Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-29-Jan-24 to 02-Feb-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-29-Jan-24 to 02-Feb-24
Nifty closed at 21352 ( Prev Close 21571 ) and touched low & high of 21136 & 21736.
RSI and stochastics levels ( 47% & 21 % Respectively). Stochastics is in oversold zone.
Market saw huge volatility in the last two week of around 1000 Points, especially fluctuated after results of HDFC bank.
Nifty IT (36496) -To hold. major support at 34918 /34000.
Nifty bank ( 44866) if further move down support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips.
Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last 1.5 months, Cash is useful to pick the right stocks currently to pick the right stock.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom.
Nifty- Short Term ( Bearish)- 21300 ( trend Line support Provided was majr support last week.
Resistances are at 21439 ( Fib Resistance), 21639 ( MA 21 days) , 22000, 22117, 22155
Support at 21300 ( trend line Support), 20800-21000 have strong Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart.
Nifty Medium Term & long Term ( Neutral)- Can buy at 20800 -21000 level.
Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521.
Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024.
however if Q3 results are good, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Comments (28-Jan-24) :
Earlier last 2-3 months , purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Last two weeks IT was little down but comparatively lesser than Nifty Index and nifty Bank.
Simillarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last two weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy last week. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
In Feb, Temporary budget most likely to favour income tax payers inorder to keep in mind of elections and to concentrate on infra (Railways & Road). Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered.
Market
BMY - Patience is a Virtue 🧘Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Monthly: Left Chart
BMY has been hovering inside a range between the 50 support and 70 resistance.
Currently BMY is approaching the lower bound of the range, so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
On Daily: Right Chart
📈 For the bulls to take over, we need a momentum candle close above the last major high in gray at 54.
📉 Meanwhile, BMY would be bearish and can still trade lower to dive inside the 44-50 support zone before trading higher.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
QQQ TRENDS AND PRICE TARGETS, HOW MANY Q's SHOULD ONE HAVE?Technicals
RSI is overextending, however, a little cool down would reset the indicators and trigger buy signals across the board.
Bears should be looking for an entry, but not entering yet. Plan out a trade.
Bulls should be locking in profits and looking to buy the dip.
There are two super short term trends that are taking the price up. They are both rejection trends, which are trending in the bullish direction, in other words, price is going up following those trends.
There is a huge rejection trend labeled.
There is a mega support trend labeled.
There is a strong support trend labeled, which should likely trigger a buy signal should it fall to that support or possibly dip under for a brief period of time.
Above 480 starts to increase risk.
it can go higher to 500, and then possibly even to 600.
500 is way more likely than 600 on this run.
short term, again, could use a cool down to like 393.
I would suggest to wait for this cool down to enter expecting bullish movement. With price falling to multiple strong support lines, it is a favorable trade.
Price can keep going up. Don't expect it to go down. But understand, if it does, you'll be prepared for that movement, and have a trade with a high potential of profit.
If you miss out on a run because you were caution, simply wait for a rejection point and jump in short. Ride the wave down, then enter your long position. In other words, don't chase the movement, let the movement come to you, let it move past you, then ride the movement in your desired direction.
Linking my other QQQ posts and SPY posts
I usually don't TA these because I tend to trade the 3x leveraged (FNGU FNGD is one of my favorites), and I tend to get predictions wrong on these two. Will link some old ones talking about spy to 480 in the election year. MY MISTAKE was I thought the election year was 2023, so it was way off.
buy for us30 positional 30 minute timeframecurrently us30 is making HH and it is extreme bullish. cause us30 is at lifetime high.so before going long bearish it will plays out in ATH for sometimes may be 2-4weeks . we have observe a oder block in 3om timeframe so watch the PA closely to that oder block if we get rejection from that area we will enter and target for the new high.HOPE FOR GOOD.
BTC & ETH - Keep It Simple 📚Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
~ When in doubt, zoom out!
📰 With all the fundamental news and choppy price action, it is always a good practice to take a break, relax, and look at the big picture.
Last week, both BTC and ETH rejected the upper bound of the channel and resistance zones.
📈 For the bulls to remain in control and take over from a macro perspective in this bull run, we need a weekly candle close above 50k and 3k zones for BTC and ETH, respectively.
📉 Until then, bearish pressure may persist from a medium-term perspective and might initiate a deep correction phase, leading to the lower bound of the channels, at 35k and 2k, respectively, for BTC and ETH.
⏱ Remember:
You Are Getting Paid; To Wait!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
~Richard Nasr
My total market cap price predictionJust some guessing here based on some Fibonacci lines. But if my predictions come out, then we'll have a 4 Trillion total crypto market cap around may 2025.
This could also be the top of the next bull market and a huge opprtunity to lock in profits.
For the short term I expect a pullback to the last major support. But after that...
SPY Short-term supports - Jan 18Yesterday, the first support zone - 21 EMA (green on chart) - was confirmed.
In case the price loses this zone, the next potential support will be the left shoulder level of Inv. H&S (467.80).
If the price goes lower, then we can expect a reaction from 465, which is ATH.
I'm also considering here Bottoming Support Trendline as potential support.
#TOTAL2 #AltCoins #Short #Crypto #Market #DUMP #Soon #Eddy#TOTAL2 #AltCoins #Short #Crypto #Market #DUMP #Soon #Eddy
(("My analysis of Total 2 and altcoins is like this, from my point of view, it is possible to track the position of short selling transactions on most currencies in the market."))
- What do you think? Have you checked Total 2 in this time frame? Write me in the comments!
- My confirmations are based on Wykoff's review of Bitcoin in multi-time frame, as well as Bitcoin and Tether's Dominance review.
Its about Wyckoff ;-)
(( BTC/USD )) latest update link :
XAUUSD (Gold) Slightl bullish in trend but still not clear the wXAUUSD (Gold) Slightly bullish in trend, but still not clear on the way.
The major level at the Gold tested was 2060 and gained more power from 2040 after last weekend's movements.
Now, if the H1 closes above the 2050 zone, it will short-term push the price toward 2060. The price of the US dollar was also up from 102.097 and is trading at 102.459.
Technically, we sell from the 2060 zone with 50 pips. Stop loss.
Note: If China, Japan, and US armor sales and news of war get authentic, then gold will move its trend from bearish toward bullish movements.
Keep an eye on the US index and other international channels for gold trading.
If you see some price rejections from the 2060 or 2050 zone, then you must sell the gold, and the target level must be 2040, 2033, and 2020.
GOLD|They are still the winners of the seller's marketAs we expected from gold, when we said that the selling pressure is more, it crossed the 2048 support area with great strength, in this area we did not have a suitable candle confirmation to enter the transaction. Arriving at the next support area that we mentioned before, by observing the pin bar candle Ascending in the price area of 2033, we could enter into buy transactions, which has already given us 160 pips of profit.
Continuing the movement with the growth experienced from the support area, I am still waiting for the price to reach the resistance areas to enter sell trades, the most important area ahead is the midline of the descending channel that has already been broken and the supply area price 2055. In case of reactions Returning from this area, as I said, we can place up to the price of 2035 equivalent to 200 pips for the profit limit.
DJI Dow Jones Fell 8.60% After the Last U.S. Credit DowngradeOn Tuesday, Fitch Ratings downgraded the US debt rating from the highest AAA rating to AA+, citing concerns over "a steady deterioration in standards of governance."
This downgrade occurred in the wake of last-minute negotiations among lawmakers to secure a debt ceiling deal earlier this year, which posed a risk of the nation's first default.
Following a similar credit downgrade in the past, the DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced an 8.60% decline over a period of 3 months. The downgrade by S&P, one of the three major credit rating firms, took place on Aug. 5, 2011, after another significant debt ceiling battle.
As of today, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, reaching its highest level since November 2022.
If we are to fell -8.60%, the Price Target for DJI is $32500.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
US500 - Potential Bearish Momentum ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
In accordance with my latest analysis, which is attached to the chart, we have been anticipating a rejection of the all-time high.
📉 For the bears to assume control and confirm the beginning of the correction phase, a break below the last major low highlighted in red is required.
Meanwhile, until the bears take control, US500 would remain bullish and could still move within the green all-time high zone.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
S.C. Corinthians Fan Token SCCP Price X10Ladies and Gentlemen, fans of the great S.C. Corinthians, I stand before you today not just as a supporter but as a herald of an exciting evolution in the world of sports and fandom - the rise of fan tokens.
The introduction of the S.C. Corinthians Fan Token signifies more than just a digital asset; it represents a revolutionary bridge between a club and its devoted supporters. This token isn't just about ownership; it's about empowerment, engagement, and a new era of connectivity.
Imagine a future where your passion for Corinthians isn't just demonstrated through cheers and jerseys, but through an active participation in club decisions, exclusive fan experiences, and a genuine voice in the club's direction. This is the promise that fan tokens like the one Corinthians offers hold.
Fan tokens are the epitome of the digital revolution meeting the fervor of sports culture. They provide a platform where fans aren't just spectators but active stakeholders in the success and growth of their beloved club. With this token, you hold a part of Corinthians in your digital wallet, but more significantly, Corinthians holds a part of your unwavering support and loyalty.
But let's talk about the future, the horizon of fan tokens. It's not just about holding a token; it's about the potential it carries. We're at the cusp of a paradigm shift where fan engagement transcends the boundaries of stadiums and physical presence. Soon, we'll witness unprecedented access to exclusive content, voting rights on club decisions, VIP experiences, and even the potential for token holders to shape the team's future by expressing their opinions directly through these tokens.
The future of fan tokens isn't confined to a screen or a digital wallet. It's about creating a vibrant community, a global network of Corinthians supporters, united by a digital thread. It's about democratizing the fan experience, where every voice counts, every opinion matters, and every token holder becomes an integral part of the Corinthians family.
So, fellow Corinthians faithful, embrace this new era. Let's not just witness history; let's be a part of shaping it. The S.C. Corinthians Fan Token isn't just a digital asset; it's a symbol of our unity, passion, and dedication. Together, let's paint a future where our love for the club isn't just celebrated but actively influences its journey. Vai Corinthians!
XAUUSD 1dHello, everyone! Weekly review of the gold-dollar pair from higher timeframe to lower:
1D - Daily timeframe, we are in a short context after updating the historical maximum. After that, we confirmed the short context. At the moment, we have an interesting situation as there is a raid against a raid in still a short context. In such moments, I prefer to gather more information before making a decision.
XCN NEW VOLUME STARTThank you for reading this update.
Depending on our study we see that XCN has a good chance of volume increase.
This updates depending on day trade, And the market should confirm with time the right market way.
#Nottradingadvice
#For day traders take always profits when market increase
#Expect noting from the markets, but follow what it shows.
BTC - Market Structure 101 📚 Keeping It SimpleHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📊 I find the BTC H1 chart interesting as it has been respecting the market structure cleanly inside the rising channel recently.
📈 As the price approaches the lower bound of the channel, the bulls are taking control for an impulse after breaking above the last high in blue and the 21 EMA.
📉 Conversely , as the price nears the upper bound of the channel, the bears take charge for a correction after breaking below the last low in green and the 21 EMA.
Today, BTC rejected the upper bound and broke below the green low and 21 EMA, signaling that the bears are currently in control.
📉 The bears are expected to maintain control, and we anticipate a movement towards the lower bound of the channel.
📈 However , a shift in momentum could occur if the bulls regain control by breaking above the red channel and reaching 38,100. In such a scenario, we would anticipate a bullish continuation towards the upper bound of the rising channel.
What are your thoughts? Do you believe BTC will continue to adhere to this simple market structure?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USDJPY - NovemBEARS MARKETFor the current week, the USD/JPY pair has shown a decline, closing Monday's session at 148.675. Investors are speculating on a possible shift in the Bank of Japan's policy away from negative interest rates, which could support a move of the pair towards 145. Consumer confidence in the U.S. and comments from FOMC members are also key factors that could influence the trajectory of USD/JPY.
The focus is on the future direction of the Bank of Japan following higher-than-expected inflation data, with anticipation of further guidance on when this policy shift might occur. On the other hand, in the U.S., a significant drop in consumer confidence could affect spending and thus demand-driven inflation, which would influence the Fed's interest rate outlook. Investors will be attentive to comments from voting FOMC members on inflation and interest rates.
In summary, the market anticipates a possible change in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy and is closely monitoring U.S. consumer confidence indicators and comments from FOMC members, all of which could significantly influence the behavior of the USD/JPY pair in the coming days.
Look my ideas chart
drive.google.com