A pullback before a nice rally?Got my flag patter wrong but it looks like there's a small pullback. WILL BE LOOKING FOR CONFIRMATION
Marijuanastocks
Bullish Pennant?Possibly a descending triangle?
A pennant is a continuation pattern in technical analysis formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend lines - the pennant - followed by a breakout movement in the same direction as the initial large movement, which represents the second half of the flagpole.
Pennants are continuation patterns where a period of consolidation is followed by a breakout.
It's important to look at the volume in a pennant—the period of consolidation should have lower volume and the breakouts should occur on higher volume.
Most traders use pennants in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as confirmation.
Pennants, which are similar to flags in terms of structure, have converging trend lines during their consolidation period and last from one to three weeks. The volume at each period of the pennant is also important. The initial move must be met with large volume while the pennant should have weakening volume, followed by a large increase in volume during the breakout.
ACB - breakout?ACB is finally breaking out of its bullish flag in what may be the start of a decent rally. Good low risk entry is still possible.
Bullish Divergence| Higher Low| Declining Volume Hello Traders!
Today’s chart update will be on OGI where bulls are promptly trying to change the bearish structure; key levels must break for a trend change to come to fruition.
Points to consider,
- Trend structure changing
- Local support being held
- Structural resistance to break
- Stochastics in neutral territory
- RSI diverging from price
- Volume clearly declining
OGI’s structure has slightly changed due to the bullish divergence playing out, new higher highs will confirm the overall trend change which has not happened as of yet.
Local support in being held promptly, in confluence with the .50 Fibonacci level, OGI has strong technical support confluences. Structural resistance is a key level to break; OGI must close above as this will instil a highly probable new higher high in the trend.
Stochastics is in neutral territory, momentum is stored in both directions at current given time. RSI is diverging from price with clear higher lows, signalling a local trend change.
Volume has been declining which increases the probability of an influx at current support. Bear volume visually has been drying up; OGI needs bull volume for follow through from current support.
Overall, in my opinion, local support must hold for OGI, a retest and close above structural resistance will confirmed the trend change with a new macro higher high.
What are your thoughts?
Please leave a like and comment,
And remember,
“Ultimately, consistent profitability comes down to choosing between the discomforts you feel when you follow your plan and the urge to let yourself be captures ( and ruled) by your emotions.”
― Yvan Byeajee
Another cannabis stock ready to fly high? NYSE:ACB looks very interesting since mid January bottom. Good odds that similiar pattern (inverted H&S) will be playing out, as it was the case before with NYSE:CGC , which is rallying nicely since its breakout in early December.
APHA - OUCHTough day for APHA - wiped out this week's gains.
Their cash influx didn't surprise me, poor timing. Thought the daily trend might hold.
Sitting on the 50 retrace.
Still bullish.
Is EXP trading in a Bear Flag?Or possibly a bull flag, but currently EXP is trading at all time lows & down -90% since late 2017 highs, so there's merit for a contrarian bottom fishing buy here.
I recently bought one of their premium flower brands "Citizen Stash Mac-1" & its THC content is 25.6%, which is the highest I've seen on the legal rec Canadian market & I've been in dispensaries all across the country legal & illegal for the past 5 years.
For comparison, Aphria's Broken Coast brand has been my favorite on the legal rec market in Canada & has won top awards at the Canadian Cannabis Awards, but the highest THC content I've seen is well under 20% with an average of roughly 16% for each of premium Indica strains like Gabriola, Quadra & Stryker. I've noticed the Stargazer Sonora has a 24.9% thc content on Aphria's website, but I don't like Sativa & I've yet to see it in dispensaries.
Anyway, if EXP can get the Mac-1 & other newer strains under the Citizen Stash Brand in dispensaries across Canada they will easily become the #1 premium flower on the market, and potentially become a buyout target from much larger LP's looking to find premium flower brands that are selling to add to their portfolio.
citizenstash.com
GWPH is a clear buyWow, great trend, much support. Hey, I've said it before I'll say it again, I'm no technical analysis guru. I think most of it is hooplah. Have you ever heard of the guys on Wall Street who threw darts at random stocks on a wall and those picks ended up performing better than most professional hedge fund managers? Yeahhh, exactly. I personally don't believe in most of these unicorn indicators. Goku flying on a Ichimoku cloud over here, fucking RSI up your ass over there. I don't look at any of it. (bUt YoU hAVe tHe RsI uP rIGhT nOw) shhhhhhh it's for giggles.
Now let me tell you what I do do (heh heh). I follow a rule I've established with myself before I go in and buy/sell a stock. I only commit to that action of exchanging the stock for cash or vice versa unless my conditions are met. Want to know what those conditions are? PSSHHHH. I'm not telling. Not that you care anyway. I'm not like, the best trader in the world. But I heavily believe part of trading is understanding the psychology of the market and beating the other guy - except for whale behavior but you can argue there's a psychological aspect to that as well (detecting that shit is hard tho) - so telling you my strategy is a joke and that's why I rarely believe in anyone who tells me there's.
Anyyyyywho. What I will reveal is my bullishness on GW Pharmaceuticals. I'll even reveal what prices I bought in at - an average cost of $103.13 and I will be buying more good sir. I took a look at this companies balance sheet compared to last year and I swear I got half a chub. For one, GWPH's product Epidolex has competitor advantage being the only FDA approved cannabidiol product to treat two forms of epilepsy in children. Over 18,000 children suffer from LGS and Dravet Syndrome in America (the forms of epilepsy the prescription treats). As of now 7,600 patients have received Epidolex for treatment resulting in $31 million in sales for this product. Future sales can potentially double just for America alone. The company is gearing up in the EU market as well. Not to mention they are testing the same prescription in treating a disease that affects 1-2 million people worldwide. This baby is going to the moon given FDA approval for the treatment. But of course that's an "if". Considering the hard facts I like that the companies' assets are outpacing its liabilities and looking at last years' balance sheet compared to this years' this stock was either grossly over valued last year and slightly under valued this year or damn near bubble euphoria territory last year and fairly priced this year. There could be a third scenario that this stock price is still overvalued but man does this companies growth story look attractive. I'm buying!!
P.S - I am a random dude who doesn't know shit about shit. I'm just reading books, reading balance sheets, watching YouTube videos trying to figure out how to value businesses. I got involved in the stock market 3 years ago and I'm just straight up passionate about it dawg. Think it was my real calling truth be told. I'm documenting for future purposes. Follow my trades if you want, just don't cry if you randomly read this and got convinced to buy something because of a stranger. I learned the hard way to never do that again. I only read other peoples recommendations of stocks to get an understanding of how other peeps are valuating companies. I don't even read that trade junk anymore, I've already got my set of rules. And I also only execute very few trades because as we know most traders do not beat the market. If you think you can I encourage you to try to get into an Ivy league cuz you're chances are roughly the same. Good luck out there folks. Holla atcha boy
Cannabis Stocks BullishWEED just bounced off multi-year support dating back to 2016, breaking above the bearish resistance it's been fighting since April of 2019. Weed pennant accumulating should break out soon, which considering the strong correlation ACB has shown to WEED, would lead me to believe ACB should follow suit.
Ascending Triangle Breakout for FAF?It appears as though FAF is breaking out of a Ascending Triangle.
Is APHA trading in a micro descending triangle?It' possible that if this pattern plays out to the downside Aphria sticks in a Triple Bottom some where equal to the previous two bottoms where I have the green volume icon, ideally the third bottom should be higher than the previous two.
Key Takeaways
A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears).
A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance.
There should be an existing downtrend in place before the pattern occurs.
The three lows should be roughly equal in price and spaced out from each other. While the price doesn't have to be exactly equal, it should be reasonably close to the same price, such that a trendline is horizontal.
Only time will tell, but on a five year chart there's merit for a giant bull flag, see attached chart, or it's possibly a descending triangle. But you can also see a inverse H&S, a lot of familiar bullish patterns.
MedMan capitulation and retail shakeoutI do not provide financial advise.
Despite serious declines in Canna Stocks in 2019 looks like $MMNFF successfully capitulated and retail investors are being shaked out by institutions. Here's why:
- On macro, long-term parabolic wedge has resolved itself by hammered spring and followed up by SFP bullish candle. Please note this was second largest green candle in history of the stock. Smart money accumulating.
- Volume is picking up.
- RSI bottomed below 30 for a long time. Accumulation?
- Stock still in down trend because Lower High at $0.75 hasn't been taken out yet, but looks like new price discovery is completed at this point.
- For investors with high risk tolerance this is the best entry due to high asymmetrical setup. For conservatives entry above $0.75
- Targets are $1.80 / $2.75 / $3.80
- Stop below last swing low
Is TNY trading in a Ascending Triangle.Possibly a Symmetrical Triangle as well & coincidently upon breakout would negate the descending triangle pattern which started roughly Nov 19th 2019.
Key Takeaways
Symmetrical triangles occur when a security's price is consolidating in a way that generates two converging trend lines with similar slopes.
The breakout or breakdown targets for a symmetrical triangle is equal to the distance between the initial high and low applied to the breakout or breakdown point.
Many traders use symmetrical triangles in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as a confirmation.
Ascending Triangle Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
TNY is also trading in what's called a Triple Bottom pattern with the first bottom starting roughly Oct 23rd 2019 where I have the red finger pointing right.
Key Takeaways
A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears).
A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance.
The formation of triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position.
The triple bottom is similar to the double bottom chart pattern and may also look like ascending or descending triangles. Traders always look for confirmation of a triple bottom using other technical indicators or chart patterns. For example, traders might note that the stock has an oversold relative strength index ( RSI ) before a double bottom forms and/or look for a breakout to confirm that it's a triple bottom rather than a descending triangle or other bearish pattern .
The MA50&200 are the black lines, plus the 200 Day MA is black as well. TNY is trading between the MA50&200 at the moment. Roughly 48% away from the 200 Day MA, which is better than most cannabis related stocks.
$CGC Canopy EOY 2019, Inverted H&S in play? R:R 1:10$CGC Canopy EOY 2019, Inverted H&S in play? R:R 1:10
Picture explains the most, R:R makes it lovely.
Not financial adice
Is TNYBF trading in a Ascending Triangle?We've had the highest volume on the U.S side this year recently, along with the highest short on TNYBF on Dec 24th with 100% of the trades short, keep in mind it's not uncommon to see over 50% of TNYBF short, TNY on the CSE usually trades much higher volume, which is the Canadian ticker symbol.
Anyway, this recent move has put TNYBF over the MA50&200, and it also appears like we're trading in a Ascending Triangle.
Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
Is TRUL trading in a Head & Shoulders pattern?After the recent short report we've seen some very serious downward pressure, and rightfully so, IMO...
Any cannabis company related to fraud & corruption in this CantTrust environment is a Huge Red Flag..
There's nothing propitiatory about opening a bunch of dispensaries & growing grass, so the market cap here is out of touch with reality by a factor of roughly 10...
WeedMD should bounceWeedMD should recover after almost 1year long downtrend, despite drop in sales they are shortly after harvest, I suspect lots of new buds are already in curing, soon ready for sales. On the top of that lfpress.com
This price range looks like great entry for long term position, however short term rapid recovery would be well deserved.
IIPR Macro Higher Low ? 100 EMA to break!Hello Traders!
Today’s chart update will be on IIPR – Innovative Industrial Properties INC where bulls are attempting to put in a new higher low, a trend change may be coming to fruition.
Points to consider,
- Potential new higher low
- Structural resistance needs to break
- Support in green zone
- RSI respecting support
- Stochastics projected upwards
- Strong VPVR cluster to break
- Volume below average
- 100 EMA to breach
IIPR’s overall trend has been bearish with consecutive lower lows; a trend change will come to fruition when a new higher low and higher high is established. Structural resistance is key to break, IIPR was rejected twice with the help from the EMA’s, this resistance is very key to brach otherwise the potential new higher low will be negated.
Support was formed in the green zone, a clear double bottom at current given time; this is a strong macro reversal pattern. The RSI is also respecting its support line, we need a third clear touch for confirmation.
Stochastics is projected upwards, can stay in the lower regions for an extended period of time, however there is lots of stored momentum to the upside. The VPVR cluster with strong volume of transaction is further resistance to break, volume of transactions decreases drastically after this cluster, signalling low resistance poised for the bulls.
The Volume is currently just above average; IIPR needs an increase in volume with follow through when resistances are tested.
Overall, in my opinion, a trend change will come to fruition when structural resistance is broken and the 100 EMA is breached. IIPR tends to respect the 100 EMA in a bull trend so it will be key to watch when the new trend starts to put in consecutive higher lows and higher highs.
What are your thoughts?
Please leave a like and comment,
And remember,
“If you don’t respect risk, eventually they’ll carry you out.” – Larry Hite
**Please follow me on twitter for daily updates on fundamental news in the MJ and Crypto Speace ! :) Twitter handle in profile link
$GRWG... Ready To Resume UptrendRecent uplising news coupled with solid earnings and upgrades should take this back up to the high end of the range... $4.40 in sight... next target $5.00... look for friction @ 50MA 4.11 @ 100MA 4.45... Stop@ $3.60... sell 1/2 @4.80 then watch for direction...
All IMO...
$GRWG
APHA Bullish Divergence | Double Bottom?Hello traders,
Apologies, been under the weather the past few days, but now I’m back!
Today’s chart update will be on APHA – APHRIA Inc – Canadian MJ. Which has been in a brutal down trend, but there are signs of a possible reversal…
Points to consider,
- Trend Bearish
- Support at $3.90 Region (double bottom)
- Price testing resistance
- Stochastics trading in upper region
- RSI diverging from price
- EMA’s giving price resistance
- Volume declining
The trend has been putting in consecutive lower highs as it approaching its possible apex zone. The green highlighted zone is the current support level with a possible double bottom, signalling that buyers are strong. Resistance is poised by the trend line, which needs to break to negate the higher low market structure.
Stochastics are currently trading in the upper region, can trade in this region for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the downside. The RSI is currently diverging from price as it puts in higher low whilst the price has put in lower lows,
The EMA’s are currently giving price resistance, needs to cross bullish to support price in testing upper resistance levels. Volume is visibly declining; an influx of volume will confirm the direction of the break.
Overall, in my opinion, a break is imminent as we have a probable bullish divergence and a double bottom coming to fruition. APHA needs an influx of volume with follow through; this will avoid a possible false break.
What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment,
And remember,
“Never let a win go to your head, or a loss to your heart.” – Chuck D.
Triple Bottom for TNY?It appears as though $TNY may have formed a triple bottom where I have the red fingers pointing right on the chart.
In my previous post linked to this chart I spoke about the descending triangle & potentially testing .335c, clearly visible on this chart we can see .33c is about exactly where a new double bottom was created, and thus potentially creating the third bottom of a triple bottom. We will need to see continued bullish price action next week & break out of this pattern flush to the upside, maybe create a top at 44c & consolidate sideways before continuing, who knows, only time will tell.....
The RSI appears to be breaking out of a Bull Flag, and on 5 year & 1 year time frame the RSI is fairly low with lots of room to move to the upside, "if we're looking at a longer term trend reversal."
Key Takeaways
A triple bottom is a visual pattern that shows the buyers (bulls) taking control of the price action from the sellers (bears).
A triple bottom is generally seen as three roughly equal lows bouncing off support followed by the price action breaching resistance.
The formation of triple bottom is seen as an opportunity to enter a bullish position.