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The Massive Potential of June's BULL-RUNNow that all of the speculations are pointing to the approval of the Ethereum ETFs , along with the positive CPI reports this week, it's safe to assume that we're about to break out of the current accumulation period. After +60 days of correction, everyone is eager to explore the potential of the next bull-run, so let's delve right into it. HOLD YOUR BREATH! - STAGE ONE: MAKING A NEW HIGHER HIGH In case you haven't noticed, on the 4th of this May, we have already broken out of the downtrend that lasted since the first day of April. However, we haven't made any higher high yet, so the bearish structure is technically still valid. Thanks to a whole bunch of good news and won rounds for crypto in the regulatory and judicial war, starting with RIPPLE surviving court and -hopefully- ending with the Ethereum ETFs approval, a break of the bearish structure seems inevitable to me, leading to a surge towards the 700B milestone. This is going to significantly refresh the alt-coins market, making up for April's harsh losses. - STAGE TWO: SELLING THE ETHEREUM ETF NEWS Now that things are looking greenish for the bulls, it's time for the exchanges to make money too. A minor correction and a retest of the 700B level would be reasonable, liquidating a ton of long positions, reigniting the trauma of the resistance that ended the February - March Mini bull-run and shaking more and more hands. And of course, there's the excuse of 'selling the news' for the exchanges to use before liquidating the crypto Futures market. I expect the traditional Alt-coins (ETH, XRP, ADA, etc..) and AI coins to perform extremely well at this stage. - STAGE THREE: THE JUNE BULL-RUN May wasn't as tough as we had expected, right? Well, this cycle is just getting started surprising us. As June approaches, Alts should see positivity due to the impact of the adoption of Ethereum. And of course, the largest piece of that green cake will be handed to the holders of any Alts related to Ethereum. We should see AI coins continuing their dazzling performance, promising projects related to RWA and Solana's competitors performing really well at this stage. I expect this stage to end when Ethereum makes its new ATH and as July approaches, then we should see Bitcoin taking back the lead and making its REAL ATH. Because.. you know.. 73K wasn't a real ATH (whispers). In my opinion, this scenario can be invalidated in two cases .. First case is if the Ethereum ETFs get disapproved. Second case is if we somehow revisit the current cycle bottom (highlighted on the chart). So that was it! My humble advice? - DO NOT use leverage, you don't need to challenge the exchanges and risk your capital. Enjoy a happy and calm June by buying your favorite coins on the Spot market. - DO NOT hold your alts for too long after Ethereum makes its new ATH. Bitcoin has to take back the lead and make its way to a new ATH. Don't worry, you will get many new opportunities during Bitcoin's bull-run. Note: This was an exploration of a potential scenario based on the current context and state of the market, not financial advice.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by OmarsMess
4
US DOLLAR INDEX The us dollar index opened with a gap. today the us dollar index which was closed at 104.94 opened at 105.5 with 11 point gap. this gap may be an indication that us dollar is going to resume its upward momentum this week which it has started on last Friday. if this momentum continues it will be a fall for xauusd. more clear cut analysis will be posted soon . but please post your comments which will be helpful to understand what the crowd thinks and thus understand market sentiments. LIKE BOOST FOLLOW US
ICEUS:DXYLong
by realmillionairefx
Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 10-Jun-24 to 14-Jun-24Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 10-Jun-24 to 14-Jun-24 Nifty closed at 23280 (22530 ) and touched low & high of 23382 & 21287 Different result than exit poll caused panic and market saw biggest drop after Covid in 2020. Nifty hold inside the Trendline Support and Resistance as shown in the graph. As predicted market was highly volatile. But recovered after the fall and now near all time high It may move past 24000 or can go even upto 21000. depends on budget, 100 days plan govt going to propose. RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week (59 % & 95% Respectively). Stochastic in overbought levels. Market need to cross 24000 as two trend line resistance ( Shown in the Chart between 23900 and 24100), if not can book partial profit and can wait for market to correct as there is a strong resistance in that zone. Nifty 23290- Short term (Up ) Nifty might move up and It may touch 24000. nifty still have resistance / support around 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again and crossed resistance decisively. Nifty at PE 22.2 near to historical average, hence to be cautious. Short term support 22590( MA 21 days and trendline), 22200 ( Trend Line) and 21700 Trend line Support as shown in the chart. Medium term resistance 24000 medium term Support - 21300 Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Nifty also have resistance at 25000 ( Trend Line). If market close above 24000 decisively. All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 49803 (48666)- As proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 7%. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Still can continue to invest whenever dip in bank and other nbfc stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT 35218(32420) broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420. Tech stocks revived in last two trading session. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 35786 ( Fib) to reach 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again and crossed the resistance decisively and touched 23000. Nifty PE 22.2 below the 3 year Historical Average of 22.5.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
XAUUSD recent updatexauusd is moving so deep down after various FED talks Gold slumps amid strong US Dollar, high US Treasury yields Gold prices slump on Wednesday amid rising US Treasury yields, boosting demand for the Greenback due to hawkish comments by a Federal Reserve (Fed) official. our recent analysis founds 2330-2328 is a strong support area and 2344 act as major pivot due to simple moving average passing through the point and mayor retracement from that area many times yesterday. above 2344 its a buy like share subscribe
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
Order typesIn the past, a person would typically have to go to the brokerage or another financial entity to buy or sell a security. The trade would be then settled through a personal meeting or, as technology progressed, over the phone. Nonetheless, the implementation of modern technology within the financial markets of the 21st century made placing buy and sell orders as easy as a few mouse button clicks. Nowadays, many trading platforms allow their clients to execute various types of orders beyond ordinary buy and sell orders. Key takeaways: Using limit orders is generally considered one of the safest ways to buy or sell a security. Modern technology allows placing buy and sell orders with a few mouse clicks. A stop-loss and stop-limit orders are used to protect an investor’s capital. A trailing stop locks in some of the accrued profits. Quick trade orders get instantly filled by a single or double click on a bid or ask button. Limit order A buy limit order is used to buy a security at a specified price. This type of order is executed automatically in a case when the price of a security is lower than the value of the buy limit order. A sell limit order is used to sell a security at a specified price. It gets automatically filled when the price of a security is higher than the value of the sell limit order. This design occasionally allows for the execution of the buy limit order or the sell limit order at a better price. Generally, limit orders are one of the safest ways to purchase or sell a security. Quick-trade order Some trading platforms allow the use of quick-trade orders. A quick-trade order is a type of order that is instantly filled by a single or double click on a bid or ask button in a trading platform. These orders are relatively safe to use. However, filling this type of order in highly volatile markets might be difficult due to a quickly changing price. Market order When traders choose to use a market order, they let the market set the price of security. In essence, this means that for a buy market order, a trade execution occurs at the nearest ask. For a sell market order, a trade execution takes place at the nearest bid. The use of the market order is less safe in comparison to limit order because it allows for worse filling of orders in illiquid markets and markets dominated by algorithmic trading. However, some platforms offer their clients the option to choose the tolerance threshold for such trade orders. Good ‘Til Canceled order (GTC) This type of order remains active until it is filled or canceled. Stop-loss and stop-limit orders A stop-loss order sells a position at a market price if it reaches or passes a specified price. Unlike a stop-loss order, a stop-limit order liquidates a position only at a specified or better price. These types of orders are used to protect investor’s capital before depreciation. Trailing stop order A trailing stop order trails the price as it moves in the trader’s favor. For a long position, a trailing stop moves higher with the price but stays unchanged when the price falls. Similarly, for a short position, a trailing stop moves lower with the price but remains unchanged when the price rises. The intent of a trailing stop is to lock in some of the accrued profits. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by Tradersweekly
2
Bitcoin faces resistance: A battle for All-Time HighsCurrently, Bitcoin is facing several resistances prior to its attempt to reach all-time highs (ATH). A correction has started from the first resistance level, which could lead its price down to $63,000. It won’t be easy to break through its ATH because there’s a significant amount of money waiting at those resistance levels, ready to exit. Therefore, Bitcoin needs a catalyst to provide the strength to surpass these resistances and enter into a bull run.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CryptoCoBit
EVERY Possible Scenario for ETH in 2024As we can all observe, ETH is doing pretty bad against BTC. And I mean neck-deep-up-sh*t-creek-with-its-mouth-wide-open kinda bad LOL. People are starting to worry and get flashbacks of the December 2020 dip of ETH against BTC. The current situation is the price retesting a historic golden FIBONACCI level (61.8%) that's about 3 years old. This level is crucial because it's formed by the last cycle's bull-run surge. Let's explore the possible and impossible, or rather unlikely, scenarios. FIRST SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get approved. This obviously is what we all wish for, not only ETH investors and fans, but everyone who cares about the Alt-coins market. I expect a huge surge from our golden FIBO level if this scenario occurs. SECOND SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get disapproved. In this case, it would be reasonable for the price to decline and retest the bottom of an even more historic symmetrical triangle structure that's as old as ETH. The price should bounce from there as Ethereum recovers from the bad news and retry surpassing the golden FIBO level. THIRD SCENARIO: Ethereum is doomed. This is a very unlikely scenario , but let's humor it anyway. What if ETH fails to retest the bottom of the symmetrical triangle structure that's been containing its price action since millennia? Well, I don't expect this to happen unless ETH fails to recover from the bad news and turns out to be a huge SCAM coin. The biggest scam coin in the history of crypto. Sorry if this was too intrusive and scary. I just think it's reasonable to always consider the worst as we consider the best outcome possible. The GREAT news is all of the speculations are pointing to the approval of the Ethereum ETFs , I personally expect the approval next week, so I'm ruling out anything but the BEST possible scenario for ETH this cycle! Note: This was an exploration of a potential scenario based on the current context and state of the market, not financial advice.
by OmarsMess
2
Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 28-May-24 to 31-May-24Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 28-May-24 to 31-May-24 Nifty closed at 22932 (22466) and touched low & high of 22409 & 23022 RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week (66 % & 86% Respectively). Stochastic in over bought levels (>90%) on 26-May-24 and started reducing on 27-May-24 Anticipation in Political results lifted the market as exit poll started coming. As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, Post govt budget, current govt proposed 100 days plan will lead the market in coming days. Investment decision is mixed as market will be highly volatile due to the above factors. Hence those people have high risk can sell partial stocks and book profit, those have more money to invest can wait for small dips to invest. As far as my opinion, if market touching 24000 can book partial profit and can wait for market to correct as there is a strong resistance in that zone. Nifty 22932- Short & medium term (Neutral ) nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again and crossed resistance decisively. Nifty at PE 21.5 below the Historical Average of 22.5 Short term support 22300-22400 Short Term Resistance : 23150 ( Trend Line as shown in chart) Medium term Support - 22160 ( Trend Line) and 20830 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 49456 (48199) - As proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 7%. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Still can continue to invest whenever dip in bank and other nbfc stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again and crossed the resistance decisively and touched 23000. Nifty at PE 21.8 below the 3 year Historical Average of 22.5.. Short term support 22312 (MA 50)- Nifty last week had a pause between 2220-22300/ 22050 ( Trend Line Support as shown) /21800 Medium term Support - 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 48199(47421) - Nifty bank tested trend line support 47000 last week and later part of the week. Many bank & Finance stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
XAUUSD ANALYSIS OF THE DAYXAUUSD has seen a big fall in last two days from a upper level of 2450 to 2328 almost 1220 pips and there is no rational reason for this fall instead lot of looming geopolitical us market related financial revelations are moving market. currently we see a few up trends from two layer entry level : 2329 entry level 2 : 2312 major tp and resistance points 2344 2363 2376 2383 2397 pivot 2365 trade with care ✔️✔️✔️like share follow us for more such market related trends and updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
Trading Psychology: How to trade economic data.As traders, one of the biggest challenges we face is deciding what factors to consider when opening a trade: should we base ourselves on charts, news, macroeconomic data? Many opt for a combination of all these elements, and although all traders go through the same stages, there are different routes to success. The problem with following the crowd is that you end up doing exactly what everyone else is doing. The solution: forge your own path, with all the challenges this entails. Most traders follow the news, analyze the data and then compare them with the charts to try to determine the best entry point. And as if that were not enough, they often seek the opinion of other online traders to confirm their decision. However, consulting the opinions of others can be counterproductive, as they can alter, for better or worse, any personal opinion about the analysis we are conducting. We always tend to think that others know more than us and that if they think differently, it must be for some reason and that we will not be the ones who are right. This is just another example of market psychology and the human tendency to always follow the crowd, regardless of whether it is right or not. I believe that in order to make a living from trading, research must start with yourself, it is essential. And this is necessary to confirm or refute the information with which the market bombards us every minute. You need very intense training and experience to make a living from trading. How many traders trade intraday based on economic calendar data? How many really make money? It’s not worth it. Aware of the multitude of traders who congregate around the platform at key times, market makers have all kinds of tricks. Their favorite; the sweep. Up, down and both sides at the same time. Is a mental stop better? In my case, no. I don’t know how mentally strong you are, but the word says it all: mental-stop. When you expose yourself to letting the mind think, you are entering dangerous psychological terrain and it is very difficult, if you are losing, to close with discipline in each and every operation. Notice that I say in each and every one, because with not respecting a single one and that the price does not return in that operation to the entry point, it will be your elimination as a trader. Therefore, anything that can cause a loss is worth discarding. Greed doesn’t let you, we know that with a data in favor of our position you can make a lot of money but if the data is contrary and also forms a gap, no one will save us. And let’s not talk about if you are leveraged. Being leveraged and having the position run against you is one of the hardest experiences a trader can have. Seeing how your capital is destroyed at forced marches, how losses increase, how you are not able to close because you expect a recovery to do so is dramatic. Realizing that first loss, which at first seemed big to you and now doesn’t seem so much. You would “kill” to lose only that. Then, once you are losing a lot you will no longer be able to close. There comes a time when you assume it and let the losses run as far as they go. You have accepted it. You risk the account in the hope of recovering. This means hours of waiting for the desired recovery. In addition, the market is very rogue. After the fall comes the rebound, usually up to half. You get the idea that it is going to recover completely and instead of closing you hold on to see if the moment comes when you no longer lose anything. The market will make you believe that this is going to happen. You may even average (add more positions) so that the recovery is faster and by the way, if the price goes beyond where you have opened the first operation, you even come out with profits. But, as I say, the market is very cruel and when you start to dream and have hope again, it turns around and falls with even more force if possible, crushing your account and destroying your morale. The result we all know. If the account does not have enough capital to withstand the bleeding, margin call will “come to see us”. And if it does, it will take you days, weeks, months or even years to recover your capital, if you do. Days, weeks, months and even years without liquidity to do what you like the most, trading. In view of this, stoploss, as well as avoiding any situation that makes you lose is more than justified.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CryptoCoBit
xauusd recent update In our previous analysis quoted above we have referred 2407 area as the area of retracement as there is strong support in that zone. and as we predicted the same happened the market retraced from than zone and again hit back the zone creating a DOUBLE BOTTOM and again goin up to nearby resistance zone. support and pivot 2407-2405 if this area is not breached then market will fly back to 2445 zone. bullish targets : 2415 2421 2433 2445 bearish targets : 2401 2397 2391 2382 2376 follow us share us and like us happy trading❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
TYPES OF MARKET ANALYSIS1) Fundamental analysis. fundamental analysis focus mainly on micro and macro event that will control market situations in the present and in the future. it includes various events in economic calendar like PPI CPI NonFarm Payroll, Interest rate decisions, and geopolitical senarios like election war climate issues etc 2) Technical analysis. Technical analysis mainly focus on indicators chart analysis volume analysis, various analysis like following candle stick pattern, trading strategies based on indicators 3) Market sentiments Market sentiments focus mainly on how the crowd anticipate wheich direction will market go, like when xauusd reached at its all time top everyone believed it will have a retracement from that zone like share and follow us for more such informative contents
Education
by realmillionairefx
Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 20-May-24 to 24-May-24Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 20-May-24 to 24-May-24 Nifty closed at 22502 (22055) and touched low & high of 21836 & 22514 Nifty was up from the support level. RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week (56 % & 69% Respectively). Both are moving up towards oversold zone. Nifty 22502- Short & medium term (Neutral till it cross 22820 decisively) As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again, formed a 'W' pattern. ( 22819 Target- which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000 which need be crossed decisively. Nifty at PE 21.5 below the Historical Average of 22.5, only Political results is awaited which will give a clear direction. Short term support 22312 (MA 50)- Nifty last week had a pause between 2220-22300/ 22050 ( Trend Line Support as shown) /21800 Medium term Support - 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 48199(47421) - Nifty bank tested trend line support 47000 last week and later part of the week. Many bank & Finance stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Request Any Instrument - Celebrating 3k Ideas on TradingView🎉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 🎉I am thrilled and grateful to announce that we have reached 3,000 ideas on this amazing platform. Your support, engagement, and feedback have been invaluable in making this possible. It is an honor to be part of such a talented and passionate community of traders and investors. 📌To celebrate together, feel free to request any instrument (crypto, stock, forex...) in the comment section of this post. I will analyze it as soon as possible and post it as a reply to your comment. ____________________ I want to express my heartfelt gratitude to each and every one of you who has followed my profile, liked my posts, shared your insights and ideas, and left comments. Your contributions have made TradingView a vibrant and supportive community, and I am proud to be a part of it. I look forward to continuing to share my trading insights and analysis with you, and to learn from the incredible expertise and experience that you all bring to the table. Thank you once again for your support, and here's to many more successful trades together! 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
73
The art of trading in favor of the TrendWe have a clear bias of a psychological nature that basically consists of going against everything that experiences a movement in favor. When a trend is established, it always tends to last longer than we expect: _ It’s going to turn around now!, it’s going to turn around now! but it never does. All that time you’re waiting for a market to turn is precious time you’re losing to go in favor. You’re missing multiple opportunities by waiting for just one, the turn. And what’s worse, you’re probably even entering the market against it, with its consequent “bites” to your account. When there is an established trend, the best thing you can do is wait for a retracement of it to enter in its favor. Therefore: - Every time there is a trend, for example bullish, if you go against it at every resistance you find, you are trading counter-trend. - Likewise, if you go against it at every support, in a bearish trend, you are trading counter-trend. Many times prices stop at supports and resistances, and you may get a “pinch” but by doing so you are not trading in the correct way but as the market wants you to do.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by CryptoCoBit
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]Understanding Forex Market StructureHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Let's begin with our topic today! The forex market, being decentralized and over-the-counter (OTC), operates differently from traditional centralized exchanges. To navigate it effectively, traders need to comprehend its unique structure. Market structure refers to the arrangement of price action within a given market, encompassing key elements such as trends, support and resistance levels, and price behavior. 1. Trends: Trends are one of the fundamental aspects of market structure. They depict the overall direction of price movement over time. Traders often classify trends as bullish (upward), bearish (downward), or ranging (sideways). Understanding the prevailing trend helps traders align their strategies accordingly. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Support and resistance levels (or known as supply and demand levels/zones) are areas where price tends to stall, reverse, or exhibit significant buying or selling pressures. These levels/areas form the building blocks of market structure and are crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points. Support represents levels where buying interest outweighs selling pressure, preventing prices from falling further. Conversely, resistance denotes areas where selling pressure surpasses buying interest, hindering further upward movement. If you have cluster of candle's tail in a area/levels, likely it would be supply/demand liquidity pocket 3. Price Behavior: Price behavior within market structure provides valuable insights into market sentiment and participant dynamics. Patterns such as higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend, signify the strength or weakness of a trend. Additionally, the manner in which price interacts with support and resistance levels can indicate potential reversals or continuations. 4. Market Phases: Understanding different phases of the market, such as accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown, aids in deciphering market structure. Each phase reflects the behavior of market participants and their collective impact on price action. Recognizing these phases enables traders to anticipate potential shifts in market direction and adjust their strategies accordingly. Conclusion: In summary, comprehending forex market structure is essential for effective trading. By analyzing trends, identifying key support and resistance levels, observing price behavior, and recognizing market phases, traders can make informed decisions and navigate the forex market with confidence. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
DXY - Bearish => Bullish!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our previous analysis, DXY rejected the upper bound of the red channel and traded lower. What's next? 📉 DXY is undergoing a correction phase , trading within the rising channel in red, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone highlighted in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #DXY approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TVC:DXY
by TheSignalyst
1