USDCAD - Probable Expanded Flat Pattern formation in Wave IVThe structure of the downtrend which has been started from the range of 1.3420, has finished in the range of 1.2928 which is in the form of 3 waves. Given this trend, we will probably have a 5-wave uptrend in C-wave, which could be extended up to the target of 1.3523.
If the price crosses the range of 1.2928, this analysis will be violated. In case the price crosses the range of 1.3172, we can expect an uptrend forming hopefully.
Marketanalysis
NADUSD - The Ending Diagonal pattern represents the end of the fIn the 60-minute chart, the divergence in MACD and RSI is quite clear, and also the 3-wave structure of the sides shows the Diagonal pattern.
By crossing the price from the range of 0.6878, which is the end of the 4th wave of this pattern, we can get the confirmation for the downtrend and the targets of 0.6795 and then 0.6700 price level.
USDCHF - Expanded Flat pattern in wave 4There are many scenarios for this currency in the daily and weekly charts, but the current pattern in the 240-minute chart is Expanded Flat, which can be extended in the up the range of 0.9275 to 0.9387.
It should be noted, this is a corrective movement of wave 4, after the completion of correction, the downtrend will begin in the last wave
If the price exceeds the range of 08978, this scenario will be violated. In case the price crosses the range of 0.9139, the ascending trend will be confirmed.
B.A.C BANK OF AMERICA DESCENDING BROADENING WEDGE (END & ID) BANK OF AMERICA : BAC DESCENDING BROADENING WEDGE
EN : WE CAN SEE THAT BAC IS FORMING A PATTERN CALLED DESCENDING BROADENING WEDGE THIS PATTERN IS A STRONG BULLISH PATTERN, WE HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL CANDLE BREAKOUT FROM THE PATTERN, THERES GOT A CHANCE THAT BAC WILL DO HIS DOWN MOVEMENT TO AROUND 23.95 - 22.58 AREA
THE REASON IS SIMPLE
1. STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR HIT THE OVER BOUGHT AREA
2. WE CAN SEE THE SWING HIGH AT TOP ON 3 SEPT 2020 LOWER HIGH (LOWER PEAK) AT STOCHASTIC MAKING A LOWER HIGH (LOWER PEAK) AND 12 OCT LOWER HIGH AGAIN (LOWER PEAK) BUT THE STOCHASTIC IS HIGHER HIGH (HIGHER PEAK) SO A BEARISH DIVERGENCE IS FORMED THIS MEAN BAC WILL DO HIS DOWNSIDE MOVEMENT
SURE BAC WILL CONTINUE HIS BULLISH THAT WE CAN SEE AT WEEKLY CHART THE TREND IS STILL BULLISH
IF THE BREAKOUT HAPPENED BAC TARGET PRICE WILL BE AT 27.75 THIS IS THE PATTERN TARGET PRICE
BAC ALSO WILL CONTINUE ITS BULLISHESS UNTIL 30.45 AND 34.05 BECAUSE OF THE GAP AREA BUT MAYBE IT TOOK TIME FOR CLOSE THIS GAP EITHER 2021 OR 2022
THANKS. …
ID: KITA BISA MELIHAT BAC SEDANG MEMBUAT PATTERN YANG DISEBUT DESCENDING BROADENING WEDGE PATTERN INI ADALAH PATTERN BULLISH, KITA HARUS MENUNGGU SAMPAI DENGAN CANDLE BREAK OUT DARI TRENDLINE DBW INI, TETAPI SEBELUM NAIK AKAN TERJADI PENURUNAN HARRGA KE ANTARA 23.95 – 22.58
ALASANNYA SIMPLE
1. STOCHASTIC OSCILLATORNYA SUDAH MENCAPAI TITIK JENUH PEMBELIAN
2. KITA BISA LIAT SWING HIGH YANG DIATAS PADA 3 SEPT MEMBUAT LOWER HIGH(LOWER PEAK) DAN DI STOCHASTIC JUGA MEMBUAT LOWER HIGH (LOWER PEAK) DAN PADA 12 OCT MEMBUAT LOWER HIGH LAGI TETAPI STOCHASTICNYA MEMBUAT HIGHER HIGH (HIGHER PEAK) JADI TERJADILAH BEARISH DIVERGENCE INI BERARTI BAC AKAN ADA PENEURUNAN HARGA
TENTU BAC AKAN MELANJUTKAN BULLISHNYA DAN KITA JUGA BISA MELIHAT PADA WEEKLY CHART TREND BULLISH MASIH ADA
JIKA BREAKOUT TERJADI MAKA TARGET PRICE BAC AKAN PADA 27.75 INI ADALAH TARGET PRICE PADA PATTERN TERSEBUT.
BAC JUGA AKAN MELANJUTKAN BULLISHNYA SAMPAI DENGAN 30.45 DAN 34.05 DIKARENAKAN GAP AREA TERSEBUT TETAPI ITU MEMERLUKAN WAKTU UNTUK MENUTUPI GAP TERSEBUT ANTARA TAHUN 2021 ATAUPUN 2022
SEKIAN TERIMAKASIH
BY RUPIN GOH
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BioNTech delivers like promised | NEW COVID VACCINE DATA | Hey fellow Traders!
Today From MAINZ, Germany to NEW YORK .
In the last Analysis we talked about upside potential of the freshly developed Covid-19 Vacccine from NASDAQ:BNTX and NYSE:PFE
Also calling out those huge gains even before all those news were released.
"Today those companies announced their mRNA-based vaccine candidate, BNT162b2, against SARS-CoV-2 has demonstrated evidence of efficacy against COVID-19 in participants without prior evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, based on the first interim efficacy analysis conducted on November 8, 2020 by an external, independent Data Monitoring Committee (DMC) from the Phase 3 clinical study. After discussion with the FDA, the companies recently elected to drop the 32-case interim analysis and conduct the first interim analysis at a minimum of 62 cases. Upon the conclusion of those discussions, the evaluable case count reached 94 and the DMC performed its first analysis on all cases."
This means we are right on track for the FDA Fast Track Drug Approval, on which the whole world put their hopes on. With increasing daily cases this news are like a rescue ring in the middle of the ocean.
But lets get back to the chart.
We had a huge upper resistance level at the psychological mark at $100 but if this move today turns out to not just be a bull trap and we can see a solid consolidation phase, im optimistic to see a new support level building up at the prior resistance.
As we can see the uptrend is still intact and we could form a nice resistance/support level over time. With the incoming cataclyst it should be pretty obvious that we are likely to see a evven stronger upmove soon. But this stock is still a playball from big hegdefonds and investors. So be careful when trading this.
Personally i´ll use the next the next rebound to stock up, wait for the news and then sell nearly all those shares on good news.
Why i am sure about this?
- Well the stock had the same moves for the past months, and if you understoof this, it was like a money making machine.
- First come first served
- Millions of pre sold Vaccine doses to dozen of countries.
- Momentum
- No insider sold yet
- MRNA TECHNOLOGY
- CANCER MEDICICNE IN THE PIPELINE
- Incredible Management Team
- And of course Everyone wants to finally get their old life back.
- $1.4 B Potential Revenue
- Bill Gates
Thank you for taking your time to read this.
I hope this was interesting and useful to you.
Best greetings and happy trading! :)
Disclaimer: All writers opinions are their own and dod not constitute financial advise in any way whatsovver. Nothing published by me constitutes an investment recoomenddation, nor should any data or Content be relied upon for any investment activites. I strongly recommend that you perfom your own independdet research and/or speak with a qualified investment professional before making any financial decisions.
TRICK OR TREAT - CORRECTION PLAYBOOKHello!
I hope many of you have been prepared for a pull in the indexes. The whole move lower right now is fueled by the fact that nobody owns protection into November, which is crazy considering there are elections coming, and now suddenly all the fund managers and retail crowd are slowly starting to realize it. The correction is very much needed to let some air out of the overblown equities market.
I am expecting a pull below /ES 3200 level , which is then going to be followed by a multi-day squeeze to punish some stubborn bears getting involved. After that, catching the short ain't gonna be easy and there will be all kinds of games being played by different market participants. But at the end I am expecting us to bottom near the /ES 3000 level .
Good luck!
Tonis
Weekly Market recap 5: Still at the crossroads of the sentimentsWhere we are, and "if-thens"
Since the last week, the sentiment hasn't changed too dramatically, looking at the technical picture of DXY, I still see it as a range in a medium-term. Although, DXY crept down, closer to the "orange" line of defence (see the orange long-term trendline). Along with the stabilizing S&P500 index (The stock index has had the classic negative correlation with the DXY since the crash in March), DXY gives me reasons to have a short-term bearish bias, hence likely transition to risk appetite.
If DXY closes below the orange trendline (around 92.2), it will be a strong sign of the beginning of a bearish market in USD. The last line of defence is around 91.7 (Sep 1 low).
On the contrary, if DXY manages to close above the long-term trendline of the downtrend which started in March, I'd consider buying USD. I would need additional confirmations of course, as it is still a range market. Such confirmations may include reaching 94.00 level.
The highlighters of sentiments
A)If we bet on risk
Say DXY would continue the downtrend, and we enter the risk appetite sentiment. What do we short USD against? Let's look at the most common risk duet of AUD and NZD (see the AUDNZD chart). If you zoom out a bit, the first thing you notice is the range, gradually descending channel. It tells us that AUD has been weaker in the long term and it's better to be long NZD in general.
MA(100) is playing the role of the "mean" here. For short-term trading, it's nice to take into account how far the pair is from the mean. A good AUD-short would be after the candle reversal pattern (I marked the last one with the grey area) was formed near the upper border of the channel. Generally speaking, the further AUDNZD from the mean, the clearer it is what to buy to ride the risk appetite sentiment.
B) If we bet on safe-havens
Look at the long-term chart of USDJPY. USD has been pressured since 2015. Therefore I'd prefer going long JPY if risk aversion activates. However, I may still consider buying USD if USDJPY breaks the 5 years descending trendline.
Summing up
Eventually, follow the hints of DXY and then choose the most diverged currencies by their relative strength or weakness. For example, if risk aversion starts, I'd focus on shorting the weakest one (most likely USD) against relatively strongest one (let's say NZD). Adjust it to the short-term sentiments of European currencies and CAD, and you have a road map to find numerous additional setups.