Amazon: Riding the E-Commerce and Cloud WaveAmazon is currently showing promising signs as it forms the right side of its base, presenting an excellent setup for long-term investors. With strong revenue streams from e-commerce and Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company remains a dominant force in multiple sectors. This diverse business model positions Amazon for sustained growth, even amid market fluctuations.
Technical Overview:
Recent price action shows Amazon bouncing off a strong support level around $182.38 , with its 21-day EMA acting as a key indicator of momentum. As it approaches the $200 mark, investors should keep a close eye on these critical levels.
Profit Target: Initial target at $201.20 , with further potential upside to $210 if momentum continues.
Stop Loss: Set just below the $182.38 support level to manage risk.
Indicator Insights:
Using tools like the MTF Squeeze Analyzer - and MTF SqzMom , we notice a squeeze firing on multiple lower timeframes, signaling that volatility is likely to increase. The 4Hour and Weekly timeframe shows a build-up in momentum, suggesting that this could propel Amazon toward the $200+ range. Monitoring these momentum shifts provides an edge in timing entry and exit points for the trade.
Momentum and Market Overview:
With the Larry Williams Valuation Index Indicator, we observe steady momentum on both the daily and weekly charts, supporting a positive outlook. The readings show consistent strength in Amazon’s price action. Notably, the stock has not yet reached its overvalued level , signaling a fair entry point for buyers. This provides confidence that Amazon is trading within a favorable range, with the market continuing to support buying interest.
Additionally, the general market is in an uptrend, as confirmed by the IBD Market School , with 100% exposure currently active and the Power Trend ON . This signals a favorable environment for growth stocks like Amazon.
Final Thoughts:
This trade idea leverages both fundamental strength and technical precision, supported by our indicators available in the TradeVizion toolset. By combining a clear understanding of Amazon’s market dominance with insights from these smart tools, this setup offers a well-rounded opportunity for both short-term gains and long-term growth.
Feel free to explore our scripts, designed to enhance your market understanding without overwhelming you with unnecessary complexity. Whether you’re trading breakouts or managing risk, having the right tools in your corner can make all the difference.
Marketanalysis
Market Analysis: CADJPY H1 Bearish Wave Structure AnalysisThis evening, my focus is on the CADJPY H1 timeframe. We have identified a completed bearish wave structure on the H1 timeframe. Earlier this afternoon, during the New York session, a trend reset was observed, breaking above the last Structure 4.
From this point, based on wave structure anatomy, we anticipate selling interest to initiate a new bearish wave structure downward. The key level to watch is 110.48.
Happy trading!
CADJPY Breakdown Following Structural FailureHey Guys,
Today, we are trading the CADJPY live. Earlier this week, I highlighted 110.48 as a critical level to monitor, as it marks the reset point (Structure 4) of the last completed H1 bearish wave structure.
Key levels of interest for further downside movement:
109.56
109.06
S&P Weekly Recap: Rally Falters Amid Lack of ConvictionLast week’s market action delivered a reversal in sentiment, highlighting the fragility of the rally that had persisted since the so-called "Trump rally." The week began slowly, with the market testing buyers’ conviction to push prices higher. After confirming a lack of such conviction, sellers stepped in, driving prices sharply lower. As suggested in my previous recap, 585 (VAH) provided temporary support, and the week closed near this critical level.
Interestingly, most major sectors participated in the downward move, aligning with the broader market trend. However, XLF (Financials) stood out as the exception, managing to post gains despite the sell-off. This divergence suggests that there is still buying interest, with money continuing to flow selectively into the market.
The immediate objective for the bulls is to hold 585 and attempt to fill Friday’s gap. Failure to do so, with the price returning to the 568-585 range , would indicate that the rally is nearing exhaustion. While this would not immediately signal a transition into a bear market, it would mark a notable shift in sentiment. The 568 level remains critical for buyers; as long as it holds, the broader uptrend stays intact, and bulls maintain the upper hand. Meaning that I keep "bullish" outlook.
This week, the market’s attention will be on NVIDIA's earnings on Wednesday. While the previous report didn’t cause much volatility, traders will be closely watching for any surprises that could influence market momentum.
US30 - Markets Getting Ready for Corrections
Market as a whole is in All Time High (ATH) zones and due for a correction soon. This can be evident from Warren Buffet selling majority of their stakes in companies and holding over $300bn in cash. Dollar is also in a very strong Bullish momentum which overweighs other pairs and commodities.
From technical analysis point of view, Impulsive Wave 5 is nearing completion and we can expect a possible reversal to below level once MA200 is also in touching distance. Please note this a medium term approach and can change depending on macro factors.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
S&P Soars on Election Results in a Stunning RallyLast week's market movements provided a strong example of how impactful certain events can be on sentiment and momentum. In the last market recap, I highlighted uptrend continuation as the most likely scenario. However, at the start of the week, there was absolutely nothing on the chart suggesting a V-shape pivot.
Week started on a weak note, but Tuesday marked a shift, as buying interest began to surface, quickly escalating into a stunning overnight gap once preliminary election results emerged. Essentially, the election results had a similar impact on the market as an earnings report can have on a company's stock price. This influx of optimism solidified bulls' control over the market, reinforcing a strong weekly uptrend.
The buying wasn’t limited to a few sectors; instead, it was widespread, touching every major sector by the week’s end. Such broad-based buying underscores that the rally is not sector-specific but part of a larger, systemic movement. While we’re seeing robust upward momentum, it’s worth noting that both weekly and daily RSI levels are approaching overbought territory. However, as often observed in strong uptrends, prices can comfortably persist in the overbought zone. With no clear resistance above, I would strongly discourage trying to catch the top.
Important levels to watch include 585 (VAH) , which is key in the event of a potential retest of the last consolidation zone, and 568 (major weekly low) , which buyers must protect to maintain control.
P.S. If you missed this insane rally, don’t blame yourself too much. Had the election outcome been different, it’s easy to imagine the market would have plunged just as dramatically. So holding short-term position was similar to trading company earnings, which is, in a way, a form of gambling.
EURUSD: Intraday Trend Reversal PatternFollowing the low established on Wednesday, 6th November 2024, we have observed a completed bullish wave structure. Subsequently, the price traded the low at 1.0682, forming a bearish completed wave pattern. Based on this price information, a bullish phase is anticipated in the next movement.
We are entering a buy position, anticipating increased buying momentum at 1.0682, which could propel the price past the nearest internal momentum high of 1.0727. If this trade materializes, 1.0824 will serve as our momentum high target.
Stop Loss: 1.0676
Happy Trading!
S&P Weekly RecapLast week saw significant moves in the S&P 500 , with Thursday’s open revealing a sharp gap down that quickly intensified into a strong sell-off. This correction unfolded despite strong earnings from “Big Tech” and was likely driven by weakness in key economic indicators, such as GDP growth and Non-Farm Payrolls, combined with uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. elections. Still, the broader weekly uptrend remains intact for now, as long as the index holds above key levels.
One area to watch closely is the 566.6 support, which has been tested by recent volatility. There’s no guarantee that this level will hold if selling pressure continues, so it’s a crucial line to monitor. That said, the general uptrend is considered safe above 538 , which is the major weekly low. Another significant level to watch is 561.5 , the Value Area High (VAH) of the recent weekly consolidation zone.
An interesting signal was the elevated call/put ratio on Friday. This uptick suggests that, despite the sell-off, bullish sentiment remains alive, with many viewing the dip as an opportunity. The continued strength of the XLC sector further reflects this optimism, as it managed to hold firm even through the broader index’s pullback.
Considering all the above, the long-term market outlook remains bullish. Key levels to watch in the coming days are 566.6 for immediate support, 561.5 as an important pivot point, and the weekly major low at 538 .
Next week is packed with high-impact events, including the U.S. elections and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision . Both are likely to drive heightened volatility and could serve as key catalysts for market direction.
S&P sellers kick in, but the market remains strongLast week was marked by some selling activity. As anticipated, sellers took advantage of temporary bullish exhaustion and attempted to push the market down. A strong sell-off occurred on Wednesday, with the market losing 1.2%. However, this sharp decline did not see much follow-through, as the price found strong support at the top of the previous consolidation zone ( 574.7 ). On Friday, buyers even attempted to set a new daily high, but they were unable to maintain it through the close.
All of this leads me to believe that the sellers are not particularly strong, and we remain in a broadly bullish environment. A few key points supporting this bullish outlook include:
1. The weekly uptrend is still intact, and there is ample room for this weekly higher low.
2. There is relative strength in "risk-on" sectors (XLK, XLY), suggesting that bullish sentiment hasn't completely faded.
While we might see some short-term rotation within the 584.5–574.4 range, defined by two daily candle wicks (Wednesday and Friday), the long-term outlook remains decidedly bullish.
This week, important economic data will be released, along with earnings reports from major tech companies. This is likely to cause increased volatility, but unless there are major negative surprises, bullish sentiment should remain solid.
S&P Bulls Hold Strong, But Is a Market Cooldown Coming?Last week wasn't particularly remarkable. Despite two bearish attacks (on Tuesday and Thursday), buyers still managed to push the market to a new historical high. It was somewhat concerning that they couldn’t sustain the high for even an hour after the open, but since the bearish movement didn’t gain momentum on Friday, the bulls still have the upper hand. We may see some consolidation in the upcoming weeks, as there are signs that the rally is approaching exhaustion (weakening of upthrust, weekly RSI entering the overbought zone, weakness in XLK). However, this market has repeatedly demonstrated its resilience and ability to exceed expectations.
The long-term outlook remains bullish, but given these signals, it would be prudent for buyers to downsize their positions and refrain from selling PUTs.
Mind TSLA report on Wednesday as it can cause some volatility and act as a trigger.
BellRing Brands: Capitalizing on Health and Wellness GrowthBellRing Brands has broken out of a stage-one double-bottom base, signaling strong technical action and providing a compelling entry point. As a leading company in the health and wellness industry, BellRing Brands is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for ready-to-drink protein shakes and nutrition bars. This breakout suggests a strong potential for further upside.
Technical Overview:
The stock has seen accumulation over the past several weeks, bouncing off the 21-day EMA and currently trading near highs. Using the IBD base pattern methodology, we aim for a 20% profit target , with an 8% stop loss to manage risk.
Profit Target: $75.96, reflecting a 20% gain from current levels.
Stop Loss: $58.65, which is approximately 8% below the entry point.
Squeeze Indicator:
The MTF Squeeze Analyzer confirms that a squeeze has fired on both the daily and weekly timeframes. This indicates that volatility is expanding, supporting further price acceleration and aligning with the breakout setup.
Momentum and Market Overview:
With the MTF SqzMom Indicator, we observe that momentum is in an uptrend for the 4H and higher time frames (W, 4D, and 2D).
The current RS Rating is 87, further confirming its relative strength in the market.
Final Thoughts:
BellRing Brands offers a strong opportunity for growth investors, driven by solid fundamentals and technical strength. The 20% target aligns with IBD’s proven methodology, while the tools provided by TradeVizion , including the Squeeze Analyzer and MTF sqzMom , provide additional layers of confirmation for timing and managing the trade.
Leverage the advanced insights from TradeVizion ’s to improve your trading strategies with clarity and confidence.
S&P uptrend continues as the market cheers strong earningsLast week, the bulls finally gained the conviction needed for a breakout. Fueled by strong banking earnings, the market has moved upward from its trading range, reaffirming the long-standing uptrend.
Both the short- and long-term outlooks remain bullish. More earnings reports are set to be released next week, but unless there are significant surprises, nothing is expected to change.
NVDA Set for a Rebound: Will It Hit $137.40 and Beyond?Hey, trading family! Today we’re diving into NVIDIA (NVDA) and its recent price action. Right now, we’re seeing a correction, but all eyes are on whether it can push back up toward that key resistance level of $137.40. Here’s what you need to watch:
Downside risk: If NVDA continues to correct, there’s potential for it to drop below $132. If that happens, we could see the price head even lower, testing support around $128-$130. Keep an eye on these levels, as breaking below them could signal further downside.
Upside potential: On the flip side, if NVDA finds support and buyers step in, we could see it climb toward $137.40. A strong move above this resistance could lead to a bigger breakout, setting the stage for a push higher.
Stay tuned to how NVDA reacts around these key levels—this correction might just present a great opportunity, depending on how the market moves. If this helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts on NVDA’s next move!
TOTAL Market Struggles at $2.13T Resistance: Key Levels to WatchMarket Update:
Over the past week, the TOTAL market capitalization has attempted to break through a tough resistance level at $2.13 trillion.
A rejection at this level may lead to a pullback, testing the next support level around $2 trillion.
Potential Scenarios:
Should the TOTAL market successfully break above $2.13 trillion, it could rise to challenge the descending resistance line formed since June, as well as the top of the range resistance at approximately $2.3 trillion.
Given that the TOTAL market is currently at resistance, it is essential to manage risk carefully, as a rejection at this level could result in further downside for many altcoins.
#CryptoMarket #TOTALMarket #ResistanceLevels #Altcoins #MarketAnalysis
XAUUSD (Gold) Price Analysis: Potential Downside Breakout📉 XAUUSD (Gold) Price Analysis: Rectangle Formation on D1 Timeframe, Potential Downside Breakout
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a rectangle formation on the D1 timeframe , which typically signals consolidation before a significant price move. While the price remains range-bound, there’s a high probability of a downside breakout , with critical targets at $2,580 and $2,490 . Here's a detailed analysis of the setup:
🔲 What is a Rectangle Formation?
A rectangle formation occurs when the price moves between two horizontal levels, creating a box-like pattern 📊. This shows a period of indecision in the market, where neither buyers nor sellers are in control. A breakout typically happens when the price moves decisively above or below the rectangle.
🔻 Downside Breakout Targets
Gold breaking below the rectangle's lower boundary could signal a bearish trend continuation. Here are the critical downside targets to watch:
1. First Target – $2,580 :
A downside breakout would likely drop the price to $2,580 , the first central support zone and a logical profit-taking area for short-sellers.
2. Second Target – $2,490 :
Should bearish momentum persist, the next target would be $2,490 , a deeper support level where further selling pressure could ease.
⛔ Stop Loss – $2,702
A stop loss at $2,702 is recommended for those considering a short position. This level is just above the upper boundary of the rectangle and would invalidate the downside scenario if breached.
🚀 Upside Breakout Target
If gold breaks out above the rectangle, bullish momentum could push prices toward $2,841 . This would signal a strong reversal, and traders should consider this level the next significant resistance zone.
🔍 Factors to Watch
Several factors could influence the direction of the breakout:
Inflation Data : Higher inflation tends to support gold prices as a hedge, increasing the likelihood of an upside breakout.
US Dollar Strength : A stronger dollar could weigh on gold, favoring a downside breakout.
Geopolitical Events : Uncertainty in global markets can boost safe-haven demand for gold, potentially triggering an upside move.
🛠 Trading Strategy
For traders looking to capitalize on the potential breakout, consider the following:
Downside Setup : If gold breaks below the rectangle, short positions with targets at $2,580 and $2,490 may offer solid risk/reward opportunities, with a stop loss at $2,702 .
Upside Setup : In the case of an upside breakout, targeting $2,841 could provide a good opportunity but ensure that risk is managed carefully.
💡 Conclusion
Gold’s rectangular formation in the D1 timeframe suggests a significant price move is on the horizon. While the likelihood of a downside breakout seems stronger, with targets at $2,580 and $2,490, traders should remain alert to the possibility of an upside breakout towards $2,841. Proper risk management, including a stop loss of $2,702, will be crucial in navigating this market opportunity.
🔔 Stay updated with real-time price action to make the most of this technical setup.
Share your opinion in the comments.....
NQ Could Potentially Purge Tuesdays's Lows?
Price looks like it's heading towards Tuesday's Low. We don't have any major news today so I'm not expecting huge movement but, from what price has shown me, it looks like the next draw on liquidity is Tuesday's low.
After price entered and respected the Weekly Imbalance, it displaced lower with energy and retraced back to the 4-hour order block that was responsible for that displacement leg. The first 4-hour order block was respected and price, again, pushed lower creating another 4-hour order block.
Now, it looks like price is drawing towards that second 4-hour order block and if it respects that level, then I would like to see price run lower and take out Tuesday's Low.
I am not a financial advisor. Trade at your own risk. I am only sharing my ideas and predictions of what price could do and I could be 100% wrong. Stay safe!
XAU/USD Demand Break Analysis and Strategic Sell ZonesWe perform a thorough study of the XAU/USD pair in this trade idea, concentrating on significant demand break levels. We will search for a sell opportunity with a target of 2622 if the market breaks below the demand level at 2638 and closes below it. This strategy enables us to efficiently manage risk and profit from negative momentum.
On the other hand, we see a low-risk selling opportunity in the 2660–65 zone if the market continues higher. This tactical method is appropriate for both novice and seasoned traders since it blends technical research with obvious entry and exit locations.
Important Points:
Level of Demand: 2638
Sell Point: 2621
Resistance Range for Possible Sale: 2660–65
Risk management: Prioritizing opportunities with minimal risk
S&P bulls maintain control but no initiative yetLast week was characterized by controlled selling, with prices drifting down slowly as the market awaited the unemployment data released on Friday. As we can see on the daily chart, sellers were unable to close the day below the previous day's low, even after a significant sell-off on Tuesday. Once the unemployment data was published, alleviating concerns about a potential recession, the bulls regained control, and the week closed on a positive note.
The next key objective for buyers is to break through the resistance around 574.7 . Given that this level has been retested multiple times, it's unlikely to hold. However, we still need to closely monitor the price's reaction to this level and observe what happens immediately after the breakout.
The long-term outlook remains bullish. In the short term, there is still a high possibility that prices will continue consolidating within the 565–575 range , as the market remains influenced by political uncertainty in the U.S.
S&P sets new high but weakness is mountingLast week, the market traded within a narrow range, yet still managed to reach new highs. The bulls remain in control of both the daily and weekly timeframes, although I’m not entirely comfortable with the structure that has developed over the past five days. Most of the growth occurred during extended hours, while during regular trading hours, the market either remained in a tight range or moved downward. This structure is fragile and could easily break, though I’m not ready to call for shorts just yet.
Firstly, it hasn’t broken. We're still in a bullish wave on the daily timeframe — in the past two weeks, none of the days have closed below the previous day's low. Secondly, even if the structure breaks, we should not expect significant follow-through, as the market remains very bullish.
Here's a quick recap of the key points supporting the bullish thesis (you can find the rest in my previous review):
1. The Fed cut interest rates by 0.5 percentage points, which is positive for both the economy and the stock market for several reasons, such as cheaper borrowing costs.
2. The SPX has reached a new all-time high, which is highly bullish.
3. Both the weekly and daily charts show a strong uptrend.
For the market to reverse, there would need to be a significant shift in sentiment, likely triggered by some fundamental event. From a technical standpoint, the uptrend remains intact as long as the bulls hold the previous major low ( 538 ). Until then, any "red" waves should be viewed as mere pullbacks within the broader upward movement.
From Breakout to Boom: The Future of Bitcoin and AltcoinsNow price created H&S with means the price can react to this situation and breaks the neckline and will go up. and also , the price can follow the butterfly pattern and go up.
The cryptocurrency market is growing as expected, with the overall market value (covering Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins) indicating a breakout. This development paves the way for a major upward trend in the coming months.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
The S&P rally continues, defying all fears of a recessionLast week was marked by erratic price movements, leading many to recall the old adage, "no trade might be your best trade." The most confusing (and devastating) price action occurred on Thursday following the FOMC's interest rate decision. The Fed cut rates by 0.5 percentage points, sparking fears of an upcoming recession. Wednesday ended with a strong bearish "falling star" candle, tempting traders to take large SHORT positions. To be honest, I would have likely done the same if I had been trading that day (luckily, I wasn’t), as the least one would have expected was an overnight rally that wiped out short positions when the market opened on Thursday.
This series of events is a perfect example of what makes trading so challenging— even a solid setup can fail spectacularly without any clear reason.
Now, let's try to assess the current situation :
1. The Fed cut rates by 0.5 percentage points – This is actually positive for the economy and the stock market for many reasons (e.g. cheaper borrowing costs). At the same time there are no objective signs of a recession, only fears.
2. The SPX reached a new all-time high – How can this be bearish?
3. Both weekly and daily charts show a strong uptrend.
4. Almost all major SPX sectors closed the week strong, reflecting investor confidence.
In summary, the market remains very bullish , with no indication that the trend is reversing anytime soon. Short term price action might be erratic, but long-term things look good both from technical and fundamental perspectives.
Let’s stay calm and prudent.
Important levels:
Last major weekly high (538). As long as it holds buyers have control over weekly chart.