibonacci Retracement is expected, as it is the main Resistance Area.
Sideways movement between Support & Resistance Area is expected until Monday.
BTC = $16,855.78 +1.63%
13.32 ETH -2.47%
Market Cap: $846,597,962,034
24h Vol: $82,580,266,331
Dominance: BTC: 38.2%
ETH: 18.2%
Good Luck
#CryptoHellas Team