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🔥 Bitcoin's Most Important Support In 2023 Has FailedAs of yesterday, Bitcoin has fallen through the most important support/resistance level of 2023. This area was a massive resistance during both the late bear market of 2022 and the Q1 bull market of 2023. In my view, it's more likely than not that the 2023 top is in and that we're going to see more bearish pressure for the remainder of 2023. Not sure yet if we're going to see new bear market lows, but 20,000 is definitely on the table. Stocks are severely overbought and a correction is due. The interest rate decision has had a negative reception thus far (see analysis below), so BTC will likely sell off during this period. Do you think the 2023 high is in? Share your thoughts 🙏
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by FieryTrading
3
The Roller Coaster is always a Bumpy ride 🎢The Market can feed everyone but it's not not the market's duty. The market's duty is to provide a playground for a fair auction to take place. The conditions and the rules at the playgorund change from time to time but principles never cease to exist. The market needs liquidity to trend and it's the losing trader's emotion that fuels that. The market will achieve it's own goals just as mother nature and the dragon of time will eat us all. The market is a neutral entity and not one of us as participants are immune to it's wrath. Respect the market as it can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. Pay close attention to money management and/or Position sizing because it will help you attain your goals. With all that said I have outlined my favorite level's on the chart. There are traders buying the high and the market will not make it easy on them. Or maybe the market breaks everything like the night king in Game of thrones. All you should do is take good risk/reward ideas. Create a system suited towards your personalities and inclinations. Orient yourself to what is most comfortable but be pro-active with your entries. Cut your losses short and let you profits run. Don't cut your winners just because you want to be right about the direction. Pay yourself for the time you spend in front of the screen. I have other obligations but the way I would go about trading interest rates would be to wait 1Hr after the news. Once the market has decided the direction, I lower my position size and follow my system's entry technique for trading with momentum. Additionally, If the market reacts off one of my level's I will anticipate a double top/double bottom. Safe Trading.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Trading Mindset: The Winning Edge!In the world of trading, strategy, and market knowledge are typically seen as the twin pillars of success. However, this is only part of the picture. The psychological aspect of trading is often overlooked but can be equally, if not more, influential in shaping trading outcomes. This component involves understanding and managing the emotions, biases, and mental states that can impact trading decisions. Emotional decision-making can lead to costly mistakes, such as panic selling during market dips or holding onto a losing trade for too long out of hope or fear. Therefore, it is crucial to cultivate a clear, disciplined mindset for more profitable and consistent trading outcomes. This tutorial will delve into the psychological landscape of trading, providing valuable insights and practical tips to master your mind and, consequently, the market. Common Psychological Traps in Trading There are several psychological traps that traders can fall into, which can seriously undermine their trading performance. One of these traps is overconfidence. After a streak of successful trades, it's easy to start feeling invincible, which can lead to riskier trading behaviors and impulsive decisions. Fear and greed are two more emotions that often dictate trading decisions. They are the key drivers behind market trends and can lead to significant financial losses if not managed properly. The fear of missing out (FOMO) can push traders into hasty, poorly thought-out trades, while greed can create a reluctance to sell even when all signs point to a market downturn. Another common psychological pitfall is anchoring. This occurs when a trader becomes fixated on specific price points or values, which can distort their perception of a security's true value and hinder rational decision-making. Understanding Your Trading Emotions To manage your trading emotions effectively, you first need to understand them. One practical way to do this is by keeping a trading journal. Besides recording your trades and their outcomes, this journal should also note down your emotions and thoughts at the time of each trade. Over time, you may start to see patterns in how your emotions affect your trading decisions. Knowing your risk tolerance is another crucial factor. Each trader has a different level of comfort when it comes to taking risks, and understanding this can significantly shape your trading strategy. A risk-averse trader might prefer more stable assets, while a risk-tolerant one might be comfortable with higher volatility. Strategies for Managing Trading Emotions Being in the right mental state before you start trading is paramount. Developing a pre-trade routine that helps you calm down and focus can prepare you for the trading day ahead. This routine could include activities like meditating, exercising, or going over the latest market news and your trading plan for the day. Having a clear trading plan can also provide a solid foundation for managing your emotions. This plan should outline your strategy, including risk management tactics, potential entry and exit points, and your objectives for each trade. It serves as a roadmap and can keep you grounded when market volatility triggers emotional responses. In addition, learning stress management techniques can be invaluable in trading, a field often fraught with stress. Taking regular breaks, deep breathing exercises, and ensuring you have a balanced lifestyle outside of trading can help maintain your mental equilibrium. Conclusion and Further Reading Trading psychology is a vast and complex field, but understanding its fundamental principles can drastically improve your trading performance. By being aware of the common psychological traps, understanding your own emotions and risk tolerance, and employing effective strategies to manage your trading emotions, you can make more informed and profitable trading decisions. Continuous learning and emotional self-awareness are keys to successful trading. There are numerous resources available for those who want to delve deeper into trading psychology, risk management, and market analysis. While the journey to master your trading psychology can be challenging, the potential rewards - improved trading outcomes and personal growth - are well worth the effort.
Education
by ShawnMCR
4
ETH - Still Stuck 📦Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), ETH rejected the lower bound of the flat rising broadening wedge and traded higher to reject the upper bound again. 🏹 As per my trading style , we will be trading the range UNLESS it is broken upward or downward. 📈 As ETH approaches the blue support again , we will be looking for short-term buy setups. For the bulls to take over medium-term, we need a break above the red zone. 📉 In parallel , if as ETH approaches the red resistance, we will be looking for short-term sell setups. And if ETH breaks below the blue zone, we will be expecting further bearish movement till the 1700 daily support. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
22
SPY OUTLOOK 06/05 - 06/09Last week, the debt ceiling lift was signed into law which saved the US from defaulting. All of our upside targets hit last week, and the market reacted favorably with a green week up +3.2%. With not much on the economic calendar, I doubt we move much this week, but expectations of a soft landing can keep bulls in control. Technical Analysis: This week AMEX:SPY broke out to the upside of the megaphone we were watching since April. We are at a critical point in the market as we tested the top of a macro trendline dating back from September 2022. Although I can see the market moving higher in the short term, I’d expect some corrective action in the coming weeks. Even if we head higher, we will need to build some levels of support and resistance if we do head higher. Bulls will want to hold price above the megaphone breakout. If price can continue above last week’s high 428.74, our next level above is 429.57, with not much resistance until 433. What is more likely this week is some sort of healthy pullback before we head higher. I can see SPY coming down to test the daily gap made on Friday (422.92-423.95). If this doesn’t hold, we have a golden pocket from 420-421 where we can look for buyers to step in. Bears will want to invalidate the golden pocket and control price action under last week’s point of control at 419. Upside Targets: 428.74 → 429.57→ 433.07 → 436.10 → 438.08 Extended: 441.21 Downside Targets: 425.14 → 423.95 → 422.92 → 421.02 → 419.00 Extended: 416.22
AMEX:SPY
by peterjames_6
A Comprehensive Guide to Picking Winning StocksHello, Investing in the stock market can be a profitable endeavour if approached with the right strategies. Picking winning stocks requires a thorough analysis of various factors, including understanding the company, assessing the market environment, evaluating opportunities and threats, identifying company weaknesses, and setting realistic targets. Today we aim to provide a step-by-step guide on how to effectively select stocks that have the potential to generate favorable returns. Understand what the company does: Before investing in a stock, it is crucial to have a clear understanding of the company's business model, products or services, and its competitive advantages. Analysing financial statements, annual reports, and researching the company's history and industry can provide insights into its operations, revenue streams, and potential for growth. Look at its stock price trend: Evaluating the stock price trend is essential to identify patterns and potential entry or exit points. Technical analysis tools such as moving averages, support and resistance levels, and chart patterns can assist in identifying trends, price reversals, and market sentiment. Combining technical analysis with fundamental analysis provides a more comprehensive view of the stock's potential. Understand the market environment: Assessing the overall market environment is crucial as it can significantly impact stock performance. Factors such as economic indicators, industry trends, interest rates, and geopolitical events should be considered. A bull market generally favors overall stock performance, while a bear market presents more challenges. It is important to align investment decisions with the prevailing market conditions. Understand the opportunities ahead: Identifying potential growth opportunities is vital to selecting winning stocks. Researching industry trends, technological advancements, new product launches, or expansion plans can provide insights into a company's growth prospects. Additionally, evaluating the company's competitive positioning and its ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities can help assess its long-term potential. Understand the threats: Identifying potential threats or risks is equally important in picking winning stocks. This involves analyzing factors such as competitive landscape, regulatory changes, disruptive technologies, and potential challenges the company may face. Evaluating a company's risk management strategies and its ability to adapt to changing market conditions is crucial in assessing its resilience. Discover company weaknesses: Conducting a thorough analysis of a company's financials, including its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, can reveal weaknesses and areas of concern. High debt levels, declining revenues, or low-profit margins may indicate underlying issues. Additionally, analyzing key performance indicators, management quality, and corporate governance can provide valuable insights into a company's overall health. Set the target for the company stock: Setting a realistic target price for the company's stock helps determine its investment potential. This involves evaluating the company's historical valuation metrics, such as price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio, in comparison to its industry peers. Consider both short-term and long-term factors, such as earnings growth projections and market sentiment, while setting a target price. Decide whether it is a good company to buy or not: After evaluating all the above factors, it is essential to make an informed decision on whether to buy the stock. Consider the company's fundamental strengths, growth prospects, competitive advantages, and valuation metrics. It is advisable to diversify the investment portfolio and not rely solely on one stock. Consulting with a financial advisor or conducting further research can provide additional perspectives before making a final investment decision. I wish you the best in your investment journey! Info about the company PDD Holdings can be interrogated here investor.pddholdings.com
NASDAQ:PDDEducation
by thesharkke
U.S. National Debt U.S. default A topic that has been stirring people's minds in recent months is the U.S. debt ceiling. The general public is asking the question: "Will the national debt ceiling be raised or will the U.S. default?" The national debt is the result of the government's financial borrowing to cover the budget deficit. And, as you might have guessed, these borrowings must be paid for. For the last ~100 years, the U.S. has existed on borrowed capital by placing Treasury bonds. And there is a purely nominal borrowing limit, which in fact America has raised 45 times in the last 40 years so that it can borrow more and more and more. And if they don't, the Treasury will no longer be able to issue debt securities and will only have to cover their expenses with cash balances from their balance sheet. Spoiler: no money to pay off your own debt 💡Logical conclusion. The national debt ceiling will be raised anyway, and all the current discussions have only political overtones and have nothing to do with the real economic model of the states. Consequently, no teeth-grinding default and collapse of the global financial system should be expected How will the increase in state debt affect the cryptocurrency market? -If you're interested, put + www.usdebtclock.org Best regards EXCAVO
FRED:GFDEBTNLong
by EXCAVO
29
🔥 CAKE = 💀Last month I made an analysis on CAKE and the fact that it was selling off severely. My 2.50 support was the last hope for the bulls, which inevitably failed. Fast forward to today, and we're trading at 1.50, a truly abysmal feat. Short-sellers are happy, stakers and investors are either exiting in droves or seeing their funds evaporate. I think that there's little hope for CAKE to ever recover from this. Unless they make some drastic changes to the tokenomics of this token, I don't see it ever taking off again. Keep in mind that this is normal for a lot of tokens. The good ones survive the bear market, the bad ones die. We might see some kind of pump occurring over the next year, but I'd be surprised if this token will go above 3.00 ever again.
Short
by FieryTrading
9
Bitcoin Bearish for rest of year. Buy in DecemberAs much as I love BTC for a insurance policy against government debt, it is still subject to human nature. Fear and Greed. And with proxy exposure to the function of all financial markets, liquidity. I want to believe that we have seen the worst that is to come for now but at this point it feels like sticking my head in the sand. How can we not see a correction in the markets that is one for the history books after the swings we have experienced over the last few years? Or was there just SO much liquidity in the system at basically 0% interest rates for a decade that even after an increase of FED fund rates (10 fold of anything we have seen, ever) we have just made up for lost time and its now time to carry on as per schedule. The trade: - Short any pops (ie retest of trendline) until later this year -All in again in Nov 2023 to Feb 2024 (debt crises should have sorted itself out by then)
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by merchtank19
ACA/USDT 1D. Fall out of channel. Manipulation.Here's coin in DOT ecosystem - Acala network. Though it has problems with its stable coin etc. there's space for earning money. Here's how. There was an accumulation channel(logic of the current movements). In it the volume was accumulated. Now there;s a break down of this channel. Price is dumping. The meaning of it - is how i've already described - collection of stop losses. From the support price has now dropped 37% down. We've come to the first support and potential reversal zone 0.545$. Yellow level. The second one is on the chart. When dropping out of that horizontal channel we had - the downtrend channel started to form, this is when we speak about technical side of this potential manipulation. Now as you can notice on the chart - the price is on the support of this downtrend channel. Hence we can at least work locally from the support considering potential bounce of the price.
Long
by TradingTsar
1
LTC & ADA Will Crash 90% – Bear Market Has Not Even Begun Yet!The bear market has not even begun yet for 99% of altcoins, such as Litecoin (LTC) and Cardano (ADA). I expect these coins to crash at least another 90% from where they currently are. I agree with people such as Big Cheds, Bob Loukas, Benjamin Cowen, and others that altcoins are far from having bottomed and in fact that the bear market has not even begun yet. Anyone using leverage of 1.01x or higher and who is long will surely get liquidated within the next 1-3 months. Bitcoin will crash to sub $10k as well.
KRAKEN:LTCUSDShort
by couldntcomeupwithone
13
USDCHF to find sellers at market?USDCHF - 24h expiry Daily signals are bearish. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. 20 1day EMA is at 0.8982. 0.8996 has been pivotal. We look for a temporary move higher. We look to Sell at 0.8989 (stop at 0.9019) Our profit targets will be 0.8919 and 0.8909 Resistance: 0.8960 / 0.8976 / 0.8995 Support: 0.8930 / 0.8910 / 0.8900 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
1
BTC - Ready Steady Shoot 🎯Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per my last analysis, we know that BTC rejected 30,000 resistance and now trading lower for a bearish correction. Now what? 🏹 Here is why the 25,000 zone marked by red circle is a strong support: 1- Round number => 25,000 2- Classic Resistance Zone Turned Support 3- Lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support 4- Lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support 5- Demand zone 📈 As per my trading style: As BTC approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
23
S&P MAJOR Pivot Point back to 2009 LOW - LOWER Prices likely!!Markets are at MAJOR Pivot point around this Trend Line connecting 2009 GFC Low at 666 to today's CLOSE and last DECEMBER 2022 High. Markets typically get rejected off this resistance and have been rejected every time since 2009 EXCEPT when we had LOW Interest Rates + PPP after Covid. That is ONLY time markets broke ABOVE this line. We broke Below this line in 2022 drop and its proven to be a major pivot point with prices struggling to stay above it. Most recently Price was rejected from this line in Dec 2022. We are retesting it again after Breaking the Downtrend Line from 2022 that everyone thinks means that we now have a "melt up". Current S&P Price is at May 2021 levels when we had ZERO Interest Rates and PPP. We are ON this Resistance/Pivot Line. CPI Data comes out in the morning. Probabilities suggest the market gets rejected and goes LOWER not higher. Despite the break in downtrend. For those of you that think Breaking a down trend and melt up is imminent go back and look at S&P chart in March - May 2008. The SAME Exact pattern as is being formed today occurred before the market tanked lower for next 12 months from May 2008 to 2009 low. Trade what you see...
CBOE:SPXShort
by eganon69
4
AMZN - From A to Z Analysis ✈️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), we were looking for buy setups short-term as AMZN was sitting around a strong support. AMZN rejected the 80.0 support and traded higher. However, we are still overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in blue. 🏹 For the bulls to take over long-term, we need a break above the upper blue trendline and blue zone 110.0 📉 Meanwhile, the bears can still push lower for a higher low . In this case, as we approach the 80.0 again we will be looking for new short-term buy setups. Which scenario do you think will happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by TheSignalyst
5