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Margin

The fake trades on BTCCNYLooking for bottom truth in the recent volumes drop on btc, i made a volume compare tool. The reasoning is that if volume on btccny really disappeared due to the forbidden margin trading, there should be a big difference in the ratio since a few days ago. Blue and green lines are a ratio against the same base volume. the red line is a 5 day average of the 2 ratios. The idea is that while volume goes away in the china exchanges due to the margin trading evaporating, it should remain the same in western exchanges, so the ratio shows a big drop. BUT: 1 - the avg of volume ratios is so irregular, no clear correlation shows up 2 - the last days (from the "margin prohibition") have a little dip then spike, but appear well in the bounds the general fluctuation so, the recent volume drop was both in china and the west, and "fake margin" trades didn't impact market after all? comments welcome...
B
by deimosaffair
Lack of enthusiasm, Deutsche Bank and Margin DebtA divergence between the volume and the value of the index indicates a lack of enthusiasm with this new top. This ocurrs just before August, which is a typically bearish month, and under the systemic risk posed by Deutsche Bank. Moreover, NYSE Margin Debt chart reached a peak some months ago (see www.advisorperspectives.com). In my opinion, there is no substantial reason to expect a consolidation of the index above 2150, so be careful, because maybe we are listening to the swan song of the global financial market.
FX:SPX500
by JuanAugusto
1
Bitcoin Next Move Outlook for the second half of FebruaryOn February 7 we started to break indecision which lasted from the end of January. Now its finally confirmed that Bitcoin price will rise, at least for some time from now. RSI is still low around 60 on higher timeframes above H4. Uptrend is confirmed by quick breaking resistance levels which are subsequently confirmed from the upper side and price climbs by this steps up and up. Last week we also see rallye on different altcoinf such as ETH, MAID, XMR, and many others. However it soon turn out that all this false hope will end in tears. ETH will never make higher high and my prediction is that by the end of February it will decline back to price where it was and in the future ETH price will inevitably comes to almost zero.... CNY is depreciating and thus bitcoin price will go up. However there exists some tiny possibility that price rose only to decline even more - now on H4 and H2 and H1 we can see divergence between price and RSI however taking into account all other fundamentals and TA this very probably prove to be wrong what on the other hand only even more confirm the uptrend and make uptrend even stronger and thus the final price which we are heading to will be even higher. My current prediction is that we are heading to $450 level or above. Perhaps we can just see new price canal which is established between $360 and $460 with occasional price flashes more up or down depending on price pumps which occur on different exchanges. Very probably we reach $460 or CNY 3000 soon. I think now we are making another CNY 500 up from previous decline CNY 500 (which made a triangle which high was CNY 500). I am very bullish on Bitcoin long term and my short term predictions turned bullish as well. Unfortunately I sold most of my Bitcoins and now I must buy them back again so I am byuing on decline and selling on tops. happy trading Let me know what do you think in comments below :) How much profitable trades did you make?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SunnyMorning
LEVERAGE: The Legitimate UsageImagine you have a strategy and you found that the optimal risk you should take is 4%. In other words with this strategy you should put 4% of your capital at risk in every trade to grow your account the fastest. If you enter a trade with 100% of your capital, the SL % is the % you put at risk. NOT the whole position size. So by entering a trade with all of your money and setting a 4% SL you only put 4% of your money at risk at all times ! Now let's examine the following situation keeping our strategy in mind. Imagine a perfectly oscillating market (for demonstration only). We are at the point where the red line ends and we expect the price to go the dashed path with a very high certainty. Our optimal & desired risk is 4%. However in this trade that we want to enter rightnow we can set a stop loss tighter than 4% because we are very certain that it wont be hit. So we can use a 2% stop instead. If you now put 100% of your capital in this trade you only put 2% of our money at risk at all times. However we want to put 4% of our money at risk for the best returns possible taking optimal risk (4%). That's where leverage comes into play as a LEGITIMATE tool and not a gambling tool. You already have 100% of your money in this trade, you can't put in more (without leverage) although your risk management tells you to do so. You want to increase your risk from currently 2% to 4% = double it. This means you have to take a 2x leverage. Now you are 200% invested in the trade and if your stop loss of 2% (in price action) gets hit you will lose 2 x 2% = 4% which is the optimal risk we wanted. More in-depth information about optimal risk for fast growth: en.wikipedia.org www.youtube.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MagnusTradingGroup
12