XAUUSD Technical Analysis 13.04.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed Bullish at 2014.900 respecting recent Daily Support formed on Tuesday and closing below recent Resistance formed on Thursday 6th April 2023.
– Buys on close above 2017.500 targeting 4h Resistance at 2022.500, Leaving Runners to the Daily Wick Fill at 2028.600.
– Sells on close below 2011.400 targeting 1h Support at 2005.800, Leaving Runners to the 4h / 1h Support formed at 1998.400.
– High Impact News ahead for the US Dollar over the New York session starting with Core PPI m/m, PPI m/m, then Unemployment Claims and 30-y Bond Auction, High Volatility expected at the New York session.
Marketanalysis
GBPJPY Technical Analysis 13.04.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed weak Bullish at 166.120 within the Rejection wick formed on Tuesday 4th April 2023.
– Buys on close above 166.350 targeting 1h Resistance at 166.600, Leaving Runners to the 4h Resistance formed on 20th December 2022 at 166.840.
– Sells on close below 165.860 targeting 4h Support at 165.560, Leaving Runners to the 1h Support formed at 165.280.
– High Impact News ahead of the Pre London session for GDP m/m forecasting 0.1% / Previous : 0.3%.
Buying opportunity for MDX? Sharing my insightsMDX, despite having a small market value in the crypto world, is catching the attention of investors with its sharp price movements. My technical analysis indicates that MDX's trend break is close and its price is expected to experience a significant increase. My short-term target is to reach $0.40.
However, MDX's small market value means that its price can experience large fluctuations. Therefore, it's important to understand the risks before investing.
MDX has become a project that is on investors' radar, and its sharp price movements have increased its popularity. However, being careful before investing is always important. MDX's small market value can increase the fluctuations in its price. Therefore, I recommend closely monitoring MDX and understanding the risks before investing.
Weekly Market Update: Triangle Pattern Conclusion UnderwayAs of right now I would say the triangle pattern certainly is the prevailing pattern thesis. A triangle pattern is one that neither gives bulls nor bears much hope or despair as it tugs at both camps because its range bound. For this trader, I would classify myself as bearish on the overall market, however that does not preclude me from getting long for profit. As of my writing, I am currently short the ES and plan on closing out those positions down in my target box.
As we begin our descent into my target box, I should have enough price action to dial in my position closing area more so. From today’s price of 4130 down into the area of approximately (The Sweet Spot) 3950, I plan to access the pattern for a potential long. If price has declined in a corrective manner (3-Wave Pattern) into my target box, then a long into the 4300-4500 makes sense.
I wanted to keep this post simple, concise and to the point.
We have enough noise to contend with between this regional banking crisis, inflation, the Fed, Jobs and the overall economy.
Based on the pattern I have as of today, the above are my expectations…and as of today, I have no additional information that would cause me to change that analysis.
Best to all,
Chris
GBP/USD Breakout: Aiming for 1.30000 - Long OpportunityToday, we have observed a significant breakout in the GBP/USD market. The currency pair has managed to move beyond the resistance level, as illustrated on the chart. The daily candle is about to close, solidifying this breakout.
Our focus now shifts to the descending trendline visible on the 3-month chart. This trendline represents the next critical target, with a potential meeting point around 1.30000.
For traders considering a long position, a potential entry point could materialise following a successful retest of the recently broken resistance level, which now serves as support (in the range of 1.24000 - 1.24500).
Trading Plan:
Watch for a successful retest of the 1.24000 - 1.24500 zone as support.
Enter a long position upon confirmation of support.
Set a stop loss below the support zone to minimise risk.
Target the 1.30000 level, where the descending trendline could intersect with the price.
Always trade with proper risk management and remember to carry out your own analysis before taking any positions. Stay tuned for more updates, and happy trading!
XAUUSD : Gold Breakout Trading StrategyOANDA:XAUUSD
Hi , Trader's as you can see market is trading in ascending triangle
Ascending triangle is a bullish pattern , Price after breakout can reach next resistance level at 1986 area from there it can fall to 1974
It can retest 1974 area which now become it's support line
After completion of retest it will continue it's trend
❤️ Please, support my work with follow ,share and like, thank you! ❤️
Weekly Market Update - March 24 2023What Happened This Week? Bitcoin $BTC and ether $ETH hit 2023 highs this week, as the Fed raised interest rates but signaled a coming pause given continued banking woes.
Takeaways: Banking woes continued as UBS bought rival Swiss bank Credit Suisse to stem a brewing crisis. In a coordinated action, the Federal Reserve and other central banks increased liquidity in the U.S. dollar funding markets, resulting in a boost for bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) prices, which both hit 2023 highs. The Federal Reserve announced a rate increase of 25 basis points (bps), but signaled a coming pause.
UBS Buys Credit Suisse in Bid to Avoid Further Bank Contagion: Following the collapse of Silvergate, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), and Signature, this week brought further banking turmoil as Swiss bank UBS stepped in to rescue its rival Credit Suisse for $3.25 billion USD in a bid to avoid further panic in global financial markets. The Swiss central bank is also set to provide support for the deal with a loan of 100 billion Swiss francs backed by a federal default guarantee to help support the deal.
Central Banks Join Forces to Increase U.S. Dollar Liquidity, Giving Crypto a Boost: The Fed, along with five other central banks, announced on Sunday, March 19, 2023, coordinated action to boost liquidity in U.S. dollar funding markets. This marked an important shift in market conditions and signaled a possible end to the quantitative tightening which has been a major headwind throughout the past year.
The news helped to push bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) higher at the start of the week, both reaching new YTD highs of ~$28.9k USD and ~$1,846 USD respectively. Prices then consolidated in the build up to Wednesday’s highly-anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with interest rate expectations changing dramatically over the past few weeks.
Fed Raises Rates Again, But Signals a Potential Pause: Despite the recent bank failures and growing concerns around the banking sector, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 bps rate increase at the latest FOMC meeting on Wednesday, as they push ahead in their fight to tame inflation. The FOMC, however, signaled that rate increases may be coming to an end, depending largely on incoming data. The latest Fed dot plot , which outlines interest rate expectations from Fed officials, suggests only one more 25 bps hike is likely this year.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted during a Wednesday news conference that the Fed had considered a pause in rates due to the recent banking crisis, but unanimously chose to raise rates given inflation data and the strength of the labor market. At the news conference, Powell stated “ if we need to raise rates higher, we will ,” which markets received as more hawkish than expected in light of the recent stress across the banking sector. This led to all the major U.S. indices sliding lower into the close, and crypto prices pushing lower too.
Bitcoin Takes Mild Dip Following Rate Increase, But Remains Strong: Bitcoin (BTC) faced strong resistance throughout the week at the ~$28.4k USD level, before briefly touching below $27k USD following the Fed's latest policy decision. However, Bitcoin remains the main focus among crypto with Bitcoin Dominance reaching another year-high of 47.8%.
XRP Has Strong Week, and Arbitrum Airdrops Token: In altcoin news, XRP was among the biggest gainers this week, with its price increasing by over 20% at one point as investors grew more confident that a ruling in the long-running court case between the SEC and Ripple would resolve in their favor, following a supplemental notice submitted by Ripple on Monday. The outcome of the case is being closely watched by many, as a positive result for Ripple could set a crucial precedent for crypto.
Arbitrum, one of the largest Ethereum Layer 2s, with nearly $2 billion USD in total value locked (TVL), launched a token airdrop on Thursday , with 11.5% of the total supply going to eligible Arbitrum users and 1.1% to DAOs that operate on the Arbitrum ecosystem. The token will be used for governance relating to Arbitrum One and Arbitrum Nova.
Read more about this and our topic of the week, interest rates.
See you next week.
Onward and Upward!
Team Gemini
*This material is for informational purposes only and is not (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to invest in, or to buy or sell, any interests or shares, or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, (ii) intended to provide accounting, legal, or tax advice, or investment recommendations, or (iii) an official statement of Gemini. Gemini, its affiliates and its employees do not make any representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to accuracy or completeness of the information or any other information transmitted or made available. Buying, selling, and trading cryptocurrency involves risks, including the risk of losing all of the invested amount. Recipients should consult their advisors before making any investment decision. Any use, review, retransmission, distribution, or reproduction of these materials, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited in any form without the express written approval of Gemini.
End of Week Wrap! SPX, ES & Leading DiagonalAs the trading week comes to a close, market participants have witnessed a slow yet steady rise in SPX futures. I'm going to dive into the advantages of trading futures, analyze the recent price action in ES futures and the SPX index, and discuss the leading diagonal pattern that played out in the market. I will also provide insights into what to expect for the week ahead and share some advice on trading cautiously.
The Advantages of Trading Futures
Futures trading offers several benefits to traders, one of which is the absence of theta decay. Theta decay refers to the decline in the value of an option as time passes, which can erode profits in options trading. With futures, traders can benefit from even slight movements in their favor, making it easier to secure profits. Be careful for futures rollover dates, which TradingView conveniently places on the chart for your reference.
Recent Price Action in ES Futures and SPX Index
The ES futures experienced an upward movement, reaching the 4000 mark and hitting the resistance level at 4010. On the other hand, the SPX index did not quite make it to 4000. However, it is possible that it could reach that level next week, potentially after a lower open on Sunday evening. As the market conditions evolve, I will be closely monitoring ES for a move up to 4020.
The Leading Diagonal Pattern in Action
As anticipated, the leading diagonal pattern played out, and after breaking out, the price action briefly retested the trendline before moving up to 4000. This pattern indicates that the market is poised for a significant trend reversal.
Expectations for the Week Ahead
For the upcoming week, I anticipate that the market may open slightly lower, though not significantly. Shorting the market at this stage should be approached with caution and considered only for short-term day trades. After a potential pullback, I expect the market to make a move up towards the 4020 level later in the week before encountering another rejection. That is where I will consider adding short exposure. However, predicting such a scenario far into the future comes with inherent uncertainties, so it is wise to revisit my hypothesis next week and adjust as necessary.
Trade Carefully and Stay Informed
As we venture into the new trading week, it is crucial to trade carefully and stay abreast of market developments. By understanding the advantages of futures trading, closely monitoring price action in ES futures and the SPX index, and analyzing patterns such as the leading diagonal that unfolded over the last 2 days, you can better navigate the financial markets and make informed decisions.
As market conditions evolve, it is essential to continually reassess your strategies and adapt accordingly. By trading cautiously and staying informed, you can minimize risk and maximize your chances of success in this ever-changing landscape.
3rd Dimension Analysis. One dimension analysis or the depth analysis can be studying into the financial data of a the company.
. Two dimension analysis is when the investor or trader studying into the chart - Price & Time.
. Third dimension analysis is where we combine one and two dimension analysis.
Third Dimension Analysis = TA + Depth
Micro E-Mini Dow Jones
Contract value, $0.50 x DJIA Index
Micro E-Mini S&P
Contract value, $5 x S&P 500 Index
Micro E-Mini Nasdaq
Contract value, $2 x Nasdaq-100 Index
Micro E-Mini Russell
Contract value, $5 x Russell 2000 Index
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 7/03A review of the price action from the European session and the US session. DAX managed to hold onto recent gains while the FTSE edged lower. The US managed to open stronger and push higher but it was not long until we saw some profit taking and prices edged lower into the close. Traders continue to focus on the global economy versus sticky/high inflation and at this stage data is pointing to a resilient US economy absorbing those higher prices due to inflation. There is no fear driven selloff which shows that bargain hunters still believe in a longer term move up thanks to resilient economies so I continue to expect major swings in momentum up and down.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue and will weigh on share markets if the Fed, and other major central banks, can not get it under control.
I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 2/03A review of the price action from the European session and US sessions which gave us some choppy price action. Markets remain under some pressure from sellers with DAX and FTSE giving back earlier gains while the US edged lower. The USD found some sellers which supported Gold while US bond yields rallied again and Oil ranged....mixed bag really!! I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Short Selling Opportunity Ahead: AUDCAD Analysis | 4h chartHello traders,
As you can see in my previous post the resistance level reached and profit target hit.
Now again short selling opportunity on the horizon. Wait for the OANDA:AUDCAD to close below stable support (0.91200-0.91500) and test resistance before opening short position.
Avoid long position due to downward trend and high supply.
Thanks & regards,
Alpha Trading Station
Disclaimer: This view is for educational purpose only & any stock mentioned here should not be taken as a trading/investing advice. We may or may not have position in the stocks mentioned here. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Because Price is the "King of Market".
GBP/USD BUY "W PATTERN" (DOUBLE BOTTOM)OANDA:GBPUSD
HI , TRADER'S , OUR PREVIOUS ALL PREDICTION'S ABOUT GBPUSD REACHED TARGET
As you can see in chart market is making W pattern , which is also known as double bottom chart pattern
It's a bullish pattern in which market make 2 bottom's , and from second bottom buyer's push market up
Now 20,50 and 200 ema is supporting market , and more 150 + pip's expected
Take your entry if any dip come.
❤️ Please, support my work with follow ,share and like, thank you !❤️
BTCUSDAccording to the replicated analysis of Bitcoin in the daily time frame, as mentioned, the weakness of the trend in the range of 25,000 has formed the end of wave 5, and last week's falling movement can be considered a correction in the form of wave A, although the end of wave 4 of A has not yet been determined. As a result, the continuation of the trend and the end areas of the movement and the amount of its correction are not known, but the drawn scenario is the most likely state, from the point of view that every top is an opportunity to sell until the completion of the corrective wave.
GU Looking for correction then head to downside. $GBPUSD After News on 2/24/23 and After Top-Down analysis i'm looking for price to move to the downside on 2/27/23 for a short correction.
This is not trading advice or a signal!
The Website should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent market research before making your actual trading decisions.
2023 Market Projections: Leading Indicators and AnalysisTVC:US10Y
The recent market response to data on CPI , PPI, and the selloff in the bond market, coupled with hints from the Fed about potentially raising rates towards 5% to 5.25%, provide important insights into where the markets could be heading in the coming weeks.
Looking at the weekly chart of the 10-year Treasury yield, we can see a massive rising wedge pattern with a bull flag inside the wedge . The break out of the bull flag last week has a target of 5% to 5.25%, which aligns with the Fed's projected peak policy and the top of the wedge in the chart. There are some bullish signs in this chart, a hidden bullish divergence on the weekly with both the RSI and MACD , indicating a bullish continuation of the trend. Additionally, there is a bullish divergence on the daily chart , as shared a few days ago.
These signals increase the likelihood of a bullish move in the 10-year yield, and if this plays out as projected, it could lead to high selling pressure in markets, including the stock market and crypto. Higher yields can reduce the profitability and spending power of companies and individuals, and make stocks and cryptocurrencies less attractive as investment options. It's important to keep a close eye on the bond market and monitor any potential impacts on other markets.
This could mark the final leg down or a bottoming process in the current bear market, with the last leg down typically being a massive one. In the coming weeks, there may be a triple bearish divergence that develops on the 10-year yield, which could signal a nearby bottom in bonds. The stock market is expected to follow suit weeks later.
It's worth noting that this analysis is based on confluence and projections around recent developments, leading indicators, and technical analysis projection methods. However, there are no confirmations on many aspects of it yet, and there is always a degree of unpredictability in financial markets. Therefore, it's important to acknowledge the uncertainties and potential risks involved in making projections based on technical analysis . It's also important to emphasize that this is not financial advice, and readers should always do their own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Seeking professional financial advice before making significant investment decisions is also highly recommended.
#ES_F Pullback to major Support and Resistance line and 21 DMAMarket pulled back today and many feeds were filled with Bears and Doomsday callers ...
Is this the start of a massive down leg or just a technical pullback ? Bear trap or will Put holders be rewarded ?
Time will tell..
CPI next week so anyone's guess . Personally I'm waiting for more resolution and confirmation before trading this spot as it could go either way in my opinion.
Key Levels and Market overview into the Asian session openA look at the price action from the European and US sessions and what that may mean for the Asian market open after some stronger than expected US retail Sales triggered a choppy session. I feel data is still showing 'sticky inflation' which eventually leads to higher interest rates and lower spending which will cap the indexes...although traders are focused on a resilient economy fending off a recession.. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and Market overview into the Asian session openA look at the price action from the European and US sessions and what that may mean for the Asian session open after some stronger than expected US CPI data showing 'sticky inflation'. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper