The Beast - Here again 6 months later. Hibernating is a good thing to do for some species. Some store food and save energy. Some avoid unfavorable climate conditions and some do it to metamorphosize into butterflies/moths or whatever.
We have definitely been storing food and eating good at team Squeeezy Trades.
So what has happened since our "Beast Loading up" idea?
- A drop to $83.4 on 090222 to establish what we would learn was the bottom for an astronomical move to the upside.Barring the revisit to $89 9 days later (180222) we haven't seen prices at these levels in 6 months.
- A war that took up well above $100 a barrel due to Russia being sanctioned by many and supply issues............Bla Bla Bla. (well..... pretty sure we made mention of the Red Vector candles from 2014 that were above $100 that needed recovering)- Oil actually went to $129.4ish and then did a mega dive.
- After 2 tests of $93 zone a 3 month rally commenced from there to $123.4ish before the 7 week down journey to where we are now.
Sooooo. What now?
We are looking at the same zones to the downside that we were looking at back in Feb. Why because that's where the Green Vector candles are. We are getting there!
For those who trade using EMAs we are coming up to a significant touching point in the daily time frame.
This is where price meets with the 800 EMA.
Why is this so massive?
(i) Because the 200 EMA in the daily was touched/tested twice in December of 2021 and - after the 100 EMA in the daily was broken at the 3rd time of asking in July - 6 times this summer before being broken. This makes the 800 EMA the next logical stop
(ii) this is where a reversal is more than likely to take place.
(iii) The Green Vector candles from 240122/250122 that began the sharp and powerful rises this year are in the vicinity of where the potential contact will take place.
What next?
Remember you heard it here first, there will be some big news that will cause a big drop, but after that there will be a run like never before that will take Oil back above $100 and to $132 where it will make contact with the next Red Weekly Vector candle from July 2008.
There after we believe $143 could be next and at a further stretch there will be a new All Time High made at $147. This could take until 2023 to happen but would be great to happen between Sept/Oct 2022 and March 2023.
We cannot forget that $62 (3 times - May 2021, Aug 2021 & Dec 2021) and $66 Dec 2021) area is actually the real support for the year of 2021. Bear it in mind.
$57 (March 2021) and $53 are levels it can go to break a Bull Heart but sure absolutely everyone is praying against that.
We stand by the theory that the 800 EMA in the daily will be the reversal point. As it is also the 100 EMA for the weekly TF.
Currently, depending on how the next 2 week candles go Price should line up to anywhere from $70 to $78 but could also do it from $80-$83.
We know this is not helping get the best entry prices but really and truly, behavior of price in the next 2 weeks will indicate the best time to get in.
We are waiting for a bottom to form at a place where a strong reaction happens in line with a bunch of confluences and levels aligning.
Good luck traders!
This is not financial advice and should be taken with a pinch of salt!
Manipulation
GBPUSD BUY MODELPrize has broken out to the downside of the Asian range landing in the H4 demand zone. as we know the initial move after breakout of the Asian range is the London open which is basically manipulation and creating the low of the dau. bias is BUllish so after the mitigation of the M15 OB that caused CHOCH we will take our buy position
Ford market manipulation?This thing looks EXACTLY like it did in 2011. Why? I have no clue. I suspect market manipulation, but I'm definitely keeping an eye peeled on this. I do believe this current rally gets faded on Ford, as its 2011 pattern would suggest, but eager to see how this plays out. Something is definitely up here.
BTC/USD: the worst case scenarioThis is the worst possible scenario that could happen... in my opinion based only on guesswork.
There would be strong manipulation.
The market pretended to go one way, then the other, just to sell off all the sardines.
And then do the opposite on the opposite side.
When it comes to money, I don't doubt human evil.
History proves this.
Long BTCUSDTInvesting and trading is a game of probability where the market moves up, down or sideways. Hence, the probability of a trader winning is around 33.33%.
A lot of traders try to be right after I warned about the manipulation and some refused to listen and give into whales manipulation.
Some traders tried to aim for 15k to buy the dip, but it never happened, the only way you can get rich is to buy at 20k and HODL.
Bitcoin or btcusd had broke out of the resistance and now it is turning to be a support before going up further.
Do not be tempted by whales to short on bear traps!!
Warning, DO NOT short the market and get short squeezed. Buy the DIP.
I see a lot of retail traders lost money shorting bitcoin at 20k instead of buying it, this is your last buying opportunity before we move up to 35k to fill the CME gap.
The whales had been doing manipulation on bitcoin and ethereum .
It had already made a 5 waves up and will do a correction before pushing further up to 35k to fill the cme gap.
DO NOT MISS THIS last chance to buy the dip opportunity.
The whales are tempting you to short bitcoin so that they can push the prices up by doing this sideways movements.
Do not be deceived by the whales manipulation.
This manipulation by whales are food for them as retails traders getting liquidated easily.
The whales are accumulating. It is trapping breakout traders to short here, this will bottom here.
Long btc . Sick of this sideway obvious manipulation by whales.
On a higher time frame, it made a impulse and ABC correction, soon it will moon and everyone will get rich like WOW?!
This is not a signal and do not follow but a trade idea. Use your brain to trade and don't follow blindly!
Disclaimer - This analysis alone DOES NOT warrant a buy or sell trade immediately. Before you enter any trade in the financial market, it is very important that you have a proper trading plan and risk management approach
BTCUSD (14/07/2022) Trap ComingHere we have the morning movement of price action by black hands that we were waiting for, great people will enter Long when the market manipulation tries to orchestrate a small spike of temporary euphoria to mimic a short and take better advantage of the opportunity towards the base of the triangle.
If the liquidity zone of the gray box of the upper triangle is avoided and rebounded with enough force and time, then we should consider a bullish run to new liquidity zones.
I hope you like the analysis, greetings.
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Aquí tenemos el movimiento matutino de acción de precios por las manos negras que estabamos esperando, entrará gran gente en Long cuando la manipulación del mercado pretende orquestar un pequeño pico de euforia temporal para mimetizarse en un corto y aprovechar mejor que nadie la oportunidad hacia la base del triángulo.
Si se esquiva y rebota la zona de liquidez de la caja gris del triángulo superior con suficiente fuerza y tiempo entonces si deberíamos plantear un bullish run hasta nuevas zonas de liquidez.
Espero que os guste el análisis, un saludo.
Long BTCUSDT Investing and trading is a game of probability where the market moves up, down or sideways. Hence, the probability of a trader winning is around 33.33%.
A lot of traders try to be right after I warned about the manipulation and some refused to listen and give into whales manipulation.
Some traders tried to aim for 15k to buy the dip, but it never happened, the only way you can get rich is to buy at 20k and HODL.
Warning, DO NOT short the market and get short squeezed. Buy the DIP.
I see a lot of retail traders lost money shorting bitcoin at 20k instead of buying it, this is your last buying opportunity before we move up to 35k to fill the CME gap.
The whales had been doing manipulation on bitcoin and ethereum.
It had already made a 5 waves up and will do a correction before pushing further up to 35k to fill the cme gap.
DO NOT MISS THIS last chance to buy the dip opportunity.
The whales are tempting you to short bitcoin so that they can push the prices up by doing this sideways movements.
Do not be deceived by the whales manipulation.
This manipulation by whales are food for them as retails traders getting liquidated easily.
The whales are accumulating. It is trapping breakout traders to short here, this will bottom here.
Long btc . Sick of this sideway obvious manipulation by whales.
On a higher time frame, it made a impulse and ABC correction, soon it will moon and everyone will get rich like WOW?!
This is not a signal and do not follow but a trade idea. Use your brain to trade and don't follow blindly!
Disclaimer - This analysis alone DOES NOT warrant a buy or sell trade immediately. Before you enter any trade in the financial market, it is very important that you have a proper trading plan and risk management approach
Bitcoin | Market Manipulation FAIL!We see how the market makers (whales, miners, exchanges and big players) continue trying to "kill the longs"...
The market is trying hard to get people out of their positions... But not the short ones only the long ones, telling us that Bitcoin is still consolidation before moving higher.
The last candle has really high volume on the bearish side yet it didn't manage to hit a new low compared to 30-June...
Market manipulation FAIL!
This type of price action created a Cyper Harmonic pattern:
Do you believe this is market manipulation?
What do you think will happen now after a higher low?
Share with us in the comments section below.
Namaste.
Amazon and BTC logical comparison and buy/sell tacticsAmazon's main trend is shown. And the logic of actions on bitcoin, both for those who understand what trading, hype and trend are, and for completely inexperienced traders.
Amazon during the internet bubble. One of thousands of similar ones at that time (everyone knows bitcoin). Depreciated by -95% during the collapse of the bubble of Internet companies.
The action is chosen for clarity. The trading situation is roughly similar to a double top. Everything is shown clearly to understand the logic of actions.
Past trading situation and the implementation of the double bottom goals according to the TA classics, during the pumping / dumping of Dotcom wrappers on AMAZON shares
Bitcoin secondary trend now.
BTC/USD Just comparing % with the fall in 2013-2015
Dominance and Robbery, the money game of btc dominance #3Same as May 2021 I mentioned before, the price and D fell at the same time (bitcoin lose more than altcoins). And also the cause of the crash is outside the crypto world: the rate hike. Meanwhile in China, the COVID-19 lockdown in several cities has led to the bankruptcy of small and medium-sized enterprises and layoffs by internet giants like Alibaba. Funds from Chinese retail investors are further reduced, the 'tools' to spread excessive panic are lost which makes the manipulation of D is close to total failure.
Also like I mentioned, if those Chinese miners decide that the D can no longer be maintained then it's possible that they will dump all their holdings.
How Market Manipulation WorksEver find yourself agreeing with someone who complains about rampant market manipulation, even though you don't really know how it happens or where it comes from? If so, do not feel embarrassed; the person complaining about it probably doesn't know either.
The truth is that the practice is so blatant and routine these days that it hides in plain sight. That, or it has simply become a modern taboo among those in power because widespread exposure of it could pose as a significant risk to said power.
Either way, it has gotten so ridiculous lately that it needs to stop before it potentially damages the all-important trust dynamic that maintains the "free" system's status quo.
Thus, let us begin this enlightening discussion with identifying who the direct culprits are.
These would be just about every financial institution that operates in some form as a Market Maker (MM) of weekly equity options. Yes - even your friendly mainstream broker that you had assumed was rooting for your financial success. Basically, if you can purchase weekly put options from them, they are part of the problem.
While this seems absurd, let's just discuss how markets get manipulated before you dismiss the idea entirely.
Markets can get manipulated through any number of sketchy practices. Just refer to the FINRA website and you will find terms for such practices, as well as laws governing their misuse. (Like when crude oil futures reach real negative levels, lol). But, the most tangibly-felt form of manipulation occurs in the way that is depicted in the chart above: by preventing markets from breaking out in either direction, particularly on days when options are set to expire. Quadruple Witching days, for example, are named as such because of how "supernatural" price movements tend to be throughout their sessions. This is complete nonsense, of course, since they move according to how the culprits want them to move - within a pre-defined range that is designed to suck traders into false-breakouts only to close very near the daily opening-cross.
The process of such a corrupt practice is known as price-pinning and it is at the core of every inexplicable market observation that seems uncannily perfect - like when markets only reveal their true direction during the last singular minute of trading. Note the extreme volume abnormality underlying the last-minute candle of today's E-mini session for a perfect example of this.
Despite what is commonly accepted, it is actually the case that MMs are essentially omnipotent, insofar as they can, and do, directly determine the opening and closing prices of individual issues - even on smaller timeframes such as the hourly or 15-minute scales. On most trading days, it is even possible for them to control outcomes on entire indices because of how influential options have become in today's market environment. The really serious problem with this is that it causes markets to crash wildly leading to widespread loss of wealth and subsequent economic severities.
How does too much power in free market system lead to the system crashing? It is because MMs are human beings and are therefore prone to making emotionally-charged mistakes; like getting cocky during times of persistently scarce volatility.
What ends up happening is that on very rare occasions, even bigger market players (like managers of huge pension funds that can affect markets absolutely) decide to unwind their long-held pure-equity positions accumulated over several years in a discreet manner. All the while, greedy/overconfident MMs continue to sell extreme quantities of put options to the public, thinking that there is no possible way that they'd ever need to pay for them at expiration. They'd be correct about this 99.99% of the time, and so they fail to realize how dangerous of a situation their in and how stupid it is to blindly sell such large quantities of out-the-money puts on the open market. The selling is so violent at the point of realization that MMs have no choice but to sell everything at once - even if everyone else suffers from the resultant market crash.
At this point, you might be wondering how this rare scenario has anything to do with the prevalent practice of price-pinning.
It relates because what normally happens when MMs get ahead of themselves in terms of how many puts they short on an expiration day is that they end up offsetting their risk via the mass purchasing of call options as the expiration nears. The calls become cheap enough that the entire cost of this process of risk hedging is pennies when considering the profits generated from selling the much more expensive time-heavy puts to the public. It is also a much more practical way to cover, which is why markets rarely make significant moves (especially downward) on Fridays. The process of MMs selling out-of-the-money puts, which they knowingly perceive as riskless for an exorbitant premium only to turn around and use call options to prevent prices from moving for the rest of the day IS THE MANIPULATION.
To reiterate, what I am saying is that the common form of market manipulation that most people arbitrarily place their blame on is the weekly Market Making process of covering themselves every Friday (and sometimes Wednesdays and Mondays as well) that is the de facto Manipulation that I am trying to convey in the chart above.
The reason why this process should be acknowledged as an illegal manipulative practice, rather than just some existential side-effect that comes with ever-evolving complex market systems is because:
1) It is enabling large institutions to sell grossly mispriced derivatives en masse with no intention of realizing the equivalent risk
2) It is a literal form of manipulation, as per the definition of the word "manipulation"
3) Once understood, it becomes blatantly obvious that markets lack the freedom that has always been pre-supposed, which will eventually change the nature of our
market to something non-sensical, like the concept of equal-outcome investments (you cannot grow your wealth in a market that grows everyone else's wealth at the
same pace, since that is just pure inflation).
To finish this lesson, I will use the chart of yesterday's price/volume action of the S&P futures as an example of how the manipulation of price-pinning can be applied practically:
1) Start with the obvious outlier that is the selling volume incurred at 3:59 p.m. yesterday
2) What this represents is the true bearish sentiment that should have resulted in a panic-sell to close the week
3) The reason why this panic sell never occurred is because MMs had bought very cheap call options starting around noon
4) Specifically, as soon as MMs feared that sentiment had turned bearish enough to threaten their short-put liability, they started covering with calls
5) This can be seen in the upper half of the chart, on the second breakdown, which notched the LOD
6) We can rule out the possibility of a major support bounce because the LOD is simply not a major point of support even if near the 4500 level.
7) This can be corroborated by the lack of historical price action around such high levels of the S&P. To naturally prevent a breakdown of this nature would require a more
historically tested level of support, in my opinion
8) Manipulation resulting from too much leverage and greedy MMs created a very tiny snapshot of the wrongdoing, which is captured full-circle in the volume reading of the last minute of the session.
I hope I was able to present this entire idea in a sensible way. Manipulative practices are very hard to pinpoint, prove and define, which is partially why they can persist for months on end. On a personal note, I really hate this type of market environment because it sucks to trade and limits the possibility of what makes markets fun in the first place. Ironically, I am sort of doing the very kind of complaining that I made fun of in the opening paragraph - the only difference is that I am certain about what is causing my frustration.
-Pig-Police
CME_MINI:ES1!
AMEX:SPY
SP:SPX
CURRENCYCOM:US500
DJ:DWCPF