Market
Possible S&P500 bottom, and wealth redistributionTechnical:
S&p500 holding critical support (yellow ema), a possible bottom will be 503EMA or circle marked in the chart, if Williams AO does its crossover, prepare for vacation.
Fundamental:
Rate hikes are the least of the worries, everything seems bearish. The only hints of hope are the US unemployment rate below 4% (somehow low), and the Ukraine war. NATO and US were in decadence before it and Putin fell in their trap invading an useless country geopolitically speaking. Us is redefining it's status quo by making another war, but this time they're not fighting it directly, will be that cheaper or expensive?
Opinion:
Every TV clown educator has been posting their bearish bias and i won't be the exception, everybody is right when markets are trending (bullish or bearish), the only thing they don't know it's where the bottom (or top) is, they will keep selling useless trading signals, but the thing is there won't be business anymore, the golden era of scamming people is over, at least for now and for the next years, even brokers (market makers) are facing financial issues and we'll see bankruptcy so it would be a great idea cashing out your assets if you don't want to lose it all. It will be a great depression tier freefall, a chud's and a poljack wet dream. But it won't be like that neither. The water they're storing will end mouldy, the ammo dusty they will use just one bullet ;) and the shinny rocks seized or buried somewhere in the dirt. An anarchist dystopia is unrealistic in a country like the US or any west one, worse things happens in third world countries on a daily basis and even so, people manage it to live their lives almost on a normal way but they're too dumb to realize, they are so used to their consumist way of living they think the world ends when they won't find their favorite snacks on a Wal-Mart or any supermarket. Will be a hard time for US citizens, but what's surprising me is how people are realizing now we are in a recession we were already years ago, the signals were pretty obvious: inflation, expensive housing, lots of homeless in top tier cities, r****ds and illiterate people making millions (WSB, Crypto, meme stocks). Will be a healthy recession and a healthy wealth redistribution to the smart hands.
Dogecoin WOW TODAYThe current dogecoin price analysis is bearish.
At $0.0652, there is the most resistance.
The price of $0.0588 has the most robust support.
Dogecoin price data for October 11, 2022, reveals that the joke cryptocurrency has been moving steadily over the previous 48 hours. On October 10, 2022, the price jumped from $0.0581 to $0.0606. Today, Dogecoin saw a negative movement and a substantial price drop. The coin is now rising and is trading at $0.0594 as of this writing.
Dogecoin is presently ranked #10 with a 24-hour loss of 1.98%, a trading volume of $302,586,207, and a live market cap of $7,962,066,968. The cryptocurrency, however, has the possibility for a turnaround as the most recent price study shows the cost of DOGE is BULLISH
Dogecoin price analysis reveals the cryptocurrency following a constant movement, showing potential towards either extreme. However, the market shows colossal potential for a reversal in the coming days. If the bulls manage to use it to their advantage, they might engulf the market and help raise the price of Dogecoin beyond expectations.
Disclaimer. The information provided is not trading advice. I hold no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. I strongly recommend independent research and consultation with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.
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Market almost 60% share shows SELL signal be ready in some day we will seen one of the most dramatically fall in the stock market place sl on your position of hedge with future and option if your share in cash than buy index put of next week expiry or monthly expiry we will seen intraday 3 or 4% fall in nifty of banknifty i check stocks chart position that i can't get on nifty and banknifty but according to stock position all show big fall //// that is my personal view may be i am wrong but i take safe path. happy investment and safe trading.
Edge of a Precipice Will we ever see VIX at 16 again?
Here I explain the mean reverting nature of VIX.
Then I predicted exactly were VIX and JHEQX would be on Friday, October 7th.
Now we're sitting at the edge of a precipice of the worst financial disaster in history.
So I wrote an indicator to give us retail traders an inside eye so maybe we could catch a long vol opportunity of a lifetime.
If you understand how a large institution positions assets and how they hedge against a market correction you can a) find these hedges and b) use dealer positioning to predict it.
That brings us back to VIX.
Vix is calculated using SPX Weekly options rather than stocks.
If Vix sustains higher levels for longer it is telling us liquidity is bad.
As more institutional players position to the downside eventually there will be too much money on the same side of the boat and the boat will flip.
Think of market participants as people on a boat and the waves are volatility.
As the seas get more violent (swings up and down in market price) people on the boat are going to try to find a position best suited for the volatility.
Ask yourself now, is buying puts a good way to hedge downside?
No.
Fixed strike implied volatility is a disaster.
It has been collapsing for nearly the entire year.
Institutions protecting assets (like British pension fund managers apparently) with puts are getting worse and worse returns hedging with puts.
You may be able to pick off edge as an active trader by buying well timed Puts and cashing in on premium kick for a quick 100% return, but these fund managers holding puts are getting destroyed.
Instead, institutions are piling into selling puts while shorting stocks.
We all know what happens when too many shorts pile in, they frequently get squeezed.
I was expecting short squeezes to take hold when Oil started climbing.
Because the alternative is JHEQX leaning negative into an already crowded short side and a VIX > 32.
And that is exactly what nearly happened on Friday.
If futures drop overnight or price drops below 3580 JHEQX will start selling and the only thing stopping a drop to 3200 will be the FED with its left tail tucked between their legs with some fresh QE.
As a great philosopher once said.
"Dread it. Run from it. Destiny arrives all the same. And now it's here"
JPM - Trend-Following Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
JPM is overall bullish trading inside our brown rising broadening wedge and it is currently approaching a demand zone and round number 100.0
Moreover, the lower brown trendline act as non-horizontal support.
Thus, the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of:
1- Green Demand Zone
2- Brown Trendline
3- Round Number 100.0
As per my trading style:
Since JPY is already around the purple circle, I will be looking for reversal bullish setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Long Term NasDaQ Trading IdeaDon't have much to say here. It's just an old-school way of trading, the market has created a "W" pattern or you can say Double Buttom inside a range and the prince is sitting on a demand zone where they are too much liquidity and where buyers will re-enter and where the institutions left their buy stops, you can also confirm it with a Fibonacci retracement if you wish. Lost? Try going back to your notes
RLinda ! USDJPY-> Waiting for resistance breakdownWe see a slight decline in the dollar index and thus a reaction of the currency market, but with the USDJPY the story is different. There is a resistance level of 144.78 on the chart, relative to which we saw a shakeout last week against the background of the news release. The price tested the support at 142.736, but it did not go back down.
The global chart gives us a glimpse of two serious resistance levels, which can turn the price around quite strongly. The first and the nearest one is 146.79, and the second one is 159.35. These zones were formed in the 90's. After the distributive growth, formation of correction should be expected. The support zone 134.00 will be the target in this case.
I assume that on the local timeframes, a breakdown of resistance should be expected, as the major players are obviously interested in the area of 144.78 - 147.67, the price has stuck to the level from below and is pressing down, forming an upward trend. I expect a breakdown of the limit resistance and growth of the price to 147.67
Regards R. Linda!
Analyses of CARDANO pricesAnalysis of the Cardano price reveals that the bulls are in charge and that the market momentum has recovered. The price is currently at $0.4324 and is anticipated to increase even more to reach $0.4348. Cardano is hardly an exception to the recent market volatility. The bulls drove the price of the cryptocurrency above $0.43 to kick off the week strongly. But the bears gained control and drove the price to $0.42.
At $0.4348, ADA/USD encounters resistance. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break above this resistance might lead to a price target of $0.44. Support for ADA/USD is located at $0.4255 on the downside.
Cardano price analysis is present in a bullish trend as prices have been increasing steadily over the past few hours. However, the traders should be cautious as the prices may consolidate before making another move. The next few days will be crucial in determining the direction of the market. ADA/USD is among the few cryptocurrencies that have shown some stability in the last few days while most others are still struggling to find their footing.
MARKETFollowing last week's analysis of 4 important indices in the markets, as we can see in the daily chart of these indices, in the last two days of the last week, gold, which had lost its support, is pulling back to it, but the American stock indices have their key daily supports with The members of the Federal Reserve paid attention to the contractionary talks, and most interestingly, Bitcoin did not have a strong seller, and apparently, risk aversion in crypto is less than that of reliable assets such as gold and stocks, which is probably the reason for the decentralized nature of this asset compared to others. .
However, the reopening of the markets in this trading week is very vital and it should be seen that Bitcoin and consequently the crypto market can be supported against other assets or it will lose daily support following them and in order to confirm the weekly analysis. And monthly, which has not yet received a return signal, will continue to fall to the lower areas.
Total Double BottomThe total market cap has double bottomed on the daily reflecting a possible change in long term trend. Currently the index is within a falling wedge and will probably breakout upward.
The RSI paints heavy bullish divergence and is uptrending.
Upward break of falling wedge will raise the market cap to 1.05 trillion.
Arrows indicate possible target if bull trend is maintained.
A real double bottom will bring the index to 2 trillion, the same level as the start of April. The price of BTC at the start of April was 48.5k.
S&P Monthly Chart Breakdown 🐻The S&P 500 index has seen a decline of over 20% now officially stating a Bear-Market over the widely followed indices.
Today we are diving specifically in to the Monthly Chart for some Technicals Breakdown on the S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
The Monthly Momentum in this case we're using TTM_Squeeze (similar to MACD etc.) is signaling a flip to bearish momentum on the Monthly Time Frame. This is signifying possibly a big move down in the coming months, to continue the trend of the Bearish Momentum.
Last time we saw a real momentum switch with the TTM_SQUEEZE on the MONTHLY Chart was back in the 2008 Financial Crisis. Both scenarios are different in fundamentals, but even Technicals... SO I will not dive in to comparing the two much, as we were not as overbought then as we are now, and we have sold off already more now compared to when the monthly momentum switched then.
Nonetheless, this is not a good sign in the mid-long term of the Stock Market.
Technicals are showing months of decline, though this could include some dead-cat bounces, and bear-market relief rallies, we are starting to see a shift down in the markets.
Bond Yields Rising, Dollar Soaring, Interest Rates Rising, Home Prices Dropping, and Inflation still on the move... Currently there is not much to look forward to on this current Economy until it sorts out of course.
The bottom may be sooner than many think, or later. This idea was just to put this monthly timeframe in mind for your investing.
Thesis : Market may suffer for few more months to come, but nothing is sure and fundamentals could switch sharply & swiftly with lower CPI numbers, and a more Dovish Fed. This may take a while, or not... Averaging in on investments in a Bear Market is never a bad idea in my opinion.